MENU
The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project: Providing world-wide, free access to classic scientific papers and other scholarly materials, since 1993.
More About: ESP | OUR CONTENT | THIS WEBSITE | WHAT'S NEW | WHAT'S HOT
ESP: PubMed Auto Bibliography 04 Feb 2025 at 02:06 Created:
Climate Change
The world is warming up, with 2023 being by far the hottest year
since record keeping began and 2024 shaping up to be hotter yet.
But these changes only involve one or two degrees. What's the big
deal?
The amount of energy required to raise the temperature of one liter
of water by one degree is one kilocalorie (kcal). Scaling up,
the amount of energy required for a one-degree increase in the
water temperature of the Gulf of Mexico is 2,434,000,000,000,000,000 kcals.
That's 25 million times more energy than released by
the WW-II atomic bomb
that destroyed the city of Hiroshima and killed more than 100,000
people.
So, for every one degree increase in water temperature, the Gulf
of Mexico takes on 25-million atomic bombs worth of new energy,
which is then available to fuel hurricanes and other storms.
Maybe a one-degree rise in temperature is a big deal.
Created with PubMed® Query: (( "climate change"[TITLE] OR "global warming"[TITLE] )) NOT pmcbook NOT ispreviousversion
Citations The Papers (from PubMed®)
RevDate: 2025-01-30
CmpDate: 2025-01-30
Climate change and waterborne diseases in temperate regions: a systematic review.
Journal of water and health, 23(1):58-78.
Risk of waterborne diseases (WBDs) persists in temperate regions. The extent of influence of climate-related factors on the risk of specific WBDs in a changing climate and the projections of future climate scenarios on WBDs in temperate regions are unclear. A systematic review was conducted to identify specific waterborne pathogens and diseases prevalent in temperate region literature and transmission cycle associations with a changing climate. Projections of WBD risk based on future climate scenarios and models used to assess future disease risk were identified. Seventy-five peer-reviewed full-text articles for temperate regions published in the English language were included in this review after a search of Scopus and Web of Science databases from 2010 to 2023. Using thematic analysis, climate-related drivers impacting WBD risk were identified. Risk of WBDs was influenced mostly by weather (rainfall: 22% and heavy rainfall: 19%) across the majority of temperate regions and hydrological (streamflow: 50%) factors in Europe. Future climate scenarios suggest that WBD risk is likely to increase in temperate regions. Given the need to understand changes and potential feedback across fate, transport and exposure pathways, more studies should combine data-driven and process-based models to better assess future risks using model simulations.
Additional Links: PMID-39882854
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39882854,
year = {2025},
author = {Salubi, EA and Gizaw, Z and Schuster-Wallace, CJ and Pietroniro, A},
title = {Climate change and waterborne diseases in temperate regions: a systematic review.},
journal = {Journal of water and health},
volume = {23},
number = {1},
pages = {58-78},
pmid = {39882854},
issn = {1477-8920},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Waterborne Diseases/epidemiology ; Humans ; Europe/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Risk of waterborne diseases (WBDs) persists in temperate regions. The extent of influence of climate-related factors on the risk of specific WBDs in a changing climate and the projections of future climate scenarios on WBDs in temperate regions are unclear. A systematic review was conducted to identify specific waterborne pathogens and diseases prevalent in temperate region literature and transmission cycle associations with a changing climate. Projections of WBD risk based on future climate scenarios and models used to assess future disease risk were identified. Seventy-five peer-reviewed full-text articles for temperate regions published in the English language were included in this review after a search of Scopus and Web of Science databases from 2010 to 2023. Using thematic analysis, climate-related drivers impacting WBD risk were identified. Risk of WBDs was influenced mostly by weather (rainfall: 22% and heavy rainfall: 19%) across the majority of temperate regions and hydrological (streamflow: 50%) factors in Europe. Future climate scenarios suggest that WBD risk is likely to increase in temperate regions. Given the need to understand changes and potential feedback across fate, transport and exposure pathways, more studies should combine data-driven and process-based models to better assess future risks using model simulations.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Waterborne Diseases/epidemiology
Humans
Europe/epidemiology
RevDate: 2025-01-31
Projected changes to drought characteristics in Tehran under CMIP6 SSP-RCP climate change scenarios.
