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Bibliography on: Climate Change

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ESP: PubMed Auto Bibliography 02 Oct 2025 at 02:03 Created: 

Climate Change

The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet. But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big deal?

The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up, the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals. That's 25 million times more energy than released by the WW-II atomic bomb that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000 people.

So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic bombs worth of new energy, which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms. Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.

Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion

Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)

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RevDate: 2025-10-01
CmpDate: 2025-10-01

Abay G, S Gül (2025)

Modeling the distribution of the endemic Turkish moss species Cinclidotus bistratosus Kürschner & Lüb.-Nestle (Pottiaceae) under various climate change scenarios.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1659115.

The extant literature on the subject is inconclusive, with only a paucity of studies addressing variations in the distribution patterns of moss species, particularly those with restricted distributions, in the framework of climate change. Consequently, we constructed simulated current and predicted prospective potential distribution models of Cinclidotus bistratosus, a narrow-range endemic moss species belonging to Türkiye, using the CMCC-ESM2, HadGem3-GC31-LL, and MIROC6 climate models. The purpose of this paper is to examine the distinct habitat requirements of the endemic moss, the key environmental factors that influence its distribution, and the distribution changes of the species under climate change over a substantial spatial-temporal scale (between the periods 2021-2100). Precipitation of driest, hottest and coldest quarters has been identified as a key factor influencing C. bistratosus distribution models. The findings of this study indicate that the highest probability of habitat suitability for C. bistratosus is currently in the coastal regions of western and southern Türkiye. However, future projections indicate a substantial decline in suitable habitats and a potential expansion towards northern regions of the country. In the scenario of prospective climate warming, the appropriate habitat of C. bistratosus may shift towards northern and high-altitude regions under the SSP5-8.5 climate scenario. However, the species will not entirely withdrawal from the Mediterranean distribution range, and its possible distribution will be restricted in Türkiye. The present study provides significant information and support for understanding the effects of climate change on the distribution of C. bistratosus, as well as its future distribution and conservation strategies.

RevDate: 2025-10-01
CmpDate: 2025-10-01

Tran TTT, Tran KV, Nguyen TD, et al (2025)

Role of heat shock proteins in renal function and adaptation to heat stress: Implications for global warming.

World journal of nephrology, 14(3):107571.

The escalating global temperature, with 2024 as the hottest year, emphasizes the critical link between climate change and kidney health. Extreme heat, a consequence of global warming, causes multifaceted effects on human physiology, including renal function alterations. This review investigates physiological and molecular mechanisms of heat stress-induced kidney injury, including acute kidney injury, chronic kidney disease (CKD), and urinary stone formation. It highlights how heat stress contributes to renal dysfunction via dehydration, electrolyte imbalances, and activation of the renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system and antidiuretic hormone pathways, particularly in vulnerable populations like outdoor workers, the elderly, and pregnant women. The review also emphasizes the roles of heat shock proteins (HSPs)-HSP27, HSP60, HSP70, and HSP90-in maintaining cellular integrity by preventing protein aggregation and repairing damaged proteins in renal tissues. Dysregulation of these proteins under prolonged heat stress is implicated in CKD progression. This review highlights the urgent need for targeted public health interventions: (1) Hydration; (2) Workplace cooling; (3) Community education; and (4) Developing pharmacological therapies targeting HSPs. A multidisciplinary approach involving nephrology, environmental science, and public health is essential to mitigate the increasing burden of heat-related kidney disease in the era of global climate change.

RevDate: 2025-10-01
CmpDate: 2025-10-01

Reisig V, Starker A, Haftenberger M, et al (2025)

Climate Change and Prevention - Review of Prevention Indicators of the German Federal States in Relation to 'Climate Change and Health'.

Journal of health monitoring, 10(3):e13411.

BACKGROUND: The risks of climate change for human health are becoming increasingly apparent. The prevention indicator system of the German federal states (Länder in Deutschland), developed between 2018 and 2022, was therefore reviewed in relation to its relevance to climate change.

METHODS: As a first step, a working group with members from different German federal states developed a model on the relationships between climate change and health in the context of prevention. Central aspects of this model were translated into a checklist based on guiding questions, which was used to conduct a systematic, standardised, and evidence-informed assessment of the climate relevance of the prevention indicator system of the German federal states.

RESULTS: Climate change relevance was identified for a total of 49 out of 73 prevention indicators. Most frequently, climate relevance was found for indicators relating to particularly vulnerable groups to climate change-related health impacts (27 indicators), followed by 18 indicators addressing health consequences of climate change.

CONCLUSIONS: The assessment methodology that we developed proved suitable and can be applied to assess climate relevance in other health indicator systems. This prevention indicator system requires further development of climate aspects that have not yet been included, such as 'health-relevant climate change impacts', 'health costs', and indicators on vaccine-preventable diseases as climate adaptation measures.

RevDate: 2025-10-01
CmpDate: 2025-10-01

Melese D, Lemessa D, Abebe M, et al (2025)

Modelling the distribution of Ekebergia capensis sparrm. (Meliaceae) under the current and future climate change scenarios in Ethiopia.

BMC ecology and evolution, 25(1):99.

BACKGROUND: Ekebergia capensis is a valuable tropical tree occurring on highlands of Ethiopia and used for traditional medicines, fodder for livestock and fruits are eaten by birds and other wild animals. However, it faces climate change threats and increased anthropogenic pressure, mainly, selective cutting for timber, firewood and expansions of agriculture across its range. Understanding the impacts of climate change on its suitable ranges is crucial to identify high-priority areas for its effective conservation and management plans. The study aimed to predict suitable habitats of Ekebergia capensis and examine factors influencing its distribution under current climate and future climate scenarios.

METHODS: We used an ensemble modeling approach with 10 replications of five algorithms: BRT (boosted regression trees), RF (random forest), GLM (generalized linear model), GAM (generalized additive model), and Maxent (maximum entropy). Model performance was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the true skill statistic (TSS), and visual assessment of ROC curves.

RESULTS: The AUC and TSS of the ensemble model are 0.88 and 0.68, respectively, showing a very good performance. The currently predicted suitable habitat for Ekebergia capensis covers an area of approximately 215,869.87 km², representing 19.05% of the country. Under climate projections for the 2050s based on emission scenarios, the range of this species will decline by 31.71% under the medium (SSP2-4.5) and by 33.56% under the worst-case (SSP5-8.5) scenario. In the 2070s, the suitable habitats of this species will decrease by 45.44% and 47.14% under SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5, respectively. Ekebergia capensis will lose a large portion of its suitable habitats between 2050s and 2070s, i.e., 16.92% under SSP2-4.5 and 15.24% under SSP5-8.5. This study suggests that southern, central, southwestern, and eastern highlands of Ethiopia provide suitable areas for the species. In contrast, suitable habitats in the northern part of the country will be either lost or fragmented in the future.

CONCLUSIONS: Our findings show that climate change significantly affects the suitable habitats of Ekebergia capensis. Only selected parts of its current habitat will remain suitable, while others will be lost or become isolated in the future. This species has recalcitrant seeds and cannot be stored ex-situ. Therefore, conservation efforts should prioritize in situ strategies such as habitat restoration, reintroduction, and assisted migration across its range. In addition, combining in situ efforts with carefully selected ex situ methods could offer a more comprehensive approach to conserving this species.

RevDate: 2025-10-01

Huang Y, Zhao G, Yang Y, et al (2025)

Distribution and cultivation area dynamics of Aralia Elata (Miq.) Seem. In the upper reaches of the Dadu-Minjiang river under climate change.

BMC plant biology, 25(1):1244.

RevDate: 2025-10-01

Mnyigumba R, Mohamed H, Mwanga S, et al (2025)

Community and health workers' perspective on impacts of climate change on reproductive, maternal, and child health outcomes in Kilwa district council, Tanzania: a qualitative study.

BMC public health, 25(1):3185.

RevDate: 2025-09-30
CmpDate: 2025-10-01

Gyawali P, Shrestha B, Phanomsophon T, et al (2025)

Predicting biomass global warming potential with FT-NIR spectroscopy.

Scientific reports, 15(1):33725.

This research is to predict the global warming potential (GWP) of biomass by using Fourier transform near-infrared (FT-NIR) spectroscopy. A partial least squares regression model of 197 biomass chip samples was developed for predicting GWP of fast-growing trees and agricultural residues. The reference value of GWP of biomass sample was calculated by the method provided by Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). After applying different spectral pretreatments and variable selection methods, the best model for predicting GWP was found using the 1st derivative spectrum pretreatment and covariance method (COVM) based variable selection. The results indicate GWP model exhibit good predictive capabilities, where the model can be usable with caution for any purpose including research, by achieving a coefficient of determination for prediction set (R[2]P) of 0.86, and ratio of prediction to deviation (RPD) of 2.6. Additionally, the RMSEP of 0.00063 suggests a low prediction error. This pioneering approach presents a swift and efficient means to determine GWP, the complex functionality parameter, which reveals an optimal relationship model, showcasing its efficacy in a significant advancement in the assessment of biomass functionality related to climate change issue. Additionally, the further research is recommended to integrate FT-NIR data with thermogravimetric analyser to simulate of different thermal conversion of biomass type where different emission gases are generated and with gas chromatography-mass spectrometry for evaluation of concentration of the generated gases for further refine GWP predictions which providing more comprehensive insights and exact content of emission gases affect global warming to support the IPCC.

RevDate: 2025-09-30
CmpDate: 2025-10-01

Lemma AG, Tilahun GT, BT Bekele (2025)

Modeling the impact of climate change on dengue transmission dynamics in Dire Dawa, Afar, and Somali, Ethiopia: an African regional perspective.

Scientific reports, 15(1):33979.

This study investigates the impacts of climate variables on dengue transmission dynamics using an advanced deterministic model that incorporates climate-related entomological parameters. Key findings indicate that temperature and rainfall significantly influence dengue transmission by affecting mosquito behavior and life cycles. Human behavior plays a key role in influencing the severity and spread of dengue amid climate change. To effectively address climate-related impacts on dengue, strategies must go beyond technological and environmental solutions and also focus on modifying behaviors related to urbanization, vector control, hygiene, and health-seeking practices. Our sensitivity analysis highlights vital parameters such as the biting rate, where a mere 1-unit increase can elevate the basic reproduction number ([Formula: see text]) by one unit. Similarly, transmission probabilities (α and β) and the mosquito birth rate collectively contribute to approximately 50% of disease amplification. Interestingly, a 1.4-fold increase in mosquito mortality rate ([Formula: see text]) significantly reduces [Formula: see text], underscoring the potential of targeted mortality interventions. Furthermore, we examined all mosquito related climate based parameters that enable us to identify the region that more affected and regions exhibit varying environmental conditions and outcomes, with Somali showing the most favorable conditions for dengue transmission. Among the strategies evaluated, the combined use of pesticide-treated bed nets and prompt treatment of infected individuals proved to be both highly effective and cost-efficient. Our findings emphasize that managing mosquito populations through environmental controls such as enhanced drainage systems and waste management is paramount in mitigating dengue outbreaks. This comprehensive approach offers a promising pathway to safeguard vulnerable communities against the growing threat of climate-influenced dengue transmission.

RevDate: 2025-09-30

Gisa K, Tietze F, Du QA, et al (2025)

From production to climate technology contribution: Exploring the nonlinear relationship between green manufacturing orientation and climate change innovation.

Journal of environmental management, 394:127218 pii:S0301-4797(25)03194-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Firms are increasingly facing pressure to align their manufacturing strategies with environmental goals; however, evidence on whether these efforts are associated with meaningful climate change innovation (CCI) remains mixed. This study examines the impact of green manufacturing orientation (GMO) on CCI and whether this relationship varies across different industries. We apply a text-based GMO measure from annual reports for 322 Standard and Poor's 500 firms between 2009 and 2019 and link it to climate-related patent data. Panel regression analysis reveals an inverted U-shaped relationship, where moderate levels of GMO are most strongly associated with CCI contributions, while overly intensive approaches exhibit diminishing returns in non-manufacturing industries. In contrast, for manufacturing firms, the relationship is U-shaped. These findings extend the natural resource-based view by conceptualizing GMO as a bounded, context-dependent capability and emphasize that policymakers should prioritize GMO investments in manufacturing sectors, where stronger and sustained innovation benefits are likely to be realized.

RevDate: 2025-09-30
CmpDate: 2025-09-30

Peng S, Ellison AM, CC Davis (2025)

Climate change intensifies plant-pollinator mismatch and increases secondary extinction risk for plants in northern latitudes.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(40):e2506265122.

Climate change is altering the timing of species' life-cycle events (i.e., phenology), but the rates of phenological shifts vary across taxa. These mismatches in phenological response may disrupt interactions between interdependent species, such as plants and their pollinators, which may lead to reduced plant reproduction via pollen limitation and thus contribute to secondary extinction risks for plants. However, secondary extinction risk is rarely assessed under future climate-change scenarios. Here, we used ca. 15,000 crowdsourced specimen records of Viola species and their solitary bee pollinators, spanning 120 y across the eastern United States, and integrated climate data, phenological information, and species distribution models to quantify the risk of secondary plant extinction associated with phenological mismatch with their bee pollinators. We further examined geographical patterns in secondary extinction risk for plants and explored how their interactions between plants and generalist versus specialist pollinators influence such risk. Secondary local extinction risk of Viola spp. increases with latitude, indicating that future climate change will pose a greater threat to plant-bee pollinator networks at northern latitudes. Additionally, the sensitivity of secondary local extinction risk to phenological mismatch with both generalist and specialist bee pollinators varies by latitude, with specialist bees showing a sharper decline at higher latitudes. Our findings demonstrate that existing conservation priorities based solely on primary extinction risk directly caused by climate change may be insufficient to support self-sustaining populations of plants. Thus, incorporating secondary extinction risk resulting from ecological mismatches between plants and pollinators into future global conservation frameworks should be carefully considered.

RevDate: 2025-09-30

Pereira PS, Peterson JA, Ramos RS, et al (2025)

Modeling of suitable geographic areas for Striacosta albicosta in corn and dry bean crops under climate change scenarios.

Pest management science [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Striacosta albicosta (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) is an important pest that causes damage to corn and dry beans. This pest originally occurred only in parts of the western United States, but initiated a concerning range expansion in 1999 and is now present in eastern North America, particularly in the Great Lakes region. Consequently, evaluating the geographical distribution of this insect is very important for its management, as it helps to identify current occurrences and predict future spread into different regions of the world. We investigated areas suitable for the establishment of the pest S. albicosta and its hosts, under current and future climate scenarios.

RESULTS: The variables that contributed most to the model were the mean annual temperature range, mean annual temperature, and precipitation of the driest month. Although the pest is currently restricted to North America, the study indicates that regions in Europe, Asia, Oceania, South America, and Africa also present suitable conditions for its occurrence. Under current conditions, 11.41% of the area was classified as suitable, whereas 8.81% was identified as highly suitable for S. albicosta.

CONCLUSION: This study is the first to identify regions with suitable climatic conditions for the introduction and establishment of this pest under current and future climate scenarios. These results can guide government agencies in implementing preventive measures, such as inspections and quarantines, to prevent the spread of this pest to new areas. © 2025 The Author(s). Pest Management Science published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Society of Chemical Industry.

RevDate: 2025-09-30
CmpDate: 2025-09-30

Ni Y, Zhao J, Yuan Y, et al (2025)

Climate change and antimicrobial resistance: a global-scale analysis.

BMC infectious diseases, 25(1):1191.

BACKGROUND: Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) represents a major global health threat. Although regional studies have explored the relationship between climate change and AMR, a comprehensive global analysis incorporating extreme climate events has not yet been conducted.

METHODS: We analyzed global data from 2000 to 2023, encompassing over 28 million bacterial isolates from eight common pathogens and 14 antibiotic categories. Climate data were sourced from NOAA, and resistance data were obtained from ResistanceMap, ECDC, and PLISA databases. Linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) were applied to evaluate the associations between climate indices and resistance rates.

RESULTS: Temperature was consistently positively correlated with resistance rates across most bacterial species. The mean temperature was significantly associated with resistance rates even after adjusting for covariates. Extreme temperature indicators, including intensity indices (TXx, TNx, TXn and TNn), absolute threshold indices (SU, TR and DTR), relative threshold indices (TN90p and TX90p), and duration indices (CSDI and WSDI) exhibited significant positive correlations with resistance rates. In contrast, cold-related indices (FD, ID, TN10p and TX10p) were negatively correlated with resistance rates. Among the precipitation indices, only CDD demonstrated a significant positive association with aggregated AMR after full adjustment; all the other precipitation metrics showed no statistically significant correlation. Furthermore, subgroup analyses of WHO priority pathogens confirmed the robust effect of temperature, but revealed that precipitation indices, particularly CDD, had opposing correlations with resistance across different pathogens.

CONCLUSIONS: This study provides robust global evidence that rising temperatures and extreme heat are consistent drivers of AMR, whereas the impact of precipitation is complex and pathogen dependent. These findings underscore the need for climate-informed public health strategies that integrate climate surveillance into AMR action plans to develop targeted interventions against these intertwined global threats.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-30

Zare M, Azam S, Sauchyn D, et al (2025)

Assessment and mapping of climate change impacts on spring wheat yield in Southern Saskatchewan using DSSAT and high-resolution RCM projections.

Scientific reports, 15(1):33680.

