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Bibliography on: Climate Change

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ESP: PubMed Auto Bibliography 29 Jan 2026 at 02:10 Created: 

Climate Change

The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet. But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big deal?

The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up, the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals. That's 25 million times more energy than released by the WW-II atomic bomb that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000 people.

So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic bombs worth of new energy, which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms. Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.

Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion

Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)

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RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Cao Y, Xiao K, Ling L, et al (2026)

Predicting Phloeosinus cupressi (Coleoptera: Curculionidae: Phloeosinus) Distribution for Management Planning Under Climate Change.

Insects, 17(1): pii:insects17010077.

Phloeosinus cupressi Hopkins is an invasive bark beetle that poses a serious threat to Cupressus trees, with potential ecological and economic impacts globally. Native to North America, it has spread to Australia and New Zealand, and climate change may further alter its range. Global trade increases the risk of spread, highlighting the need for predictive modeling in management. In this study, we employed CLIMEX and random forest (RF) models to project the potential global distribution of P. cupressi, incorporating host distribution data for Cupressus. Climatic suitability is concentrated in temperate, subtropical, and Mediterranean zones, including Europe, the U.S., South America, China, Australia, and New Zealand, totaling 10,165.22 × 10[4] km[2]. Coldest-quarter precipitation (bio19) and annual temperature range (bio7) were identified as the most influential variables. Under RCP6.0 scenarios, suitable areas are projected to expand northward, increasing by ~18%. Regional shifts include contraction in southern Europe and South China, expansion in southern Argentina, southeastern Australia, and coastal New Zealand. Temperature sensitivity is expected to exceed precipitation, enhancing colonization. Due to global Cupressus trade, quarantine and monitoring should focus on high-risk regions. Our findings support early detection, long-term monitoring, and control measures for managing P. cupressi under climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Abeijon LM, Gómez-Llano JH, Ovruski SM, et al (2025)

Global Distribution of Three Parasitoids of Drosophila suzukii (Diptera, Drosophilidae): Present and Future Climate Change Scenarios.

Insects, 17(1): pii:insects17010012.

In this study, we investigated the current and future potential distribution of three parasitoid species of Drosophila suzukii, which represent promising candidates for the biological control of this pest: Leptopilina japonica (Hymenoptera, Figitidae), Pachycrepoideus vindemmiae (Hymenoptera, Pteromalidae), and Trichopria drosophilae (Hymenoptera, Diapriidae). To this end, we employed Ecological Niche Modeling using the Random Forest algorithm and climatic data from WorldClim v. 2.1 under climate change scenarios (SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5), analyzing the spatial overlap between the pest and its natural enemies. The results indicate that the parasitoids exhibit distinct geographic distributions, although most species show higher suitability for temperate regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Species such as T. drosophilae and L. japonica stand out for their broad distribution and high overlap with the pest, whereas P. vindemmiae and display more restrictive climatic ranges and lower control efficiency. With ongoing climate change, all parasitoids tend to migrate toward higher latitudes, with significant range contractions in tropical regions. Thus, our results demonstrate the usefulness of Ecological Niche Modeling in the selection of biological control agents by considering host-specific preferences and environmental requirements in the development of management strategies adapted to future scenarios.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Kou S, Ci Z, Liu W, et al (2026)

Conservation and Sustainable Development of Rice Landraces for Enhancing Resilience to Climate Change, with a Case Study of 'Pantiange Heigu' in China.

Life (Basel, Switzerland), 16(1): pii:life16010143.

Climate change poses a threat to global rice production by increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. The widespread cultivation of genetically uniform modern varieties has narrowed the genetic base of rice, increasing its vulnerability to these increased pressures. Rice landraces are traditional rice varieties that have been cultivated by farming communities for centuries and are considered crucial resources of genetic diversity. These landraces are adapted to a wide range of agro-ecological environments and exhibit valuable traits that provide tolerance to various biotic stresses, including drought, salinity, nutrient-deficient soils, and the increasing severity of climate-related temperature extremes. In addition, many landraces possess diverse alleles associated with resistance to biotic stresses, including pests and diseases. In addition, rice landraces exhibit great grain quality characters including high levels of essential amino acids, antioxidants, flavonoids, vitamins, and micronutrients. Hence, their preservation is vital for maintaining agricultural biodiversity and enhancing nutritional security, especially in vulnerable and resource-limited regions. However, rice landraces are increasingly threatened by genetic erosion due to widespread adoption of modern high-yielding varieties, habitat loss, and changing farming practices. This review discusses the roles of rice landraces in developing resilient and climate-smart rice cultivars. Moreover, the Pantiange Heigu landrace, cultivated at one of the highest altitudes globally in Yunnan Province, China, has been used as a case study for integrated conservation by demonstrating the successful combination of in situ and ex situ strategies, community engagement, policy support, and value-added development to sustainably preserve genetic diversity under challenging environmental and socio-economic challenges. Finally, this study explores the importance of employing advanced genomic technologies with supportive policies and economic encouragements to enhance conservation and sustainable development of rice landraces as a strategic imperative for global food security. By preserving and enhancing the utilization of rice landraces, the agricultural community can strengthen the genetic base of rice, improve crop resilience, and contribute substantially to global food security and sustainable agricultural development in the face of environmental and socio-economic challenges.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Magyar-Tábori K, Udupa SM, Hanász A, et al (2025)

Rising Demand for Winter Crops Under Climate Change: Breeding for Winter Hardiness in Autumn-Sown Legumes.

Life (Basel, Switzerland), 16(1): pii:life16010017.

Climate change in the Pannonian region is accelerating a shift toward autumn sowing of cool-season grain legumes (pea, faba bean, lentil, chickpea, lupine) to achieve higher yields, greater biomass production, enhanced nitrogen fixation, improved soil cover, and superior resource use efficiency compared with spring sowing. However, successful overwintering depends on the availability of robust winter-hardy cultivars. This review synthesizes recent breeding advances, integrating traditional approaches-such as germplasm screening, hybridization, and field-based selection-with genomics-assisted strategies, including genome-wide association studies (GWAS), quantitative trait locus (QTL) mapping, marker-assisted selection (MAS), and CRISPR/Cas-mediated editing of CBF transcription factors. Key physiological mechanisms-LT50 determination, cold acclimation, osmoprotectant accumulation (sugars, proline), and membrane stability-are assessed using field survival rates, electrolyte leakage assays, and chlorophyll fluorescence measurements. Despite challenges posed by genotype × environment interactions, variable winter severity, and polygenic trait control, the release of cultivars worldwide (e.g., 'NS-Mraz', 'Lavinia F', 'Ghab series', 'Pinklevi', and 'Rézi') and ongoing breeding programs demonstrate substantial progress. Future breeding efforts will increasingly rely on genomic selection (GS), high-throughput phenomics, pangenomics, and G×E modeling to accelerate the development of climate-resilient legume cultivars, ensuring stable and sustainable production under increasingly unpredictable winter conditions.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Venhof VSM, BF Jeronimus (2026)

Emotional Needs in the Face of Climate Change and Barriers for Pro-Environmental Behaviour in Dutch Young Adults: A Qualitative Exploration.

International journal of environmental research and public health, 23(1): pii:ijerph23010076.

Rapid climate change and its anticipated impacts trigger significant worry and distress among vulnerable groups, including young adults. Little is known about how Dutch young adults experience and cope with climate change within their specific social and environmental context. This study examines Dutch young people's emotional responses to climate change, their perceived emotional and psychological needs arising from these experiences, and the barriers they encounter in engaging in pro-environmental behaviour, with the aim of informing public health strategies to better support and empower this vulnerable group. Data were drawn from a large online survey among a representative sample of 1006 Dutch young adults (16-35 years; 51% women). The questionnaire included fixed-answer sections assessing emotional responses to climate change, as well as two open-ended questions exploring participants' perceptions of their emotional and psychological needs related to climate change and the barriers they perceive to pro-environmental behaviour. Descriptive statistics were used for the fixed-response items, and thematic analysis was applied to the open-ended responses. Many Dutch young adults reported worry and sadness about climate change and its impacts, with approximately one third experiencing feelings of powerlessness. A large percentage of respondents attributed responsibility to large companies, and nearly half indicated that they still had hope for the future. One third (31%) felt that nothing could make them feel better about climate change, and another third (36%) reported to experience no climate-related emotions. Key emotional needs included more action at personal, community, and governmental levels, and more motivating positive news. Almost half (46%) of young adults said they already lived sustainably, while perceived barriers to pro-environmental behaviour were mainly financial (21%), knowledge-related (8%), and time-related (7%). This exploratory study highlights key practical and emotional barriers to pro-environmental behaviour reported by Dutch young adults 16-35, who expressed diverse emotional needs while coping with climate change. The findings underscore the need for a multi-level public health response to climate-related emotions, that simultaneously addresses emotional needs, structural barriers, and opportunities for meaningful engagement. Lowering barriers to pro-environmental behaviour and fostering supportive environments that enable sustainable action among young adults may enhance wellbeing and strengthen their sense of agency. Public health supports this by reducing barriers to pro-environmental behaviour in young adults, through targeted support, clear information, and enabling social and structural conditions that promote wellbeing and sustained engagement.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Martinez Esguerra E, Laferrière MC, Bérubé A, et al (2025)

Climate Change Policies and Social Inequalities in the Transport, Infrastructure and Health Sectors: A Scoping Review Protocol.

International journal of environmental research and public health, 23(1): pii:ijerph23010065.

Climate action has been deemed as fundamental to counteract the impacts of rising global temperatures on health which will disproportionately affect low-income populations, racial and ethnic minorities, women, and other historically marginalized groups. Along with poverty reduction, inequality mitigation, gender equality promotion, and public health protection, climate action has been recognized as a fundamental goal for achieving Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). However, despite growing recognition of the need to align climate action with development goals, there is a knowledge gap regarding how the implementation of climate change mitigation and adaptation policies impacts social inequalities. To address this knowledge gap, this document proposes a scoping review protocol aimed at identifying and synthesizing research that examines the impacts of climate policies on inequalities at the subnational scales, within the transport, infrastructure and health. The objective of this review is to map existing evidence, identify conceptual and empirical gaps and inform policy strategies that promote climate action in line with values of social justice and equality.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Trovato GM, Huser CA, Wilson L, et al (2026)

Preparing Health Professionals for Environmental Health and Climate Change: A Challenge for Europe.

Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland), 14(2): pii:healthcare14020208.

Even though environmental health and climate change are rapidly intensifying the severity of determinants of disease and inequity, training for health professionals in these areas remains fragmented across Europe. To address this gap, the European Medical Association (EMA), in collaboration with the European Network on Climate and Health Education (ENCHE), the International Network on Public Health and Environment Tracking (INPHET) and University College London, convened a one-day hybrid roundtable in London on 17 September 2025, focused on "Preparing Health Professionals for Environmental Health and Climate Change: A Challenge for Europe". The programme combined keynote presentations on global and European policy, health economics and curriculum design with three disease-focused roundtables (respiratory, cardiovascular and neurological conditions), each examining the following topics: (A) climate and environment as preventable causes of disease; (B) healthcare as a source of environmental harm; and (C) capacity building through education and training. Contributors highlighted how environmental epidemiology, community-based prevention programmes and sustainable clinical practice can be integrated into teaching, illustrating models from respiratory, cardiovascular, surgical and neurological care. EU-level speakers outlined the policy framework (European Green Deal, Zero Pollution Action Plan and forthcoming global health programme) and tools through which professional and scientific societies can both inform and benefit from European action on environment and health. Discussions converged on persistent obstacles, including patchy national commitments to decarbonising healthcare, isolated innovations that are not scaled and curricula that do not yet embed sustainability in examinable clinical competencies. The conference concluded with proposals to develop an operational education package on environmental and climate health; map and harmonise core competencies across undergraduate, postgraduate and Continuing -professional-development pathways; and establish a permanent EMA-led working group to co-produce a broader position paper with professional and scientific societies. This conference report summarises the main messages and is intended as a bridge between practice-based experience and a formal EMA position on environmental-health training in Europe.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Li J, Huang Y, Pan Y, et al (2026)

Prediction of Potential Suitable Habitats of Cupressus duclouxiana Under Climate Change Based on Biomod2 Ensemble Models.

Biology, 15(2): pii:biology15020165.

Cupressus duclouxiana is an ecologically and economically important conifer endemic to southwestern China (e.g., central Yunnan and southern Sichuan), yet its potential distribution under future climate change remains insufficiently understood. In this study, we employed an ensemble species distribution modeling framework implemented in biomod2 to predict the current and future suitable habitats of C. duclouxiana across China. A total of 154 occurrence records and 17 key environmental variables were used to construct ensemble models integrating twelve algorithms. The ensemble model showed high predictive performance (TSS = 0.99, Kappa = 0.98). Temperature-related variables dominated habitat suitability, with the minimum temperature of the coldest month identified as the primary limiting factor, accounting for 44.1%. Under current climatic conditions, suitable habitats are mainly concentrated in southwestern China, particularly in Sichuan, Yunnan, and Xizang (Tibet). Future projections under three Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, SSP5-8.5) consistently indicate habitat expansion by the late 21st century, accompanied by pronounced northward and northwestward range shifts. The largest expansion is projected under the SSP3-7.0 scenario, highlighting the sensitivity of C. duclouxiana to intermediate warming trajectories. Overall, climate warming is expected to increase habitat availability while reshaping the spatial distribution of C. duclouxiana across China. These findings provide scientific support for climate-adaptive afforestation planning and conservation management, and offer broader insights into the responses of subtropical coniferous species to future climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Kim KH, Park D, BM Lee (2026)

Biotechnological Strategies to Enhance Maize Resilience Under Climate Change.

Biology, 15(2): pii:biology15020161.

Maize (Zea mays L.), a vital crop for global food and economic security, faces intensifying biotic and abiotic stresses driven by climate change, including drought, heat, and erratic rainfall. This review synthesizes emerging biotechnology-driven strategies designed to enhance maize resilience under these shifting environmental conditions. We present an integrated framework that encompasses CRISPR/Cas9 and next-generation genome editing, Genomic Selection (GS), Environmental Genomic Selection (EGS), and multi-omics platforms-spanning transcriptomics, proteomics, metabolomics, and epigenomics. These approaches have significantly deepened our understanding of complex stress-adaptive traits and genotype-by-environment interactions, revealing precise targets for breeding climate-resilient cultivars. Furthermore, we highlight enabling technologies such as high-throughput phenotyping, artificial intelligence (AI), and nanoparticle-based gene delivery-including novel in planta and transformation-free protocols-that are accelerating translational breeding. Despite these technical breakthroughs, barriers such as genotype-dependent transformation efficiency, regulatory landscapes, and implementation costs in resource-limited settings remain. Bridging the gap between laboratory innovation and field deployment will require coordinated policy support and global collaboration. By integrating molecular breakthroughs with practical deployment strategies, this review offers a comprehensive roadmap for developing sustainable, climate-resilient maize varieties to meet future agricultural demands.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Zhao X, Tang J, Zhu J, et al (2026)

The Vulnerability of Chinese Theaceae Species Under Future Climate Change.

Biology, 15(2): pii:biology15020151.

Assessing the vulnerability of species to climate change is currently one of the hot issues in ecology and conservation biology. Although species sensitivity and adaptability play a crucial role in determining species vulnerability to climate change, most studies have only focused on habitat exposure, hindering a comprehensive understanding of species vulnerability to climate change and the implementation of effective conservation actions and policies. Here, we performed a comprehensive evaluation of the species sensitivity, habitat exposure and vulnerability of 122 Chinese Theaceae species and the spatial distribution patterns of their sensitivity, habitat exposure and vulnerability, as well as the effectiveness of China's protected area network in protecting these species under future climate change. Our analyses suggest that species vulnerability was mainly determined by species sensitivity rather than habitat exposure. In addition, these species generally exhibit a high sensitivity and vulnerability to temperature-related variables, such as the annual mean temperature and temperature annual range, while exhibiting a high exposure to precipitation variables, such as total annual precipitation and precipitation seasonality. Furthermore, our analyses show that the high-vulnerability areas are mainly distributed in western and eastern China. However, no more than 17% of the high-vulnerability areas would be covered by China's protected area network and no more than 15% of the median- and low-vulnerability areas would be covered by China's protected area network. These findings can contribute to a new understanding of the vulnerability of the 122 Chinese Theaceae species to future climate change and guide effective conservation prioritizing in a rapidly changing climate.

RevDate: 2026-01-28
CmpDate: 2026-01-28

Zhang T, Wang Y, Shu F, et al (2026)

Climate Change and Biotic Interactions Will Change the Distributions of Ungulates on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 16(2): pii:ani16020183.