Heliyon, 11(2):e41811.
Drought represents one of the most devastating natural hazards, significantly impacting economies, societies, and the environment. Climate change is expected to alter future drought characteristics and may increase the severity of droughts. To mitigate these effects, it is essential to identify the characteristics of future droughts influenced by climate change using appropriate methods. This study aims to assess the climate change impacts on the frequency, duration, and magnitude of droughts in Tehran, the capital of Iran, which has a high concentration of the country's population and industrial activities and is currently facing water stress. Using the Modified Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (M-LARS-WG), capable of reproducing inter-annual variability, future projections from four GCMs under four SSP-RCP scenarios from the latest CMIP6 were downscaled. The impacts of climate change on droughts were then assessed using the SPEI and SPI drought indices. The findings suggest that M-LARS-WG was capable of accurately reproducing historical drought characteristics and performed significantly better than LARS-WG. Based on the SPEI, the duration, magnitude, and frequency of future droughts are expected to increase significantly across nearly all GCM projections. Therefore, developing proactive drought risk frameworks and mitigation strategies is essential for reducing damages from future droughts.
Additional Links: PMID-39882481
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39882481,
year = {2025},
author = {Khazaei, MR},
title = {Projected changes to drought characteristics in Tehran under CMIP6 SSP-RCP climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {2},
pages = {e41811},
pmid = {39882481},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Drought represents one of the most devastating natural hazards, significantly impacting economies, societies, and the environment. Climate change is expected to alter future drought characteristics and may increase the severity of droughts. To mitigate these effects, it is essential to identify the characteristics of future droughts influenced by climate change using appropriate methods. This study aims to assess the climate change impacts on the frequency, duration, and magnitude of droughts in Tehran, the capital of Iran, which has a high concentration of the country's population and industrial activities and is currently facing water stress. Using the Modified Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (M-LARS-WG), capable of reproducing inter-annual variability, future projections from four GCMs under four SSP-RCP scenarios from the latest CMIP6 were downscaled. The impacts of climate change on droughts were then assessed using the SPEI and SPI drought indices. The findings suggest that M-LARS-WG was capable of accurately reproducing historical drought characteristics and performed significantly better than LARS-WG. Based on the SPEI, the duration, magnitude, and frequency of future droughts are expected to increase significantly across nearly all GCM projections. Therefore, developing proactive drought risk frameworks and mitigation strategies is essential for reducing damages from future droughts.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-31
Potential geographical distribution of Cordyceps cicadae and its two hosts in China under climate change.
Frontiers in microbiology, 15:1519560.
INTRODUCTION: The fungus Cordyceps cicadae is both edible and medicinal.
METHODS: To acquire a thorough comprehension of its distribution in China, two host insects, Macrosemia pieli and Platypleura kaempferi, were selected as biological factors potentially associated with its distribution, the ENMTools program was utilized to ascertain the principal environmental factors affecting the distribution of potentially suitable habitats. The possible geographic distributions in the present as well as in the 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s were then predicted using the optimized MaxEnt model.
RESULTS: The primary environmental variables were soil pH, mean diurnal range, annual precipitation, precipitation seasonality, annual mean temperature and precipitation of the driest month. C. cicadae thrived on steep slopes. and some of which also significantly affect the distribution of its two hosts. Most of the suitable habitats of C. cicadae and M. pieli were currently found in the subtropical monsoon zone. The SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585 scenarios were associated with positive, stable, and unfavorable impacts on the extent of suitable habitats for C. cicadae, respectively, and the suitability of P. kaempferi decreased under three different conditions. The expansion of the C. cicadae was observed in provinces bordering the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River, as well as in Zhanjiang, Guangdong Province, and northern Yunnan Province. Conversely, its habitat contraction was mainly found in western Guangdong, southern Guangxi, northern Hainan, southwestern Yunnan, and areas bordering eastern Sichuan. The shared contraction regions with its two hosts were primarily located in western Guangdong, southern Guangxi, and southern Sichuan. Moreover, the future centroids were found at higher elevations than the present ones in the provinces of Jiangxi and Hunan.