Climate change presents both potential benefits and drawbacks for crop production in Canada. An assessment and mapping of future climate change impacts on spring wheat yield in Saskatchewan is crucial because the province largely accounts for Canada's share of the global wheat market. We applied ten climate change scenarios (high-resolution (0.22°) regional simulations) to the CERES-Wheat module of the Decision Support System for Agro-technology Transfer (DSSAT) model using a historical baseline period (1975-2004) and three 30-year future periods: near (2010-2039), middle (2040-2069), and far (2070-2099). The model showed high accuracy with d-values always higher than 0.75 for the calibration (d-value = 0.84) and the validation (d-value = 0.82) periods. Furthermore, the model showed a remarkable similarity between the observed and simulated spring wheat yields. Results indicate a median yield increase of 16.1% in the near future, 27.5% in the middle future, and 10.9% in the far future. While there is a general rise in the annual wheat yield under future climate conditions and elevated CO2, yield in the far future exhibits a notable decline, particularly in the extreme southern and southwestern areas of Saskatchewan which is exposed to increased aridity under higher temperatures. Conversely, the northern regions are expected to experience significantly higher yields, primarily due to a shift towards wetter conditions and longer growing season. Whereas DSSAT is a commonly used model, the current research is novel by extending the analysis at high-resolution over a large area representing more than 40% of Canada's crop land.

RevDate: 2025-09-29

Lafia N' Gobi GM, Moussa S, Falalou H, et al (2025)

Urban pearl millet farmers' perceptions of climate change and adaptation strategies in Niamey commune V, the Sahel.

Scientific reports, 15(1):33648 pii:10.1038/s41598-025-14952-7.

Climate variability in the Niamey region presents a dual-faceted challenge. Yet most studies focus on broader farming systems. This study investigated the climate change perceptions and adaptation strategies developed by urban pearl millet farmers in Niamey Commune V, an area often overlooked in agricultural studies. Using snowball sampling, data were collected on socio-demographic and socio-economic characteristics, climate change perception, and adaptation strategies through structured interviews, focus group discussions, and analysis of 30 years of rainfall data (1991-2020). A sample of 150 pearl millet farmers aged at least 40 years was surveyed, and key informant interviews were conducted with the Agricultural Extension Unit. Descriptive statistics, statistical tests, and multinomial logistic regression were used to identify the determinants of adaptation strategy adoption. Findings revealed a high level of climate awareness among farmers over the past 30 years, which led to the adoption of both local and extension-based adaptation measures. Significant disruptions in rainfall were noted. Farmers primarily used soil fertility regeneration techniques, crop diversification, crop defense, improved seeds, organic fertilizers, adjusted planting calendars, water conservation techniques, and prayers or rituals to cope with these changes. Local practices aimed at improving productivity and climate adaptation, while extension-derived practices emphasized the synergy between productivity, adaptation, and mitigation. This research addresses a critical knowledge gap in how urban pearl millet farmers perceive and respond to climate change impacts. The study's findings are significant for urban agriculture policy, underscoring the need for timely climate information, effective extension services, and the integration of adaptive agricultural practices into urban planning. These steps are crucial for enhancing resilience and fostering sustainable development in urban agriculture.

RevDate: 2025-09-29

Inglesi-Lotz R, Kuziboev B, Kurbonov K, et al (2025)

Renewable energy towards ensuring women employment: Mediating and moderating role of climate change vulnerability.

Journal of environmental management, 394:127454 pii:S0301-4797(25)03430-9 [Epub ahead of print].

The shift to renewable energy is not just about saving the planet; it is also a huge opportunity to help women thrive, yet the literature has not fully explored this connection. This paper examines the relationship between renewable energy, climate change risks, and women's employment, highlighting the challenges women often face due to energy shortages and climate change. Using data from 139 countries between 2000 and 2023, our study demonstrates that renewable energy consistently enhances women's employment, particularly in countries where a significant proportion of women are already in the workforce. The findings of this study indicate that renewable energy is a positive factor in mitigating climate-related burdens. Climate change worsens the opportunity for women to secure employment, while renewable energy is found to serve as a safety net (positive impact of renewable energy on women's jobs). This study's findings demonstrate that renewable energy can empower women economically and make them more resilient to the effects of climate change. Current and future policies need to show a gender-responsive nature in addressing climate change, giving women a fair and sustainable opportunity.

RevDate: 2025-09-29

Huryn AD (2025)

Rust never sleeps: Climate change, permafrost thaw, and the rapid environmental degradation of wilderness river ecosystems.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(40):e2522469122.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Rodriguez MD, Bossu CM, Anderson EC, et al (2025)

Genetic, phenotypic, and environmental drivers of local adaptation and climate change-induced maladaptation in a migratory songbird.

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 122(40):e2518497122.

Understanding processes driving local adaptation in wild species is a key goal in evolutionary biology, but linking genotype to phenotype to environmental drivers of natural selection remains challenging. Even more rare are empirical examples of what happens when genotype and phenotype fail to keep pace with environmental change. Here, we explore these connections by conducting an integrative study on the breeding range of the yellow warbler (Setophaga petechia). Using genome-wide association studies (GWAS), we first identify loci associated with variation in bill morphology and individual quality. We then employ gene-environment association (GEA) analyses and find that precipitation is a key environmental driver of putative selection on bill shape. Finally, we test whether contemporary individuals whose bill shapes deviate from the historical relationship with precipitation experience increased stress (measured by telomere length) as a result of maladaptation. We also use historical DNA to test whether local populations have shifted their ranges over the past century, confirming that the observed changes are not due to range shifts. Our results align with predictions from GWAS and GEA analyses, indicating that birds with shallower bills in increasingly arid regions suffer higher stress (i.e., shorter telomeres) because of maladaptation. Overall, this study links genetic, phenotypic, and environmental data with stress biomarkers to improve understanding of the process of local adaptation and the consequence of failing to keep pace with changing climate conditions.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Li H, Cheng L, Song J, et al (2025)

Potential geographical distribution of Garcinia paucinervis Chun et How in China under future climate change scenarios based on the MaxEnt Model.

PloS one, 20(9):e0330483.

Garcinia paucinervis Chun et How is a tree species with important ecological, medicinal, and ornamental value. Studying the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of this species offers important information for resource conservation, population restoration, and sustainability. In this study, the MaxEnt model was used to simulate potential distributions under climate change conditions. Results showed that the precipitation of the driest quarter (Bio-17) ranging from 33.3 to 133.3 mm, the precipitation of the warmest quarter (Bio-18) from 667.67 to 1000 mm, the annual mean temperature (Bio-01) from 18.0 to 24.0 °C, and the annual precipitation (Bio-12) from 1250.0 to 1760.0 mm were four dominant factors affecting the distribution of G. paucinervis. Its suitable habitat in China is the narrowest, and it is located in most regions of Guangxi and Guangdong, the southern region of Guizhou, and the southeastern part of Yunnan Province. In the 2050s and 2070s, the geographical distribution gradually decreased compared to current scenarios. Specifically, most of Guangxi and Guangdong, the southern region of Guizhou, the eastern part of Yunnan adjacent to Guangxi, the southeast region of Sichuan, and the northern region of Hainan were identified as stable suitable habitats for G. paucinervis. Meanwhile, the expanding areas were located only in the western and southern regions of Yunnan, and the contracting areas were in the junction of Guangdong, Fujian, and Jiangxi; among Guizhou, Chongqing, and Hunan; among Anhui, Henan, and Hubei; the southeastern region of Sichuan; the western region of Hubei; and the adjacent area between Chongqing and Sichuan. By the 2070s, the contracting habitats will additionally include the central Guizhou region, the northern regions of Guangdong and Guangxi, the eastern region of Guangdong adjacent to Fujian, and the southern Jiangxi Provinces. Thus, this study highlights the vulnerability of the species and its response to future climate change and provides insights for assessing habitat suitability for conservation management.

RevDate: 2025-10-01
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Karl S, Skinner EB, McEwen S, et al (2025)

Climate Change Is Expected to Expand Malaria Transmission Range and Population at Risk in Papua New Guinea.

GeoHealth, 9(10):e2025GH001541.

Warming temperatures are expanding the potential for malaria transmission into higher altitudes, with important implications for malaria control planning. In Papua New Guinea (PNG), malaria is widespread in lowland areas but rarely transmitted above 1,600 m. This study assessed changes in malaria transmission suitability across PNG from 1960 to 2019 and projected shifts through 2040, using satellite-derived temperature data and climate models. We applied a temperature-dependent basic reproduction number (R 0) to identify shifts in geographic suitability, estimate the population at risk, and evaluate the effectiveness of interventions. Malaria temperature suitability ranges have subtly changed between 1960 and 2019, with the proportion of people living in suitable areas increasing from 58% to 61% (equivalent to an additional 249,125 people). Under a conservative climate change model, this proportion is expected increase to 74% by 2040 (equivalent to an additional 2,802,709 people). Interventions had a larger impact on malaria incidence in areas with R 0 < 0.3, mitigating the current and future impact of climate change. Nevertheless, the number of people requiring access to malaria control is expected to double by 2040, to 13.4 million with 2.8 million attributed to climate change alone. The impacted areas are densely populated highlands regions with a more susceptible population and an increased potential for epidemics and clinical disease. These findings underscore the challenges of climate change for malaria elimination in PNG and highlight the need to accurately guide preparedness and forecast the additional resource requirements.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Hampton S, Taylor E, L Whitmarsh (2025)

Parenting and climate change: assessing carbon capability in early parenthood.

Population and environment, 47(4):34.

UNLABELLED: Climate change is an intergenerational issue, with parents uniquely positioned to influence both current emissions and future generations' environmental attitudes. This study explores the attitudes, beliefs, and behaviours of parents in the UK regarding climate change, assessing their 'carbon capability'. Using data from a nationally representative survey (n = 1001), in-depth interviews (n = 30), and focus groups (n = 7), we found that parenthood is associated with increased energy consumption, transport use, and plastic waste. Despite these challenges, parents demonstrated a high capacity to influence and be influenced by others. They were aware of their environmental impacts and were open to adopting pro-environmental behaviours, driven by a desire to prepare and protect their children. Parents preferred timely information provision as a policy response but recognise the need for more substantive, structural interventions to support sustainable living. This study highlights the critical role of parents in climate action and calls for targeted policies to enhance their carbon capability. By applying the carbon capability framework, which integrates individual and structural factors, this research contributes to both parenting and environmental psychology literatures. Our findings underscore the importance of empowering parents with the knowledge and tools necessary to reduce their carbon footprints and foster a new generation of climate-conscious citizens.

SUPPLEMENTARY INFORMATION: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11111-025-00506-6.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Li Y, Zhong T, Ning Y, et al (2025)

Global climate change and Macadamia habitat suitability: MaxEnt-based prediction under future scenarios.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1658566.

Global climate change poses a major challenge for contemporary forestry. Macadamia is an economically valuable tree genus that is widely cultivated across multiple countries and regions. However, few studies have focused on its adaptive distribution and spatiotemporal dynamics under projected global warming scenarios. In this study, we collected the global occurrence records of two commercial Macadamia species (Macadamia integrifolia Maiden & Betche and Macadamia tetraphylla L.A.S. Johnson) and employed a parameter-optimized MaxEnt model to project their suitable habitats under current and future climate scenarios. The optimized model exhibited excellent predictive performance (AUC = 0.979), with a regularization multiplier of 0.5 and linear-quadratic-hinge feature combination. Key bioclimatic variables include: annual Mean temperature (bio1), isothermality (bio3), min temperature of coldest month (bio6), annual precipitation (bio12), and precipitation of driest month (bio14), which collectively comprise 88.2% of the model's explanatory power. Under the current scenario, the most suitable cultivation areas were determined to be located in Australia, China, South Africa, Brazil, Madagascar, Argentina, and the United States. Compared with the current scenario, total habitat areas under future scenarios (specifically SSP126/585 in the 2030s and 2050s; SSP126/245/370 in the 2070s) are projected to increase by 1.13-7.51%, while reductions of 0.03-2.98% are projected under the other scenarios (SSP245/370 in the 2030s and 2050s; SSP585 in the 2070s). Notably, Brazil exhibits habitat reductions of 2.59-20.06% across all scenarios, while China shows increases of 0.70-45.11%. Furthermore, M. integrifolia was determined to exhibit greater cultivation potential and global expansion feasibility in range than M. tetraphylla. This study elucidates the dominant environmental drivers, current habitat suitability, and climate-driven shifts in Macadamia distribution, providing an empirical basis for sustainable cultivation under climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Liu H, Liu Q, Cui X, et al (2025)

Prediction of Potential Suitable Habitats for Elaphodus cephalophus in China Under Climate Change Scenarios.

Ecology and evolution, 15(10):e72194.

Global climate change exerts profound impacts on biodiversity and species distributions, potentially leading to habitat contraction and species extinction. As an endemic near-threatened species designated under China's National Class II Protected Wildlife, the tufted deer (Elaphodus cephalophus) lacks comprehensive predictions regarding its future distribution under climate change. This study employs an optimized MaxEnt model integrated with 19 climatic variables and environmental factors (topography, vegetation, and anthropogenic disturbances) to systematically predict the species' potential habitat distribution across China. Through parameter screening of 248 combinations using the Kuenm package, the optimal model configuration achieved exceptional predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.977 ± 0.002). Key findings include: (1) Current suitable habitats span 145.98 × 10[4] km[2], predominantly clustered in the Sichuan-Guizhou-Yunnan mountainous regions and the Qinling-Daba-Wuling ranges; (2) Annual precipitation, elevation, slope, temperature annual range, NDVI, and temperature seasonality emerged as the variables that performed best in predicting habitat suitability for tufted deer; (3) Projected habitat areas under future climate scenarios will contract by 21.8%-28.4%, with shrinkage concentrated in eastern low-elevation zones and expansion toward the eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau; (4) Habitat centroids exhibit significant westward shifts, reaching 141.8 km under SSP585 (2090s). This study provided theoretical foundations for conserving E. cephalophus genetic resources and climate-adaptive management, emphasizing the urgency to prioritize ecological corridor construction in western Sichuan-southeastern Tibet.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Huang Y, Zhao G, Yang Y, et al (2025)

Dynamics of Potential Distribution and Cultivation Areas of Plantago asiatica L. Under Climate Change: A Case Study of the Uppers of Dadu River-Minjiang River Basin.

Ecology and evolution, 15(10):e72172.

Global warming has induced significant shifts in spatiotemporal environmental patterns of plants. P. asiatica, highly prized for its edible and medicinal value, is widely harvested and utilized by residents in the upper reaches of the Dadu River and Minjiang River. This study employed ensemble models to simulate the potential distribution of P. asiatica in this region, predicting the impacts of future climate change on its distribution and niche. Additionally, a production dynamics model integrating the synergistic effects of ecological suitability and nutritional components of P. asiatica was developed to delineate its current and future potential cultivation zones. The results revealed the following: (1) Currently, both suitable habitats and cultivation zones of P. asiatica are primarily distributed in low-altitude river valley areas within the upper reaches of the Minjiang River and Dadu River. (2) In future periods, high-quality suitable habitats and cultivation zones of P. asiatica will increase to varying degrees, with its niche exhibiting a trend of migration toward higher-altitude regions. (3) Under the SSP5-8.5 climate emission scenario, the areas of suitable habitats and cultivation zones of P. asiatica will experience the greatest expansion, accompanied by the largest amplitude of niche migration. This study will facilitate the formulation of suitability-based management strategies for P. asiatica in the upper reaches of the Dadu River and Minjiang River, and provide a scientific reference for the sustainable utilization of mountain plant resources under climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Du Y, Jiang Y, Zheng B, et al (2025)

Assessing the Giant Panda Protected Areas and Habitat Trends for Sympatric Endangered Species: A Climate Change Perspective.

Ecology and evolution, 15(10):e72179.

Climate change is a significant driver of biodiversity loss in the 21st century, primarily by affecting species distributions. We employed an optimized MaxEnt model to investigate concurrent habitat trends of giant pandas and sympatric endangered species-forest musk deer-under various climate scenarios in the Liangshan Mountains. Additionally, we assessed the effectiveness of protected area boundaries designed for flagship species. Our findings indicate that both species are projected to face different levels of habitat reduction, with declines ranging from 6.73% to 16.24% for giant pandas and from 1.53% to 24.17% for forest musk deer. Additionally, both species show a trend of migration towards the central areas and higher elevations in the Liangshan Mountains. The areas of jointly suitable habitat are also expected to decrease by 15.37%-37.15%, and the proportion of jointly suitable habitat within their respective suitable habitats will also diminish, highlighting both commonalities and differences in their responses to climate change. The overall habitat suitability for giant pandas is expected to improve, while the suitability for forest musk deer is expected to decline. However, habitat suitability within protected areas remains consistently higher than outside these zones, suggesting that the current boundaries of the protected areas are likely to remain effective in maintaining suitable environmental conditions for both species under future climate scenarios. We recommend developing joint conservation strategies for species inhabiting the Liangshan Mountains, where jointly suitable habitats are either stable or on the rise. These areas may serve as potential refuges for mammals with similar habitat preferences as climate change progresses. Our results also yield critical insights for biodiversity conservation in China and worldwide. They are especially pertinent in contexts where conservation frameworks prioritize a single flagship species, thereby overlooking the ecological requirements of sympatric yet equally endangered species.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Beck SV, Kess T, Nugent CM, et al (2025)

Genomic Basis and Climate Change Vulnerability of Migration Timing in Atlantic Salmon (Salmo salar).

Evolutionary applications, 18(10):e70148.

With global environmental change, mismatches between seasonal movements of species and environmental conditions are increasingly impacting survival and persistence. Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) perform long-distance marine migrations culminating in a return to natal rivers, the timing of which varies among and within populations. Global declines of salmon raise the possibility that phenological mismatches could be a contributing factor; however, the underlying genetic architecture of run timing remains poorly understood. Here, we use a 220 K SNP Array to examine the association of genetic variation with run timing at a population level for 11 North American rivers. We also ask what the potential vulnerability of run timing is to future climate change by estimating trait-specific genomic offsets, i.e., predicted shifts in allele frequencies at loci associated with run timing under projected climate change, yielding relative estimates for each population. Detected associations suggest a polygenic basis for run timing, including a large structural variant and maturation-associated genes previously characterised in Atlantic salmon (six6, vgll3), and ppfia2, a migration-timing gene conserved across vertebrates. Genomic offsets associated with climate change impacts for run timing were highest in more northern populations, suggesting potential maladaptation in future migrations. By describing the genetic architecture of run timing in North American Atlantic salmon and possible impacts of climate change on the persistence of life-history strategies, results from this study contribute towards a better understanding of this complex life-history trait to inform future conservation management.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Martínez Lozada PS, JE Leon-Rojas (2025)

Neurological and mental health in the era of climate change: mechanisms, clinical impacts, and adaptation.