Species interactions are crucial for understanding how species will respond to future climate change. Incorporating interspecific relationships into mammalian distribution prediction models will significantly impact model outcomes, especially those for animals on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP). Thus, we incorporated interspecific relationships into species distribution models to assess and predict the future distributions of five ungulates, including the Red deer (Cervus elaphus), the Kiang (Equus kiang), the Tibetan gazelle (Procapra picticaudata), the Tibetan antelope (Pantholops hodgsonii), and the Bharal (Pseudois nayaur). We found that (1) the suitable habitats of these five ungulates were all predicted to increase between the present and 2050; (2) the suitable distribution areas of four of these ungulates were predicted to be smaller when interspecific relationships were incorporated into the models, with the exception of the Red deer, whose suitable habitat was estimated to be larger; and (3) the centroids of suitable habitat for the five ungulates were predicted to shift to the southern part of the QTP by 2050. Our results demonstrated that interspecific relationships could influence predictions of species distributions, and thus incorporating interspecific relationships will facilitate better assessments and predictions of the future distributions of species.

RevDate: 2026-01-28

Hantel A, Senay E, Hlubocky FJ, et al (2026)

Ethical dilemmas in climate change and healthcare delivery: a cross-sectional survey of US patient perspectives.

BMC medicine pii:10.1186/s12916-026-04656-8 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Healthcare delivery produces substantial emissions that contribute to climate change and harm human health. Patient perspectives on ethical dilemmas, such as tradeoffs between individual health choices and public health harms mediated by climate change, are unclear.

METHODS: This cross-sectional survey randomly sampled adult patients across four US health systems to assess their perspectives on ethical dilemmas in climate change and healthcare delivery; results were compared to a previous nationwide survey of US-based physicians. The mailed survey was developed iteratively through pre-testing and was designed to detect a 15% difference in the proportion willing to limit treatment options because of environmental impact according to respondents' perceived impact of climate change on their health. Secondary outcomes included physician responsibilities for healthcare sustainability and acceptability of environmentally motivated treatment tradeoffs.

RESULTS: Between 11/2023 and 9/2024, 289 of 516 patient surveys and 304 of 529 physician surveys were delivered and returned, for response rates of 56.0% and 57.5%, respectively. Most patients (79.1%) believed that environmental factors impacted their medical conditions, and 36.3% reported a moderate-to-high health impact from climate change, while 5.2% reported speaking with their doctor about climate and health interactions a moderate amount or more. Similar proportions of patients (35.8%) and physicians (35.0%) agreed with reducing healthcare's environmental impact even if it required limiting treatment options. Like physicians, patients' perceived health impact (moderate-to-high versus low-to-no) was associated with willingness to place such limits (adjusted OR 1.85; 95% CI 1.01, 3.41). Most patients (77.1%) were willing to accept some reduction in the likelihood of treatment response if that treatment was less environmentally impactful; unlike physicians, this did not vary by health impact (adjusted OR 1.16; 95% CI 0.63, 2.20). Almost all patients (96.8%) reported that physicians should help make healthcare sustainable, and 64.7% thought this included changing clinical practices.

CONCLUSIONS: Many US patients and physicians recognize connections between health, healthcare delivery, and climate change, and accept environmentally motivated treatment tradeoffs, but do not discuss them in the clinic. Patient views largely parallel those of physicians, suggesting support for climate-informed medical practice and for incorporating environmental considerations into clinical decision-making.

RevDate: 2026-01-27

He W, Wang R, Yang L, et al (2026)

The phenotypic and physiological response mechanisms of Tetracentron sinense, an endangered plant and a relict from the tertiary period, to global warming.

BMC plant biology pii:10.1186/s12870-026-08225-2 [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2026-01-27

Nowak BVR, Lydersen C, Heide-Jørgensen MP, et al (2026)

Endangered bowhead whales might buffer climate change with individual variability in movement patterns.

Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-026-36908-1 [Epub ahead of print].

Assessing the vulnerability of species to global climate change and their capacity for resilience is a central challenge in ecology. Responses are variable and difficult to predict but understanding the resilience of intrinsically vulnerable species is necessary for management of natural populations. Bowhead whales (Balaena mysticetus) have recovered from historical over-exploitation in several Arctic regions. However, the East Greenland-Svalbard-Barents Sea (EGSB) population remains endangered, with little known about their habitat use, foraging ecology, or potential resilience. We analysed location data from 38 EGSB bowhead whales instrumented between 2017 and 2021. We performed home range analyses, fitted a modified resource selection function, and estimated move persistence to assess the influence of environmental conditions on movement patterns using linear mixed-effects modelling. EGSB bowheads used an offshore, deep-water core area year-round. Movement patterns showed considerable individual variability and suggest this population is not migratory in a classical sense, likely reducing intraspecific competition. Depth, low sea surface temperatures, and sea ice were all influential on habitat use. Both static and dynamic environmental conditions were significantly associated with apparent foraging behaviour. Although the habitat use of EGSB bowhead whales is vulnerable to continued warming, intrapopulation variability in movements might provide a buffer to climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-27
CmpDate: 2026-01-27

Li J, F He (2026)

Variation in Tree Growth Increases With Global Warming.

Ecology letters, 29(2):e70326.

Global warming is raising both climate and weather variability. However, how this tendency may destabilise forest ecosystems is poorly understood. Using a set of global tree-ring data, we calculated the 5-year variance and mean of tree growth rate over 1401-2010, and modelled the variance-mean relationship. We found that the global averaged variance increased much faster than the mean in the past century (+40.0% vs. +8.5%), and closely covaried with the accelerated global warming since the 1970s (r = 0.93). The exponent of tree-level variance-mean power law was higher in wetter habitats and less drought-resistant species, and has increased significantly under global warming, indicating an environment- and trait-dependent growth-safety tradeoff and a decreasing resistance to a warmer climate. Our study shows that global warming may have strongly destabilised tree growth and made forest dynamics less predictable, adding to the growing concern that global warming is jeopardising the functioning of forest ecosystems.

RevDate: 2026-01-26

Nuwer R (2026)

Defending endangered trees against climate change and hungry goats.

Nature, 649(8099):1334.

RevDate: 2026-01-26

Ahluwalia B, S Singh (2026)

Climate Change and the Impact On Interstitial Lung Diseases.

Pulmonary therapy [Epub ahead of print].

This review aims to summarize the latest evidence on how climate change has altered the environmental exposures and their influence on the epidemiology, pathophysiology, and outcomes of interstitial lung diseases (ILD). Rising global temperatures are exacerbating environmental threats (like heatwaves, floods, and dust storms) and worsening air quality. This burden disproportionately affects certain vulnerable groups, accelerating the decline of their ILD. Epigenetic modifications play a vital role in explaining the interaction between the environmental factors and development and progression of ILD. Establishment of strong policies is critical for both reducing the rate of climate change and implementing better adaptation strategies to protect the vulnerable group from its ongoing consequences.

RevDate: 2026-01-24

Torales J, Barrios I, Ventriglio A, et al (2026)

Climate change and mental health: A multinational study of climate-anxiety, coping, and psychosocial responses.

Asian journal of psychiatry, 117:104859 pii:S1876-2018(26)00032-8 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Climate change is an increasingly important determinant of global mental health, affecting emotional, cognitive, behavioral, and social functioning. The emergence of climate-anxiety and the unequal distribution of environmental risks highlight the need for cross-cultural evidence to inform equitable adaptation strategies.

AIM: To examine the psychological and functional impacts of climate change across diverse populations, focusing on climate-anxiety, emotional responses, coping strategies, and perceived psychosocial support within a geopsychiatry framework.

METHODS: A multinational cross-sectional survey was conducted among 388 adults from 44 countries using the Hogg Climate Anxiety Scale (HCAS) and additional items on climate-related experiences, functional disruption, coping strategies, and access to essential resources. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, non-parametric tests, multiple linear regression, and thematic analysis of open-ended responses.

RESULTS: Overall, 83.5 % of participants reported exposure to at least one extreme climate event in the past five years, most commonly heatwaves, floods, and severe storms. Climate anxiety differed by gender in affective symptoms, rumination, and personal impact anxiety (Kruskal-Wallis, p ≤ .007). Participants exposed to extreme events reported higher affective (p = .017), behavioral (p = .001), and personal impact anxiety (p = .045). The regression model explained 25 % of the variance in total HCAS scores (R² = 0.25, p < .001), with climate-related functional disruption as the strongest predictor.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change is associated with substantial emotional and functional burden, particularly among vulnerable groups. Findings support integrating mental health screening and brief psychosocial interventions into climate adaptation policies, primary care, and community-based resilience programs.

RevDate: 2026-01-24

Au AKY, Ng JCK, SX Chen (2026)

Exploring the associations of generalized trust, climate change conspiracy beliefs and freecycling: Empirical evidence from 34 cultures.

British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) [Epub ahead of print].

This study examined the relationships between generalized trust, climate change conspiracy beliefs and freecycling - a community-based free-item sharing pro-environmental behaviour. It also explored the role of societal factors in relation to participation in freecycling, as well as how they are associated with these relationships. Using a panel method, we conducted an online survey with 16,773 participants, stratified by age, gender and region across 34 countries/societies. Key findings indicate that generalized trust and, unexpectedly, climate change conspiracy beliefs are positively associated with freecycling participation. Our exploratory results show that freecycling is more prevalent in developing societies, characterized by stronger beliefs in reward for application and religiosity, a lesser emphasis on uncertainty avoidance and a preference for short-term over long-term orientation. Cross-level moderation analysis indicates that generalized trust is more strongly linked to freecycling in developing societies; its association with freecycle giving is also stronger in cultures with lower reward for application. Climate change conspiracy beliefs are more strongly linked to freecycling in societies with lower uncertainty avoidance. By addressing gaps in the existing literature, particularly the need for cross-cultural comparisons, our research offers valuable insights into the construct of freecycling. As we navigate the complexities of hyperconsumerism and climate change conspiracy beliefs, scepticism towards mainstream narratives may sometimes be associated with individuals seeking alternative, grassroots solutions. Promoting freecycling could encourage sustainability, strengthening community connections and empowering individuals to take direct action in response to their doubts, potentially contributing to a more resilient and environmentally aware society.

RevDate: 2026-01-23

Hochleitner L, Morris S, Bastl M, et al (2026)

Indirect effects of higher mean air temperature related to climate change on major life-history traits in a pulsed-resource consumer.

Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-026-37071-3 [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2026-01-23

Çiçek S, Yilmaz MT, Fidan H, et al (2026)

Combined effects of nanomaterials and climate change on aquatic ecosystems: Toxicity, interactions, and regulatory challenges.

Environmental research pii:S0013-9351(26)00180-5 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change is profoundly altering aquatic ecosystems by modifying key physicochemical parameters such as temperature, pH, salinity, dissolved oxygen, and ultraviolet (UV) radiation. These changes not only impose direct stress on aquatic organisms but also regulate the environmental behavior and biological effects of co-occurring contaminants. Among these, engineered nanomaterials (ENMs) such as silver (Ag), titanium dioxide (TiO2), and zinc oxide (ZnO) nanoparticles are of increasing concern due to their expanding industrial and commercial use and growing environmental release. While numerous studies have documented ENM toxicity in aquatic organisms, most rely on single-stressor or short-term exposure scenarios that fail to capture environmentally realistic conditions. Growing evidence indicates that climate-driven stressors can interact with ENMs in a non-additive manner, leading to synergistic or antagonistic effects on bioavailability and toxicity across multiple biological levels, from primary producers to invertebrates and fish. However, current knowledge remains fragmented, with limited integration of multi-stressor experiments and inconsistent findings across species and exposure conditions. This review critically synthesizes recent experimental and mechanistic studies on the combined effects of ENMs and climate-related stressors in aquatic ecosystems, with particular emphasis on synergistic interactions affecting uptake, bioaccumulation, oxidative stress, and trophic transfer. Furthermore, it evaluates how climate-induced modifications of ENM behavior challenge existing environmental risk assessment paradigms and regulatory frameworks. By identifying key knowledge gaps and methodological limitations, this work highlights priority research directions, including standardized multi-stressor designs and interdisciplinary approaches, to support the development of sustainable nanotechnology under future climate change scenarios.

RevDate: 2026-01-23

Ma C, Wang P, Yang W, et al (2026)

Net global warming potential and carbon sequestration dynamics of deep straw incorporation with contrasting C:N ratios in saline-alkaline oasis agroecosystems.

Journal of environmental management, 400:128703 pii:S0301-4797(26)00163-5 [Epub ahead of print].

Deep straw incorporation (DSI) has emerged as a promising soil amendment strategy for rehabilitating saline-alkaline lands, yet comprehensive quantification of its climate impacts-balancing carbon sequestration against greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions-remains limited. This study provides comprehensive estimates of net global warming potential (GWP) from a 4-year field experiment (2021-2024) examining DSI effects under varying straw C:N ratios in Northwest China's oasis agroecosystems. Three straw types-maize (C:N 60.2), wheat (C:N 42.8), and soybean (C:N 26.4)-were buried at 40-60 cm depth at rates of 0, 9.0, 13.5, and 18.0 Mg ha[-1]. DSI significantly enhanced soil organic carbon (SOC) stocks by 8.2-22.4 Mg C ha[-1], with soybean straw achieving the highest sequestration rate of 5.6 ± 0.8 Mg C ha[-1] yr[-1]. While anaerobic decomposition increased CH4 emissions (1.8-4.2 kg CH4 C ha[-1] yr[-1]) and N2O emissions (0.6-2.4 kg N2O N ha[-1] yr[-1]), net GWP revealed a critical temporal transition: positive values in Year 1 (+0.5 to +2.2 Mg CO2-eq ha[-1] yr[-1]) shifted to increasingly negative values by Years 3-4 (-1.6 to -5.8 Mg CO2-eq ha[-1] yr[-1]). The duration of this transition period was inversely related to straw C:N ratio: soybean straw (C:N 26.4) achieved net carbon sequestration within 1.2 years, compared to 2.4 years for maize straw (C:N 60.2). Soil moisture emerged as the dominant control on CH4 production (R[2] = 0.76, P < 0.001), with emissions increasing exponentially above 65 % water-filled pore space. The optimal configuration-13.5 Mg ha[-1] soybean straw-delivered the most rapid climate benefit transition while achieving 52 % yield enhancement and 25-35 % improvement in nitrogen use efficiency. These findings demonstrate that DSI, despite an initial period of net GHG emissions, transitions to function as a sustained carbon sink, providing critical insights for designing climate-smart agricultural practices in water-limited arid regions.

RevDate: 2026-01-23

Maimaiti Y, Li S, J Zhao (2026)

Fractional reaction-diffusion modeling and machine learning for vegetation pattern analysis in Junggar Basin under climate change.

Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.), 36(1):.

This study investigates the mechanistic effects of vegetation physiological processes and develops a refined vegetation-climate dynamic model with a fractional-in-space diffusion model. The model comprehensively integrates key climatic factors, such as precipitation, temperature, and CO2, to examine the impact of climate change on the evolution of vegetation patterns in the Junggar Basin. Through analysis, we find an inverse relation between the fractional-order coefficient and the size of the Turing instability domain. In addition, performing numerical simulations using real data from the Junggar Basin region, the results show that the interaction between heat stress and the effect of water and CO2 fertilization significantly affect vegetation growth. What is more, the future vegetation growth under different climate scenarios is predicted based on the current scenario and three climate scenarios from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6. We harness the predictive capabilities of machine learning algorithms to forecast changes in the current scenarios. The numerical results show that the current and the SSP1-2.6 scenarios are the favorable climate scenario for vegetation growth. In contrast, the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios suppress vegetation growth and the SSP5-8.5 scenario exhibits the fastest rate of desertification.

RevDate: 2026-01-23
CmpDate: 2026-01-23

Shrestha UB, Maharjan S, Tiwari A, et al (2026)

Divergent Effects of Climate Change on the Potential Habitats of Two Medicinally Important Aconitum Species in the Hindu Kush Himalaya.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72965.

Climate change is a major driver influencing species survival and distribution, particularly for species endemic to mountainous regions. The Hindu Kush Himalaya (HKH), which is a global biodiversity hotspot and the world's youngest mountain system with a high level of endemism, is particularly vulnerable to climate change impacts. This study investigates how future climate change may affect the potential distribution of two congeneric species, Aconitum spicatum and Aconitum naviculare, both endemic to the HKH and occupying habitats with contrasting moisture regimes. Using machine learning-based ecological niche modeling, we assessed projected changes in climatically suitable habitats under moderate (SSP2-4.5) and high (SSP5-8.5) emissions scenarios for two future epochs. Our results indicate that A. spicatum, which prefers moist environments, is projected to experience a decline in suitable habitats across much of its current range without a shift of projected elevation range, particularly in China, India, and Myanmar, due to warming and altered precipitation patterns. Conversely, A. naviculare, which inhabits semi-arid regions, is expected to exhibit an overall expansion of suitable habitats with a shift of projected elevation range, particularly in China and, to a lesser extent, Nepal, suggesting potential emergence of new ecological niches under future climate conditions. These contrasting responses highlight the species-specific nature of climate change impacts. Additionally, the overlapped suitable habitat areas of these two species are predicted to decline in future. While future climate change may offer new opportunities for range expansion of the currently range-restricted A. naviculare, it may simultaneously shrink the habitat range of the more widely distributed A. spicatum. Suitable habitat overlaps under current and future climate scenarios of congeneric but allopatric species that we report can have ecological and evolutionary implications. These insights are critical for designing adaptive, species-specific conservation strategies that integrate both climate projections and socioecological pressures, such as overharvesting.