DISCUSSION: In light of climate change, this research held significance for the conservation and sustainable utilization of C. cicadae.
Additional Links: PMID-39881996
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39881996,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, J and He, D},
title = {Potential geographical distribution of Cordyceps cicadae and its two hosts in China under climate change.},
journal = {Frontiers in microbiology},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1519560},
pmid = {39881996},
issn = {1664-302X},
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: The fungus Cordyceps cicadae is both edible and medicinal.
METHODS: To acquire a thorough comprehension of its distribution in China, two host insects, Macrosemia pieli and Platypleura kaempferi, were selected as biological factors potentially associated with its distribution, the ENMTools program was utilized to ascertain the principal environmental factors affecting the distribution of potentially suitable habitats. The possible geographic distributions in the present as well as in the 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s were then predicted using the optimized MaxEnt model.
RESULTS: The primary environmental variables were soil pH, mean diurnal range, annual precipitation, precipitation seasonality, annual mean temperature and precipitation of the driest month. C. cicadae thrived on steep slopes. and some of which also significantly affect the distribution of its two hosts. Most of the suitable habitats of C. cicadae and M. pieli were currently found in the subtropical monsoon zone. The SSP126, SSP370, and SSP585 scenarios were associated with positive, stable, and unfavorable impacts on the extent of suitable habitats for C. cicadae, respectively, and the suitability of P. kaempferi decreased under three different conditions. The expansion of the C. cicadae was observed in provinces bordering the middle and lower reaches of the Yellow River, as well as in Zhanjiang, Guangdong Province, and northern Yunnan Province. Conversely, its habitat contraction was mainly found in western Guangdong, southern Guangxi, northern Hainan, southwestern Yunnan, and areas bordering eastern Sichuan. The shared contraction regions with its two hosts were primarily located in western Guangdong, southern Guangxi, and southern Sichuan. Moreover, the future centroids were found at higher elevations than the present ones in the provinces of Jiangxi and Hunan.
DISCUSSION: In light of climate change, this research held significance for the conservation and sustainable utilization of C. cicadae.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-30
Global climate change and seasonal variation of cellulitis in hospitalized children: A 30 year retrospective study.
Epidemiology and infection pii:S0950268825000032 [Epub ahead of print].
Additional Links: PMID-39881621
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39881621,
year = {2025},
author = {Megged, O and Raphael, A and Burstyn, A and Deri, N and Schwartz, S and Eisenberg, R and Toker, O},
title = {Global climate change and seasonal variation of cellulitis in hospitalized children: A 30 year retrospective study.},
journal = {Epidemiology and infection},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-25},
doi = {10.1017/S0950268825000032},
pmid = {39881621},
issn = {1469-4409},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-29
The impact of climate change on vulnerable populations in pediatrics: opportunities for AI, digital health, and beyond-a scoping review and selected case studies.
Pediatric research [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change critically impacts global pediatric health, presenting unique and escalating challenges due to children's inherent vulnerabilities and ongoing physiological development. This scoping review intricately intertwines the spheres of climate change, pediatric health, and Artificial Intelligence (AI), with a goal to elucidate the potential of AI and digital health in mitigating the adverse child health outcomes induced by environmental alterations, especially in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). A notable gap is uncovered: literature directly correlating AI interventions with climate change-impacted pediatric health is scant, even though substantial research exists at the confluence of AI and health, and health and climate change respectively. We present three case studies about AI's promise in addressing pediatric health issues exacerbated by climate change. The review spotlights substantial obstacles, including technical, ethical, equitable, privacy, and data security challenges in AI applications for pediatric health, necessitating in-depth, future-focused research. Engaging with the intricate nexus of climate change, pediatric health, and AI, this work underpins future explorations into leveraging AI to navigate and neutralize the burgeoning impact of climate change on pediatric health outcomes. IMPACT: Our scoping review highlights the scarcity of literature directly correlating AI interventions with climate change-impacted pediatric health that disproportionately affects vulnerable populations, even though substantial research exists at the confluence of AI and health, and health and climate change respectively. We present three case studies about AI's promise in addressing pediatric health issues exacerbated by climate change. The review spotlights substantial obstacles, including technical, ethical, equitable, privacy, and data security challenges in AI applications for pediatric health, necessitating in-depth, future-focused research.