Frontiers in public health, 13:1630975.

Climate change has become a global health emergency in recent decades, with far-reaching effects on neurological and psychiatric health; however, their relationship remains poorly understood. Climate-related phenomena impact neurological and mental health through both direct and indirect mechanisms, including progressive temperature changes and more frequent extreme weather events. This has influenced the prevalence and geographic distribution of neurological disorders, affecting the public health landscape of these diseases. The primary mechanisms include thermal stress, neuroinflammation due to air pollution, ecological shifts that increase exposure to neurotropic infections, psychological stress, and disruptions to healthcare systems. These factors interact and amplify the risk of neurological diseases, including neurodegenerative, neuroinflammatory, cerebrovascular, neuroinfectious, and psychiatric conditions. The aim of this study was to synthesize evidence from peer-reviewed studies in major databases on the impact of climate change-related factors in the incidence, severity, and distribution of neurological and psychiatric disorders. Addressing the effect of climate change on these diseases requires improved healthcare strategies, scientific research, and climate change mitigation to protect brain health and reduce neurological disease burden.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Aran N, Sharma A, Bratu A, et al (2025)

The role of climate change anxiety in shaping childrearing intentions among people living in British Columbia.

Frontiers in public health, 13:1642689.

INTRODUCTION: Climate change concerns have emerged as a factor in shaping childrearing intentions. Given extreme weather events, climate change-related anxiety has increased drastically in the region of British Columbia (BC), Canada. This study explored how worry about an increasingly uncertain future may be associated with people's childrearing intentions in BC.

METHODS: This study used BC-CDMS (British Columbia Climate Distress Monitoring System) data from childless participants aged 16-44. We conducted multinomial logistic regression analyses (n = 441) to examine the association between climate change anxiety [measured using the Climate Change Anxiety Scale (CCAS)] and childrearing intentions. We controlled for covariates, including socio-demographic characteristics and generalized distress. A mediation analysis also tested whether political orientation mediates the primary relationship.

RESULTS: Participants who were undecided about having children (aOR = 1.58, 95% CI = 1.10-2.26) and those who planned not to have children (aOR = 1.64, 95% CI = 1.13-2.37) had higher CCAS scores compared to those who planned to have children. After controlling for covariates, climate change anxiety was still associated with childrearing intentions. Our mediation model indicated that political orientation scores partially mediate the relationship between climate anxiety and childrearing intentions.

DISCUSSION: Decision-makers should consider the impacts of climate anxiety and childrearing intentions on population and demographic shifts while supporting opportunities to reduce climate anxiety. Future research should consider the factors that influence and contribute to climate anxiety and climate-related distress, and their impact on childrearing intentions.

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-29

Ickin E, Conquet E, Abrahms B, et al (2025)

Comparative life-cycle analyses reveal interacting climatic and biotic drivers of population responses to climate change.

PNAS nexus, 4(9):pgaf286.

Responses of natural populations to climate change are driven by how multiple climatic and biotic factors affect survival and reproduction, and ultimately shape population dynamics. Yet, despite substantial progress in synthesizing the sensitivity of populations to climatic variation, comparative studies still overlook such complex interactions among drivers that generate variation in population-level metrics. Here, we use a common framework to synthesize how the joint effects of climate and biotic drivers on different vital rates impact population change, using unique long-term data from 41 species, ranging from trees to primates. We show that simultaneous effects of multiple climatic drivers exacerbate population responses to climate change, especially for fast-lived species. However, accounting for density feedbacks under climate variation buffers the effects of climate change on population dynamics. In all species considered in our analyses, such interactions between climate and density had starkly different effects depending on the age, size, or life-cycle stage of individuals, regardless of the life history of species. Our work provides the first general framework to assess how covarying effects of climate and density across a wide range of population models can impact populations of plants and animals under climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-28

Laudon H, Järveoja J, Ågren A, et al (2025)

Correction: Rewetting drained forested peatlands: A cornerstone of Sweden's climate change mitigation strategy.

RevDate: 2025-09-27

Singer ME, M Negev (2025)

Disparate Climate Change Health Costs: The Emissions, Vulnerability, and Readiness Nexus.

EcoHealth [Epub ahead of print].

The emissions, vulnerability, and readiness nexus illustrate several interrelated disparities between the Global North and South. We examine these disparities by mapping country-level CO2 emissions against climate-related mortality. Global North countries and China are the main contributors to CO2 emissions, whereas African countries and India are the most affected. This relationship is further reflected in a strong negative association between readiness for and vulnerability to climate change. The dichotomy between the Global North's contribution and the Global South's vulnerability to climate change risks underscores the urgent need for equitable climate policies that address these imbalances and bolster global readiness.

RevDate: 2025-09-27

Pinho-Gomes AC, Flores GC, Hulme R, et al (2025)

Women's health and wellbeing prioritisation in climate change national adaptation plans: A cross-sectional policy document analysis across 163 countries.

Environment international, 204:109811 pii:S0160-4120(25)00562-8 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Although the gendered impact of climate change is increasingly recognised, its inclusion in national adaptation plans (NAPs) remains unclear. This study investigated how the health, wellbeing and welfare of women are accounted for in climate NAPs published by 163 countries worldwide and identified the key thematic areas where the needs of women have been considered.

METHODS: NAPs were analysed across ten domains: health, gender-based violence, education, economy, power, food, environment, Emergency Preparedness, Resilience, and Response, and research and policy and 15 subdomains. Quantitative scoring used a 4-level Likert scale (none, minimal, some and substantial) for a maximum of 75 points. Content analysis was undertaken to identify themes for women's inclusion.

FINDINGS: Overall, countries in Sub-Saharan Africa and Latin America and the Caribbean achieved the highest total scores (median 7.0 points), whilst Central Asia and East Asia and the Pacific achieved the lowest total scores (median 1.5 and 2.5 points, respectively). At country level, the total score ranged from 0 points for 43 countries to 56 points in Bangladesh and the median score was 28 points. The quality analysis identified the inclusion of women in policy making, the consideration of gender as an important determinant of vulnerability, and the collection and of gender-disaggregated data. Women's vulnerability was considered across four themes: biophysiological, socioeconomic, type of work, and gender inequalities.

INTERPRETATION: Consideration of women's health, wellbeing and welfare in NAPs worldwide remains limited with a significant number of countries lacking any mention to women or gender. Further research is warranted to investigate whether policy commitments in NAPs are implemented and translate into improvement of women's lives.

RevDate: 2025-09-27

Requejo JH, Weigel R, Lazzerini M, et al (2025)

Measuring and monitoring child health and well-being - an integral part of the climate change agenda.

Health policy and planning pii:8266835 [Epub ahead of print].

RevDate: 2025-09-29
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Carbone G, Boiardi G, Infantino C, et al (2025)

Vectors on the Move: How Climate Change Fuels the Spread of Arboviruses in Europe.

Microorganisms, 13(9):.

Climate change is increasingly recognized as a major driver of emerging infectious diseases, particularly vector-borne diseases (VBDs), which are expanding in range and intensity worldwide. Europe, traditionally considered low-risk for many arboviral infections, is now experiencing autochthonous transmission of pathogens such as dengue, chikungunya, Zika virus, West Nile virus, malaria, and leishmaniasis. Rising temperatures, altered precipitation patterns, and milder winters have facilitated the establishment and spread of competent vectors, including Aedes, Anopheles, Phlebotomus, and Culex species, in previously non-endemic areas. These climatic shifts not only impact vector survival and distribution but also influence vector competence and pathogen development, ultimately increasing transmission potential. This narrative review explores the complex relationship between climate change and VBDs, with a particular focus on pediatric populations. It highlights how children may experience distinct clinical manifestations and complications, and how current data on pediatric burden remain limited for several emerging infections. Through an analysis of existing literature and reported outbreaks in Europe, this review underscores the urgent need for enhanced surveillance, integrated vector control strategies, and climate-adapted public health policies. Finally, it outlines research priorities to better anticipate and mitigate future disease emergence in the context of global warming. Understanding and addressing this evolving risk is essential to safeguard public health and to protect vulnerable populations, particularly children, in a rapidly changing climate.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Aslam B, SF Aljasir (2025)

Climate Change and AMR: Interconnected Threats and One Health Solutions.

Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland), 14(9): pii:antibiotics14090946.

Climate change is a significant driver of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and infectious disease dynamics, presenting urgent and interconnected global health challenges. Rising temperatures, ecosystem alterations, and extreme weather events amplify the global spread of resistant pathogens, zoonotic infections, and vector-borne diseases. These impacts disproportionately affect low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), escalating healthcare costs and straining limited infrastructure. A critical characteristic of bacterial resistance is that it often does not incur a fitness cost, underscoring the necessity of preventive strategies to mitigate climate-driven AMR emergence, rather than relying on reactive treatments after resistance is established. Climate change accelerates AMR primarily by increasing the prevalence of infectious diseases, which in turn drive higher antibiotic use and select resistance. The socioeconomic consequences are particularly severe in LMICs, where high climate vulnerability converges with weaker health systems. Pandemic-related disruptions provided key insights into environmental dynamics, with notable temporary reductions in nitrogen dioxide (NO2) emissions, i.e., 20-30% in China, Italy, France, and Spain, and approximately 30% in the USA, which highlights the responsiveness of ecosystems to human activity. Unlike prior reviews that treated AMR and climate change as separate issues, this article integrates mechanistic evidence, epidemiological insights, and global strategies to provide a comprehensive One Health framework addressing these synergistic threats. We conclude that AMR and climate change are interlinked crises requiring urgent, integrated interventions. The quadripartite (FAO, UNEP, WHO, WOAH) provides a crucial framework for the coordinated cross-sectoral strategies, strengthened surveillance, and robust antibiotic stewardship required to mitigate this dual threat and safeguard global health security.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Ale A, Andrade VS, Rojas Molina FM, et al (2025)

Nanozinc Ecotoxicity in the Freshwater Invasive Bivalve Limnoperna fortunei Under a Climate Change Scenario.

Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 15(18): pii:ani15182734.

In a changing world where temperature is expected to increase, emerging nanopollutants could affect the biota in complex ways. With zinc oxide nanoparticles (ZnONP) being one of the most applied nanomaterials, we exposed the freshwater invasive bivalve Limnoperna fortunei to 0 (control), 25, and 250 µg/L of ZnONP at 27 or 31 °C for 96 h. In parallel, a 24 h bioassay was performed to calculate filtration rate. After 96 h, in soft tissue of the bivalves, tissue-damage-related enzyme activities (aspartate aminotransferase and alkaline phosphatase) were inhibited at both concentrations and temperatures. Oxidative stress was observed through increased superoxide dismutase activity after both ZnONP concentrations at 27 °C and decreased catalase activity after 250 µg/L at 31 °C, while glutathione-S-transferase activity showed opposing significant tendencies depending on temperature. After 6 h, the filtration rate differed significantly between control groups, as it was higher at 31 °C. However, in case of 31 °C, bivalves exposed to ZnONP drastically decreased their filtration rate compared to control. Our study highlights nanotoxicological implications of ZnONP; as even at environmentally relevant concentrations (such as the lowest applied in this study), they exert deleterious effects on freshwater organisms, which could be worsened in a climate-change scenario.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Sonmez OF, Behbod B, Roberts C, et al (2025)

Role of Field Epidemiology in Environmental and Climate Change-Related Health Incidents in Wales: A Qualitative Analysis Through Expert Interviews.

International journal of environmental research and public health, 22(9): pii:ijerph22091452.

Climate change and environmental degradation pose significant challenges to public health globally, intensifying the frequency and severity of related health incidents. Field epidemiology, traditionally focused on infectious disease outbreaks, is now increasingly recognised as vital in addressing environmental and climate-related health threats. This study explores how organisations like Public Health Wales (PHW) can develop field epidemiology services responsive to these emerging challenges. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 18 global and national experts in field epidemiology, environmental health, and related disciplines. An inductive content analysis approach was used to identify themes relating to best practices, challenges, competencies, and future directions in environmental field epidemiology. Key findings emphasise the necessity for integrated, multi-sectoral collaboration, capacity building in One Health competencies, and innovative surveillance systems that incorporate environmental and climate data and exposure measures. Participants highlighted barriers such as fragmented governance, data quality issues, and resource constraints. The evolving role of field epidemiology includes applications of environmental and climate-related health phenomena to encompass prevention, preparedness, and recovery phases, supported by technological advancements and holistic health security frameworks. To effectively address environmental and climate-related health incidents, field epidemiology services must evolve towards integrated, multidisciplinary, and adaptive frameworks. Organisations like PHW may consider strengthening international collaboration, investing in workforce development, and implementing integrated surveillance systems that incorporate environmental drivers of health. These strategic priorities align with global public health functions and support resilient health systems capable of mitigating climate-related health risks.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Nkemjika S, Brown C, Onyeaka H, et al (2025)

Association Between Climate Change Awareness and Depression & Anxiety: Findings from a U.S. Sample.

International journal of environmental research and public health, 22(9): pii:ijerph22091426.

BACKGROUND: Exploring the connection between climate change awareness and overall well-being is crucial, particularly in how it impacts both the environment and mental health. The mental health consequences of climate change and its awareness have not been thoroughly examined, especially in the U.S. In this study, the relationship between awareness of climate change and depression or anxiety among U.S. adults was explored. Similarly, the role of climate change awareness has not been explored in relation to mental health concerns.

METHODS: Based on the HINTS-6 dataset, a nationally representative, cross-sectional survey conducted by the National Cancer Institute, a variety of statistical methods, including logistic regression models, to examine these relationships were used. This study had a sample size of 6154 participants. A statistically significant level of <0.05 was used.

RESULT: The findings showed that individuals who are aware of climate change have a higher adjusted odds ratio of 1.392 (1.160-1.671) for experiencing depression or anxiety compared to those who are unaware. Additionally, non-heterosexual individuals displayed a significantly higher adjusted odds ratio of 2.691 (CI: 2.125-3.407) for depression or anxiety, underscoring the strong connection between mental health and climate change awareness.

CONCLUSION: This study highlights a notable link between heightened awareness of climate change with depression and anxiety among the U.S.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Li M, Wang L, Liu H, et al (2025)

Spatiotemporal Distribution Shifts of Zelkova schneideriana Under Climate Change: A Biomod2-Driven Modeling Framework.

Biology, 14(9): pii:biology14091221.

Zelkova schneideriana (Ulmaceae), an endemic relict species of the Tertiary in China, has experienced a sharp decline in population due to habitat fragmentation, poor natural regeneration, and anthropogenic disturbances. It is currently listed as a category II national key protected wild plant and categorized as Vulnerable by the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN). To explore its response mechanisms to climate change, this study integrates 11 species distribution models (SDMs) to comprehensively predict its suitable habitat distribution patterns. Key environmental variables were identified as Bio06 (minimum temperature of the coldest month, 21.57%), Bio02 (mean diurnal range, 19.81%), Bio17 (precipitation of the driest quarter, 13.52%), Bio15 (precipitation seasonality, 8.32%), Bio07 (temperature annual range, 8.15%), Bio12 (annual precipitation, 6.58%), and elevation (6.57%), collectively contributing approximately 85%. Spatiotemporal analysis revealed that during historical glacial periods, suitable habitats were significantly restricted, and highly suitable zones were absent under extreme climatic conditions, suggesting the presence of potential glacial refugia. Under current climatic conditions, highly suitable habitats have expanded notably. However, under the high-emission scenario (SSP585) in the future, the suitable range is projected to shrink considerably, with a drastic reduction in highly suitable areas. Moreover, the suitability centroid is expected to shift markedly toward higher elevations in the northeast, indicating a potential adaptation strategy of Z. schneideriana toward mountainous regions in Hunan, Hubei, and Chongqing. These findings provide quantitative guidance for the formulation of targeted conservation strategies for Z. schneideriana and offer methodological insights for predicting suitable habitats and managing related relict plant species under the threat of climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Ali G, Abbas S, Nagai S, et al (2025)

Threats of Climate Change to Freshwater Ecosystems in Pakistan: eDNA Monitoring Will Be the Next-Generation Tool Used in Biodiversity, Conservation, and Management.

Biology, 14(9): pii:biology14091191.

Freshwater ecosystems are a significant entity that govern the livelihood of people and are an important source of food, employment, and recreation. However, climate change is impacting freshwater ecosystems by altering their natural habitats. The purpose of this review is to highlight the vulnerability of freshwater fish to climate change. Climate change is invariably affecting natural ecosystems everywhere and in every part of the world, but these threats are more severe in Pakistan. Freshwater fish are important biotic drivers of freshwater ecosystems. Unfortunately, uncertain climate changes and anthropogenic activities have led to a decline in the diversity of these fishes. Rising temperatures, melting glaciers, changes in seasonal patterns, disturbances in the natural flow of rivers, pollution, and invasive species are major threats to native freshwater fish fauna, leading to a decline in fish diversity and population. Tor putitora, Glyptothorax kashmirensis, and Triplophysa kashmirensis are some of the species that are critically endangered in Pakistan due to these factors. In recent decades, insufficient attention has been paid to the freshwater ecosystem. This review of threats to the endemic fish species in this region is presented so that the government and policymakers can use this information as part of their management and conservation policy, thus safeguarding Pakistan's fish industry. Environmental DNA (eDNA) biomonitoring is a new technique for assessing biodiversity and species distribution and can be useful for conserving biodiversity in this region. Another purpose of this review is to introduce this new conservation strategy to Pakistan.