RevDate: 2026-01-22

Kwembeya M, Mutongoreni NA, L Kwembeya (2026)

The role of social workers in building resilience after climate change-related disasters in Zimbabwe.

Psychological trauma : theory, research, practice and policy pii:2027-19737-001 [Epub ahead of print].

OBJECTIVE: The study's major objective was to explore the role of social workers in building resilience after climate change-related disasters in Zimbabwe.

METHOD: The study used the descriptive qualitative design, which allowed participants to verbalize the felt distress. Purposive sampling technique was used, and the sample size of 14 participants was determined by the saturation level which occurred when responses were continuously repeated. Semistructured interview questions and focus group guides were used to collect data.

RESULTS: It was found that the loss of lives, property, and infrastructure elicited terrible emotions, memories, and resentment among the survivors. Social workers play a critical role in mobilizing resources and making referrals in the best interest of the clients. The study found that participating in cultural aligned festivals allowed community members to appreciate the beauty of life and dispel the experienced traumatic and depressive episodes.

CONCLUSION: The survivors, particularly the vulnerable groups such as the children, the elderly, and the disabled, were left in a state of despair and mentally disoriented. Participating in cultural festivals allowed community members to appreciate the beauty of life and dispel the depressive episodes. Social support and connectedness gave the survivors a sense of safety, belonging optimism, and encouragement. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2026 APA, all rights reserved).

RevDate: 2026-01-23
CmpDate: 2026-01-22

Bonebrake TC (2026)

Extinction threats from anthropogenic climate change and overexploitation interactions.

Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences, 381(1942):.

Over the past century and into the present, rates of overexploitation of species globally have increased significantly (for large species and small) coupled with human-caused global warming. Here, I document the primary mechanisms of extinction caused by combinations of overexploitation and climate change. Species affected in the past by one or the other (e.g. leading to distribution reduction) are often those most vulnerable to one or both (e.g. exploitation of remnant populations). There are also important trait and genetic consequences of both climate change and overexploitation that can render species vulnerable to on-going biodiversity threats. Together, changes in distributions, population sizes and traits caused by both climate change and overexploitation can lead to complex outcomes for species. Particularly in the face of habitat loss, invasive species, pollution and other escalating biodiversity threats in the Anthropocene, the combined effects of overexploitation and climate change are certain to have widespread consequences for ecosystems and the future of biodiversity. Advancement in our understanding of how these threats drive extinction and biodiversity change will provide support for improved management decisions to mitigate these consequences for human health and well-being. This article is part of the theme issue 'The biosphere in the Anthropocene'.

RevDate: 2026-01-22
CmpDate: 2026-01-22

Mao P, Zeng M, Lv J, et al (2026)

Paleodistribution of Cercidiphyllaceae and Future Habitat Prediction for Cercidiphyllum japonicum Under Climate Change.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72940.

The Earth's environment is an important factor driving the evolution and distribution of biodiversity, with particular regard to endangered species, whose special evolutionary history and ecological environment changes profoundly impact their distribution and even survival. This paper conducts a preliminary analysis of the coupling relationship between the geological history distribution pattern of plants in the Cercidiphyllaceae, a unique East Asian group, and paleoclimatic changes, exploring the evolution of Cercidiphyllaceae's geographic distribution pattern. The MaxEnt model was used to construct the potentially suitable habitats for Cercidiphyllum japonicum in different periods, such as the current and future (2050s and 2070s). Research shows that Cercidiphyllaceae once exhibited relatively high diversity, with 21 fossil species assigned to 5 fossil genera. From the Late Cretaceous to the Eocene, when the global paleotemperature was relatively high, they were widely distributed in the mid-high latitude regions of the Northern Hemisphere. Since the Oligocene, with the global temperature decline, the number of species of Cercidiphyllaceae has decreased sharply, and the distribution habitats have also migrated to lower latitudes. Especially after experiencing multiple glacial periods in the Quaternary period, most species became extinct. Currently, only two species of the genus Cercidiphyllum remain, namely, C. japonicum and Cercidiphyllum magnificum, which are only discontinuously distributed in China and Japan. Under the current climatic conditions, the suitable habitat area of C. japonicum in China is 1,316,200 km[2], primarily concentrated in the Hengduan Mountains and Qinling-Daba Mountains. However, as temperatures rise because of global warming, the plant's viable habitat is projected to shrink significantly. In the 2050s and 2070s, the lightest contraction and the largest suitable habitat area are under the RCP6.0 climate scenario; in contrast, the most severe contraction and the smallest suitable habitat area are under the RCP4.5 climate scenario. These findings offer valuable insights for conservation efforts targeting this species, as well as other endangered plant species facing similar threats.

RevDate: 2026-01-22
CmpDate: 2026-01-22

Yang J, Park JS, Oh SO, et al (2026)

Fungal Microbiome Within Lichen as a Potential Bioindicator of Climate Change: Insights from Transplant Field Study.

Mycobiology, 54(1):146-160.

Global warming is a major driver of ecological change, yet its impacts on bioindicators such as lichens remain unclear. Lichens, formed by symbiotic associations between fungi and photosynthetic partners, are widely used to assess environmental conditions. However, studies relying on traditional physiological measures, including chlorophyll content and photosynthetic activity, have reported inconsistent responses to climate change. We hypothesized that short-term exposure of lichens to elevated temperatures would not alter these conventional physiological traits but might instead lead to changes in their associated microbiomes. Using a field transplant experiment, we exposed lichens to higher temperature environments and assessed both physiological and microbiome responses. Chlorophyll content and tissue damage showed no significant differences between control and warmed conditions. In contrast, high-throughput sequencing of 16S and ITS regions revealed pronounced shifts in microbial communities. Fungal assemblages exhibited marked declines in alpha diversity, co-occurrence network complexity, and stability of the core microbiome. By comparison, bacterial communities demonstrated greater resilience. Notably, the black yeast Cutaneotrichosporon debeurmannianum became dominant in high-temperature environments. Our findings show that while traditional physiological traits of lichens remain stable under short-term warming, their fungal microbiomes are highly sensitive to thermal stress. We identify fungal community structure-particularly the presence of C. debeurmannianum-as a promising indicator of climate change. These results highlight the importance of considering microbial symbionts when evaluating the ecological responses of lichens to global warming.

RevDate: 2026-01-22
CmpDate: 2026-01-22

Ly K, Cariddi A, Cote M, et al (2025)

Development, implementation, and evaluation of interprofessional events on climate change in health professions curricula.

Frontiers in medicine, 12:1736224.

The threat of climate change and its negative effects on human and planetary health is at the forefront of health organizations around the world. Advocacy to integrate climate change content into health professions education is supported by evidence found in academic journals and promoted widely by academic health organizations. While some health professions schools have accomplished this, many have yet to integrate climate change into their curricula. In 2024, the University of New England College of Osteopathic Medicine collaborated with the university's Center to Advance Interprofessional Education and Practice and its Planetary Health Council to co-create two interprofessional education events. These events prioritized the introduction of medical and other health professions students to the impacts of the climate crisis on human and environmental health through innovative co-curricular programming that brought together students from multiple disciplines. This descriptive study analyzes post-event surveys and qualitative data to examine event outcomes and recommendations to guide future event planning.

RevDate: 2026-01-22
CmpDate: 2026-01-22

Yilmaz S, Tatliparmak AC, Erbil B, et al (2026)

A holistic approach to climate change in the emergency department: Direct impact of environmental factors on patients.

Turkish journal of emergency medicine, 26(1):1-18.

Climate change is no longer a distant threat but a present and escalating burden on emergency departments (EDs) worldwide. Its direct and indirect effects, ranging from heatstroke and hypothermia to vector-borne disease resurgence and mass casualty incidents, challenge conventional models of emergency preparedness. This narrative review explores the intersection of climate dynamics with ED operational and clinical vulnerabilities. We summarize five core physiological mechanisms by which temperature extremes disrupt homeostasis and review high-risk medication classes that may exacerbate heat-related morbidity. In addition, we examine the World Health Organization's mass casualty triage framework and its relevance in climate-driven disasters such as floods, wildfires, and explosions. Special attention is given to low-resource settings and migration-heavy regions, where infrastructure strain and health inequity amplify the impact. We propose integrative, anticipatory planning models that combine clinical vigilance, environmental monitoring, and dynamic triage protocols. By identifying EDs as both front-line responders and sentinel systems, this study underscores the urgency of embedding climate resilience into emergency care strategies. Our synthesis aims to support clinicians, policymakers, and health systems in adapting emergency services to the realities of a warming world.

RevDate: 2026-01-21

Barbosa Watanabe MD, F Cherubini (2026)

Prospective Characterization Factors for Assessing Climate Change Impacts in Life Cycle Assessments.

Environmental science & technology [Epub ahead of print].

Prospective life cycle assessment (pLCA) is a future-oriented approach that estimates the environmental impacts of products and systems under future technological changes, market dynamics, and policy shifts. However, pLCA lacks consistent prospective characterization factors (pCFs) to assess the climate impacts of future emissions and align the inventory and impact assessment phases. This work produces pCFs by integrating gas-specific climate parameters with future emission scenarios from the Integrated Assessment Models (IAM). Prospective Global Warming Potential (pGWP20, pGWP100) and Global Temperature change Potential (pGTP50, pGTP100) are computed for emission years until 2050. Relative to present-day CFs, methane pGWP100 varies from -8% to +23%, and nitrous oxide varies from -17% to +7%. CH4 pGTP100 shifts from -24% to +22%, while N2O pGTP100 shifts from -27% to +8%. For non-CO2-dominated activities such as rice production, climate impacts increase by 8% in terms of pGWP100. With pGTP100, impacts of ammonium nitrate decrease by 9%. When pCFs are combined with prospective background inventories, impacts are substantially lower in sectors such as steel (-44%), road transport (-58%), and cement (-31%) under pGTP100. Overall, the availability of pCFs for multiple climate metrics and IAM scenarios enables a consistent coupling of impact assessment with future-oriented inventory data, improving the robustness and coherence of pLCA.

RevDate: 2026-01-21

Güney S, Sarıköse S, Sengul T, et al (2026)

Academics' perspectives on climate change in nursing and midwifery education: A mixed-methods study.

Nurse education today, 160:106986 pii:S0260-6917(26)00014-6 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Climate change poses major, escalating health risks and demands curricular responses in nursing and midwifery education. However, academics' awareness, concerns, and approaches to climate change integration into the nursing/midwifery programs remain limited.

AIM: To examine academics' awareness, and levels of concern regarding climate change and explore their perspectives on integrating climate-related content into nursing and midwifery curricula.

DESIGN: Convergent parallel mixed-methods design was used and guided by the Sustainability in Global Nursing Framework.

SETTINGS: Universities with nursing and/or midwifery programs.

PARTICIPANTS: For the quantitative strand, 160 faculty members were recruited through a voluntary online survey shared via university listings and professional/social media channels. For the qualitative strand, purposeful maximum variation sampling was used to select 12 participants representing diverse academic titles, specialties, and years of experience.

METHODS: Quantitative data were collected online using the Climate Change Awareness Scale, Climate Change Worry Scale, self-ratings, and curricular practice items. Analyses included descriptive statistics, group comparisons, and correlations. Qualitative data were thematically analyzed through a framework-informed, inductive-deductive approach with double coding and consensus. Findings were integrated into joint display tables.

RESULTS: Participants reported high self-rated knowledge of climate causes and health effects, and moderately high practice awareness, while climate-related concern was moderate. Three qualitative themes emerged: (1) knowledge and perceived importance, (2) educational integration and partnerships, and (3) anticipated positive, sustained outcomes. Integrated findings indicated higher concern among academics but highlighted fragmented, elective-heavy content and credit constraints, revealing a persistent gap between motivation and institutional capacity.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change content should be integrated into the core of nursing and midwifery education rather than treated as peripheral. Higher concern among faculty in state universities suggests educator motivation surpasses institutional support, highlighting an awareness-implementation gap. Strengthening credit allocation, accreditation expectations, and targeted resources is essential for consistent and sustainable integration.

RevDate: 2026-01-23
CmpDate: 2026-01-21

Weissbrodt R, Roos P, Krsmanovic B, et al (2026)

Adapting and mitigating: an exploratory Delphi approach to climate change impacts on healthcare institutions in Switzerland.

Dialogues in health, 8:100275.

Climate change is increasing morbidity and mortality, exacerbating the imbalance between care needs and available resources. Peer-reviewed literature and international frameworks have emphasized the importance of health system resilience in the face of this growing stressor. Because effective action plans must be tailored to specific national, regional, or local contexts, this study focuses on Switzerland-a Central European country with a high-performing acute care system that is notably energy-intensive and heavily reliant on fossil fuels and imported supplies. Given that temperatures in Switzerland are rising faster than the Northern Hemisphere average, adapting the healthcare system and reducing its energy consumption are critical challenges. The study provides a systematic overview of the anticipated impacts of climate change on the Swiss healthcare institutions and explores their adaptation and mitigation needs. Employing a Delphi approach with ten international climate experts across three phases-semi-structured interviews with thematic analysis, prioritization, and final consensus-we developed a concise conceptual model comprising seven dimensions: (1) Health problems related to climate change, (2) Changing care needs and expectations, (3) Impacts on the functioning of healthcare institutions, (4) Vulnerability of healthcare institutions to the physical impacts of climate change, (5) Contextual factors, (6) Adaptation measures, and (7) Mitigation measures. A typology of items was created for each dimension. Of the 114 final items, 102 were deemed important with strong consensus. The findings complement existing evidence and aim to support healthcare institutions in assessing their external and internal environments to enhance resilience.

RevDate: 2026-01-21
CmpDate: 2026-01-21

Mattson G, Coates S, AR Twigg (2026)

Patient Perceptions of Climate Change Impacts on Atopic Dermatitis: Cross-Sectional Survey Study.

JMIR dermatology, 9:e80679.

This cross-sectional survey study (63.5% response rate) characterized how patients with atopic dermatitis (AD) perceive and experience the effects of climate change on their AD. Most participants reported that environmental factors such as heat and air pollution worsened their AD and expressed a desire for climate-health education, yet few had discussed these concerns with their dermatologist. These findings reveal a gap in patient-centered dermatologic care and support the development of tools to integrate environmental health into atopic dermatitis management.

RevDate: 2026-01-21

Yang F, Zhu L, Cao J, et al (2026)

Tree growth response and adaptation to climate change and climate extremes: From canopy to stem.

Journal of integrative plant biology [Epub ahead of print].

Ongoing climate warming has altered precipitation patterns and increased the frequency and intensity of climate extremes such as droughts, heatwaves, floods, and frosts. These changes have significantly influenced tree growth and development processes, including canopy phenology, intra-annual wood formation dynamics, and annual stem growth. However, these processes are affected by various climatic factors, and their responses are highly species-specific and vary across temporal and spatial scales. Beyond these rapid growth responses, trees may also undergo long-term genetic adaptation to climate change. This review synthesizes how canopy phenology, intra-annual wood formation dynamics, and annual stem growth respond to climate change and climate extremes. We summarize the response and adaptation of these growth processes to various climatic drivers and highlight the interactions among them in determining tree growth. Concepts and mechanisms of rapid response and heritable genetic adaptation in trees under climate change are also reviewed. We identify the key knowledge gaps in tree growth response and adaptation, such as integrative multiple organ and growth process monitoring and genetic-level studies, which are critical to further improve our understanding of tree growth to support sustainable forest management and enhance forest carbon storage under ongoing climate warming.

RevDate: 2026-01-21

Alster CJ, Arcus VL, LA Schipper (2026)

Arrhenius Activation Energy Is Not a Useful Predictor of Soil Organic Matter Transformation and Its Consequences for Global Warming.

Global change biology, 32(1):e70713.

RevDate: 2026-01-20

Guo C, Zhao Y, Liu A, et al (2026)

Dynamic changes and early warning of peanuts aflatoxin B1 contamination in China in the context of climate change.

NPJ science of food pii:10.1038/s41538-025-00696-1 [Epub ahead of print].

Aflatoxin contamination is a major food safety concern and has a particularly negative impact on peanuts. Climate conditions are known to influence the natural occurrence of mycotoxins; however, the specific impacts of climate change on the prevalence of aflatoxin remain poorly understood. In this study, we analysed a national-scale dataset comprising 17263 records of peanut aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) contamination in China from 2009 to 2022. Our results revealed that the occurrence of AFB1 contamination in 2017 and 2021 significantly increased compared with that in 2009. The key climatic drivers included nighttime temperature, wind speed, and precipitation. Notably, temperature variations explain 49.46% of the observed increase. In a high-emissions scenario, future projections estimated that AFB1 contamination would reach 15.06 μg·kg[-1] by the end of the century, representing a 8.50% increase relative to the current level. In 2022, the AFB1 level in approximately 478,400 metric tons of peanuts exceeded the regulatory limit, and the amount was projected to rise to 1.16 million metric tons by 2100. These results underscore the urgent need to enhance aflatoxin surveillance and develop proactive strategies to mitigate aflatoxin contamination under accelerating climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-20

Canvin MC, King NG, Moore PJ, et al (2026)

Determining the contribution of temperate seaweed farming to local sedimentary carbon stocks and climate change mitigation.