Additional Links: PMID-39881182
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39881182,
year = {2025},
author = {Campbell, EA and Holl, F and Marwah, HK and Fraser, HS and Craig, SS},
title = {The impact of climate change on vulnerable populations in pediatrics: opportunities for AI, digital health, and beyond-a scoping review and selected case studies.},
journal = {Pediatric research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39881182},
issn = {1530-0447},
abstract = {Climate change critically impacts global pediatric health, presenting unique and escalating challenges due to children's inherent vulnerabilities and ongoing physiological development. This scoping review intricately intertwines the spheres of climate change, pediatric health, and Artificial Intelligence (AI), with a goal to elucidate the potential of AI and digital health in mitigating the adverse child health outcomes induced by environmental alterations, especially in Low- and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs). A notable gap is uncovered: literature directly correlating AI interventions with climate change-impacted pediatric health is scant, even though substantial research exists at the confluence of AI and health, and health and climate change respectively. We present three case studies about AI's promise in addressing pediatric health issues exacerbated by climate change. The review spotlights substantial obstacles, including technical, ethical, equitable, privacy, and data security challenges in AI applications for pediatric health, necessitating in-depth, future-focused research. Engaging with the intricate nexus of climate change, pediatric health, and AI, this work underpins future explorations into leveraging AI to navigate and neutralize the burgeoning impact of climate change on pediatric health outcomes. IMPACT: Our scoping review highlights the scarcity of literature directly correlating AI interventions with climate change-impacted pediatric health that disproportionately affects vulnerable populations, even though substantial research exists at the confluence of AI and health, and health and climate change respectively. We present three case studies about AI's promise in addressing pediatric health issues exacerbated by climate change. The review spotlights substantial obstacles, including technical, ethical, equitable, privacy, and data security challenges in AI applications for pediatric health, necessitating in-depth, future-focused research.},
}
RevDate: 2025-02-01
CmpDate: 2025-01-29
Impact of polyvinyl chloride nano-plastics on the biochemical status of Oreochromis niloticus under a predicted global warming scenario.
Scientific reports, 15(1):3671.
Plastic pollution and global warming are widespread issues that lead to several impacts on aquatic organisms. Despite harmful studies on both subjects, there are few studies on how temperature increases plastics' adverse effects on aquatic animals, mainly freshwater species. So, this study aims to clarify the potential impact of temperature increases on the toxicological properties of polyvinyl chloride nano-plastics (PVC-NPs) in Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) by measuring biochemical and oxidative biomarkers. The fish groups were subjected to three distinct temperatures (30, 32, and 34 °C) and subsequently separated into two groups: 0 and 10 mg/L of PVC-NPs, as it is expected that these temperatures may modify their chemical properties, which can influence their absorption and toxicity in fish. After 4 days, the biochemical response of fish exposed to PVC-NPs and elevated temperatures showed a significant increase in the levels of plasma total proteins, albumin, globulin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), creatinine, and uric acid. Additionally, the level of oxidative stress biomarkers in the liver, gills, and brain was found to have a significant increase in malondialdehyde (MDA) concentration and a decrease in glutathione reduced (GSH) concentration and catalase (CAT) activity in all studied groups. Finally, the current findings revealed a synergistic cytotoxic effect of PVC-NPs and temperatures on the metabolic and oxidative stress indices of O. niloticus.