RevDate: 2025-09-27
CmpDate: 2025-09-27

Helvacı Z, E Çolak (2025)

Phylogeography of Scarturus williamsi and Climate Change Impacts: Genetic Diversity and Projected Habitat Loss in Anatolia.

Biology, 14(9): pii:biology14091184.

Scarturus williamsi (Williams' jerboa) is a medium-sized, semi-fossorial rodent endemic to steppe ecosystems across Anatolia, Iran, and Azerbaijan, with specialized habitat requirements in semi-arid continental environments. This study integrates a mitochondrial DNA analysis with species distribution modeling to assess the species' evolutionary structure and vulnerability to future climate change. The phylogeographic analysis and species distribution modeling reveal the evolutionary history and climate vulnerability of Scarturus williamsi across Anatolia and adjacent regions. The mitochondrial DNA analysis of 98 individuals demonstrates exceptional haplotype diversity (Hd = 0.9896), with 90 unique haplotypes and complete regional isolation, indicating pronounced population structuring across five evolutionary lineages: Central Anatolia, Eastern Anatolia, Aegean, Black Sea, and Azerbaijan-Iran. The Iran-Azerbaijan lineage exhibits the deepest evolutionary divergence, while Eastern Anatolia functions as the primary Anatolian refugium and Central Anatolia as the secondary refugial center. The strong isolation by distance (r = 0.735, p < 0.001) across ~2500 km explains 54.0% of the genetic variation, with the hierarchical structure reflecting greater Iran-Turkey isolation than intra-Turkish differentiation. The species distribution modeling identifies the Mean Temperature of Driest Quarter (bio9) and the Mean Diurnal Range (bio2) as primary habitat determinants, with bimodal preferences reflecting highland versus steppe adaptations. Climate projections reveal severe vulnerability with habitat losses of 63.69-98.41% by 2081-2100 across emission scenarios. SSP3-7.0 represents the most catastrophic scenario, with a severe habitat reduction (98.41% loss), while even optimistic scenarios (SSP1-2.6) project a 60-70% habitat loss. All scenarios show accelerating degradation through mid-century, with the steepest losses occurring between 2041 and 2080. Projected eastward shifts face constraints from the Anatolian Diagonal, limiting the climate tracking capacity. Despite occupying open landscapes, S. williamsi exhibits exceptional sensitivity to climate change, with Anatolian refugial areas representing critical diversity centers facing substantial degradation. Results provide baseline genetic structure and climate vulnerability information for understanding climate impacts on S. williamsi and Irano-Anatolian steppe fauna.

RevDate: 2025-09-26

Vickers CE, P Zerbe (2025)

Harnessing plant agriculture to mitigate climate change: a framework to evaluate synthetic biology (and other) interventions.

Plant physiology pii:8266580 [Epub ahead of print].

Plant agriculture contributes substantially to global greenhouse gas emissions, yet it also offers powerful opportunities for climate change mitigation. Here we focus on how to identify and prioritize synthetic biology strategies to reduce emissions and sequester carbon through plant-based interventions. Effective solutions must process large volumes of carbon, be scalable, yield a positive lifecycle balance, and be economically viable, technically feasible, and deployable in field conditions without undue damage to what remains of nature on Earth. Using Fermi estimation, we quantify the 100-year CO2-equivalent (CO2e) drawdown potential of emerging synthetic biology strategies-including improved CO2 fixation, reduced yield losses, root-deposited biopolymers, engineered nitrogen fixation, and methane reduction-and benchmark them against non-engineered approaches such as biochar, forestation, and fast-growing biomass crops. We used a 100-year horizon to allow for both development and implementation of high-risk but high-impact synthetic biology strategies. We integrate factors such as per-hectare effectiveness, year-on-year sequestration, deployment area, and storage durability. We demonstrate that while per-hectare impacts vary by orders of magnitude (<1 to >30 t CO2e/ha/year), deployment scale is the dominant factor determining total impact. Targeted synthetic biology strategies implemented across existing agricultural systems could deliver ∼120 Gt CO2e drawdown over a century and contribute to an additional ∼140 Gt CO2e drawdown. Decreasing synthetic nitrogen fertiliser use and biochar implementation have the biggest CO2e impact potential. Early-stage quantitative evaluation is critical to guide R&D toward climate-relevant solutions and deliver a prioritized portfolio of near- and long-term strategies. A transdisciplinary approach-linking synthetic biology, agronomy, engineering, and social systems-is essential to realize impact. This work offers a framework for evaluating plant agriculture-based climate mitigation strategies and highlights a key role for synthetic biology in mitigation pathways. Regular re-evaluation of strategies should be performed to ensure that they are meaningful for climate change mitigation as other factors evolve.

RevDate: 2025-09-26
CmpDate: 2025-09-26

Páez-Espinosa EV, Sosa-Guzmán DM, Buitrón-Andrade LR, et al (2025)

Morbidity and Mortality Profile of Leishmaniasis in an Andean Region of Ecuador in the Context of Climate Change.

Tropical medicine and infectious disease, 10(9): pii:tropicalmed10090254.

Leishmaniasis is a parasitic disease transmitted by female sandflies of the genus Lutzomyia. Ecuador is divided into three distinct natural regions: the Andes, the Coast, and Amazonia, each characterized by significant variations in altitude and climate. While most reported cases of leishmaniasis are associated with humid, low-altitude rural areas, our study uncovered an unexpected trend: confirmed cases occurring in traditionally cold Andean regions. To investigate this issue, we conducted a cross-sectional ecological study using official morbidity and mortality records from the Ecuadorian Health Care Registration Platform, focusing on the cantons of Alausí and Chunchi in Chimborazo Province from 2013 to 2022. Chimborazo Province, in the Andes, is characterized by higher altitudes (2740 m above sea level) and a cold climate (averaging 13 °C throughout the year). Among a population of 44,089 residents in Alausí, we reported a total of 40 confirmed cases, with 97.5% classified as cutaneous and 2.5% as mucocutaneous, predominantly affecting children and males. No mortality cases were recorded during the study period. To further explore environmental influences, we examined the Alausí region, where climate change has led to rising average temperatures, deforestation, and changes in humidity levels. Leishmaniasis cases in Alausí showed seasonal peaks, particularly in 2018 and 2019, correlating with warmer and more humid conditions. Environmental factors such as temperature and humidity were strongly associated with the prevalence of the disease, suggesting that climate change may be increasing transmission risks. These findings point to the value of incorporating environmental monitoring into public health strategies for vector-borne diseases that affect vulnerable populations in the Andes.

RevDate: 2025-09-26
CmpDate: 2025-09-26

Wanda D, Jacinta HA, Hakim AR, et al (2025)

Infectious Diseases in Children: Diagnosing the Impact of Climate Change-Related Disasters Using Integer-Valued Autoregressive Models with Overdispersion.

Diseases (Basel, Switzerland), 13(9):.

The incidence of infectious diseases in children may be affected by climate change-related disaster risks that increase as extreme weather events become more frequent. Therefore, this research aims to diagnose the impact of such disaster risks on the disease incidence, focusing on diarrhoea, dengue haemorrhagic fever (DHF), and acute respiratory infection (ARI), commonly experienced by children. To accomplish this task, we construct integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models for the number of disease cases among children in several age groups, with an overdispersed distributional assumption to account for its variability that exceeds its central tendency. Additionally, we include the numbers of floods, landslides, and extreme weather events at previous times as explanatory variables. In particular, we consider a case study in Indonesia, a tropical country highly vulnerable to the aforementioned climate change-related diseases and disasters. Using monthly data from January 2010 to December 2024, we find that the incidence of diarrhoea in children is positively impacted by landslides (but negatively affected by floods and extreme weather events). Landslides, frequently caused by excessive rainfall, also increase DHF incidence. Furthermore, the increased incidence of ARI is driven by extreme weather conditions, which are more apparent during and after COVID-19. These findings offer insights into how climate scenarios may increase children's future health risks. This helps shape health strategies and policy responses, highlighting the urgent need for preventive measures to protect future generations.

RevDate: 2025-09-26
CmpDate: 2025-09-26

Carvalho CS, Machado RM, Lemes MR, et al (2025)

Ecological Niche Modeling Predicts Alarming Impacts of Global Climate Change on Economically Important Neotropical Trees.

Ecology and evolution, 15(9):e72105.

The neotropical papilionoid legume genus Dipteryx comprises tree species widely used for seed harvesting and logging. In Amazonia, all eight known Dipteryx species are internationally recognized in the timber trade as cumaru, whereas two others, known as tonka beans, are appreciated for their aromatic seeds. Non-Amazonian species also have uses, such as baru nuts (D. alata) from the Cerrado and fava-de-morcego (D. lacunifera) from the Caatinga with its edible seeds and dense wood. Amazonia is already highly affected by uncontrolled exploitation and deforestation, which will exacerbate the expected future scenarios of climate change due to severe drought and flooding. These environmental catastrophes have the potential to cause mass species extinction and severely hit vulnerable Amazonian urban populations, Indigenous people, and traditional communities that derive their livelihood from the forest. Here, we assess how the near-term future (2021-2040) global climate change may affect the distribution of Dipteryx species under the moderate and worse greenhouse gas emission scenarios. Additionally, we incorporate insights from the Last Glacial Maximum global changes to enhance our understanding. The ecological niche modeling revealed that while the potential distribution of most Amazonian species remains stable despite global climate change, species with restricted distributions are more vulnerable to global warming. Furthermore, the great ecological predilection of Dipteryx species for wet settings makes them reliant on healthy forest ecosystems. The pressures of logging and deforestation pose significant threats to their survival and to Amazonian biodiversity as a whole.

RevDate: 2025-09-26
CmpDate: 2025-09-26

Chaulk K, Ballard M, Hill S, et al (2025)

Bridging, Braiding, and Weaving Indigenous and Western Science to Understand and Make Predictions About Weather and Climate Change.

Ecology and evolution, 15(9):e72085.

In this study, Indigenous Knowledge Holders were gathered in a collaborative forum to discuss weather, in particular, Indigenous Science knowledge related to severe weather, climate change, and weather prediction methods. Weather forecasting methods that arose in discussion were further explored based on a framework of Bridging, Braiding, and Weaving knowledge systems. Numerous Indigenous Science-based weather prediction methods were documented, with most lending themselves to follow-up testing. The Knowledge Holders emphasized that Indigenous Science is an important component within the broader domain of Indigenous Traditional Knowledge, with current and historic empirical and holistic insights into natural phenomena. There was consensus among the Knowledge Holders that Indigenous Science should not be perceived as subordinate to Western methodologies but instead viewed as a complementary and equivalent knowledge system. This paper underscores the importance of a co-produced approach to research where Indigenous Knowledge Holders share their expertise to enrich and inform Western research design, including the interpretation of study results and the implementation of subsequent policy and decision-making. We provide examples of Bridging, Braiding, and Weaving Indigenous Science using weather-related phenomena, such as animal behavior, atmospheric patterns, and plant growth indicators, while also offering insights into the impacts of climate change and severe weather.

RevDate: 2025-09-26
CmpDate: 2025-09-26

Ji Q, Chen S, Cao Y, et al (2025)

Prediction of potential habitat of Isodon amethystoides in China under climate change based on optimized MaxEnt model.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1657417.

Isodon amethystoides (Benth.) H. Hara, a plant species belonging to the genus Isodon in the Lamiaceae family, possesses multiple medicinal properties including heat-clearing and detoxifying effects, anti-inflammatory and antibacterial activities, as well as liver-protective functions. Due to the challenges in harvesting from wild sources, current production primarily relies on artificial cultivation. Compared with wild resources, artificial cultivation not only improves medicinal material quality through standardized planting practices, but also enhances the content of bioactive components. Furthermore, it enables scientific evaluation of environmental factors' impact on medicinal quality. This study uses the Maxent model to predict the current and future potential distribution areas and suitable habitats for Isodon amethystoides. Based on 194 species occurrence records and 90 environmental variables, we identified key environmental factors influencing its distribution through correlation analysis and variable contribution assessment, followed by model parameter optimization. The optimized model achieved an AUC value of 0.902, demonstrating excellent predictive performance. The results demonstrated that under current climatic conditions, the total suitable habitat area for Isodon amethystoides was estimated at 2.08×10[6] km[2], accounting for 21.66% of China's terrestrial land area. The key environmental factors affecting the distribution of potential suitable habitats for Isodon amethystoides are precipitation in September, monthly precipitation, and standard deviation of seasonal temperature variation. Under future climate change scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5), the total suitable habitat area of Isodon amethystoides shows an overall increasing trend. By the 2050s, the suitable area is projected to reach its maximum extent approximately 2.48×10[6] km[2], with primary expansion occurring toward the northwest. Notably, Yunnan Province exhibits significant habitat expansion, while the centroid of suitable habitat consistently remains located in Chongqing. This study provides scientific support for the conservation of wild Isodon amethystoides resources and the planning of cultivation areas, thereby contributing to sustainable development and ecological protection.

RevDate: 2025-09-26
CmpDate: 2025-09-26

Curcio EJ, Xu K, Sahakyan H, et al (2025)

Mosquito vector ecologies are destabilizing as a result of climate change.

bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology pii:2025.09.15.676177.

Mosquito-borne infectious disease is a major cause of mortality and a significant economic burden worldwide. Shifting regional and seasonal patterns make proactive intervention challenging. Here we introduce a machine learning approach trained on satellite and mosquito observational data, improving generalizability to sparse observations while retaining similar positive performance characteristics of models used in standard practice. We provide global estimates for Aedes habitability at high spatial resolution in five-year increments from 1970-2024. The vast majority of ecologies appear to be destabilizing. Overall, we demonstrate a decrease in risk near the equator and an increase in risk in historically temperate climates including the United States, the European Union, and China. Despite this decrease in risk relative to historical averages, regions near the equator remain among the highest risk worldwide. Together, these results reflect an overall, marked expanse of the regions of the globe that support Aedes mosquitos and we observe an ongoing, linear increase in the global population at risk of contracting mosquito-borne disease.

RevDate: 2025-09-26

Rahmani Azad Z, Spampatti T, Gluth S, et al (2025)

Sampling and processing of climate change information and disinformation across three diverse countries.

British journal of psychology (London, England : 1953) [Epub ahead of print].

In the media, accurate climate information and climate disinformation often coexist and present competing narratives about climate change. Whereas previous research documented detrimental effects of disinformation on climate beliefs, little is known about how people seek climate-related content and how this varies between cross-cultural contexts. In a preregistered experiment, we studied how individuals sequentially sample and process Pro- and Anti-climate statements across 15 rounds. Participants from the United States, China, and Germany (Ntotal = 2226) freely sampled real-world climate-related statements, retrieved from Twitter and validated in previous studies. Overall, reading both Pro- and Anti-climate statements influenced climate concern in all countries. Participants preferred statements that were better aligned with their initial climate beliefs, and this confirmatory tendency intensified the more information had been sampled. Moreover, participants' confirmatory evaluation (i.e., accepting aligned and rejecting opposing messages) increased over time. While climate concern was mostly stable, in the United States, climate concern levels and box choices mutually reinforced each other, leading to greater polarization within the sample over the course of the experiment. The paradigm offers new perspectives on how people process and navigate conflicting narratives about climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-25
CmpDate: 2025-09-25

Agudelo-Hernández F, Guapacha-Montoya M, MC Pinzón-Segura (2025)

Food security, climate change and mental health problems in a Colombian Indigenous paediatric population.

BMJ paediatrics open, 9(1): pii:10.1136/bmjpo-2024-003111.

BACKGROUND: This study investigates the complex inter-relations among mental health, food security and climate anxiety in the Emberá-Dobidá paediatric Indigenous community in Caldas, Colombia. Although the community was displaced due to armed conflict, our focus is on the subsequent environmental changes driven by climate change that have emerged as independent stressors in the new territory. These stressors have compounded the community's vulnerabilities, with particular impacts on children and youth. By framing territory not merely as geographic space but as a sociocultural and symbolic construct, the study adopts a Latin American critical perspective to analyse health disparities.

METHODS: A mixed-methods study was conducted involving the paediatric population aged 6-16 years (n=40) from the Emberá-Dobidá Indigenous community, along with 65 caregivers representing 25 families. In-depth interviews explored community perceptions of environmental changes, food security and mental health. A cross-sectional correlational analysis used two culturally adapted instruments, the Pediatric Assessment of Community Emotional and Spiritual Health Scale and the Colombian Household Food Security Scale, to assess paediatric mental health and food security.

RESULTS: Qualitative findings revealed two key themes: 'Increased Heat in Recent Years' and 'Disconnection from Water and Cultural Identity'. Quantitative results showed significant correlations between food insecurity, spiritual disharmony and mental health problems, including emotional distress and suicide risk. Notably, 30% of children were at risk of suicide, and 50% exhibited emotional problems. The findings demonstrate that environmental degradation and disrupted territorial ties are not only ecological but also psychological and cultural stressors.

CONCLUSIONS: Mental health in Indigenous communities, understood as spiritual harmony, must be addressed through culturally grounded approaches that integrate traditional ecological knowledge, food security and the recovery of territorial connection. From a Latin American perspective, territory is not a passive backdrop but an active determinant of health shaped by power, memory and resistance. Our findings call for climate-resilient, community-driven interventions that reterritorialise public health responses in Indigenous settings.

RevDate: 2025-09-25

Matus-Olivares C, Carrasco-Barra J, Altamirano A, et al (2025)

Functional bat diversity and the role of the protected areas against climate change projections across Europe.

The Science of the total environment, 1002:180567 pii:S0048-9697(25)02207-7 [Epub ahead of print].