Marine pollution bulletin, 225:119283 pii:S0025-326X(26)00070-6 [Epub ahead of print].

Seaweed farming, often regarded as a low-impact aquaculture practice, may deliver ecosystem services like carbon sequestration. Yet, empirical evidence for its climate change mitigation potential is limited. Sediment cores were collected at increasing distances from a seaweed farm in southwest UK and analysed for carbon stocks, carbon sedimentation rates, potential carbon sources, and sediment characteristics. The upper 3 cm of sediment, linked to farming activity, held ~2 t Corg ha[-1] with sedimentation rates of 0.23 t Corg ha[-1] yr[-1]. eDNA revealed low, inconsistent contributions of kelp and mussels, while seagrass, red algae, and likely phytoplankton, dominated. The sedimentary environment remained largely unchanged pre- and post-farm establishment or with increasing distance from the farm, highlighting the limited carbon sequestration potential at this scale. Future research should focus on identifying potential carbon sinks through hydrodynamic modelling and sediment analysis to inform the climate-conscious, sustainable industry expansion.

RevDate: 2026-01-20

Brown EA (2026)

Dirty Little Secrets: Extremophile molds are invading art museums and devouring their collections. Stigma and climate change have fueled their spread.

Scientific American, 334(2):52.

RevDate: 2026-01-20

Juarez Martinez I, Kacelnik A, Jones FM, et al (2026)

Record phenological responses to climate change in three sympatric penguin species.

The Journal of animal ecology [Epub ahead of print].

The timing of breeding is an important aspect of any species' realised niche, reflecting adaptations to synchronise with food supplies, dilute predation, avoid competition and exploit seasonal fluctuations in resources. Breeding phenology is typically studied either through long-term monitoring of focal populations (limiting the strength of inferences about species-wide traits and trends) or, when conducted at a landscape level, using remotely visible traits (restricting most studies to plants). For the first time, this study demonstrates landscape-scale measurement of vertebrate breeding phenology using a network of 77 time-lapse cameras to monitor three sympatric penguin species across 37 colonies in the Antarctic Peninsula and Sub-Antarctic islands. Camera temperature loggers showed penguin colony locations are warming up four times faster (0.3°C/year) than the continental average (0.07°C/year), already the second fastest-warming area in the world. We analysed the start of the breeding season of Adélie, Chinstrap and Gentoo penguins at a sub-continental scale between 2012 and 2022. The phenology of all three species advanced at record rates (10.2 ± 2, 10.4 ± 1.5 and 13 ± 4 days/decade, respectively). Different demographic trends as well as intra- and inter-species differences in response to environmental change suggest niche-based response differences between species. Phenological advances are causing niche separation to reduce. In this context, the Gentoo penguins' generalist and resident nature seems better suited to compete for space and resources than krill-specialist Chinstraps and ice-specialist Adélies. Synthesis: A decade of observation of the three pygoscelid penguins shows they are advancing their settlement phenology at record speeds in relation to climate change across the Antarctic Peninsula. These changes are species-dependent, reflecting different vulnerabilities and opportunities depending on their niche and life-history traits. In the long term, the trend towards earlier settlement risks increasing inter-species competition, causing trophic and temporal mismatch, and reshaping community assemblages.

RevDate: 2026-01-21
CmpDate: 2026-01-19

Banousse G (2026)

Shrinking ice, shrinking motherhood: how climate change limits polar bear reproduction.

Conservation physiology, 14(1):coaf090.

RevDate: 2026-01-19
CmpDate: 2026-01-19

de Azevedo ML, Amaro G, Gorgens EB, et al (2026)

Modeling Climate Change Impacts on a Socioeconomically Vital Plant: The Case of Comanthera elegans (Goldenfoot Flower).

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72031.

Comanthera elegans is a threatened, endemic species of the campos rupestres of the Espinhaço Mountain Range-a region recognized as a biodiversity hotspot-and has great ecological and societal relevance to local traditional communities. Despite the importance of this species in these systems, the effects of climate change on its distribution remain relatively unknown. We employed the MaxEnt algorithm to model the current potential geographic distribution and the habitat suitability of this species under future climate scenarios to address this knowledge gap. We considered the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, based on four global climate models (MRI-ESM2-0, MIROC6, EC-Earth3-Veg, and CMCC-ESM2). The model exhibited high performance, indicating a strong affinity of the species for environments with high rainfall seasonality and mild temperatures. Our models predict a substantial loss of suitable habitat for C. elegans under scenarios of future climate change, particularly under high greenhouse gas emission scenarios, where high-suitability areas could be reduced by as much as 95% by 2060. Our results highlight the need for the implementation of conservation actions, including the expansion or creation of protected areas in climate refugia, alongside efforts to promote the development of cultivation techniques and regulations on harvesting practices, in order to mitigate the species' vulnerability to climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-19

Bolot M, Roca R, Fiolleau T, et al (2026)

No decrease of tropical convection in individual deep convective systems with global warming.

NPJ climate and atmospheric science, 9(1):14.

According to the scientific consensus, tropical convection must decrease with global warming. This decrease is manifested by a decrease of the mass transported in the upward branch of the atmospheric overturning circulation - the convective mass flux - and a connected decrease of high clouds in the tropics, with implications for climate sensitivity. By using kilometer-scale simulations in radiative-convective equilibrium and a convective tracking algorithm, we show that no such decrease occurs in storms when taken individually and that the mass transport per storm increases instead. Storms can achieve this result by aggregating more surface of the convective cores - the inner part of the storm doing the vertical transport - so that the decrease of tropical convection is actually explained by a decrease in the total number of storms. There is little variation of the mean pressure velocity in the cores of the storms, a robust finding of this study. This remarkable invariance of the mean pressure velocity points to an emerging property of convection that should receive more attention in future studies.

RevDate: 2026-01-19
CmpDate: 2026-01-19

Wilson SW, Renne RR, Burke IC, et al (2026)

Hidden Vulnerability: Extreme Drought Threatens Dryland Plant Communities Under Climate Change.

Global change biology, 32(1):e70703.

Extreme heat and drought are becoming more frequent, altering the distribution and disturbance cycles of plant communities. These weather events have caused widespread mortality of woody plant species globally. We investigated the environmental conditions preceding multiple shrub mortality events in a widespread North American dryland (big sagebrush ecosystems) using field and remote sensing data, a process-based ecosystem water balance model, and historic weather data. We identified temperature and soil water conditions that were similar across sites preceding a mortality event. We used historic and future climate data with an ecosystem water balance model to investigate how the probabilities of these events have and will change relative to historic (1915-1980) frequencies under current conditions and future emissions scenarios. Our analysis showed that the frequency of these events is likely to increase and, in many areas, has already surpassed historical conditions. Last, we used 898 sites spread across big sagebrush ecosystems to understand the spatial variability of this increase in frequency of mortality-related conditions. While the frequency of extreme hot and dry conditions is projected to increase, there is substantial variability across the region. Our findings highlight substantial risks of weather-related mortality in regions previously projected to be relatively stable under climate change, suggesting that extreme events may represent an underappreciated dimension in modeling efforts.

RevDate: 2026-01-19
CmpDate: 2026-01-19

Nattermann M, Zwahlen SM, Danquah EY, et al (2026)

Climate change and cell biology - five ways cells can help us solve planetary problems.

Journal of cell science, 139(1):.

Our changing climate poses increasingly severe threats to human and environmental health. Scientific research is essential for understanding and mitigating these effects, but how can cell biologists support this goal? In this Essay, Journal of Cell Science has invited cell biologists from across disciplines and career stages to share their perspectives on how cell biology can address climate-related questions. Their research ranges from practical innovations to fundamental functional studies. How can we re-route metabolic pathways to reduce industrial emissions? What can plankton-microbe interactions tell us about the impact of marine pollution? How can an in-depth understanding of cellular processes help us design more resilient crops to address specific challenges faced in West African countries? Could developments in stem cell biology help safeguard biodiversity? What can we learn from the way deep-sea squid adapt to changing environments on the cellular level? These examples illustrate an increasing drive to apply broad insights and techniques from the world of cell biology to this urgent, global challenge.

RevDate: 2026-01-18

van der Grient JMA, Stander B, Brickle P, et al (2026)

Thermal responses and climate change implications of spring and autumn spawning Patagonian squid (Doryteuthis gahi) embryos.

Marine environmental research, 215:107856 pii:S0141-1136(26)00025-5 [Epub ahead of print].

Ocean warming affects ectotherm physiological and phenological processes, potentially creating mismatches between early life stages and their prey. Seasonal spawning cohorts are thought to provide flexibility in responding to environmental variability, but if there is seasonal adaptation between these cohorts, then they may respond to ocean warming differently, affecting species resilience and potentially impacting the wider food web. We tested the response to warming of egg masses and paralarvae from two spawning cohorts (autumn and spring) of the Patagonian squid (Doryteuthis gahi). Treated egg masses were exposed to a strict warming regime while control eggs were exposed to air temperature-driven temperature changes. Egg mass respiration estimates demonstrated that higher temperatures resulted in higher respiration rates (metabolic processes), although no additional influence of the rate and magnitude of warming was detected. There were differences in paralarvae size and weight, with the treated autumn cohort containing smaller and lighter paralarvae, which could affect larval duration, especially if early hatching times and smaller hatchlings cause mismatches with their prey or increased predation. This suggests that temperature could influence survival and recruitment success. Greater understanding is required of how temperature changes influence squid phenology (e.g., from timing of egg laying to paralarvae growth and survival) and its likely influence on biomass at adult feeding grounds, which are also important fishing grounds. Further targeted studies could improve the prediction of future impacts on marine food webs, indicating if, for example, changing the timing of fishing seasons, in response to environmental cues would be a useful climate adaptation strategy for the Falkland Islands.

RevDate: 2026-01-17

Verduzco Garibay M, Hernández-Guardado I, Yebra-Montes C, et al (2026)

Exploring the resilience of playa lake ecosystems to climate change: A microbial perspective.

Journal of environmental management, 399:128474 pii:S0301-4797(25)04450-0 [Epub ahead of print].

Playa lakes, ephemeral water bodies found in arid and semi-arid regions, are increasingly impacted by climate change. The Mexican playa Lake Atotonilco has experienced a significant decline in water volume, leading to increased salinity and making it a valuable model for assessing climate impacts. Using 16S rRNA sequencing, this study investigated the responses of microbial communities and their contributions to key biogeochemical cycles, including those related to greenhouse gas dynamics. Spatial differences in physicochemical parameters were observed: channels and wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) effluent showed elevated BOD5, COD, coliforms, and pH above regulatory limits, whereas the lake displayed higher DO but increased TP and TKN. Bacterial communities exhibited marked seasonal and depth-related shifts, reflecting strategies that support ecosystem resilience. To robustly identify differentially abundant taxa, two methods (ANCOM-BC2 and DESeq2) were implemented, which consistently detected significant differences across seasons. Despite strong environmental fluctuations, a core microbial community persisted, suggesting functional continuity in biogeochemical cycling. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of microbial dynamics in a playa lake, integrating community structure with physicochemical variability to reveal bacterial responses to climate-driven environmental change. Because playa and other shallow lakes worldwide are experiencing increasing desiccation, salinization, and nutrient imbalances, defining these microbial processes is essential for anticipating ecological change. This study provides a needed baseline for future research and offers key insights for managing climate-vulnerable aquatic ecosystems in arid regions.

RevDate: 2026-01-16

Cimenti A, Cresi L, Isaia M, et al (2026)

Ensuring reliable cave temperature data for climate change research.

Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-025-34366-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Caves are unique natural laboratories for studying climate change and its ecological impacts. However, analyzing air temperature in these environments is challenging due to stable microclimatic conditions and high humidity. Collecting reliable data requires dedicated devices and protocols. We developed a standardized quality control procedure-Cave Air Temperature Quality Control (CAT-QC)-to assess the reliability of temperature data collected inside caves. The protocol consists of four main steps: (i) assessing data completeness; (ii) identifying physically implausible values; (iii) detecting statistical outliers using three progressively sensitive methods; and (iv) conducting a final manual check. We tested CAT-QC on a dataset from 19 caves in the Piedmont region (Northwest Italy), recorded with iButton devices. The protocol effectively identified gaps, absurd values, and abrupt temperature changes, many of which were due to human interference or sensor issues. Data flagged through CAT-QC can be further reviewed to address biases and rerun through the process if needed. Designed for broad applicability, CAT-QC is dynamic and can be tailored to local series characteristics, making it suitable for diverse subterranean environments. This tool provides a robust framework for ensuring data quality and comparability in cave climate studies, supporting research and conservation efforts in the context of climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-19

Ismail EM, Aly AM, Farag HS, et al (2026)

Heat stress in dairy buffalo: biometeorological, molecular, and adaptive strategies for climate change resilience in subtropical regions.

Veterinary research communications, 50(2):107.

UNLABELLED: Buffalo milk production in Egypt has steadily declined since 2014, mainly due to climate-driven heat stress (HS) and rising temperature–humidity index (THI). This quasi-field study randomly evaluated twelve lactating buffalo during peak summer, introducing a biometeorological approach to define and predict HS impacts precisely. Heat stress in buffalo was classified according to THI ranges as follows: non-HS zone (NHSZ, 56.7–73.2), moderate HS zone (MHSZ, 73.2–75.4), severe HS zone (SHSZ, 75.4–80.3), and critical HS zone (CHSZ, ≥ 80.3). Two models were compared: Model I (natural, group A) and Model II (adaptive, group B), which received targeted environmental and management interventions. Continuous monitoring of THI alongside daily milk yield (DMY), physiological responses, oxidative stress biomarkers, and the expression of key energy homeostasis genes was assessed in both groups. Adaptive interventions effectively reduced THI exposure, shifted animals from critical HS to non-HS zones, improved physiological parameters, increased milk yield by 53%, lowered oxidative stress, and enhanced milk quality (p < 0.05). The study presents the first transcriptional analysis of stress-responsive energy-regulating genes in buffalo, revealing higher AMPK, HRH1, and mTOR expression in HS-Model I buffalo, which reflects the metabolic strain associated with unmanaged thermal stress. Regression analysis showed that for every one-unit increase in THI above 69, milk yield decreased by 0.17–0.23 kg/day. These findings underscore the value of integrated biostatistical modeling and targeted adaptation strategies for sustaining buffalo productivity under the pressures of subtropical climates. Adaptive housing, nutritional support, and management interventions effectively mitigate the impacts of HS. At the molecular level, evidence of oxidative stress and altered energy regulation highlights the physiological toll of thermal load, emphasizing the need for holistic approaches to protect productivity and herd resilience in heat-stressed regions.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11259-025-11009-y.

RevDate: 2026-01-18
CmpDate: 2026-01-16

Yang Y, Chen J, Song B, et al (2025)

The Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: Climate change, human activity, and plant diversity.

Plant diversity, 47(6):852-865.

As the highest and largest plateau in the world, the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) covers wide geological, topographical and climatic gradients and thus acts as a major center for biodiversity and houses a diverse array of high elevation ecosystems. Together these factors make the QTP a critical ecological shield for Asia. However, the composition, structure and function of plant diversity in QTP has experienced profound changes in recent decades. Long-term on-site monitoring, field experiments, remote sensing, and simulations have led to significant advances in our understanding of how plant diversity on the QTP has responded to climate change and human activity. This review synthesizes findings from previous researches on how climate change and human activity have impacted plant diversity on the QTP. We identify gaps in our knowledge and highlight the need for interdisciplinary studies, long-term monitoring networks, and adaptive management strategies to enhance our knowledge and safeguard the QTP's biodiversity amid accelerating global climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-18
CmpDate: 2026-01-16

Zhu MS, Mo ZQ, Möller M, et al (2025)

Climate change impacts on Rhododendron diversity: Regional responses and conservation strategies in China.

Plant diversity, 47(6):956-968.

Over the past century, anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions have continuously increased global temperature and triggered climate change, significantly impacting species distributions and biodiversity patterns. Understanding how climate-driven shifts in species distributions reshape diversity patterns is crucial for formulating effective future conservation strategies. Based on the distribution data of 314 Rhododendron species in China, along with 16 environmental variables, we examined spatial diversity patterns and assessed regional and biome differences in species responses using ensembled species distribution models. Our results indicated that climatic variables significantly influenced species distributions, with ongoing climate change expected to concentrate Rhododendron distribution patterns and alter species composition. Regional topography played a critical role in shaping species responses to global warming. In the mountainous areas of southwestern China, species exhibited heightened sensitivity to temperature fluctuations, shifting upward as temperature increased. This region also had a higher proportion of threatened species and showed an overall contraction in primary distribution range. Conversely, in southern China, species were more influenced by precipitation, exhibiting a notable northward shift and expansion in primary distribution areas. Notably, alpine species, occurring in habitats above the treeline, may face severe survival risks due to the high degree of habitat loss and fragmentation. We identified seven priority conservation areas, predominantly situated in highly fragmented mountainous regions that were inadequately protected by existing nature reserves. Our findings contribute to a better understanding of changes in Rhododendron diversity patterns under climate change, providing valuable insights for developing comprehensive, flora-wide conservation plans in China.