Additional Links: PMID-39880882
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39880882,
year = {2025},
author = {Soliman, AM and Mohamed, AS and Abdel-Khalek, AA and Badran, SR},
title = {Impact of polyvinyl chloride nano-plastics on the biochemical status of Oreochromis niloticus under a predicted global warming scenario.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3671},
pmid = {39880882},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Polyvinyl Chloride ; *Cichlids/metabolism ; *Oxidative Stress/drug effects ; *Global Warming ; Biomarkers ; Plastics ; Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity ; Gills/metabolism/drug effects ; Temperature ; Liver/metabolism/drug effects ; Nanoparticles ; Glutathione/metabolism ; Catalase/metabolism ; },
abstract = {Plastic pollution and global warming are widespread issues that lead to several impacts on aquatic organisms. Despite harmful studies on both subjects, there are few studies on how temperature increases plastics' adverse effects on aquatic animals, mainly freshwater species. So, this study aims to clarify the potential impact of temperature increases on the toxicological properties of polyvinyl chloride nano-plastics (PVC-NPs) in Nile tilapia (Oreochromis niloticus) by measuring biochemical and oxidative biomarkers. The fish groups were subjected to three distinct temperatures (30, 32, and 34 °C) and subsequently separated into two groups: 0 and 10 mg/L of PVC-NPs, as it is expected that these temperatures may modify their chemical properties, which can influence their absorption and toxicity in fish. After 4 days, the biochemical response of fish exposed to PVC-NPs and elevated temperatures showed a significant increase in the levels of plasma total proteins, albumin, globulin, aspartate aminotransferase (AST), alanine aminotransferase (ALT), alkaline phosphatase (ALP), creatinine, and uric acid. Additionally, the level of oxidative stress biomarkers in the liver, gills, and brain was found to have a significant increase in malondialdehyde (MDA) concentration and a decrease in glutathione reduced (GSH) concentration and catalase (CAT) activity in all studied groups. Finally, the current findings revealed a synergistic cytotoxic effect of PVC-NPs and temperatures on the metabolic and oxidative stress indices of O. niloticus.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Polyvinyl Chloride
*Cichlids/metabolism
*Oxidative Stress/drug effects
*Global Warming
Biomarkers
Plastics
Water Pollutants, Chemical/toxicity
Gills/metabolism/drug effects
Temperature
Liver/metabolism/drug effects
Nanoparticles
Glutathione/metabolism
Catalase/metabolism
RevDate: 2025-01-29
CmpDate: 2025-01-29
Climate change, air pollution and chronic respiratory diseases: understanding risk factors and the need for adaptive strategies.
Environmental health and preventive medicine, 30:7.
Under the background of climate change, the escalating air pollution and extreme weather events have been identified as risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases (CRD), causing serious public health burden worldwide. This review aims to summarize the effects of changed atmospheric environment caused by climate change on CRD. Results indicated an increased risk of CRD (mainly COPD, asthma) associated with environmental factors, such as air pollutants, adverse meteorological conditions, extreme temperatures, sandstorms, wildfire, and atmospheric allergens. Furthermore, this association can be modified by factors such as socioeconomic status, adaptability, individual behavior, medical services. Potential pathophysiological mechanisms linking climate change and increased risk of CRD involved pulmonary inflammation, immune disorders, oxidative stress. Notably, the elderly, children, impoverished groups and people in regions with limited adaptability are more sensitive to respiratory health risks caused by climate change. This review provides a reference for understanding risk factors of CRD in the context of climate change, and calls for the necessity of adaptive strategies. Further interdisciplinary research and global collaboration are needed in the future to enhance adaptability and address climate health inequality.