Assessing the effect of climate change projections on functional bat diversity across Europe is crucial to evaluate if the European protected areas will be capable to safeguard that diversity under global warming. Specially, because bats provide a top-down regulation ecosystem service related with pest suppression which affect the agriculture, human and animal health. We used Bayesian Additive Regression Trees (BART) to estimate the current and future distribution of each species under CMIP6 climate scenarios on 5-arc-min grids spatial resolution. In each grid, current and future functional bat diversity were calculated based on three metrics: functional richness (FRic), specialization (FSpe) and divergence (FDiv). Null models were used to determine whether protected areas would protect high, medium and low functionality values compared to a random distribution based on 10,000 simulations. We also determined European functional bat groups through hierarchical cluster analysis. Our results showed that FRic would be mainly affected by the climate change, with a 56.3 % loss in protected areas in a high concentration scenario of greenhouse gases and would have a shift towards northern and eastern areas. Protected areas would over-protect high functional diversity values, permanently in time, only in the optimal climate change scenario. Most functional groups showed a clear imbalance between the habitat loss and gain they would have, with losses being significantly greater. The change on functional bat diversity would suppose alterations in the trophic networks of the Mediterranean area, with the loss of ecosystem services like crop pest suppression and human disease vectors (mosquitoes). Our results show that we need to develop conservation and management plans in an outside of the protected areas to prevent the effects of climate change on ecosystem service in those areas where the functional diversity would disappear.

RevDate: 2025-09-25

Işık M, Akbaş P, S Özkan Şat (2025)

The psychological impacts of climate change on pregnant women in Türkiye.

Women and birth : journal of the Australian College of Midwives, 38(6):102111 pii:S1871-5192(25)00245-8 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: Climate change poses serious risks to both physical and mental health. Pregnant women are especially vulnerable, as the stress and anxiety associated with this period may be intensified by climate-related challenges, potentially affecting maternal well-being and pregnancy outcomes.

AIM: This study was conducted to determine the repercussions of climate change on the mental health of pregnant women.

METHODS: This study utilized a descriptive qualitative design. The data were collected by holding individual semi-structured interviews with pregnant women (n = 17). Thematic analysis was used to analyse the data.

RESULTS: The main themes of this study were 'anxiety and insecurity about the future,' 'psychological burdens caused by climate change,' 'coping with psychological burdens associated with the impact of climate change,' and 'expectations from healthcare professionals'. The main themes consist of six sub-themes: 'concerns about the future of children,' 'uncertainty about the future,' 'climate anxiety and stress,' 'sense of ecological loss and sadness,' 'avoidance,' and 'spiritual practices'.

CONCLUSION: Climate change adversely affects the quality of life of pregnant women and imposes a significant burden on their mental health. Healthcare professionals should integrate climate-related awareness and coping strategies into their practice and promote broader public awareness. Such efforts can contribute to policies that safeguard the rights of pregnant women and their families to live in a healthy and sustainable environment.

RevDate: 2025-09-25
CmpDate: 2025-09-25

Wilbur J, Kovats S, Ruuska D, et al (2025)

Climate change, disability, and water, sanitation and hygiene: A scoping review of evidence and interventions in low and middle-income countries.

PLOS global public health, 5(9):e0003676.

Climate hazards, including extreme weather events, undermine essential water, sanitation and hygiene (WASH) services, exacerbating health disparities in people with disabilities. Despite this, WASH policies and adaptation strategies often overlook the need for disability inclusive measures. The scoping review objectives are to 1) map the evidence on how climate risks affect WASH services and coping strategies in low-and middle-income countries, with a particular focus on people with disabilities; and 2) assess evidence for the effectiveness of climate-resilient WASH interventions, emphasising their impact on people with disabilities. Our review identified substantial data on women and girls, so the results reflect binary gender considerations. A systematic search of nine databases, including CINAHL Complete, Global Health, GreenFILE, and MEDLINE via PubMed, was conducted to identify peer-reviewed and grey literature using relevant keywords related to extreme weather and climate hazards, WASH (including menstrual health), disability, and evaluations. We included studies in English, published between January 1, 2000 and December 31, 2023. Data were extracted and analysed thematically. Twenty-two studies met the inclusion criteria. Only two papers evaluated climate-resilient WASH interventions (rainwater harvesting), and neither considered disability. Most papers examined people's self-reported health impacts and experiences affected by drought-related water insecurity or WASH infrastructure damage due to extreme weather events. Data on the experiences of persons with disabilities were only included in two papers. They highlighted that persons with disabilities are disproportionately disadvantaged by climate-related damage to WASH infrastructure and emphasised the importance of social capital and social networks in supporting them when access to water is limited. Extreme weather events disrupt WASH services, yet evidence of the experiences and coping strategies of persons with disabilities remains extremely limited. This is a barrier to developing disability inclusive adaptation strategies. Evaluating climate-resilient WASH interventions is essential to enhance resilience and health equity for persons with disabilities.

RevDate: 2025-09-25

Townsend MH, Szauter K, Bodola RR, et al (2025)

Climate Change and Natural Disaster: Toward a Faculty Development Toolkit.

RevDate: 2025-09-25

Kısrık D, Avcıbay-Vurgeç B, AD Atik (2025)

Development and Psychometric Properties of Pregnancy-Specific Climate Change Awareness Scale.

Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].

OBJECTIVE: Climate change is a global health problem and threatens our society from all aspects. Pregnant women, fetuses, and newborns are considered vulnerable groups in the context of climate change. Steps to increase awareness about the consequences of climate change on maternal and child health and future generations are important for adaptation strategies.

AIM: This study aims to develop a measurement tool that assesses pregnancy-specific awareness of the effects of climate change on maternal-fetal health.

METHOD: This study used a cross-sectional and methodological design. Data were collected through face-to-face interviews with pregnant women who agreed to participate in the study between May and July 2022. Thirty-six items were rated on a 5-point Likert scale (from entirely disagree to entirely agree) and applied to 500 voluntary pregnant. SPSS Statistics 22 and Mplus 7 programs were used for data analysis.

RESULTS: As a result of EFA, a 21-item, 3-factor final scale was obtained from the 36-item draft version scale. Result of CFA, the fit index values were found as RMSEA = 0.074, NFI = 0.978, and CFI = 0.975. The fit indices of the awareness scale model were significant (x[2] = 428.438, sd = 181, p = 0.0000, x[2]/sd = 2.367). The total internal consistency Cronbach's α coefficient of the 21-item final scale is 0.946.

CONCLUSION: In line with these data, Pregnancy-Specific Climate Change Awareness Scale is a valid and reliable measurement tool that can be used to evaluate the pregnancy-specific climate change awareness level. Studies testing the applicability of the scale in the population of midwives and obstetricians working with pregnant women are recommended.

RevDate: 2025-09-25

Heimann Y, E Schleußner (2025)

Climate Change and Preterm Birth: Trends in the Temperate Zone.

Deutsches Arzteblatt international, 122(18):508-509.

RevDate: 2025-09-25
CmpDate: 2025-09-25

Xie G, Zhang Y, Wang Q, et al (2025)

Multiple Impacts of Climate Change and Anthropogenic Activities on Lacustrine Trophic State.

Global change biology, 31(9):e70510.

The trophic state index (TSI) serves as a fundamental indicator for evaluating the water quality of lake ecosystems. Under climate change and human activities, global lake TSI has changed significantly, yet its response mechanisms remain unclear. To address this challenge, we developed a generalized TSI estimation model by integrating semi-analytical algorithms with machine learning techniques, based on a comprehensive dataset comprising 3756 pairs of in situ measurements and remote sensing observations. The developed model demonstrated superior predictive performance with R[2] of 0.77 and RMSE of 8.25 for the testing dataset. Applying the model, we reconstructed a 21-year time series (2003-2023) TSI for 14,189 global lakes with surface area ≥ 10 km[2]. The global mean TSI was estimated to be 54.07 ± 0.31. Among the lakes, 4.1% were classified as oligotrophic (TSI ≤ 38), 18.9% as mesotrophic (38 < TSI ≤ 48), 56.8% as eutrophic (48 < TSI ≤ 61), and 20.2% as hypereutrophic (TSI > 61). Globally, TSI showed a significantly increasing trend at a rate of 0.19 per decade (p < 0.01). Specifically, lakes with increasing TSI were primarily located in North America, Europe, Russia, and parts of Africa. In contrast, lakes with decreasing TSI were primarily located in South America, Australia, and West Asia. Subsequently, we aggregated the TSI data by country and quantified the contributions of climate, land use, and fertilizer application to the TSI variations using a Generalized Linear Model. The results showed that climate warming, increased solar radiation, stronger wind, intensified precipitation, urbanization, agricultural expansion, and fertilizer use, particularly phosphate application, have all contributed to increasing TSI. In contrast, surrounding vegetation growth showed a negative correlation with TSI, helping to improve water quality. This study underscores the value of remote sensing for large-scale eutrophication assessment, offering insights into sustainable lake management under global change.

RevDate: 2025-09-25

Ramon D, Heaviside C, Brousse O, et al (2025)

Projected population exposure to dangerous heat stress around Lake Victoria under a high-end climate change scenario.

Environmental research letters : ERL [Web site], 20(10):104068.

Recent global temperature increases and extreme heat events have raised concerns about their impact on health, particularly in vulnerable regions like Africa. This study assesses future heat stress and population exposure in the Lake Victoria region under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 climate change scenario, using a convection-permitting climate model, heat stress indices (humidex and heat index), and high-resolution population projections under the high-emission SSP5-8.5 scenario, interpreted here as the high-end of the climate change signal. Results indicate a substantial increase in the duration of dangerous heat stress. By the end of the century, up to 122 million people, or around 44 % of the population may experience dangerous heat stress for more than 5 % of the time annually (i.e. ∼18 days), compared to 1 % of the population or around 1 million people for the period 2005-2016. Up to 28 % of the population (∼78 million people) would even experience dangerous heat for 15 % of the time (i.e. ∼55 days). 66 % of this increased population exposure can be attributed to the combined effect of increasing temperatures and total population in the region. High heat-risk areas include the northern and southern shores of Lake Victoria and urban areas. The study highlights the need to consider both climate and population dynamics when assessing heat stress, and underscores the urgency of adaptation in the Lake Victoria region.

RevDate: 2025-09-24

Vaughan IP (2025)

Climate change is reshaping fish communities in the United States.

RevDate: 2025-09-24

Muttarak R (2025)

Fighting climate change takes more than data - it needs wonder, love and hope.

Nature, 645(8082):843-844.

RevDate: 2025-09-24

Pillai A, Murage P, F Haque (2025)

Understanding the Relationship Between Climate Change-Related Meteorological Factors and Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) and CKD of unknown origin (CKDu) in Low- and Middle-Income Countries: A Systematic Review & Meta-analysis.

Environmental research pii:S0013-9351(25)02180-2 [Epub ahead of print].

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) including CKD of unknown origin (CKDu) is an emerging global health challenge, with a 33% increase in CKD prevalence from 1990 to 2017. Climate change, via changes in weather factors, may influence onset and progression of CKD/CKDu. Understanding the nexus between climate change and renal health is imperative, particularly in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) where adaptive capacities are low, and vulnerable populations have limited access to healthcare resources. This systematic review investigates the association between climate-related meteorological factors and CKD/CKDu burden in LMICs. On 3[rd] May 2024, searches across Medline, Embase, Global Health, Web of Science, and Global Index Medicus were conducted to identify studies that estimated the impact of meteorological factors on CKD/CKDu deaths and illnesses. Quality assessment determined the risk of bias. A meta-analysis was conducted to report the pooled effects, and a narrative synthesis was performed where meta-analysis was not possible. Fifteen studies were included in the narrative synthesis and eight in the meta-analysis. While meta-analytic findings did not indicate a statistically significant association between temperature and CKD/CKDu morbidity, narrative evidence suggests a likely association in specific subpopulations. At-risk populations included males, agricultural workers under 50 years, those aged 65 and older, low socioeconomic status individuals, and residents of rural, tropical, and subtropical regions. High temperatures and heat exposure may contribute to CKD/CKDu risk in LMICs across vulnerable groups. Insufficient data on other meteorological exposures such as humidity and rainfall preclude conclusions about their impact on CKD/CKDu burden. Studies designed to answer these questions are needed to inform climate resilient health policy and plans.

RevDate: 2025-09-24

Chen Y, Kim SH, Long J, et al (2025)

First report of Thraustochytrium caudivorum isolated from the undulated surf clam (Paratapes undulatus): Morphological, molecular, and ecological insights under climate change.

Protist, 179:126128 pii:S1434-4610(25)00044-6 [Epub ahead of print].

Thraustochytrium caudivorum is a marine protist of the class Labyrinthulea with limited information on its ecology and host associations. Here, we report its first isolation from the gill tissue of the undulated surf clam (Paratapes undulatus) collected from subtropical coastal waters in the western Pacific. Sequencing of an 18S rDNA fragment (1225 bp) showed 99.8 % identity to known T. caudivorum strains, with three nucleotide differences suggesting intraspecific variation. Phylogenetic analysis confirmed its placement within the T. caudivorum clade, contributing to Labyrinthulea taxonomy. Morphological and ultrastructural observations revealed typical thraustochytrid traits, including lipid-rich spherical cells, multilayered cell walls, globose sporangia, and filamentous ectoplasmic network structures. Growth assays indicated optimal in vitro proliferation at 35 °C and 40 psu, suggesting strong tolerance to elevated temperature and salinity. To evaluate potential ecological interactions, Ruditapes philippinarum (Manila clam) was experimentally exposed as a surrogate host. Mortality was observed under higher temperatures, indicating possible opportunistic behavior, although no lesions or mortality were detected in the original P. undulatus specimens. These findings expand current knowledge of T. caudivorum biology and suggest its potential relevance in aquaculture and marine ecosystems, particularly under warming and salinity fluctuations associated with climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-24

Nogueira LM (2025)

We don't want to boil the ocean: expanding cancer research in the era of climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-24

Sahoo M, Baù D, SF Thornton (2025)

Review of nitrogen cycling in temperate winter soil under climate change.

Environmental science and pollution research international [Epub ahead of print].

In recent years, the biogeochemical cycling of nitrogen (N) in soils under temperate climates during winter has received growing attention due to rising N emissions and the accumulation of N on the soil surface and in nearby water bodies. While the N cycle has traditionally been considered to slow during cold periods, recent studies show that freeze-thaw cycles (FTCs) can significantly reshape N dynamics by altering soil structure and stimulating microbial activity. This review synthesizes key abiotic drivers, such as soil moisture, temperature, and snow cover, along with anthropogenic influences that affect N transformations and transport in winter. We identified the key research gaps in the existing approaches and emphasized the need to incorporate winter N fluxes into annual N budgets to improve our understanding of terrestrial N cycling under climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-24
CmpDate: 2025-09-24

Korukire N, Uwingabire B, Erika CM, et al (2025)

Vulnerabilities and Adaptive Strategies of People Living with HIV/AIDS to Climate Change-Induced Hazards in Rubavu District, Rwanda.

Rwanda journal of medicine and health sciences, 8(2):221-234.

BACKGROUND: Climate change-induced hazards are a global public health concern. Although various programs have been implemented to support People Living with HIV (PLHIV) in Rwanda, there is limited scientific literature documenting their specific vulnerabilities and adaptive strategies in response to climate change-induced hazards.

OBJECTIVE: This study explored the vulnerabilities and adaptive strategies of PLHIV to climate change-induced hazards in Rubavu District, Rwanda.

METHODS: An exploratory qualitative design was used. Data were collected through seven focus group discussions and eight key informant interviews using prepared interview guides. The collected data were analyzed thematically.

RESULTS: Participants reported that climate change-related hazards exacerbate the vulnerabilities of People Living with HIV (PLHIV), including the loss of personal property, reduced access to antiretroviral therapy (ART), and inadequate nutrition, among others. Participants indicated that household-level, community based and institutional supports were employed as adaptive strategies.

CONCLUSION: PLHIV are particularly susceptible to climate change-induced hazards. In response, various adaptive strategies have been implemented at multiple levels. This study underscores the importance of strengthening the financial capacity of PLHIV as a key measure to reduce their vulnerability to climate-related hazards.

RevDate: 2025-09-24
CmpDate: 2025-09-24

Robertson S (2025)

Blurred boundaries at the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change: the role of integrated assessment models in the science-society contract.

Royal Society open science, 12(9):250286.

In this article, the broken science-society contract contention of Glavovic et al. (Glavovic et al. 2022 Clim. Dev. 14, 829-833 (doi:10.1080/17565529.2021.2008855)) and their posit of the tragedy of climate change science will be examined in relation to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's (IPCC) employment of integrated assessment models (IAMs) in the Sixth Assessment Report (AR6). The article will assess, empirically, Skea et al.'s (Skea et al. 2021 WIREs Clim. Change 12, 1-11 (doi:10.1002/wcc.727)) IPCC AR6-and-beyond IAM transparency roadmap by appraising the efficacy of the 'actions taken' for achieving transparency in the AR6. If the IPCC was to earnestly assure the transformation of IAM clarity from its present state of a black-box to that of a glass-box, then its proclaimed mantra of 'neutral, policy relevant but not policy prescriptive' could be received with high confidence. Until then, the IPCC endangers its objectivity, its integrity and its scientific standing in society owing to the Panel's non-compliance with the published Principles Governing IPCC Work as to expected transparency standards. Accordingly, the operation of opaque IAMs for purported 'relevant but not prescriptive' policy guidance has resulted in the IPCC's blurring of the science-policy boundary as a consequence of the IPCC-Integrated Assessment Modelling Consortium contingent's breaching of the science-society contract.