RevDate: 2026-01-16
CmpDate: 2026-01-16

Ndifoin BN, Kanmounye US, Kukuia KKE, et al (2026)

Climate Change and Mental Health in Africa: A Scoping Review.

Annals of global health, 92(1):5.

Background: Climate change-related events such as floods, droughts, and wildfires have been shown to affect global mental health. As climate change worsens, extreme weather events increase, leading to more climate-related mental health disorders globally. Objective: This review article assesses the impact of mental health and climate change in Africa to identify trends, research gaps, and potential interventions. Methods: A scoping review methodology, in accordance with the PRISMA-ScR guidelines, was employed. A search strategy was developed using MeSH and synonym terms to search PubMed, Web of Science, and African Journal Online databases from January 2000 to April 2025. A total of 2332 titles and abstracts were screened. Results: Sixteen articles were included in our final analysis. The studies included were conducted in three East African countries, three North African countries, two West African countries, two Central African countries, and one Southern African country. They were published between 2015 and 2024. Most (56%; n = 9) of the studies were cross-sectional studies. Climate change-related events, such as flooding, drought, and sea-level rise, have been found to affect mental health outcomes in countries like Ghana, Namibia, Nigeria, and Kenya. Commonly cited mental health outcomes included higher anxiety levels and lower well-being among relocated individuals, persistent stress and anxiety due to flooding in Ghana, and significant post-traumatic stress disorder symptoms among schoolchildren in Namibia. Vulnerable populations like children, adolescents, women, climate migrants, people living with HIV, and rural populations were found to be most impacted by climate change-related events. Conclusion: While this review highlights an increasing trend in the impact of climate change on the mental health of individuals in Africa, more studies are necessary to establish the relationship between mental health and climate change, and to develop interventions and policies that address the growing mental health burden resulting from climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-15

Bajwa FN, Cunha M, Vilke JM, et al (2026)

Dominant effects of the antiepileptic drug carbamazepine over climate change stressors on Mytilus galloprovincialis toxicity.

Marine pollution bulletin, 225:119205 pii:S0025-326X(25)01681-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Pharmaceuticals have become ubiquitous in marine realms, raising concerns about their ecological effects. This study investigates the ecotoxicological impact of the antiepileptic drug carbamazepine on marine mussels (Mytilus galloprovincialis) under increased seawater temperature and salinity, reflecting projected climate change scenarios. Mussels were exposed to carbamazepine (CBZ, 5 μg L[-1]) for 28 days in both current (17 °C and salinity 35) and predicted (23 °C and salinity 40) conditions. A multiple-biomarker approach was employed to assess alterations in energy balance, antioxidant and biotransformation systems, membrane damage, neurotoxicity, and genotoxicity in gills and digestive glands. The results indicated that CBZ caused significant oxidative stress, disruption in energy metabolism, and neurotoxic and genotoxic effects, regardless of the combination of stressors. Moreover, biomarkers were modulated by the time of exposure, suggesting a time-specific response in mussels exposed to either a single or multiple stressors. The findings underscore the complex interplay between pharmaceutical pollution and climate change stressors. This study provides crucial insights into the toxicity of pharmaceuticals in marine environments under future climate change scenarios. To our knowledge, this is the first study to investigate the effects of CBZ on marine mussels in conjunction with the simultaneous rise in seawater temperature and salinity.

RevDate: 2026-01-15

Somfalvi-Tóth K, T Sipos (2026)

Agrometeorological risk of Epitrix papa in Europe under climate change using ERA5-land and EURO-CORDEX projections.

The Science of the total environment, 1014:181366 pii:S0048-9697(26)00023-9 [Epub ahead of print].

The European distribution range of the recently described potentially threatening potato flea beetle Epitrix papa remain unknown. Understanding its potential range and future spread dynamics requires a host-specific thermal niche assessment. We developed an Epitrix Suitability Index (ESI) by combining a potato Host Suitability Index (HSI), proxied by July mean air temperature with, a Climate Suitability Index (CSI),derived from degree-day accumulation between 1 March and30 September (base 8.1 °C, 625 °Cday per generation). Past conditions were reconstructed from ERA5-Land for 1990-2024; whilefuture projections based on CORDEX-CORE (EUR-22) RegCM4 downscaling of three GCMs under RCP2.6 / SSP1-2.6-TYPE LOW FORCING and RCP8.5 / SSP5-8.5-TYPE HIGH FORCING for 2041-2070 and 2071-2099. Present-day patterns reproduce known potato belts and show high model-agreement across Western and Central Europe, with greater spread across complex terrains such as Alps, the Carpathians, and Fennoscandia, as well as at transition zones. Projections indicate a possible northward shift of suitability of the host and pest, with the strongest shift under RCP8.5 / SSP5-8.5-TYPE HIGH FORCING during 2071-2099. This shift is accompanied by an increasing ESI across the British Isles, southern Scandinavia and the Baltic region, while parts of the Mediterranean may become less suitableas a result of heat stress affecting the host plant. The poleward displacement of the "optimal" belt is robust across members, although the magnitude of the change varies substantially, withuncertainty concentrated along mountainous areas. These results identify regions where adaptationefforts are most needed in terms of surveillance and integrated pest management, and provide a transparent, farm-aware framework for mapping emerging pest risks under climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-15

Kellner AWA (2026)

Discussions about climate change.

Anais da Academia Brasileira de Ciencias, 97(suppl 4):e202597s4 pii:S0001-37652025001300101.

RevDate: 2026-01-15

Hashim BM, ZM Yaseen (2026)

Climate-change extremes threaten Iraq.

Science (New York, N.Y.), 391(6782):248.

RevDate: 2026-01-15
CmpDate: 2026-01-15

Rao S, Qi W, Cao H, et al (2026)

Faster Weight Growth in Invasive Mosquitofish Gambusia holbrooki and Gambusia affinis (Poeciliidae) Under Climate Change.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72943.

Mosquitofish Gambusia holbrooki and Gambusia affinis (Poeciliidae) threaten native aquatic diversity globally. Climate change likely increases the body weight and alters the body condition of mosquitofish, resulting in higher invasive ability. The growth of mosquitofish follows the allometric relationship between length (L) and weight (W), which can be estimated as W = aL [b] . The values of the scaling exponent b among global mosquitofish populations range from 2.68 to 3.76, where b > 3 indicates faster growth in weight than in length. The populations with higher values of the scaling exponent b demonstrate stronger body conditions, reproductive ability, and invasiveness. Currently, there is little understanding of how the length-weight allometries of global mosquitofish populations vary by climate conditions. In this study, we compiled the values of the scaling exponent b of 79 mosquitofish populations from six continents and built generalized least squares and random forest regression models on the scaling exponent b with year of sample, elevation, and 11 bioclimatic variables. We find that the populations of G. affinis are more sensitive to climatic variation than G. holbrooki in terms of length-weight allometries. Under climate change, the populations of G. affinis, especially those in East Asia and Eastern Europe, are expected to grow faster in weight than in length, posing greater threats to native aquatic diversity. This finding informs the need for early identification and eradication of mosquitofish in newly invaded aquatic ecosystems under climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-14

Claure-Del Granado R, N Lumlertgul (2026)

Climate change and AKI: heat, hazards and health-system readiness.

Nature reviews. Nephrology [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2026-01-14

Han P, KL Shen (2026)

Climate change and thunderstorm asthma in children: challenges and responses.

RevDate: 2026-01-14

Mouguiama-Daouda C, McNally RJ, A Heeren (2026)

Intolerance of uncertainty and climate change experience as driving forces of climate anxiety: Insights from a network perspective.

Journal of anxiety disorders, 118:103114 pii:S0887-6185(26)00006-X [Epub ahead of print].

Recent evidence indicates that sizeable segments of the global population experience marked anxiety about climate change. Yet important questions remain about the psychological processes that sustain climate anxiety and about how this anxiety can translate into adaptive responses (i.e., pro-environmental behaviors) versus maladaptive outcomes (i.e., impairments in daily functioning). In the present study, we explicitly build on decades of basic research identifying intolerance of uncertainty-a dispositional difficulty in tolerating the unknown-as a decisive mechanism in the emergence and maintenance of anxiety-related dysfunction. Accordingly, we investigated how intolerance of uncertainty, the experience of climate change, and climate anxiety are interconnected, along with climate anxiety's (mal)adaptive outcomes. We analyzed data from an international unselected sample (n = 728) using computational tools from the network analytical framework. Specifically, we estimated a Gaussian Graphical Model (GGM) to characterize the network's structure, identify potential clusters of variables, and detect influential nodes, and we estimated a directed acyclic graph (DAG) to examine the probabilistic dependencies among variables. Our results indicate that both intolerance of uncertainty and the experience of climate change function as driving forces within the overall network structure.

RevDate: 2026-01-14

Li H, Zhang G, Tian J, et al (2026)

Cutoff scores and core items of the climate change anxiety scale in young adult Chinese participants: evidence from an online survey.

Psychology, health & medicine [Epub ahead of print].

The Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS) is an emerging psychometric instrument designed to assess climate change anxiety (CCA). This study aimed to preliminarily identify reference cutoff scores and core items of the CCAS in a Chinese adult population. We conducted an online cross-sectional survey in China between May and June 2024, recruiting 653 Chinese adults (mean age = 32.62 ± 7.40 years; 53.8% female) via Wenjuanxing. CCA was assessed using the CCAS. External variables included generalized anxiety (Chinese GAD-7), self-rated sleep quality (single-item, past week), and self-reported experience of meteorological disasters (yes/no). Latent profile analysis (LPA) and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses were used to derive reference cutoff scores, and network analysis was applied to identify core items. LPA supported a two-profile solution and yielded an overall reference cutoff score of 27.5, above which participants were categorized as having elevated CCA risk. Participants classified as high risk reported higher generalized anxiety, poorer sleep quality, and a higher likelihood of meteorological disaster experience. Sex-stratified analyses indicated different optimal cutoffs: 28.5 for males (sensitivity = 1.000; specificity = 0.982) and 26.5 for females (sensitivity = 0.986; specificity = 0.986). Network analysis further suggested that the item 'My concerns about climate change undermine my ability to work to my potential' exhibited the highest centrality, with statistical significance observed only among females. Overall, these findings provide practical, research-oriented evidence for using CCAS-based stratification in Chinese adults and offer preliminary guidance for future subgrouping and sensitivity analyses, while underscoring the need for further validation in broader and more representative samples.

RevDate: 2026-01-15
CmpDate: 2026-01-14

Tong T, Lenda M, Roll U, et al (2026)

Public interest in biodiversity and climate change: A comparative culturomics study of China and the UK.

PloS one, 21(1):e0338006 pii:PONE-D-25-31967.

Understanding how the public engages with biodiversity loss and climate change is critical for designing effective environmental policies and conservation strategies. Here we applied a conservation culturomics approach to compare public interest in biodiversity and climate change across China and the United Kingdom, two major environmental actors with distinct governance models and cultural contexts. Using search volume data from the Baidu Index and Google Trends between 2011 and 2022, we identified peak periods of search interest in both countries. We then analysed associated news content during peak and non-peak periods using grounded theory and thematic coding to uncover the dominant drivers of public attention. Our findings reveal a stark contrast between sources of public engagement. In China, the public interest is predominantly state-driven, with peaks aligned with government-led campaigns and international events. Themes, such as domestic governance and ecological civilisation, were the most significant. In the UK, civil society, scientific discourse, and environmental activism act as the key catalysts in shaping public engagement. These differences reflect greater variations in political structures, media ecosystems, and cultural values. Our results highlight the need for context-sensitive communication strategies. By linking digital behaviour with media discourse we offer new insights into public environmental engagement. Our findings further suggest that enhancing bottom-up participation and diversifying environmental narratives in China could foster greater public ownership of conservation efforts, whereas in the UK maintaining inclusive and coherent narratives is essential. However, limitations such as platform algorithms should be considered when interpreting these cross-country comparisons, as they may affect the comparability of search data between Baidu Index and Google Trends.

RevDate: 2026-01-14
CmpDate: 2026-01-14

Viladrich N, Gori A, Capdevila P, et al (2026)

Global Warming Drives Phenological Shifts and Hinders Reproductive Success in a Temperate Octocoral.

Global change biology, 32(1):e70660.

Global warming is profoundly reshaping biodiversity. Until now, most research has focused on the impacts of extreme temperature events. However, in many ecosystems, it is becoming increasingly apparent that climate change is accelerating the onset of spring warming conditions. These advanced warming conditions can significantly disrupt critical biological processes such as reproduction, which is key for population persistence. While interest in phenological shifts has increased in recent years, their effects on marine foundation species, such as corals, remain poorly understood. Here, we combined observational and experimental approaches to assess the effects of advanced spring warming conditions driven by climate change on the reproduction of the Mediterranean octocoral Paramuricea clavata, a foundation species. Our findings reveal that a 2°C warming leads to a 2-week advancement in P. clavata spawning, as evidenced by both field observations, and ex-situ experiments. These results underscore the role of advanced spring warming as a significant driver of phenological shifts in coastal marine ecosystems. Furthermore, we show that this phenological shift lead to a reduction in the number of spawning events, as well as decreases in larval biomass, survival rates, and settlement success. These findings highlight the urgent necessity to monitor phenological changes in foundational marine species, as such shifts can undermine the long-term viability of coral populations and contribute to substantial decline in associated biodiversity. Consequently, the increased vulnerability of species caused by phenological responses driven by seasonal changes may lead to more dramatic consequences of ocean warming than previously anticipated.

RevDate: 2026-01-14
CmpDate: 2026-01-14

Sun Q, Wanghe K, Y Dai (2026)

Identifying Conservation and Conflict Zones for Tibetan Brown Bears Under Climate Change Through Integrated Habitat and Prey Modeling on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72941 pii:ECE372941.

As climate change accelerates ecosystem transformation across high-altitude landscapes, understanding the shifting dynamics of predator-prey interactions becomes increasingly critical for conserving apex carnivores. To evaluate the spatiotemporal dynamics of potential habitats for the Tibetan brown bear (Ursus arctos pruinosus) under future climate change scenarios, our study integrates the distribution patterns of its primary natural prey across the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. We aim to identify suitable habitats and potential human-bear conflict hotspots by coupling predator-prey ecological relationships with environmental drivers, thereby providing a refined understanding of habitat suitability and conservation risk under climate-induced landscape change. We employed the MaxEnt model combined with multi-source environmental variables to predict the potential habitats of the brown bear under different climate scenarios. To capture the influence of prey distribution and habitat overlap, three ecological relationship scenarios were designed: (S1) ideal distribution range; (S2) stepping stone; and (S3) potential human-bear conflict area. These scenarios were simulated and compared to examine the influence of prey availability and habitat configuration on brown bear habitat dynamics and conflict vulnerability under climate change. We found that, according to model projections under the RCP4.5 scenario, suitable habitat for the Tibetan brown bear is expected to decline by 16.78%, with core habitats contracting and shifting toward central and western Xizang and southern Qinghai. Marmots showed stable distributions with centroid shifts, maintaining Qinghai as the core area. In contrast, pikas were highly sensitive to land-use changes, with potential habitat losses of 44.47% and 89.39% in the plateau margins of Sichuan and Yunnan provinces under the RCP8.5 scenario. S3 is projected to expand by 17.03% under RCP4.5, posing additional conservation challenges. The results highlight growing risks of habitat fragmentation and increased human-wildlife conflicts. We proposed a regionally coordinated conservation framework centered on "core habitat protection-connectivity enhancement-conflict mitigation" to address these emerging threats under climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-13

Rashad E, Liu Y, Shi Z, et al (2026)

Impacts of climate change and land use dynamics on soil erosion in the Qinghai-Tibet plateau.

Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-025-34550-x [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2026-01-13

Abugnaba-Abanga R, Adzo Doke D, Kolbe Domapielle M, et al (2026)

Facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming climate change adaptation and mitigation into sub-national health systems: Perspectives from primary health care managers in low-resourced settings of Ghana.

Public health, 252:106135 pii:S0033-3506(26)00002-8 [Epub ahead of print].

OBJECTIVES: This article explores the perspectives of primary healthcare managers on context-specific facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming climate change adaptation and mitigation into the operations in three primary healthcare (PHC) systems in low-resourced settings of the Upper East Region of Ghana.

STUDY DESIGN: A framework approach utilising inductive coding, guided by the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research Index (CFIR Index) dimensions, to examine the perspectives of PHC managers on facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming climate change adaptation and mitigation in PHC operations.