RevDate: 2025-09-23
CmpDate: 2025-09-23

Ragab SH, Tyshenko MG, MWA Halmy (2025)

Impact of climate change on the habitat range of monarch butterfly (Danaus plexippus).

Scientific reports, 15(1):32654.

Danaus plexippus L. (Linnaeus, 1758) (Lepidoptera: Nymphalidae) is well-known and captivating migratory insect that cannot overwinter in temperate climates. Although common throughout North America, monarch butterfly populations appear to be declining widely in their geographically distinct areas. Rapid climatic change is posing a serious threat to monarch butterfly populations, especially the migratory groups in the east. This study assesses how several climate change scenarios will affect the global distribution of monarch butterflies. Using climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 model, we conducted projections for the near future (2021-2040) and far future (2041-2060, 2081-2100) under high (SSP5_8.5) and low (SSP1_2.6) emission scenarios. We estimated habitat gain, loss, and stability for D. plexippus. True Skill Statistic (TSS) and the Area Under the Curve (AUC) were used to assess the model's performance. The results indicated that annual precipitation, land cover, and altitude (Alt) were the most influential factors affecting D. plexippus distribution. Potential habitat shifts were observed in Central Asia, Africa, Europe, and North America, with both gains and losses. These findings highlight the interconnected relationship between the climatic factors and distribution of migratory insects, emphasizing the need for targeted conservation efforts to mitigate climate change impacts on D. plexippus populations. Management strategies should prioritize habitat restoration, focus on overwintering site preservation, and implement adaptive management approaches. This research provides an evidence base for adaptive management to minimize climate change impacts on migratory insect populations.

RevDate: 2025-09-23

Friesen J, H Taubenböck (2025)

The world's largest cities under climate change and their adaptive capacity to rising heat.

Scientific reports, 15(1):32671.

We quantify future urban heat exposure and adaptation capacity for the 1563 largest global cities, for the first time globally integrating climate projections, urban morphology, and economic capacity. We use high-resolution mean annual temperature (MAT) projections under SSP1-2.6, SSP3-7.0, and SSP5-8.5. These are combined with Local Climate Zone (LCZ) profiles and downscaled socioeconomic data, evaluated consistently within morphological city boundaries. With this framework, we identify cities projected to exceed a 29 °C MAT threshold by 2071-2100. The number of threshold-exceeding cities is projected to rise from 17 (2011-2040) to 217 (2071-2100), exposing up to 320 million residents. Cities with compact built-up forms show higher exposure, while responsiveness to eight expert-curated adaptation measures (e.g., reflective materials, greening, water bodies) and GDP distributions reveal large regional disparities in adaptive capacity. European cities face the steepest relative warming (median + 4 °C under SSP5-8.5), while African and South American cities, despite smaller increases (+2.7 to 3.2 °C), confront higher baseline heat. Our framework demonstrates how morphology- and economy-informed adaptation planning can spatially target measures to safeguard urban habitability in a warming world.

RevDate: 2025-09-23

Merduaty RC, Jacinta HA, Saputra R, et al (2025)

Integrating climate change education in preregistration nursing degree in Indonesia: A case study.

Nurse education today, 155:106878 pii:S0260-6917(25)00315-6 [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: With increasing awareness that pollution, climate change and biodiversity loss threaten planetary health, nursing educators globally recognise their unique role in preparing the nursing workforce to engage in climate change mitigation and adaptation and build community climate resilience. While several nursing programs in high-income countries have begun integrating climate-related content, practical models from low- and middle-income settings remain scarce. In Indonesia, where no national standards require such content, this gap is particularly pronounced.

AIMS: To describe the development, implementation and evaluation of a novel elective subject, "Nursing Perspectives on Climate Change", designed to prepare nursing students to contribute to climate-resilient healthcare through sustainable clinical practices, health education, and community adaptation.

DESIGN: A case study using the Design-Based Research framework.

SETTINGS: Universitas Indonesia.

PARTICIPANTS: Bachelor-level students from nursing and other disciplines.

METHODS: The elective was developed for Bachelor of Nursing Program at a Faculty of Nursing, Universitas Indonesia using a six-phase design-based approach: Focus, Formulation, Contextualization, Definition, Implementation, and Evaluation. To evaluate student experience and learning outcomes, educators collected data from two cohorts: those enrolled in semester two of the academic year 2023/2024 and semester one of the academic year 2024/2025. Educators gathered data via university-administered learning evaluation surveys (N = 73) and semi-structured interviews (n = 12). Interview data were analysed thematically. Ethical approval was obtained from Universitas Indonesia no. ET207/UN2.F12.D1.2.1/PPM.00.02/2024.

RESULTS: Students rated the subject highly across both cohorts, with scores of 5.8/6 during the implementation phase (n = 34, response rate 80 %) and 5.75/6 during the evaluation phase (n = 39, response rate 95 %). Three themes were identified from the interview data: 1) paradigm shift on attitudes to climate change; 2) the value of diverse and participatory teaching methods; 3) recognition of the nurse's role in interdisciplinary climate action.

CONCLUSION: This subject represents one of the first documented, student-informed climate change electives in nursing education in the Asia-Pacific region. It offers a replicable, context-sensitive model for integrating climate competencies into nursing curricula, addressing a critical global implementation gap. The subject equips future nurses with the knowledge and skills to advocate for sustainability, lead climate adaptation in clinical settings, and support climate-resilient healthcare systems.

RevDate: 2025-09-23

Woh PY, Chau MC, W Wang (2025)

Antimicrobial resistance and climate change in the One Health food safety paradigm: A global perspective.

The Science of the total environment, 1001:180499 pii:S0048-9697(25)02139-4 [Epub ahead of print].

Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) and climate change are two converging global health challenges that threaten food safety and public health. The One Health framework emphasizes the interconnectedness of human, animal, and environmental health in tackling AMR. However, the extent to which climate change influences AMR dynamics across these sectors remains underexplored. This systematic review aims to synthesize recent evidence on the relationship between AMR, climate change, and food safety using a One Health approach, focusing on the prevalence and distribution of resistant bacteria across human, animal, food, and environmental sources. Following PRISMA guidelines, we systematically searched PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus for English-language review articles published up to January 2024. Nine studies met inclusion criteria and were evaluated using the Joanna Briggs Institute checklist. We extracted 1171 observations on AMR patterns and calculated the multiple antibiotic resistance index (MARI) for 59 countries. Reported climatic variables including temperature, season, rainfall, heatwave, and sea level were also analysed. High MARI values (mean = 0.40) were reported in 86 % of countries, with the highest burden in Asia and Africa. Resistant bacteria were primarily isolated from environmental (54.9 %) and food (34.6 %) sources, especially aquaculture and seafood. Vibrio spp., Aeromonas spp., and Salmonella spp. were the most prevalent pathogens. Temporal trends indicated a rise in AMR prevalence coinciding with increasing global temperatures. Climatic factors particularly temperature was frequently cited as contributing factor to AMR proliferation. Our findings highlight the growing impact of climate change on AMR dissemination through food and environmental reservoirs, particularly in aquaculture-dominated regions. Integrated One Health strategies that address both AMR and climate risks are urgently needed to safeguard food safety and public health.

RevDate: 2025-09-23

Sahwell PJ, HM Solo-Gabriele (2025)

Control of freshwater flows can counteract the effects of global climate change on salinity within urban estuaries.

The Science of the total environment, 1001:180544 pii:S0048-9697(25)02184-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Estuarine salinity serves as a link between climate-driven environmental change and ecosystem health, reflecting interactions among hydrological, atmospheric, and anthropogenic processes. This study aimed to assess the potential impact of Global Climate Change (GCC) on salinity levels within a managed shallow estuary (Biscayne Bay in South Florida). Salinity was chosen as the key water quality indicator because it directly influences the distribution and abundance of estuarine organisms. A machine learning model was developed using XGBoost to evaluate the dependency of salinity on features connected to climate change, including water temperature, tidal elevation, and freshwater inputs from inland canals. The SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) framework quantified each feature's contribution to changes in salinity. The results indicate that the primary features driving salinity are geolocation and canal flow, with the latter being the most manageable. Simulation of future climate scenarios defined by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) revealed that, to achieve the historical average salinity (29.4 PSU) for the study estuary (with current average flow of 55.8 m[3]/s), a freshwater flowrate of 39 m[3]/s would be required for all IPCC scenarios in the near term (2021-2040). An increase to between 63 and 87 m[3]/s would be needed in the long term (2081-2100). At these higher flow rates, greater vertical stratification of salinity is observed, which may require further mitigation to maintain benthic communities. These findings demonstrate how integrative modeling approaches, combining machine learning with SHAP-based interpretation, can advance fundamental understanding of estuarine salinity drivers, thereby supporting effective ecosystem management and resilience strategies under GCC.

RevDate: 2025-09-23

Akatah BM, Onyeaka H, Onungwe I, et al (2025)

Climate change-induced heatwaves in Nigeria: Causes, challenges, and adaptive strategies.

Journal of environmental management, 394:127433 pii:S0301-4797(25)03409-7 [Epub ahead of print].

Heatwave issues is a major environmental concern in Nigeria. This study examines the increasing issues associated with climate change-related heatwaves, focusing on Nigeria. Considering the geographical vulnerability, socioeconomic, rapid urbanisation, infrastructure, and policy implementation deficit factors linked to Nigeria, this study aims to provide insight into the effects of prolonged high temperatures on the environment, human health, agriculture, infrastructure, economic stability, and the ecosystem. Relevant weather data and climate trends from 1980 to 2099 were collected from Scopus, web of science, google scholar, Research gate, PubMed, Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet), and the World Bank databases for review. This study used the standard, systematic and bibliographic review of literature to which followed the Preferred Reporting Items Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) method to analyse the retrieved literatures. The research reveals that the challenges associated with high-intensity heat events include severe health risks, increased mortality from heat-related illnesses, reduced productivity (agriculture and labour outputs), water scarcity, strain on energy resources, and socio-economic inequalities. The health risks include heat exhaustion, dehydration and cardiovascular complications. The most significant risk bearers are the vulnerable populations (children, the elderly, and low-income earners). Both short and long-term remedial actions are required to lessen the negative effects of heatwaves, including early warning systems, provision of healthcare services for vulnerable populations and providing heat-resilient infrastructure, afforestation, reforestation programs and promoting sustainable energy solutions to reduce reliance on fossil fuels.

RevDate: 2025-09-23
CmpDate: 2025-09-23

Duarte M, Sanhueza N, Vásquez JA, et al (2025)

Kelps on the move: Potential future distribution areas in the face of climate change, on the Pacific coast of South America.

PloS one, 20(9):e0332591 pii:PONE-D-25-14039.

Kelp forests are critical marine ecosystems that offer key services such as habitat, coastal protection, carbon sequestration, and support for fisheries. Along the temperate Pacific coast of South America, however, these seaweeds have historically been subjected to intense exploitation pressure, given their value as an economic resource. Additionally, they are impacted by oceanographic and climatic factors such as ENSO (El Niño-Southern Oscillation) event and ongoing climate change. The combined effects of these stressors pose a significant threat to their biomass and geographic distribution. Species distribution models under four representative concentration pathways for 2050 were used to assess the current and future potential distribution of two endemic intertidal kelp species, Lessonia berteroana and Lessonia spicata, which represent two of the four primary kelp species targeted by regional fisheries in the region. This approximation allows us to identify future areas of persistence (retained), retreat (lost), and expansion (gained). The results show that the environmental variables that mainly affected the potential distribution were salinity in L. berteroana and surface water temperature for L. spicata. The predictive models suggest that for L. berteroana, the lost area could reach 60.6%, and retained areas could account for 31.6% of the current area. Similarly, for L. spicata, the models indicate a potential loss of 58.6%, with retained areas comprising approximately 58.2% of the current area. Therefore, models predict a significant contraction could lead to the local disappearance of Lessonia species between 14° S and 25° S, profoundly altering coastal ecosystems and diminishing the critical ecosystem services they provide. Our modeling results underscore the urgent need for informed management and conservation strategies for kelp forests, which serve as vital ecosystem engineers. This research is especially critical in the face of climate change and ongoing anthropogenic pressures such as overexploitation. The study provides a robust scientific foundation for proactive measures to mitigate kelp forest decline and preserving their invaluable ecosystem functions along the Pacific coast of South America.

RevDate: 2025-09-23
CmpDate: 2025-09-23

Lee E, LC McManus (2025)

Rate of Temperature Increase and Genetic Diversity Drives Marine Metapopulation Persistence under Climate Change.

The American naturalist, 206(4):318-334.

AbstractMetapopulations span environmental gradients and experience variable rates of environmental change, with populations differing in their tolerance and evolutionary capacity. Our study aimed to quantify the extent to which interactions between population-specific traits and spatial environmental heterogeneity affect metapopulation persistence under climate change. Using an eco-evolutionary model, we simulated 25 population types with varying thermal tolerance breadths and genetic variance, impacting the strength of selection and rate of evolutionary response, respectively. We applied this framework to marine ecosystems, which face significant threats from climate change, with many habitat-forming organisms such as coral, oysters, and kelp existing as metapopulations connected through propagule dispersal via ocean currents. We tracked the response of different populations under sea surface temperature spatial ranges and projected warming rates to 2100 that are specific to 49 large marine ecosystems. We found that the rate of warming was the strongest predictor of the number of persistent metapopulations, where faster warming reduced the population types that a region could support. We also found that cooler subpopulations outperformed warmer ones, likely due to immigration from warmer sites, suggesting that cooler sites may act as climate refugia.

RevDate: 2025-09-23
CmpDate: 2025-09-23

Valicenti T, Manno C, Poo JI, et al (2025)

Impact of Malt Bagasse Silage on Fungal Diversity, Fusarium Species, and Mycotoxin Contamination Under a Circular Economy Approach to Climate Change Mitigation.

Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland), 11(7): pii:jof11070505.

Malt bagasse is the primary solid waste product from the brewing process, with notable environmental implications. Due to its nutritional value, it has potential as animal feed, primarily through ensilage. Alfalfa pellets can enhance this silage by adding digestible nitrogen and fibre. However, the high moisture content favours microbial contamination, particularly by fungi like Fusarium, which produces harmful mycotoxins. This study evaluated the impact of winter silage on fungal diversity, Fusarium presence, and mycotoxin contamination in malt bagasse, comparing the pre- and post-silage stages with the addition of alfalfa pellets. Results showed a diverse range of fungi, including Mucor, Cladosporium, Fusarium, and Penicillium, as well as yeasts. Fungal contamination was higher before silage, although the addition of alfalfa increased it after silage was produced. Fusarium verticillioides was the most common Fusarium species. Mycotoxin analysis detected DON (1.4 ppb) in only one sample. A two-month winter silage process under cold-temperate conditions appears to reduce fungal contamination and preserve feed quality. These findings support silage as a circular strategy to manage brewery waste safely, but further research and policy measures are needed to minimise biological risks in the brewing and livestock sectors amid climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-23
CmpDate: 2025-09-23

Razzaq K, Del Río Mendoza LE, Babakhani B, et al (2025)

Integrated Management Strategies for Blackleg Disease of Canola Amidst Climate Change Challenges.

Journal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland), 11(7): pii:jof11070514.

Blackleg caused by a hemi-biotrophic fungus Plenodomus lingam (syn. Leptosphaeria maculans) poses a significant threat to global canola production. Changing climatic conditions further exacerbate the intensity and prevalence of blackleg epidemics. Shifts in temperature, humidity, and precipitation patterns can enhance pathogen virulence and disease spread. This review synthesizes the knowledge on integrated disease management (IDM) approaches for blackleg, including crop rotation, resistant cultivars, and chemical and biological controls, with an emphasis on advanced strategies such as disease forecasting models, remote sensing, and climate-adapted breeding. Notably, bibliometric analysis reveals an increasing research focus on the intersection of blackleg, climate change, and sustainable disease management. However, critical research gaps remain, which include the lack of region-specific forecasting models, the limited availability of effective biological control agents, and underexplored socio-economic factors limiting farmer adoption of IDM. Additionally, the review identifies an urgent need for policy support and investment in breeding programs using emerging tools like AI-driven decision support systems, CRISPR/Cas9, and gene stacking to optimize fungicide use and resistance deployment. Overall, this review highlights the importance of coordinated, multidisciplinary efforts, integrating plant pathology, breeding, climate modeling, and socio-economic analysis to develop climate-resilient, locally adapted, and economically viable IDM strategies for sustainable canola production.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Nowak-Andraka M, Bednarski W, Siemieniuk W, et al (2025)

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON MENTAL HEALTH.

Psychiatria Danubina, 37(Suppl 1):434-437.

BACKGROUND: Climate change is increasingly affecting not only physical health but also mental well-being. Psychological consequences such as eco-anxiety, depression, and post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) following climate-related disasters are being reported with growing frequency.

SUBJECTS AND METHODS: This study was conducted with mental health professionals who attended the Medforum Psychiatry Congress in 2024. A 22-question, closed-ended questionnaire was used to assess perceptions of the impact of climate change on mental health, the prevalence of eco-anxiety, and workplace preparedness for responding to climate-related disasters.

RESULTS: A total of 208 individuals participated in the survey. Of those, 51.9% rated the impact of climate change on mental health as moderate, and 13.9% considered it to be very significant. Although eco-anxiety is increasingly recognized by professionals, most admitted that they rarely encounter patients who report this issue directly.

CONCLUSIONS: Climate change affects mental health in two ways: directly, through the experience of disasters, and indirectly, by inducing chronic anxiety. Educational initiatives and the implementation of procedures to support mental health during climate-related crises are essential.

RevDate: 2025-09-22

Roy K, Basu R, A Basu (2025)

Climate change and neurotropic vector-borne viruses: addressing emerging threats through a One Health approach.

mBio [Epub ahead of print].