METHODS: Between October 31 and November 25, 2022, 18 purposively sampled PHC managers from three PHCs in the Upper East Region of Ghana participated in key informant interviews on facilitators and barriers to mainstreaming the WHO frameworks on building climate resilience and environmentally sustainable health systems. Key-informant interview guides were used to generate the data. Inductive codes were generated along secondary themes of suitability of the framework for PHC, PHC systems and stakeholders, PHC programming attributes and culture, and PHC managers' identification with the WHO framework.

RESULTS: The WHO framework is perceived as suitable because of its alignment with health systems/PHC vision and its potential to enhance staff safety and client satisfaction. PHC programming attributes and culture, such as positive and open learning environments, strong networks, and well-developed systems and structures, were reported as facilitators. Furthermore, high-risk perception, perceived service improvements, and self-efficacy were reported as facilitators. PHC systems and stakeholders are reported as barriers due to the absence of policy frameworks and incentives, inadequate staff and system capacities, and the cost of mainstreaming.

CONCLUSION: Mainstreaming climate action into PHC policies, protocols, and programmes with built-in accountability mechanisms and financing is critical for sustained action.

RevDate: 2026-01-13

Maciel Ferreira JES, CB Costa da Silva (2026)

The new reality of occupational health in the face of climate change.

IntroductionClimate change has intensified extreme weather events, creating growing challenges for occupational health. Rising temperatures, air pollution, and climatic instability increase the burden of respiratory, cardiovascular, and mental health conditions among workers, particularly those exposed to adverse environmental conditions. Outdoor workers and individuals with pre-existing chronic diseases are especially vulnerable, while informal workers face compounded health and social risks. Addressing these challenges requires climate-adaptive workplaces, supportive occupational health policies, and coordinated action among governments, employers, and the scientific community to protect workers' health in a changing climate.

RevDate: 2026-01-13
CmpDate: 2026-01-13

Gui T, Lin M, Li Z, et al (2026)

Karyotyping and Distribution Patterns of Endemic Chinese Lilies: Insights Into Their Conservation Under Climate Change.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72824.

This study integrates cytogenetic and ecological analyses of two endemic Chinese alpine lilies, Lilium lophophorum (2n = 24) and L. nanum (2n = 48), to establish a foundational understanding of their chromosomal diversity and distribution patterns. We document substantial intraspecific karyotypic variation in diploid L. lophophorum, with preliminary associations to altitude, and provide the first chromosomal characterization of tetraploid L. nanum. Ecological niche modeling under future climate scenarios predicts upward range shifts for both species, with the tetraploid exhibiting greater potential for habitat expansion. The distribution patterns, combined with the dwarf phenotype of L. nanum, support the hypothesis that polyploidy may enhance resilience in extreme high-altitude environments. However, the limited sample size warrants interpreting these results as hypothesis-generating rather than demonstrating adaptive superiority. This work offers a theoretical framework for further study, highlighting the need for broader taxonomic and geographic sampling and genomic analyses to test the link between polyploidy and environmental adaptability. These insights also inform conservation planning by emphasizing the protection of high-altitude refugia under climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-13

Preuss N, Lehmann J, F You (2026)

Biochar from Livestock Waste: A Pathway to Sustainable Agriculture and Climate Change Mitigation.

Environmental science & technology [Epub ahead of print].

Livestock manure is not only a major global source of greenhouse gases from agriculture but also an important source of nutrients for crop production. Judicious management of livestock manure should deliver an effective way to both promote crop growth and mitigate greenhouse gas emissions. Here, we show using the global change analysis model (GCAM) integrated assessment model augmented with a pyrolysis module (GCAM-pyrolysis) that biochar production from global livestock manure may intensify agricultural systems through a 10% (median, 3-27% CE) increase in crop yields. GCAM-pyrolysis estimates that in 2050 widespread pyrolysis of livestock manures will cause an expansion of 415,000 km[2] of cropland for food production (median, 376,000-473,000 km[2] CE) compared to the reference scenario, at the expense of forests, pastures, and crops purposely grown to produce bioenergy (corn, sugar, palm fruit, oil crops), to produce an additional 5.1 Pcal (median, 3.2-6.7 Pcal CE) of food. Biochar presents significant opportunities in allowing productive land use change and increased crop production while increasing carbon dioxide removal and reducing greenhouse gas emissions. However, widespread adoption of pyrolysis may require food equity and land conservation regulations to mitigate its undesirable effects, such as an estimated increase in staple food prices in certain regions.

RevDate: 2026-01-13
CmpDate: 2026-01-13

Vengrai U, Kelly RH, Evans SE, et al (2026)

Site-specific biogeochemical responses to livestock grazing and climate change.

Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America, 36(1):e70175.

Drylands make up approximately 40% of terrestrial ecosystems and hold up to 20% of the global soil organic carbon pool. Most semiarid drylands are, to some extent, grazed by livestock. However, the impact of livestock grazing on carbon cycle dynamics over large spatial and temporal scales remains uncertain, especially as the effects of climate change become more pronounced. Thus far, there has been little work, which has explored how site-specific land management may interact with localized shifts in climate to affect biogeochemical processes in dryland ecosystems globally, particularly in the tropics. We used DAYCENT, an ecosystem simulation model, to explore how grazing intensity and projected climate change may impact biogeochemical dynamics in dryland sites in North America, South America, Asia, and Africa. Our simulation results showed a site-specific biogeochemical response to livestock grazing and climate change, even across ecologically similar dryland systems. In sites that had smaller projected shifts in climate (i.e., the North and South American sites), heavy grazing decreased soil carbon inputs, outputs, and storage. In the other two sites, particularly in the African site, shifts in climate had the largest impact on simulated biogeochemical processes, with a projected 20% decrease in the soil organic carbon pool in the African site by the end of the century. Our study highlights the importance of considering how localized shifts in climate may affect dryland ecosystem function as this may overwhelm land management effects over longer time scales. Our work also suggests that more research is needed to better understand how small-scale, site-specific sensitivity to climate change and land use may influence dryland carbon cycle dynamics at the global scale, particularly in tropical regions.

RevDate: 2026-01-12

Vázquez Fernández L, Diz-Lois Palomares A, Rao S, et al (2026)

Temperature-attributable mortality projections under scenarios of climate change for Oslo, Norway.

BMC public health pii:10.1186/s12889-025-25980-3 [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2026-01-12
CmpDate: 2026-01-12

Were LPO, Kachingwe ON, Goldman T, et al (2026)

Climate change, transactional sex, HIV/AIDS and sustainable livelihoods among fishing communities around Lake Victoria: a scoping review protocol.

BMJ open, 16(1):e113566 pii:bmjopen-2025-113566.

BACKGROUND: The objective of this scoping review is to map out what has been published in the scientific literature on the relationship between climate change-related events and how these overlap with associated changes in resource availability, transactional sex and HIV incidence and prevalence, within fishing communities in the Lake Victoria basin. This objective is informed by the fact that climate change and the associated natural resource strains in the Lake Victoria region have exacerbated existing inequities within fishing communities. Vulnerable populations, especially women, engage in strategies such as transactional sex to cope with the uncertainty of natural resource-dependent livelihoods. This practice greatly increases women's risk of contracting HIV in this region, with prevalence rates four to five times the national averages. This scoping review will thus show how the existing empirical literature reports on climate change, transformation in natural resources and livelihoods, and transactional sex and HIV in the Lake Victoria region.

METHODS: Studies that meet the following inclusion criteria will be included: align with at least two of the major concepts of interest, including climate change, transactional sex, HIV/AIDS, Lake Victoria Basin and/or empirical studies; are published in English and after 2012; and focus on the Lake Victoria basin. The scoping review will be guided by the JBI Manual for Evidence Synthesis: Scoping Reviews, supported by the standard principles of Arksey and O'Malley. The specific search strategies to be implemented were developed with guidance from an experienced research librarian to align with the inclusion criteria. The search will be conducted in relevant global databases, with two reviewers screening the results and extracting relevant data points. Finally, results will be reported using the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews flow diagram, and summarised in figures, tables and text.

DISCUSSION: The scoping review is designed to comprehensively scope the existing literature and document the coverage of linkages between transactional sex, HIV/AIDS and sustainable livelihoods in the context of climate change with a view to informing health systems responses to human health specific to the HIV epidemic.

SCOPING REVIEW REGISTRATION: The proposed scoping review is registered with the Open Science Foundation (OSF), registration number:https://doi.org/10.17605/OSF.IO/9DTW4.

RevDate: 2026-01-12

Burns J, Heims-Waldron DA, Angelino AC, et al (2026)

Environmental Justice in Vulnerable Populations: Climate Change and Congenital Heart Disease in American Indian/Alaska Native Children.

Journal of racial and ethnic health disparities [Epub ahead of print].

The health impacts of environmental change are subtle and cumulative. A growing body of evidence demonstrates that exposure to the forces driving climate change, including heat and pollution, is associated with significant morbidity and mortality, including a higher incidence of congenital and acquired heart disease. Due to compounding historical structural inequities subsequently codified by government policy, American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations are disproportionately exposed to the downstream impacts of climate change and are among the most vulnerable to health-related consequences. In this article, we review the evidence that supports the effects of climate change and pollution on the development of congenital heart disease (CHD). We then review the disparate exposures in AI/AN communities and suggest that further research is required to understand the effects of prenatal exposure to environmental degradation and limit its health consequences among AI/AN people. We subsequently highlight potential mitigating actions for AI/AN communities.

RevDate: 2026-01-12
CmpDate: 2026-01-12

Luo D, Wang T, Sun J, et al (2026)

Conservation Challenges and Opportunities for Fokienia hodginsii in the Wuyi Mountains Under Climate Change and Human Influence.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72887.

Fokienia hodginsii (Dunn) A. Henry & H. H. Thomas, as an evergreen Tertiary relic conifer species of great ornamental, medical, and ecological value, has not been fully explored in terms of its risk associated with distribution under climate change scenarios. The Wuyi Mountains region is of exceptional ecological significance and provides important habitats for F. hodginsii. We compared four species distribution models (SDMs): Maximum Entropy Model (MaxEnt), random forest (RF), boosted regression tree (BRT), and generalized linear model (GLM) using climate variables, alongside soil variables and human footprint index, and used the best to make a comprehensive assessment of F. hodginsii's environmental suitability under shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) 126 and 585. Our results indicate that MaxEnt model provided the best discriminative power and prediction accuracy in species distribution predictions, with Area Under Curve (AUC) value of 0.973, True Skill Statistic (TSS) value of 0.704, and Kappa of 0.395. We found that climate variables played the dominant role in shaping the distribution of F. hodginsii and accounted for 90.9% of the permutation importance. Furthermore, an overall trend of shrinking distribution was predicted for F. hodginsii, and it would face a huge loss of 97.6% suitable habitat under the scenario of SSP585. These findings indicate a potential loss of economic and ecological value of F. hodginsii, highlighting the risks posed to forest ecosystems in the Wuyi Mountains and underscoring the need for comprehensive conservation strategies to protect the species along with the economic benefits it provides.

RevDate: 2026-01-12
CmpDate: 2026-01-12

Liu H, Martins CSC, Zhou G, et al (2026)

Soil Protist Diversity and Biotic Interactions Shape Ecosystem Functions Under Climate Change.

Global change biology, 32(1):e70692.

Soil protists significantly influence ecosystem multifunctionality (EMF) through their roles in microbial predation, parasitism, and organic matter decomposition. However, the multifaceted contributions of protist diversity, along with its interactions with other microbial groups and plant diversity, to EMF-especially under climate-induced stresses such as drought-remain poorly understood. To address this knowledge gap, we conducted a factorial microcosm experiment, manipulating microbial diversity (protists, bacteria and fungi), plant species richness, and drought stress. In total, 203 microcosms were established, generating 812 soil samples and 2436 amplicon sequencing libraries. Using structural equation modelling (SEM) and multiple regression analyses, we found that protist diversity was positively correlated with EMF, carbon sequestration, soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition, and nutrient cycling. Furthermore, protist communities exhibited distinct, phylum-specific relationships with these ecosystem functions. Under drought conditions, microbial interaction networks experienced significant restructuring, with protists emerging as keystone taxa-enhancing protist connectivity and highlighting their central role in ecosystem resilience, especially in relation to leaf carbon dynamics. Our findings provide novel empirical evidence that protists act as multitrophic integrators in soil ecosystems and highlight their role in buffering ecosystems against global environmental change.

RevDate: 2026-01-10

El Idrissi Y, He J, Désilets M, et al (2026)

Assessing willingness to pay for a solar-powered desalination device in Moroccan rural communities under climate change.

Journal of environmental management, 398:128565 pii:S0301-4797(26)00025-3 [Epub ahead of print].

Climate change is affecting the global water cycle, leading to a growing imbalance between drinking water demand and supply in many countries, particularly developing countries such as Morocco. Therefore, several innovative technological solutions are emerging to support safe water access. Understanding the adoption of these solutions, however, requires assessing the willingness to pay (WTP) of respondents and the factors shaping their decisions. This study was conducted among rural populations in Morocco in 2024 to estimate their WTP for a solar-powered, portable desalination device currently under development in a research lab. The contingent valuation method questionnaire with closed-ended dichotomous choice WTP questions was administrated to 446 respondents in four rural regions. Results show that income, education, and bid price are the most significant determinants of WTP. Objective water quality measures and subjective perceptions have a limited effect in baseline models but become more relevant once regional interactions are introduced, revealing notable disparities between regions. Furthermore, including people's answers collected with expanding payment options in follow-up questions substantially increases reported WTP, from 1.9 kMAD to 6.4 kMAD and finally to between 17.9 kMAD, indicating that rural households' WTP is substantially limited by their income and the necessity for the government to consider providing relevant public subsidies.

RevDate: 2026-01-10

Ianes J, Polesel F, Cantoni B, et al (2026)

Modeling an integrated urban wastewater system to assess (micro-)pollutant discharge under dry- and wet-weather: mitigation strategies and climate change scenarios.

Journal of environmental management, 398:128516 pii:S0301-4797(25)04492-5 [Epub ahead of print].

Integrated urban wastewater systems, including sewer networks and wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs), face critical challenges during wet weather, leading to combined sewer overflows and WWTP bypass that release untreated wastewater. Climate change exacerbates these issues through more extreme weather patterns. The recently approved recast of the European Urban Wastewater Treatment Directive (UWWTD) imposes a new limit requiring wet-weather discharges to be less than 2 % of the collected annual dry-weather loads, making modeling tools essential for assessing compliance and evaluating mitigation strategies. In this context, an integrated hydraulic and pollutant transport model was applied to an urban catchment near Milan, Italy. The model was calibrated using field measurements of water quantity and quality (including 4 conventional pollutants, 3 metals, 3 organic micropollutants) under dry- and wet-weather conditions. We assessed two mitigation strategies (end-of-pipe first-flush tanks; source control via sewer separation with blue-green infrastructure infiltration) and two climate change scenarios representing climate variability extremes. First-flush tanks reduced conventional pollutant loads by 5-42 % but showed limited effectiveness for organic micropollutants due to lower WWTP removal efficiency. Sewer separation with infiltration met UWWTD target only at 75 % catchment implementation, demanding extensive retrofitting efforts compared to first-flush tanks. This comparison underscores that no single mitigation strategy fits all situations. Environmental risk assessment across scenarios revealed dilution's crucial role, underscoring the need to consider both pollutant loads and hydraulic conditions. This study shows integrated modeling supports water managers in addressing pollution control and climate adaptation, enabling transitions towards sustainable urban areas.

RevDate: 2026-01-10

Siiba A, Kangmennaang J, Baatiema L, et al (2026)

'When you go to bed, and you cannot sleep … ': smallholder farmers' experiences and perceptions of climate change events and their impacts on health in northern Ghana.

Social science & medicine (1982), 392:118947 pii:S0277-9536(26)00022-5 [Epub ahead of print].

Despite the critical role of smallholder farmers in promoting food and nutrition security, research suggests that their health is severely threatened by experiences of climate change events. Our study assesses smallholder farmers' experiences and perceptions of rainfall, drought, flood, storm, and wildfire; and explores how such experiences impact food security and health. We employ the convergent mixed-method design, combining binomial regression analysis of survey data from a random-purposive sample of 1042 smallholder farmers with qualitative insights from inductive thematic analysis of data from a purposive sample of seven focus group discussions (involving 58 smallholder farmers) and 13 key informant interviews. Results from the survey suggest that experiences of climate change events can be shaped by age, marital status, geographic location, and level of education. Three overlapping issues also emerged from the qualitative interviews, suggesting that experiences of climate change events negatively affect crop productivity, food and nutrition security, and the health of smallholder farmers in northern Ghana. Specifically, experiences of droughts and floods make smallholder farmers eat less, eat late, or overthink what to do to feed their families. These experiences are expressed using culturally specific language and embodied through the feeling of despair, grief, and distress. Our study provides empirical evidence on how climate change is impacting the livelihood and health of smallholder farmers and highlights the need for health promotion interventions and policy reforms to promote sustainable coping and adaptation.

RevDate: 2026-01-10
CmpDate: 2026-01-10

Manoharan MA, Erinjery JJ, S Veerankutty (2026)

The impact of climate change on the invasiveness of Ageratum conyzoides (goat weed) in India: implications for biodiversity conservation.

Environmental monitoring and assessment, 198(2):115.

Climate change and biological invasions are major drivers of global biodiversity loss. Ageratum conyzoides L. is a highly aggressive invader, yet its ecological risks and potential range dynamics in India remain insufficiently quantified. To assess its future invasion potential, we applied an ensemble species distribution modelling approach (BIOMOD2 in R), integrating random forest, artificial neural networks, and generalized linear models. Bioclimatic predictors were obtained from CMIP6-based climate projections across four SSP pathways (WorldClim v2.1). Model performance was evaluated using multiple evaluation metrics including TSS, ROC, and Kappa to ensure robustness. Precipitation-related predictors, including precipitation of the wettest month (BIO13; 500-1000 mm), and precipitation seasonality (BIO15; 40-60%) were identified as dominant drivers of distribution. High-suitability areas (≥ 70% probability), the potential invasion-risk zones, are projected to concentrate in the Western Ghats and the Himalayan foothills, with marked upslope expansion, and to extend into the Eastern Ghats and Central Highlands. Least-suitable habitats (climate refugial zones, ~ 2.40 million km[2] during 1970-2000) are projected to shrink substantially by 2100, to ~ 1.82 million km[2] (SSP1-2.6), ~ 1.45 million km[2] (SSP2-4.5), ~ 1.23 million km[2] (SSP3-7.0), and ~ 1.04 million km[2] (SSP5-8.5). These contractions indicate a broad climatic shift toward conditions favorable for the spread of the species. Overall, climate change is projected to markedly enhance the potential spread of A. conyzoides across India. The findings underscore the need for proactive, region-specific management in biodiversity hotspots such as the Western Ghats and Himalayas, the protection of climatically stable refugia, and the integration of predictive modeling into national invasive-species management policies.

RevDate: 2026-01-12
CmpDate: 2026-01-10

Wilson LT, Samonte SOPB, Y Yang (2026)

Multi-Decadal Analysis on the Impact of Climate Change, Genetic Gain, Cultivar Type, and Harvest Timing on Main and Ratoon Rice Yield and Quality.

Global change biology, 32(1):e70679.

Thirty-three years of climatic and commercial rice yield and quality data were used to estimate the impact of climate change, genetic gain, cultivar type, and harvest timing on main and ratoon crop grain yield and quality for the Texas Gulf Coast rice production region. Major climate change has occurred since 1991, with cumulative annual degree-days (°D) and atmospheric [CO2] increasing 11.6% and 18.4%, respectively, and precipitation, irradiance, and relative humidity decreasing by 22.0%, 2.3%, and 3.3%, respectively. Daytime °D > 10°C and ≤ 30°C, daytime °D > 30°C, nighttime °D > 10°C, atmospheric [CO2], irradiance, relative humidity, and precipitation significantly affect several main and ratoon crop traits, with increased nighttime °D > 10°C consistently reducing grain yield and two of the four measured grain quality traits. Hybrid rice outyields inbred cultivars and produces slightly higher total milling yield for both the main and ratoon crops but consistently produces lower head rice yield and more broken grain. Had the positive effect of increasing atmospheric [CO2] on grain yield not been incorporated into the analyses, a large part of the increase in grain yield over time would have been incorrectly attributed to inbred and hybrid genetic gains. Several quality traits worsened the later the rice main crop was harvested, due to increased temperatures during grain fill for later produced rice, and possibly due to increased insect and disease pressures. The negative effects of climate change on rice grain quality can be partially mitigated by shifting seeding dates earlier and by focusing rice cultivar development on incorporating high temperature and high CO2 resistance traits.

RevDate: 2026-01-10
CmpDate: 2026-01-10

Chen R, Luo F, Yao W, et al (2026)

Ecological Niche Differentiation and Distribution Dynamics Revealing Climate Change Responses in the Chinese Genus Dysosma.

Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(1): pii:plants15010162.

The genus Dysosma, a group of perennial herbaceous plants with significant medicinal value and a relatively narrow ecological niche, is potentially at risk due to the combined pressures of habitat degradation and climate change. As their habitats continue to degrade, all species of this genus have been included in the National Key Protected Wild Plants List (Category II). Investigating the impacts of climate change on the distribution of Dysosma resources is vital for their sustainable utilization. In this study, the potential distribution dynamics of seven Dysosma species under current and three future climate scenarios (SSP126, SSP245, SSP585) were quantified using 534 occurrence points and 25 environmental variables in a MaxEnt model, accompanied by the ecological niche overlap index (Schoener's D), dynamic metrics (relative change rate [RCR], change intensity [CI], stability index [SI], spatial displacement rate [SDR]), and centroid migration analysis. The results indicated that (1) areas of high habitat suitability were consistently concentrated in the mountainous and hilly regions of southwestern Guizhou, Chongqing, and Hubei, with the minimum temperature of the coldest month (Bio6) and the mean diurnal temperature range (Bio2) being identified as the primary driving factors. (2) The future suitable habitat areas remained highly stable overall (SI > 97.89%), though dynamic changes varied across scenarios. Under SSP126, only slight fluctuations were observed, with an average CI of approximately 3.78% and RCR ranging from -0.46% to 1.97%. Under the SSP245 scenario, suitable habitat areas showed a continuous, slight expansion (RCR = 0.45% to 1.54%), whereas under the high-emission SSP585 scenario, a typical "mid-term expansion-late-term contraction" pattern was observed, with RCR shifting from positive (1.32%, 1.44%) to negative (-0.92%). The SI reached its lowest value of 97.89% in the late term, and the spatial displacement rate increased, signaling a reorganization of the distribution pattern. (3) High ecological niche differentiation was observed within the genus, with the highest overlap index being only 0.562, and approximately one-third of species pairs exhibiting completely non-overlapping niches. (4) Dysosma tsayuensis, a niche-specialist species, exhibited a distribution that was highly dependent on the annual mean ultraviolet-B radiation (UVB, contribution rate 52.9%), displaying an adaptation strategy markedly different from that of conservative species. (5) Centroid analysis indicated that, although the overall centroid remained stable in Guizhou, the presence of niche-specialist species under the high-emission SSP585 scenario resulted in migration paths opposite to those observed under other scenarios. The findings reveal the potential vulnerability and differential response patterns of Dysosma species under rapid climate warming, thereby providing a scientific basis for targeted conservation, in situ and ex situ conservation strategies, and population restoration.

RevDate: 2026-01-10
CmpDate: 2026-01-10

Usseglio VL, Zunino MP, Brito VD, et al (2025)

Organic Compounds as a Natural Alternative for Pest Control: How Will Climate Change Affect Their Effectiveness?.

Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 15(1): pii:plants15010048.

Climate change scenarios predict increased temperatures, potentially impacting the development of phytopathogenic fungi and the efficacy of their control. This study evaluated the effects of four natural organic compounds-carvacrol, eugenol, trans-cinnamaldehyde, and 1-heptyn-3-ol-on the growth of Fusarium verticillioides and the survival of Sitophilus zeamais under two temperature regimes (28 °C and 32 °C). Fungal growth was assessed through the lag phase duration and mycelial expansion, while insecticidal activity was determined by mortality of S. zeamais. Carvacrol (1 ppm) produced the most pronounced inhibitory effect on fungal growth, significantly extending the lag phase and reducing mycelial area, with eugenol showing similar effects at selected concentrations. Both compounds maintained or enhanced their antifungal activity at elevated temperatures. Trans-cinnamaldehyde and 1-heptyn-3-ol exhibited moderate or low effects, depending on concentration and temperature. Regarding S. zeamais, 1-heptyn-3-ol achieved complete mortality at all concentrations under both temperature scenarios, whereas carvacrol, eugenol, and trans-cinnamaldehyde showed dose-dependent effects at 28 °C and enhanced efficacy at 32 °C. Overall, these findings highlight the potential of these compounds as sustainable, climate-resilient alternatives for managing fungal pathogens and stored-product pests.

RevDate: 2026-01-10
CmpDate: 2026-01-10

Girondot M (2025)

The Wrong Assumptions of the Effects of Climate Change on Marine Turtle Nests with Temperature-Dependent Sex Determination.

Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 16(1): pii:ani16010097.

Contemporary climate change, driven by anthropogenic greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, has raised global temperatures by over 1 °C above pre-industrial levels, profoundly altering Earth's energy balance. In marine turtles, which exhibit temperature-dependent sex determination (TSD), embryonic sex ratios are highly sensitive to nest temperature. Most studies predicting the effects of climate change on turtle sex ratios have used air temperature or sea surface temperature (SST) as proxies for nest temperature, despite limited empirical validation of this assumption. I question the validity of this approach by examining the physical mechanisms of heat transfer within beach soils, including conduction, convection, and radiation, and how they are modulated by factors such as soil texture, moisture, and solar radiation. The analysis highlights that while GHGs increase air temperature through the greenhouse effect, they do not directly alter incoming solar radiation, the principal driver of subsurface temperature. Furthermore, increased air temperature enhances evaporation and soil drying, reducing thermal conductivity and potentially lowering heat penetration into nesting depths. Consequently, air or SST proxies can misrepresent the actual thermal environment of marine turtle nests, leading to inaccurate or even reverse projections of sex ratios under climate change. A mechanistic approach integrating soil heat dynamics and solar radiation is therefore essential for realistic assessments of TSD responses and conservation planning in a warming world.

RevDate: 2026-01-10
CmpDate: 2026-01-10

Lee JH, Chang MH, Shin MS, et al (2025)

Ensemble Species Distribution Modeling of Climate Change Impacts on Endangered Amphibians and Reptiles in South Korea.

Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 16(1): pii:ani16010095.

Climate change poses a serious threat to amphibians and reptiles, which are especially vulnerable because of limited thermoregulatory capacity and restricted dispersal. We used an ensemble species distribution modeling framework to assess habitat determinants, niche breadth, and climate-driven distribution changes for eight legally protected endangered amphibian and reptile species in South Korea. Occurrence records collected between 1997 and 2021 were combined with ten bioclimatic, topographic, and hydrological predictors, and 11 species distribution modeling algorithms (SDMs), including Random Forest and MaxEnt, were implemented and combined into weighted ensemble predictions. The weighted ensemble model showed high predictive performance (mean ROC-AUC = 0.897; overall mean across all SDMs = 0.843). Variable-importance analysis revealed clear taxonomic contrasts: reptiles exhibited approximately 1.7-fold greater dependence on temperature variables than amphibians, whereas amphibians were more strongly associated with precipitation and topographic context. Environmental niche-breadth analysis identified Sibynophis chinensis, Hynobius yangi, and Dryophytes suweonensis as narrow- or moderate-niche specialists largely constrained by precipitation of the driest month and a small set of climatic variables. Under moderate (SSP2-4.5) and high (SSP5-8.5) emission scenarios, areas of high species richness are projected to decline by 22% and 45%, respectively, by the 2070s, with distribution centroids shifting northeastward and pronounced habitat loss in western lowland plains. Priority conservation targets include S. chinensis, D. suweonensis, and H. yangi, which combine narrow niches, restricted ranges, and high climate vulnerability. These findings provide a quantitative basis for climate-adaptive conservation planning for threatened herpetofauna in South Korea.

RevDate: 2026-01-09

Vrselja I, Pandžić M, L Batinić (2026)

The effects of fear and hope appeals on climate change risk perception.

The Journal of social psychology [Epub ahead of print].

Some researchers suggest that fear can motivate climate protection measures by increasing risk perception. Others argue that fear-based messages can lead to avoidance or denial, making positive messages such as appeals to hope a more effective strategy. This study aimed to investigate whether textual appeals to fear are more effective than appeals to hope or neutral stimuli in increasing climate change risk perceptions and whether there is a difference between appeals to hope and neutral messages. This experimental study involved 233 university students (48.5% women) aged 18 to 33. Participants were randomly assigned to one of three conditions (fear, hope, and neutral), after which their risk perceptions of climate change were measured. A one-way ANOVA showed that there were no significant differences in risk perception between the three groups, suggesting that neither fear nor hope appeals were more effective than neutral stimuli in increasing risk perception of climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-09

Ludwig-Borycz E, Rojas AI, Sunuwar DR, et al (2026)

Corrigendum to "Climate change-related exposures, low birthweight, and preterm birth: Overview of reviews protocol". [Environ. Int. 202 (2025) 109704].

RevDate: 2026-01-09

Frederico RG, de Souza CP, Salvador GN, et al (2026)

Effects of climate change on invasive fish species and the vulnerability of tropical freshwater ecoregions.

The Science of the total environment, 1014:181359 pii:S0048-9697(26)00016-1 [Epub ahead of print].

Biological invasions and climate change are major drivers of biodiversity loss, yet their combined effects on freshwater ecosystems in tropical regions remain poorly understood. Here, we assess the current and future climatic suitability of Brazil's freshwater ecoregions for non-native fish species and identify regions most vulnerable to biological invasions under climate change. We compiled a comprehensive database of non-native freshwater fishes in Brazil and modeled the potential distributions of 138 species using ecological niche models (ENMs). Occurrence records from native and non-native ranges, bioclimatic variables, and three climatic scenarios (current, SSP2-4.5, SSP5-8.5). We overlaid model projections with Brazil's freshwater ecoregions to quantify changes in suitable areas and identify invasion hotspots. Model performance was good, AUC values ranging from 0.80 ± 0.06 to 1.00 ± 0.01 and TSS values from 0.61 ± 0.08 to 1.00 ± 0.02. Most non-native species (65-66 %) are projected to lose climatically suitable areas under future conditions, particularly in northern ecoregions such as the Amazon Basin. In contrast, several ecoregions in southern and southeastern Brazil are expected to remain or become increasingly suitable for non-native species, despite an overall reduction in suitability at large scale. These regions are also those most affected by urbanization, habitat fragmentation, aquaculture, and hydropower development, which may amplify invasion risks. Our findings demonstrate that climate change will shift invasion risk toward southern Brazil, reinforcing the need for targeted prevention, improved aquaculture management, and awareness programs to reduce the establishment and spread of non-native freshwater fishes.

RevDate: 2026-01-09

Namli S, Samut H, Comlekcioglu N, et al (2026)

Climate Change-Driven Risks on Contamination Routes and Timing, and Phage Control of Salmonella on Leafy Greens.

FEMS microbiology ecology pii:8418244 [Epub ahead of print].

This study investigated the persistence and control of S. enterica serovar Newport on garden cress under warming temperature scenarios (15, 17, 19, 21 °C), simulating climate change-relevant conditions. Two contamination routes -seed and irrigation were tested with irrigation applied at different plant growth stages to assess the impact of contamination timing too. In addition, the study evaluated the effectiveness of preharvest bacteriophage irrigation applied at various intervals prior to harvest. Results showed that both contamination routes supported long-term survival, with the greatest persistence at 15 °C. Late-stage contamination through irrigation resulted in higher bacterial loads at harvest, posing greater food safety risks. While a washing step significantly reduced Salmonella levels, especially in later contamination scenarios, it was insufficient to fully remove strongly attached bacterial populations across all cases. Bacteriophage irrigation achieved up to 2.2 log MPN/g reduction when applied close to harvest, particularly when combined with washing. Beyond expanding the mechanistic understanding of Salmonella-plant interactions, these findings illustrate how temperature dynamics, contamination timing, and exposure route collectively influence bacterial persistence under warming scenarios relevant to climate change, while also demonstrating the potential of a targeted preharvest intervention strategy with significant control efficacy.

RevDate: 2026-01-09
CmpDate: 2026-01-09

Zarrin Ghalami R, Duszyn M, S Karpiński (2026)

Absorption of Energy in Excess, Photoinhibition, Transpiration, and Foliar Heat Emission Feedback Loops During Global Warming.

Cells, 15(1):.

Global warming is increasingly constraining plant productivity by altering the photosynthetic energy balance and leaf thermoregulation. Under high light and elevated temperatures, absorption of energy in excess (AEE) by photosystem II disrupts photosynthetic electron transport, oxygen evolution, and CO2 assimilation, often accompanied by reduced foliar transpiration. These conditions promote photoinhibition, as reflected by a decrease in maximal photosynthetic efficiency (Fv/Fm), an increase in non-photochemical quenching (NPQ), and photooxidative stress associated with enhanced reactive oxygen species (ROS) production. In addition to environmental heat stress, AEE influences foliar temperature through internal energy partitioning, including regulated dissipation of AEE as heat and changes in transpirational cooling. The relative contributions of NPQ, photochemistry, and transpiration to leaf temperature regulation are strongly context dependent and vary with light intensity, temperature changes, and water availability. Under global warming, rising background temperatures and increased vapor pressure deficit may constrain transpirational cooling and alter the balance between non-photochemical and photochemical energy dissipation and usage, respectively. In this review, we synthesize current knowledge on AEE handling, photoinhibition, NPQ and other quenching processes, and on transpiration cooling, and discuss a conceptual framework in which sustained imbalance among these processes under global warming conditions could amplify foliar heat stress and increase the risk of cellular damage. Rather than proposing new physiological mechanisms, this work integrates existing evidence across molecular, leaf, and ecosystem scales to highlight potential feedbacks relevant to plant performance under future climate prediction scenarios.