Vector-borne diseases are mainly transmitted through the bites of infected arthropods. They are a major public health concern as they account for more than 700,000 deaths annually. Among many vector-borne pathogens, the neurotropic viruses have been contributing to the increased number of deaths across the globe due to severe neurological complications. Despite the advancement of vector control strategies, the prevalence and severity of neurotropic viral infections have not been alleviated till date. Anthropogenic activities cause persistent fluctuations in temperature and weather trends. This plays a major part in shaping the fate of transmission dynamics and pathogenesis of such diseases. Changes in climatic factors, such as global warming and delayed withdrawal of monsoon, have had huge impacts on stretching the window of disease transmission worldwide. The abundance, survival, feeding activity, and vectorial competence of the arthropods are expected to increase with rising temperatures. This review aims to discuss how climate change affects ecosystems, thereby influencing vectors and the associated neurotropic viruses. It also highlights the urgent need for the "One Health" strategy. It is a concept that recognizes that humans and animals do not exist in isolation and are part of a larger ecosystem where their activity and health are interconnected to one another. This holistic approach is essential in addressing the emerging threats posed by climate change, rising rates of infection, and epidemics across the globe.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Chivasa T, Nunu WN, Dhlamini M, et al (2025)

Impact of Climate Change on Malaria Transmission and Management in Zimbabwe: A Scoping Review of the Literature.

Health services insights, 18:11786329251374245.

BACKGROUND: Malaria remains a public health priority In Zimbabwe, with approximately half the population at risk.

AIM: This study aimed to review the literature to synthesise historical and current evidence regarding the impact of climate change on malaria transmission and management.

METHODS: Guided by the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses extension for a scoping review framework, a systematic search was conducted across multiple databases and websites, and 22 literature sources were included based on topic relevance and alignment to the inclusion criteria.

RESULTS: Most reviewed studies have consistently demonstrated that climate change is shifting the geographic distribution, trends, timing, and intensity of malaria transmission in Zimbabwe. However, others have emphasised the key role of non-climatic human, ecological, and health system factors and intervention coverage in shaping malaria transmission dynamics. Overstretched health systems and the uncertain effectiveness of existing interventions in a changing climate pose significant challenges to malaria management. This review identified key gaps, including the lack of longitudinal data, limited use of localised predictive modelling, and a limited focus on climate-parasite dynamics.

CONCLUSION: There is a growing need for climate-informed programming, emphasising the need for improved local funding, multi-sectoral collaboration, community engagement, and building climate-resilient health systems.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Akiner ME (2025)

Analysis of the occupancy rates of İstanbul Dams and optimum water management strategies against climate change effects.

PeerJ, 13:e20041.

İstanbul is facing an increasingly deepening water management crisis due to its growing population, rapid urbanization, and climate change. This study aims to assess the current status of urban water management using over 23 years of daily occupancy data from İstanbul's ten main dams. The dataset, provided by the İstanbul Water and Sewerage Administration (İSKİ), underwent extensive preprocessing, including eliminating missing observations, cleaning of outliers, and normalization. Statistical analysis of occupancy rate differences among dams was performed using the nonparametric Friedman test (Q = 8,083.929; p < 0.0001), revealing significant performance inequalities with a high significance level. The inequitable distribution of water resources was measured using the Gini coefficient, and a value of 0.65 indicated a striking imbalance in the current system. Geographical analysis revealed that dams located in the north have stable occupancy rates, while dams closer to the city center and under urban pressure exhibit erratic and underperforming conditions. Time series analyses revealed distinct seasonal fluctuations across dams. These patterns reflect the dams' responses to different climatic and spatial conditions, and no direct assessment has been made of factors such as climate change. The study revealed that the occupancy fluctuations and inequalities exhibited by the İstanbul dam system over time vary significantly depending on the dam's location, basin characteristics, and operational conditions. This suggests that the current dam structure is far from a spatially homogeneous entity and that management approaches should consider this diversity. This study aims to contribute to developing sustainable and climate-adapted water policies for megacities like İstanbul through a data-driven governance approach.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Gupta HB, Sarangi S, Mutha R, et al (2025)

A KAP-based evaluation on the role of climate change in shaping dental practices.

Bioinformation, 21(6):1416-1420.

Climate change poses a significant threat to oral health and the sustainability of dental care systems. Therefore, it is of interest to assess the dental students' knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) on climate change and sustainability. While most understood the environmental impact and felt responsible, fewer individuals adopted sustainable practices, such as maintaining digital records and segregating waste. Barriers included a lack of training and institutional support. The findings underscore the need for curriculum reforms and policy adjustments to foster sustainability in dentistry.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Bedson CPE, Payne BL, Sutherland C, et al (2025)

Designing a Climate Change Resilient Landscape Connectivity Network From a Multi-Species Perspective.

Ecology and evolution, 15(9):e71956.

There is strong evidence that climate change causes species range shifts and declines. Protected areas and suitable habitats are important for maintaining biodiversity. Species range changes depend on landscape connectivity between areas, facilitating movement and colonisation. Conservationists should identify landscape connectivity, as climate change causes species to move at different points in time. We quantified national connectivity for England for a sample of nationally important taxa associated with limestone and upland habitats, reflecting the White Peak as example focal region. We generated England-wide species distribution models for 15 species for three climate change time scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathway 245): current, 2050 and 2090. We inverted these models, applying circuit theory analysis, to create connectivity maps. We applied z-score standardisation to compare differences between scenarios. We considered the top decile of connectivity occurring across the time periods as the 'landscape connectivity network'. We compared this with the National Character Area framework of land parcels, the Site of Special Scientific Interest (SSSI) map, and quantified landcover in the network. The landscape connectivity network showed future species requirements becoming more diffuse, i.e., the landscape becoming more permeable. High connectivity value land lay in South West or South East England, and the central Pennines; implying range shifts to diverging latitudes. The network measured 1,029,000 ha, with 13% inside SSSIs. In the White Peak focal example, there were 7600 ha, with 38% inside SSSIs. Across England, the network's landcover included broadleaved woodland (365,000 ha), calcareous grassland (55,000 ha), and improved grassland (305,000 ha), the latter thought to be of low biodiversity value. This research innovates by combining connectivity assessments for widely different taxa associated with one habitat type for three climate change time scenarios. It shows how connectivity tends to be concentrated in certain areas of England, thereby identifying important national and regional connectivity areas to support species conservation planning.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Almagro D, Martin-Benito D, Rossi S, et al (2025)

Long-Term Cambial Phenology Reveals Diverging Growth Responses of Two Tree Species in a Mixed Forest Under Climate Change.

Global change biology, 31(9):e70503.

The net effect of stress induced by climate change on forest functional dynamics remains uncertain. We monitored the dynamics of wood formation and cambial phenology for 11 consecutive years in two co-occurring tree species with different drought tolerance, Pinus sylvestris and Quercus pyrenaica, providing a unique long-term xylogenesis dataset (2012-2022). To assess the influence of climate on cambial and xylem developmental phases, we analyzed biologically meaningful climatic covariates across different time windows. In pine, late-winter temperatures strongly regulated the onset of cambial reactivation, advancing it 5.5 days per°C of warming, with reactivation occurring between early April and mid-May depending on winter thermal conditions. The onset of cambial reactivation in oaks was influenced both by soil water content and late-winter temperature, although the effect of temperature was weaker and restricted to a narrower time window than in pines. The effect of climate on the end of enlargement was nearly identical in both species, consistent with a turgor-driven regulation: higher maximum temperatures accelerated the process, whereas late-spring precipitation in late spring delayed it. In oaks and pines, the end of wood formation was advanced under hot and dry summers, inducing the early cessation of secondary wall lignification and, thus, reducing the length of xylogenesis. Despite the positive effect of warmer winters on earlier cambial resumption in pines, the duration of the enlargement phase (i.e., radial growth period) remained consistently shorter than in the more drought-tolerant oaks. Yet, the high phenological pasticity of pines to winter temperatures may also increase their growth duration, thereby partially buffering the negative effects of hotter droughts. The long dataset analyzed provided a robust assessment of species-specific phenological plasticity under climate change. Disentangling the net effect of climate on xylogenesis is crucial to understand future growth dynamics in mixed forests where more drought-tolerant species are becoming increasingly dominant.

RevDate: 2025-09-22

Niraj KC, T Kuaanan (2025)

The Impact of Climate Change and Socioeconomic Factors on Child Undernutrition in Karnali Nepal.

Indian journal of public health [Epub ahead of print].

BACKGROUND: The nutritional status of children in South Asian regions is already under threat from rising global temperatures and more unpredictable rainfall and humidity patterns. Child undernutrition based on mid-upper arm circumference has been a major concern for Nepal as it is the highest among children in the world.

OBJECTIVE: The objective of our study is to determine the climate change and socioeconomic determinants of undernutrition in children under 3 years.

METHODS: This study explored the sample of 538 children ranging in age from 3 to <36 months using a binary logistic regression model to determine the climate change and socioeconomic factors associated with child undernutrition.

RESULTS: Our study estimated approximately 24% of children are undernourished. Our analysis in the adjusted multivariable logistic regression model found that children born between 65% and 75% humidity were 3.48 times more likely to be undernutrition as compared to the humidity level at <65% (adjusted odds ratio = 3.48; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-11.18). The bivariate analysis found that children born at a temperature higher than 30°C were four times more likely to suffer from undernutrition (odds ratio = 4.00; 95% CI: 1.19-13.44). The study revealed that children who had low childbirth weight were eight times more at risk of being undernutrition.

CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed that temperature, precipitation, climate hazard, occupation of the mother, and health facility distance were common climate change and socioeconomic risk factors of child undernutrition in Nepal.

RevDate: 2025-09-22
CmpDate: 2025-09-22

Davis BPF, Beggs PJ, PL Graham (2025)

Demographic differences in Australia's local government adaptation planning for health and climate change.

Public health research & practice, 35:.

Objectives Adaptation planning is needed at all levels of government to limit the adverse impacts of climate change on public health. This study aims to examine adaptation planning with a health focus at the local government level in Australia. Methods All 541 Australian local governments were contacted by email, and their websites were searched to determine which had a climate change adaptation plan. These plans were analysed for their health-word content. Results Almost one-quarter (23%, 124/541) of Australian local governments had a climate change adaptation plan. A larger proportion of urban local governments had plans when compared with rural local governments (41% vs 8%, P P P Conclusions Australia's local governments differ in adaptation planning for health and climate change, with just under a quarter having produced a plan, and the extent and nature of health content are highly variable.

RevDate: 2025-09-21

Chen H, Kang L, Zhou L, et al (2025)

River system thermal dynamics under Dual pressures of climate change and cascade reservoir operations.

Journal of environmental management, 394:127350 pii:S0301-4797(25)03326-2 [Epub ahead of print].

Understanding the cumulative impacts of climate change and cascade reservoir operations on river thermal regimes is essential for sustainable water and ecosystem management. We integrate multi-sensor Landsat observations (2000-2024) in Google Earth Engine, reconstructing daily river temperatures via sinusoidal dynamic regression. Three physically interpretable metrics-mean thermal offset (Δa), amplitude dampening (R), and phase lag (Δτ)-quantify reservoir-induced thermal alterations. A Bayesian-optimized CatBoost model with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) identifies shifts in climatic response patterns of river temperature under cascade regulation. Application to the lower Jinsha River shows a mean warming rate of 0.12 °C/year, peaking at 0.23 °C/year in summer. Reservoir operations cause persistent Δa increases, smoothed seasonal extremes, and progressive Δτ delays. SHAP analysis reveals declining air temperature influence (from 32.7 % to 24.6 %) and rising contributions from solar radiation (26.8 %) and wind (18.3 %), based on standardized Shapley Contribution Index (SCI) values. These results demonstrate that climate change and reservoir regulation jointly reshape river thermal regimes. The integrated approach-combining remote sensing, physically based metrics, and uncertainty-quantified machine learning-offers a transferable framework for fine-scale monitoring and adaptive scheduling in regulated river systems.

RevDate: 2025-09-20

Sisodiya SM, Organising Committee (2025)

Climate change and brain health: a conference report.

The Lancet. Neurology, 24(10):815-816.

RevDate: 2025-09-20

Calabrese C, Giangrande A, Quarta E, et al (2025)

The Mediterranean introduced pearl oyster Pinctada radiata: can an invasion be changed into a gain in a climate change scenario?.

Marine pollution bulletin, 222(Pt 2):118736 pii:S0025-326X(25)01212-3 [Epub ahead of print].

The pearl oyster Pinctada radiata is considered among the 100 most invasive species in the Mediterranean Sea. Recently, a dramatic increase in P. radiata abundance has been recorded in the Mar Grande of Taranto (Ionian Sea) due to recurring heatwaves. This study investigated the structure and recruitment dynamics of P. radiata obtained in collectors made of plastic nets or coconut fibers within an Integrated Multi-Trophic Aquaculture (IMTA) system in the Mar Grande of Taranto. Furthermore, its nutritional value in terms of fatty acids and its chemical and microbiological quality were analysed in light of its potential commercial exploitation. The results revealed that the best growth performance was achieved with plastic nets. Reproduction occurred throughout the year with a peak in summer. The fatty acid profile of P. radiata at all sampling times revealed the predominance of PUFAs and SFAs over MUFAs. The pearl oyster was found to be a valuable source of omega-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids, as also evidenced by the high ∑ω3/ω6 ratios (range 2.81-4.51). Finally, the oyster quality was good from a microbiological and chemical point of view (PCB ICES-6 concentrations were below established European limits). In this scenario, the exploitation of this species is recommended for several reasons, including its decline in the area of origin and the creation of a market for human consumption and pearl production in the Mediterranean areas, where the species is finding an improved environmental situation due to global warming.

RevDate: 2025-09-20
CmpDate: 2025-09-20

Ali R, Sajjad H, Rahaman MH, et al (2025)

A systematic review on climate change-induced flood susceptibility, vulnerability and risk: future research perspective.

Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(10):1127.

Climate change has emerged as one of the most pressing issues of the twenty-first century. Its induced disasters have posed significant threats to social, economic and environmental systems on the planet earth. Thus, the understanding of implications of climate change is crucial for developing effective mitigation and adaptation strategies. Climate change-induced flood has caused significant economic and environmental losses. This review paper synthesises the state of knowledge on flood susceptibility, vulnerability and risk for identifying research gaps and recommending future research. We collected the articles on the research domains through Web of Science and Scopus search engines to create a coherent database for analysis. A total of 156 research articles were Analysed after the exclusion criteria for the state of research. A bibliometric and systematic analyses were carried out for examining the trend in the publication, frequency of keywords, scale and distribution of studies during 1990-2023. The major emphasis of the review was on conceptualisation, approaches and methods used for analysing flood susceptibility, vulnerability and risk. The findings of this study revealed that most of the reviewed research papers were focused on flood susceptibility, risk and vulnerability while less attempts have been made on flood perception, flood resilience and flood management. The effectiveness of flood resilience, community-based initiatives and policy frameworks for sustainable flood management has been explored for the holistic and interdisciplinary approach. This paper emphasises the necessity of collaboration between policymakers, scientists and local communities to develop adaptive and resilient flood management strategies for future research direction. The insights of this study may help to build more resilient communities in the face of increasing flood-related challenges.

RevDate: 2025-09-19

Shahzad U, C Miao (2025)

Assessing the impact of digitalization, geography, and digital mobility on air pollution in Europe & Central Asia: A climate change perspective.

The Science of the total environment, 1001:180507 pii:S0048-9697(25)02147-3 [Epub ahead of print].

Air pollution has increasingly become a significant driver of global warming, particularly due to the rapid expansion of industrial activities and unsustainable urbanization. This study aims to examine the influence of digitalization, digital mobility, and geography on air pollution across 40 European & Central Asian countries, using Panel-Corrected Standard Errors (PCSEs) to analyze panel data from 1995 to 2023. The findings reveal that, individually, digitalization, digital mobility, and geographical factors significantly contribute to increased air pollution levels in the region, resulting in rising temperatures and posing serious risks to human health and the environment. Notably, while underdeveloped digital infrastructure may amplify the environmental burden-particularly when compounded by geographic constraints-advanced digitalization can mitigate pollution through more efficient digital mobility and cleaner technologies. Moreover, the threshold effect suggests that digitalization must reach a sufficient level to mitigate effectively or potentially exacerbate the intensifying impact of digital mobility and geographical constraints on air pollution. Additionally, the analysis finds bidirectional causality between air pollution and the main explanatory variables: digitalization, digital mobility, and geography. Conversely, control variables such as fixed capital formation and GDP are associated with reductions in air pollution, while final consumption and population growth are found to exacerbate it. Policymakers are encouraged to leverage digital transformation not only for economic growth but also as a strategic tool to combat climate change and support sustainable development.

RevDate: 2025-09-19

Pinho-Gomes AC, Sorensen C, de Paiva Magalhães D, et al (2025)

Inclusion of climate change and planetary health in masters of public health curricula in the UK.

European journal of public health pii:8253649 [Epub ahead of print].

Due to the many health impacts of climate change, it is imperative to equip public health professionals with the skills and knowledge to work on climate mitigation and adaptation. However, it is unclear to what extent Masters of Public Health (MPH) include climate change and related subjects in their curricula. A survey was sent to MPH directors in the UK with questions about inclusion of climate change and related subjects in the curriculum. Russell group universities and those commissioned by NHS England Workforce, Training and Education were invited to take part. A total of 27 MPH courses were included (100% response rate). Climate change and related subjects were included in optional or core modules on other subjects, with health protection and health improvement being the most common. Two MPHs had only one lecture/seminar on climate change and one MPH did not cover these topics in the syllabus. The most common subject included in curricula was climate change (24, 89%). Most MPH directors wanted to increase the inclusion of climate change and planetary health in the curriculum (12, 55%) but could not do so due to lack of space within an already overloaded curriculum (10, 37%). Despite the recognition of the importance of climate change and health education by MPH course directors, the inclusion of those subjects in curricula remains variable and not as thorough as required given the importance of the topic. Addressing barriers is warranted to enable public health professionals to gain the required skills in climate mitigation and adaptation.

RevDate: 2025-09-19
CmpDate: 2025-09-19

Sönmez T, E Karaman (2025)

Factors relating to climate change anxiety in women at reproductive age: A CHAID analysis.

Revista da Escola de Enfermagem da U S P, 59:e20250182 pii:S0080-62342025000100468.

OBJECTIVE: This study aimed to determine the factors relating to climate change anxiety in women at reproductive age.

METHOD: This study is descriptive and cross-sectional. This study included 351 women aged 18-45 years. Data were collected via face to face interviews using the 'Women's Descriptive Characteristics and Climate Change Perception Assessment Form' and 'Climate Change Anxiety Scale for Women's Health' between June and October 2024 at a family health center in Mersin province of Türkiye. Data analysis included descriptive statistical methods and chi-squared automatic ınteraction detector analysis.

RESULTS: The average age of the women was 27.91 ± 8.30 years (n = 351). The Climate Change Anxiety Scale for Women's Health mean score was 52.46 ± 17.19. Women's experience of anxiety regarding the negative consequences of climate change affected the scale and all sub-dimensions (physiological health, behavior, and gender) (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION: Health professionals should provide information and assessments including the effects of climate change on health in care services. They should plan interventions to reduce women's anxiety levels towards climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-19
CmpDate: 2025-09-19

Huang Y, Yang J, Zhao G, et al (2025)

Changes in potential distribution and cultivation areas of Allium victorialis L. under climate change.

Frontiers in plant science, 16:1629527.

INTRODUCTION: Climate change has profoundly reshaped the spatiotemporal distribution patterns of plants. A. victorialis, a wild vegetable with significant edible and medicinal value, is highly favored by residents in the upper reaches of the Dadu River - Minjiang River, leading to its extensive collection and utilization.

METHODS: This study simulated the potential distribution of A. victorialis in the upper reaches of the Dadu River-Minjiang River using an ensemble model, predicting the impacts of future climate change on its distribution, the migration patterns of the centroid of suitable habitats, and its ecological niche. Additionally, a production dynamic model integrating ecological suitability and nutritional components of A. victorialis was constructed to delineate its current and future potential cultivation areas.

RESULTS AND DISCUSSION: The results demonstrated that the annual temperature range, precipitation in the warmest quarter, and temperature seasonality coefficient are the main factors restricting the potential distribution of A. victorialis Multivariate environmental similarity and the most dissimilar variable analysis revealed significant climate anomalies in the study area, indicating that future climate change will have a substantial impact on A. victorialis. In the current period, the suitable habitats and high-yield cultivation areas of A. victorialis are concentrated in low-altitude river valleys in the upper reaches of the Dadu River - Minjiang River. Under future scenarios, highly suitable habitats and first-class cultivation areas will face shrinkage, with the ecological niche and distribution centroid migrating northeastward. By 2090, under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, the changes will be most drastic: first-class cultivation areas will disappear entirely, and highly suitable habitats will be nearly lost. This study will facilitate the development of suitable management strategies for A. victorialis in the upper reaches of the Dadu River-Minjiang River, providing a scientific reference for the sustainable utilization of mountain plant resources under climate change.

RevDate: 2025-09-19
CmpDate: 2025-09-19

Ebi K, Haines A, Andrade RFS, et al (2025)

The attribution of human health outcomes to climate change: a transdisciplinary guidance document.

Climatic change, 178(8):.

For over 30 years, detection and attribution (D&A) studies have informed key conclusions in international and national assessments of climate science, providing compelling evidence for the reality and seriousness of the human effects on the global climate. In the early 21st century, D&A methods were adapted to assess the contribution of climate change to longer-term trends in earth system processes and extreme weather events. More recently, attribution research helped quantify the health and economic impacts of climate change. Here we provide guidance for transdisciplinary collaboration in designing, conducting, interpreting, and reporting robust and policy-relevant attribution analyses of human health outcomes. This guidance resulted from discussions among experts in health and climate science. Recommended steps include co-developing the research question across disciplines; establishing a transdisciplinary analytic team with fundamental grounding in the core disciplines; engaging meaningfully with relevant stakeholders and decision-makers to define an appropriate study design and analytic process, including defining the exposure event or trend; identifying, visualizing, and describing linkages in the causal pathway from exposure to weather/climate variables to the health outcome(s) of interest; choosing appropriate counterfactual climate data, and where applicable, to evaluate the skill of the climate and process or empirical health model(s) used in D&A research; quantifying the attributable changes in climate variables; quantifying the attributable health impacts within the context of other determinants of exposure and vulnerability; and reporting key results, including a description of how recommendations were incorporated into the analytical plan. Implementation of guidance would benefit diverse stakeholders including researchers, research funders, policymakers, and climate litigation by harmonizing methods and increasing confidence in findings.

RevDate: 2025-09-18
CmpDate: 2025-09-18

Mottishaw F, S MacQuarrie (2025)

Need to address mental health within climate change education.

BMJ mental health, 28(1): pii:bmjment-2025-301548.

Education plays a crucial role in equipping young people with the skills and knowledge necessary to navigate the challenges of adulthood. In the context of the escalating climate crisis, climate change education (CCE) has an essential role in this aim. Despite an increase of research in the area, where young people have been identified as being particularly concerned about climate change, CCE continues to be under-represented in the UK curriculum. This article explores critical considerations for developing an effective approach to CCE. It emphasises the importance of young people's emotional responses to this aspect of their education that can shape their engagement with the topic. It addresses the need to consider how informal learning through social media and online platforms can have a significant impact on views of the crisis, as well as behaviour. Finally, the article proposes several evidence-based strategies to enhance the integration of CCE into formal education, fostering both critical engagement and actionable understanding among students.

RevDate: 2025-09-19
CmpDate: 2025-09-19

George TS, Bulgarelli D, Carminati A, et al (2024)

Bottom-up perspective - The role of roots and rhizosphere in climate change adaptation and mitigation in agroecosystems.

Plant and soil, 500(1-2):297-323.

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Climate change is happening and causing severe impact on the sustainability of agroecosystems. We argue that many of the abiotic stresses associated with climate change will be most acutely perceived by the plant at the root-soil interface and are likely to be mitigated at this globally important interface. In this review we will focus on the direct impacts of climate change, temperature, drought and pCO2, on roots and rhizospheres.

METHODS AND RESULTS: We consider which belowground traits will be impacted and discuss the potential for monitoring and quantifying these traits for modelling and breeding programs. We discuss the specific impacts of combined stress and the role of the microbial communities populating the root-soil interface, collectively referred to as the rhizosphere microbiota, in interactions with roots under stress and discuss the plastic responses to stress as a way of adapting plants to climate change. We then go on to discuss the role that modelling has in understanding this complex problem and suggest the best belowground targets for adaptation and mitigation to climate change. We finish by considering where the main uncertainties lie, providing perspective on where research is needed.

CONCLUSION: This review therefore focuses on the potential of roots and rhizosphere to adapt to climate change effects and to mitigate their negative impacts on plant growth, crop productivity, soil health and ecosystem services.

RevDate: 2025-09-18

Zhao J, Zheng B, Ciais P, et al (2025)

Global warming amplifies wildfire health burden and reshapes inequality.

Nature pii:10.1038/s41586-025-09612-9 [Epub ahead of print].

Global warming intensifies wildfires and exacerbates greenhouse gas and pollutant emissions[1]. However, global projections remain incomplete, hindering effective policy interventions amid uncertain warming futures[2]. Here, we developed an interpretable machine learning framework to project global burned areas and wildfire emissions. This framework accounts for the impacts of future climate change on fire activity and quantifies associated premature deaths and radiative forcing from fire-induced particulate matter (PM2.5). Here we show that from 2010-2014 to 2095-2099, fire carbon emissions are projected to increase by 23% under the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) 2-4.5. Increased fire-related aerosols reduce the 0.06 W m[-2] cooling effect north of 60°N. Projections show a surge in premature deaths from wildfire smoke, reaching 1.40 (95% Confidence Interval: 0.66-2.25) million annually during 2095-2099, roughly 6 times higher than current levels. Africa is projected to experience the greatest rise in fire-related deaths (11-fold), driven by emission changes and an aging population. Europe and the U.S. would experience a 1-2-fold increase under SSP2-4.5, linked to rising fire occurrences in the mid-latitude Northern Hemisphere. Overall, the health burden would become more evenly distributed across nations of differing development levels than present patterns, underscoring the need for coordinated efforts.

RevDate: 2025-09-18

Qiu M, Li J, Gould CF, et al (2025)

Wildfire smoke exposure and mortality burden in the US under climate change.

Nature pii:10.1038/s41586-025-09611-w [Epub ahead of print].

Wildfire activity has increased in the US and is projected to accelerate under future climate change [1-3]. However, our understanding of the impacts of climate change on wildfire activity, smoke, and health outcomes remains highly uncertain, due to the difficulty of modeling the causal chain from climate to wildfire to air pollution and health. Here we quantify the mortality burden in the US due to wildfire smoke fine particulate matter (PM2.5) under climate change. We construct an ensemble of statistical and machine learning models that link climate to wildfire smoke PM2.5, and empirically estimate smoke PM2.5-mortality relationships using data on all recorded deaths in the US. We project that smoke PM2.5 could result in 71,420 excess deaths (95% CI: 34,930 - 98,430) per year by 2050 under a high warming scenario (SSP3-7.0) - a 73% increase relative to estimated 2011-2020 average annual excess deaths from smoke. Cumulative excess deaths from smoke PM2.5 could reach 1.9 million between 2026-2055. We find evidence for mortality impacts of smoke PM2.5 that last up to three years after exposure. When monetized, climate-driven smoke deaths result in economic damages that exceed existing estimates of climate-driven damages from all other causes combined in the US [4,5]. Our research suggests that the health impacts of climate-driven wildfire smoke could be among the most important and costly consequences of a warming climate in the US.

RevDate: 2025-09-18
CmpDate: 2025-09-18

Heath K, Muniz Alves L, MB Bonsall (2025)

Climate change, urbanisation and transmission potential: Aedes aegypti mosquito projections forecast future arboviral disease hotspots in Brazil.

PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 19(9):e0013415 pii:PNTD-D-25-00746.

BACKGROUND: Climate change and urban expansion pose significant challenges to controlling Aedes aegypti mosquito populations, a primary vector of arboviruses such as dengue, Zika, and chikungunya. This study aims assess how climate and anthropogenic factors will jointly shape Ae. aegypti densities in Brazil, which is crucial to forecasting transmission risks and informing public health strategies.

METHODS: This study combined a biologically informed, stage-structured delay-differential equation model with climate and anthropogenic data. Climate projections from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 under different Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) were used to forecast future climate scenarios from 2024 to 2080. Boosted Regression Trees integrated anthropogenic factors like urbanisation, population growth, and urban accessibility. Model outputs were validated with entomological surveillance data, and the basic reproductive number for dengue fever was used to assess changes in disease transmission potential.

FINDINGS: Our findings predicted that Ae. aegypti mosquito density will increase nationally, but unevenly, exceeding thermal limits in North Brazil while rising substantially in the South and Southeast. Increases in density were particularly pronounced under high greenhouse gas emission scenario SSP5-8.5 (up to 92% in the Southeast). These trends were projected to elevate the transmission potential for dengue fever, with Southeast Brazil facing the biggest increases due to mosquito population growth outpacing human population expansion. Validation against historical data confirmed model robustness.

INTERPRETATION: By directly linking mosquito abundance to SSP-specific emissions trajectories, our results show that climate mitigation can markedly reduce disease risk. Shifting from SSP5-8.5 to SSP1-2.6 could cut projected mosquito density increases from 31% to 11% nationally by 2080. The model's spatial granularity and integration of local administrative boundaries support its utility for national and sub-national health planning. Addressing compounded risks in vulnerable peri-urban and rural populations will require coordinated interventions that span climate policy, vector control, and health equity.

RevDate: 2025-09-18
CmpDate: 2025-09-18

Li L, Zhang Z, Ran H, et al (2025)

Projected Distributions of Two Key Vectors of Lumpy Skin Disease, Aedes aegypti and Stomoxys calcitrans, Under Climate Change.

Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2025:1457227.

Lumpy skin disease (LSD), a severe transboundary disease of cattle, has caused substantial economic losses worldwide. Its transmission involves multiple vector species, among which Aedes aegypti and Stomoxys calcitrans are recognized as important contributors due to their broad distribution and ecological adaptability. Modeling the global distribution of the two key vectors is essential for anticipating their potential range expansion under climate change, thereby providing a scientific basis for developing targeted surveillance and control strategies for LSD. Our ensemble models revealed distinct environmental drivers and distributional responses for A. aegypti and S. calcitrans. The distribution of A. aegypti was predicted to be primarily influenced by urban land cover as well as temperature-related variables, especially the mean temperature of the wettest quarter (Bio8) and the mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio9). In contrast, S. calcitrans was strongly driven by managed pasture coverage and precipitation seasonality, indicating its reliance on livestock-associated habitats and stable moisture conditions. Under future climate scenarios, A. aegypti showed a pronounced potential for expansion into higher latitudes, while S. calcitrans exhibited range shifts toward temperate regions. Taking the 2050s (SSP1-2.6) as an example, the percentage gain for A. aegypti reached 96.2%, while for S. calcitrans, the percentage gain reached 43.98%. Our findings highlight the importance of multiple vector assessments in predicting LSD risk under climate change. Distinct habitat shifts of A. aegypti and S. calcitrans indicate the need for differentiated control strategies in different regions.

RevDate: 2025-09-18

Nath A, S Sahu (2025)

Predicting Heat-Induced Physiological Strain and Dehydration among Male Agricultural Workers in Eastern India: Implications of Climate Change.

Journal of occupational and environmental medicine pii:00043764-990000000-00980 [Epub ahead of print].

OBJECTIVE: This study appraised hourly physiological strain and dehydration risk among male agricultural workers during summer paddy harvesting in eastern India, and examined associations with Wet Bulb Globe Temperature (WBGT) and individual-level risk factors.

METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted among 200 adult males using purposive sampling over 40 days (April-June 2024) in West Bengal. Hourly WBGT, heart rate, and aural canal temperature were recorded to calculate the physiological strain index (PSI). Hydration status was assessed using urine specific gravity. Multiple linear regression identified PSI predictors.

RESULTS: WBGT steadily predicted PSI; age amplified strain, work experience showed protection across all five hours (p < 0.001). Dehydration amplified from 16.5% to 33% (p < 0.001), and excessive sweating doubled the risk.

CONCLUSIONS: Prolonged occupational heat exposure augments physiological strain and dehydration, emphasizing the need for urgent heat mitigation approaches in agricultural workforces.

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ESP Quick Facts

ESP Origins

In the early 1990's, Robert Robbins was a faculty member at Johns Hopkins, where he directed the informatics core of GDB — the human gene-mapping database of the international human genome project. To share papers with colleagues around the world, he set up a small paper-sharing section on his personal web page. This small project evolved into The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Support

In 1995, Robbins became the VP/IT of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, WA. Soon after arriving in Seattle, Robbins secured funding, through the ELSI component of the US Human Genome Project, to create the original ESP.ORG web site, with the formal goal of providing free, world-wide access to the literature of classical genetics.

ESP Rationale

Although the methods of molecular biology can seem almost magical to the uninitiated, the original techniques of classical genetics are readily appreciated by one and all: cross individuals that differ in some inherited trait, collect all of the progeny, score their attributes, and propose mechanisms to explain the patterns of inheritance observed.

ESP Goal

In reading the early works of classical genetics, one is drawn, almost inexorably, into ever more complex models, until molecular explanations begin to seem both necessary and natural. At that point, the tools for understanding genome research are at hand. Assisting readers reach this point was the original goal of The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.

ESP Usage

Usage of the site grew rapidly and has remained high. Faculty began to use the site for their assigned readings. Other on-line publishers, ranging from The New York Times to Nature referenced ESP materials in their own publications. Nobel laureates (e.g., Joshua Lederberg) regularly used the site and even wrote to suggest changes and improvements.

ESP Content

When the site began, no journals were making their early content available in digital format. As a result, ESP was obliged to digitize classic literature before it could be made available. For many important papers — such as Mendel's original paper or the first genetic map — ESP had to produce entirely new typeset versions of the works, if they were to be available in a high-quality format.

ESP Help

Early support from the DOE component of the Human Genome Project was critically important for getting the ESP project on a firm foundation. Since that funding ended (nearly 20 years ago), the project has been operated as a purely volunteer effort. Anyone wishing to assist in these efforts should send an email to Robbins.

ESP Plans

With the development of methods for adding typeset side notes to PDF files, the ESP project now plans to add annotated versions of some classical papers to its holdings. We also plan to add new reference and pedagogical material. We have already started providing regularly updated, comprehensive bibliographies to the ESP.ORG site.

Electronic Scholarly Publishing
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Papers in Classical Genetics

The ESP began as an effort to share a handful of key papers from the early days of classical genetics. Now the collection has grown to include hundreds of papers, in full-text format.

Digital Books

Along with papers on classical genetics, ESP offers a collection of full-text digital books, including many works by Darwin and even a collection of poetry — Chicago Poems by Carl Sandburg.

Timelines

ESP now offers a large collection of user-selected side-by-side timelines (e.g., all science vs. all other categories, or arts and culture vs. world history), designed to provide a comparative context for appreciating world events.

Biographies

Biographical information about many key scientists (e.g., Walter Sutton).

Selected Bibliographies

Bibliographies on several topics of potential interest to the ESP community are automatically maintained and generated on the ESP site.

ESP Picks from Around the Web (updated 28 JUL 2024 )