RevDate: 2026-01-09
CmpDate: 2026-01-09

Li XX, Liu B, Wang L, et al (2026)

Impact of Climate Change and Human Activities on Suitable Distribution of Rhodiola Species in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau: Modeling Insights for Conservation Prioritization.

Ecology and evolution, 16(1):e72896.

Using the MaxEnt model with climatic, topographical, soil, and human activity factors, this study predicted suitable habitats for eight Rhodiola species in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau (QTP) and analyzed conservation gaps via ArcGIS overlay analysis. Models demonstrated high accuracy, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) values ranging from 0.88 to 0.99. Human activities dominated habitat suitability for most species (contribution: 37.0%-76.4%), except R. atsaensis (RA), driven by climate (38.9%) and topography (32.8%). Current suitable habitats varied widely, with RA occupying the largest area (1.69 × 10[6] km[2]), and R. sacra (RS) the smallest (5.61 × 10[4] km[2]). Future climate scenarios show seven Rhodiola species (except RS) will expand, and all have increasing highly suitable areas. R. smithii and R. tibetica expand most; RS only expands under SSP1-2.6 in 2090. Current nature reserve coverage protects 33.42% of the suitable habitats for Rhodiola species on the plateau, with national reserves accounting for 28.13% and other protected areas (PAs) only 5.29%. Protection efficiency varies significantly among species. RA has the highest protection rate (35.38%), while R. bupleuroides and RS show the lowest (~20%). National reserves exhibit protection rates of 13.11%-29.98% for suitable habitats, surpassing other-level reserves (2.1%-8.27%). Conservation gaps are concentrated in ecologically sensitive zones such as the Hotan-Ngari, Lhasa, and eastern Chamdo. Strikingly, protection of high and medium habitats remains extremely low (5.12%). The findings provide critical insights for prioritizing strategic conservation efforts and optimizing PA networks across the QTP, thereby addressing the current protection gaps and enhancing ecological connectivity.

RevDate: 2026-01-09

Yuan Z, Lyne V, Tian J, et al (2026)

Climate Change Amplifies Chronic Ammonia Risks in China's Freshwater Ecosystems.

Environmental science & technology [Epub ahead of print].

Ammonia toxicity poses a significant yet often overlooked risk to freshwater ecosystems. Conventional water quality standards rely on static concentration thresholds and fail to capture the dynamic nature of ammonia toxicity, which is strongly dependent on water temperature and pH. In this study, we combine high-frequency national water quality monitoring data with climate projections to evaluate both current and future chronic ammonia risks across China's freshwater systems. Our results reveal that existing criteria substantially underestimate ecological risks: approximately 71% of chronic exceedance events go undetected under most commonly used static thresholds. These risks exhibit marked spatial heterogeneity, with over 80% of northern river basins experiencing elevated chronic exposure, while southern basins face less than half the national average. Climate change is projected to intensify ammonia risks even in regions with historically strong pollution controls. Under the high-emission scenario, the national exceedance rate increases from around 8% to nearly 14% in summer, primarily driven by rising temperatures and increasingly extreme hydrological conditions. These findings demonstrate the critical limitations of fixed-threshold regulation and highlight the need for dynamic, climate-adaptive ammonia toxicity risk assessments. To effectively protect freshwater biodiversity and water quality in the face of climate change, regulatory frameworks must incorporate temperature- and pH-sensitive criteria alongside targeted, region-specific mitigation strategies.

RevDate: 2026-01-09
CmpDate: 2026-01-09

Kozikova D, Martínez-Lüscher J, Antolín MC, et al (2026)

A consortium of arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi and plant growth-promoting bacteria modulates wine grape ripening and composition under climate change conditions.

Food research international (Ottawa, Ont.), 225:118027.

If no major changes in CO2 emissions policy take place, atmospheric CO2 and temperature are expected to increase in the coming decades, negatively affecting grape composition. Arbuscular mycorrhizal fungi (AMF) have been reported to increase plant resilience to various stresses. This study aimed to assess whether the association of young grapevines with AMF, co-inoculated with bacteria (PGPRs), can mitigate the effects of climate change on grape composition. Two-year-old Cabernet Sauvignon plants grafted onto R110 rootstock, either inoculated with a consortium of AMF and PGPRs (+M) or with only PGPRs (-M), were exposed to two CO2 levels (ambient CO2, AC, or 700 ppm, EC) and two temperatures (ambient temperature, AT, or ambient temperature increased by 4 °C, ET) in a factorial design (2x2x2). Plants under ET experienced about 5 heat waves and 21 days with maximum temperatures above 40 °C, 2 heat waves and 4 days above 40 °C in AT. ET reduced berry mass, total soluble solids, and acidity in the must; these differences were less pronounced in +M. Grapes under ET had lower concentration of anthocyanins but these were more methylated (malvidins) and coumaroylated, regardless of the CO2 level and AMF inoculation. The concentration of total amino acids and yeast assimilable N decreased under EC, whereas ET decreased the relative abundance of proline. co-inoculation of AMF and PGPRs increased the concentration of total and aroma precursor amino acids, especially under ACAT, and proline abundance, thus partially counteracting the effects of both EC and ET. Co-inoculation of AMF and bacteria helped attenuate some of the effects of climate change on grape berry ripening and primary metabolite composition.

RevDate: 2026-01-09
CmpDate: 2026-01-09

Wesseltoft JB, de Jonge N, Hansen MM, et al (2026)

Heat but Not Cold Tolerance Is Phylogenetically Constrained in Greenlandic Terrestrial Arthropods Under Future Global Warming.

Global change biology, 32(1):e70687.

The Arctic is currently warming at up to four times the global average. Likewise, climate variability within and across seasons is predicted to markedly increase in the future. This may challenge organisms in these pristine environments, making it critically important to understand their thermal biology and evolutionary potential. For Arctic ectotherms in particular, thermal tolerance limits and responses to climate change are mostly unknown. Knowledge on this is urgently needed to enable prediction of climate change impacts on future distributions of biodiversity in these rapidly changing environments. Here, we provide data on upper and lower thermal limits of 93 Greenlandic species of insects, arachnids, and collembolans caught and tested in the field and identified using barcode sequencing. This represents ~8% of described terrestrial Greenlandic arthropod species. We found pronounced differences in heat and cold tolerance among species and a strong phylogenetic signal for both heat tolerance and thermal scope (difference between upper and lower thermal limits). We argue that this indicates a limited capacity for coping with increasing and more variable future temperatures through evolutionary adaptation. Further, we modelled future increases in microhabitat temperatures in our sampling area. We found that > 25% of the investigated species may periodically experience stressful high temperatures in the future. These results suggest that climate change will likely result in substantial changes in distributions and abundances of terrestrial arthropods in Southern Greenland.

RevDate: 2026-01-08
CmpDate: 2026-01-09

Wu DH, Kang CZ, Meng WH, et al (2025)

[Prediction of suitable habitats for Chrysanthemum indicum under climate change based on Biomod2 ensemble modeling].

Zhongguo Zhong yao za zhi = Zhongguo zhongyao zazhi = China journal of Chinese materia medica, 50(19):5363-5372.

With increasing market demand for traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)and intensifying global climate change, the conservation of wild medicinal plant resources has become a critical issue. This study investigates the dynamics of suitable planting areas for Chrysanthemum indicum under both climate change and human activities. Using integrated species distribution models(SDMs) and the climate, soil, and human footprint data, this study predicted the current and future distribution patterns of this plant under different carbon emission scenarios. Key findings revealed that human activities exerted the most significant constraint on C. indicum distribution, surpassing climate and soil factors. Exclusion of human interference expanded the suitable habitats by 19.3%, with highly suitable areas extending towards north and northeast China. Under the SSP126 scenario, the area of suitable habitats was projected to have a marginal increase(+0.37%) by 2100, accompanied by expansion of highly suitable habitats along the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River. Conversely, the SSP585 scenario projected significant habitat contraction(-11.57%) with enlarged centroid shifts, exposing traditional highly suitable regions like Hunan and Guizhou provinces to degradation risks. This study pioneers in quantifying the overwhelming influence of human activities on C. indicum distribution and highlights the protective role of low-carbon policies in mitigating habitat loss. The outcomes provide scientific support for developing climate-resilient management strategies that balance resource utilization and ecological conservation, while demonstrating the practical value of multi-model integration in sustainable use of medicinal plant resources. Future studies should incorporate real-time monitoring data to enhance dynamic predictions, thereby help the TCM industry to respond to global change.

RevDate: 2026-01-08
CmpDate: 2026-01-09

Liu BJ, Zhao ZY, Li L, et al (2025)

[Suitability zoning of Saposhnikovia divaricata in Mongolia under climate change based on MaxEnt model and Biomod2 ensemble model].

Zhongguo Zhong yao za zhi = Zhongguo zhongyao zazhi = China journal of Chinese materia medica, 50(21):6008-6016.

Medicinal plants represent a critical component of natural resources and play a vital role in global healthcare and therapeutic systems. Saposhnikovia divaricata, a well-known traditional medicinal plant, exhibits ecological and quality suitability that is strongly influenced by various environmental factors. To investigate the suitable distribution and accumulation patterns of active components in S. divaricata in Mongolia, this study integrated climatic, soil, and topographic variables to evaluate its habitat suitability by using both the MaxEnt model and the Biomod2 ensemble modeling approach. The predictive performance of the two models was compared. High-performance liquid chromatography(HPLC) was employed to quantify the active components in collected S. divaricata samples, enabling a comprehensive quality assessment. The results demonstrated that the MaxEnt model achieved an area under curve(AUC) of 0.933 and a true skill statistic(TSS) value of 0.737, while the Biomod2 ensemble model showed improved performance with an AUC of 0.957 and a TSS value of 0.741. The most suitable regions for the growth of S. divaricata were identified as Dornod, Khentii, Selenge, Darkhan-Uul, Bulgan, Orkhon, and T9v provinces. Ecological suitability was primarily influenced by elevation(ELEVATION), precipitation during the warmest quarter(BIO18), and annual mean temperature(BIO1). The accumulation of prim-O-glucosylcimifugin was closely related to temperature, precipitation, and soil particle size, while the content of 5-O-methylvisammioside was largely influenced by precipitation and soil physicochemical properties, including base saturation, aluminum saturation, and cation exchange capacity. This study provides guidance for seed introduction, cultivation, and standardized production of S. divaricata in Mongolia.

RevDate: 2026-01-08

Pakravan-Charvadeh MR, R Maleknia (2026)

The role of beliefs and behavioral intentions in the analysis of community health responses to climate change.

Scientific reports pii:10.1038/s41598-026-35106-3 [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2026-01-08

Sun J, Lv W, Wang S, et al (2026)

Functional group and aridity regulate impacts of climate change on plant phenology: a meta-analysis.

Nature communications pii:10.1038/s41467-025-68242-x [Epub ahead of print].

The interaction between temperature and precipitation greatly affects plant phenology. However, these effects can vary between additive, antagonistic, and synergistic, and it is not clear what determines these different outcomes. One hypothesis is that the effect on plant phenology varies with aridity and plant functional group. Here, we find support for this hypothesis using a global meta-analysis on the timing of leaf-out (2178 values from 55 experimental sites) and flowering (4027 values from 117 experimental sites). We find that, globally, the onset of leaf-out is more influenced by water availability than by temperature, while first flowering is more affected by temperature than by precipitation. On its own, warming advances leaf-out for all functional groups (except in semi-humid regions), whereas warming combined with decreased precipitation delays leaf-out in semi-arid regions. Warming also advances flowering across all functional groups, regardless of changes in precipitation and aridity. We observe synergistic effects of warming and precipitation on leaf-out for forbs in semi-arid regions, while antagonistic effects occur for grasses and sedges except in arid regions. Our findings suggest that considering drought tolerance or resistance of plants across ambient climates is critical for improving our understanding and predictions of how plant phenology responds to climate change.

RevDate: 2026-01-08

Tong M, Vargas N, Jha N, et al (2026)

Two decades of climate change and its impact on emergency department presentations in the Australian Capital Territory: Past trend and future projection.

Australian and New Zealand journal of public health pii:S1326-0200(25)00078-0 [Epub ahead of print].

OBJECTIVE: The objectives of this study were to explore health impact of climate change over the last two decades in the Australian Capital Territory and to project future changes under climate change.

METHODS: A time series design was used to assess temperature increases due to climate change and emergency department presentations.

RESULTS: A total of 1,442,354 emergency department presentations occurred, with 2.49% of emergency department presentations attributed to heat and 4.00% attributed to cold. Future projections indicated heat-attributable fraction will increase to 2.72% and cold-attributable fraction will decline to 3.21% by the middle of this century. The younger age group exhibited highest relative risks from both heat and cold, the middle age group was particularly sensitive to heat, while older adults were most vulnerable to cold.

CONCLUSIONS: Heat and cold contribute to increased emergency department presentations, with distinct age-specific vulnerabilities to temperature extremes. Projections indicate rising health burden associated with non-optimal temperatures, primarily driven by increasing heat-attributable fraction and concurrent decline in the cold-attributable fraction.

These findings highlight the urgent need for region-specific climate change adaptation strategies to mitigate the growing health impacts of temperature extremes, protect vulnerable populations and prepare healthcare systems for projected changes of emergency department presentations in the Australian Capital Territory under future climate conditions.

RevDate: 2026-01-08

Pillar VD, BR Winck (2026)

Natural grasslands used for grazing livestock can mitigate climate change.

Science (New York, N.Y.), 391(6781):eaea8344.

RevDate: 2026-01-08

Coll-Planell M, M Rodó-Zárate (2026)

Correction: Climate Relief Maps: A methodological framework for exploring everyday experiences of climate change through an intersectional lens.

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ESP Quick Facts

ESP Origins

In the early 1990's, Robert Robbins was a faculty member at Johns Hopkins, where he directed the informatics core of GDB — the human gene-mapping database of the international human genome project. To share papers with colleagues around the world, he set up a small paper-sharing section on his personal web page. This small project evolved into The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Support

In 1995, Robbins became the VP/IT of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, WA. Soon after arriving in Seattle, Robbins secured funding, through the ELSI component of the US Human Genome Project, to create the original ESP.ORG web site, with the formal goal of providing free, world-wide access to the literature of classical genetics.

ESP Rationale

Although the methods of molecular biology can seem almost magical to the uninitiated, the original techniques of classical genetics are readily appreciated by one and all: cross individuals that differ in some inherited trait, collect all of the progeny, score their attributes, and propose mechanisms to explain the patterns of inheritance observed.

ESP Goal

In reading the early works of classical genetics, one is drawn, almost inexorably, into ever more complex models, until molecular explanations begin to seem both necessary and natural. At that point, the tools for understanding genome research are at hand. Assisting readers reach this point was the original goal of The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Usage

Usage of the site grew rapidly and has remained high. Faculty began to use the site for their assigned readings. Other on-line publishers, ranging from The New York Times to Nature referenced ESP materials in their own publications. Nobel laureates (e.g., Joshua Lederberg) regularly used the site and even wrote to suggest changes and improvements.

ESP Content

When the site began, no journals were making their early content available in digital format. As a result, ESP was obliged to digitize classic literature before it could be made available. For many important papers — such as Mendel's original paper or the first genetic map — ESP had to produce entirely new typeset versions of the works, if they were to be available in a high-quality format.

ESP Help

Early support from the DOE component of the Human Genome Project was critically important for getting the ESP project on a firm foundation. Since that funding ended (nearly 20 years ago), the project has been operated as a purely volunteer effort. Anyone wishing to assist in these efforts should send an email to Robbins.

ESP Plans

With the development of methods for adding typeset side notes to PDF files, the ESP project now plans to add annotated versions of some classical papers to its holdings. We also plan to add new reference and pedagogical material. We have already started providing regularly updated, comprehensive bibliographies to the ESP.ORG site.

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Papers in Classical Genetics

The ESP began as an effort to share a handful of key papers from the early days of classical genetics. Now the collection has grown to include hundreds of papers, in full-text format.

Digital Books

Along with papers on classical genetics, ESP offers a collection of full-text digital books, including many works by Darwin and even a collection of poetry — Chicago Poems by Carl Sandburg.

Timelines

ESP now offers a large collection of user-selected side-by-side timelines (e.g., all science vs. all other categories, or arts and culture vs. world history), designed to provide a comparative context for appreciating world events.

Biographies

Biographical information about many key scientists (e.g., Walter Sutton).

Selected Bibliographies

Bibliographies on several topics of potential interest to the ESP community are automatically maintained and generated on the ESP site.

ESP Picks from Around the Web (updated 28 JUL 2024 )