Additional Links: PMID-39880611
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39880611,
year = {2025},
author = {Xu, J and Su, Z and Liu, C and Nie, Y and Cui, L},
title = {Climate change, air pollution and chronic respiratory diseases: understanding risk factors and the need for adaptive strategies.},
journal = {Environmental health and preventive medicine},
volume = {30},
number = {},
pages = {7},
doi = {10.1265/ehpm.24-00243},
pmid = {39880611},
issn = {1347-4715},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Air Pollution/adverse effects ; Risk Factors ; Chronic Disease/epidemiology ; Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology/etiology ; Air Pollutants/adverse effects ; Environmental Exposure/adverse effects ; },
abstract = {Under the background of climate change, the escalating air pollution and extreme weather events have been identified as risk factors for chronic respiratory diseases (CRD), causing serious public health burden worldwide. This review aims to summarize the effects of changed atmospheric environment caused by climate change on CRD. Results indicated an increased risk of CRD (mainly COPD, asthma) associated with environmental factors, such as air pollutants, adverse meteorological conditions, extreme temperatures, sandstorms, wildfire, and atmospheric allergens. Furthermore, this association can be modified by factors such as socioeconomic status, adaptability, individual behavior, medical services. Potential pathophysiological mechanisms linking climate change and increased risk of CRD involved pulmonary inflammation, immune disorders, oxidative stress. Notably, the elderly, children, impoverished groups and people in regions with limited adaptability are more sensitive to respiratory health risks caused by climate change. This review provides a reference for understanding risk factors of CRD in the context of climate change, and calls for the necessity of adaptive strategies. Further interdisciplinary research and global collaboration are needed in the future to enhance adaptability and address climate health inequality.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
*Air Pollution/adverse effects
Risk Factors
Chronic Disease/epidemiology
Respiratory Tract Diseases/epidemiology/etiology
Air Pollutants/adverse effects
Environmental Exposure/adverse effects
RevDate: 2025-01-29
Unveiling the interplay between knowledge, self-efficacy, and pro-environmental behavior about climate change in a sample of rural community-dwelling older adults: A national correlational study.
Geriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.), 62(Pt A):72-80 pii:S0197-4572(25)00011-4 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change is a global health concern that affects all of humanity, but it disproportionately impacts older adults, particularly those living in rural communities. Older adults lack the ability to actively engage in pro-environmental actions aimed at adapting to and mitigating the harmful effects of climate change.
AIM: To investigate the relationship between knowledge, self-efficacy, and pro-environmental behavior regarding climate change, as well as to identify the factors that predict pro-environmental behavior in a sample of rural community-dwelling older adults.
METHODS: A descriptive correlational research design was used with a convenience sample of 517 older adults aged 60 and above, who were recruited from the post offices of the National Post Authority in Minya Governorate, Egypt. Data were collected using a socio-demographic questionnaire, a Climate Change Knowledge Questionnaire, the Environmental Self-Efficacy Scale (ESE), and the Pro-Environmental Behavior Scale (PEBS).
RESULTS: A highly statistically significant positive relationship between climate change knowledge, environmental self-efficacy and pro-environmental behavior (r = 0.412, P=.000; r = 0.392[,]P=.000 & r = 0.720, P=.000 respectively) was reported. As well as, climate change knowledge and environmental self-efficacy were predictors of high pro-environmental behavior scores (P=.00, R = 0.785; R[2]=0.617; Adjusted R[2]=0.615; F = 413.289).
CONCLUSION: Integrating climate change education into Egypt's sustainable development goals is essential for fostering older adults' environmental self-efficacy, which in turn promotes climate change activism among older people in rural communities.
Additional Links: PMID-39879728
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39879728,
year = {2025},
author = {Sorour, DM and Atta, MH and Mohamed, AA and Alfayomy, NA and Othman, AA and Eweida, RS},
title = {Unveiling the interplay between knowledge, self-efficacy, and pro-environmental behavior about climate change in a sample of rural community-dwelling older adults: A national correlational study.},
journal = {Geriatric nursing (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {62},
number = {Pt A},
pages = {72-80},
doi = {10.1016/j.gerinurse.2025.01.007},
pmid = {39879728},
issn = {1528-3984},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a global health concern that affects all of humanity, but it disproportionately impacts older adults, particularly those living in rural communities. Older adults lack the ability to actively engage in pro-environmental actions aimed at adapting to and mitigating the harmful effects of climate change.
AIM: To investigate the relationship between knowledge, self-efficacy, and pro-environmental behavior regarding climate change, as well as to identify the factors that predict pro-environmental behavior in a sample of rural community-dwelling older adults.
METHODS: A descriptive correlational research design was used with a convenience sample of 517 older adults aged 60 and above, who were recruited from the post offices of the National Post Authority in Minya Governorate, Egypt. Data were collected using a socio-demographic questionnaire, a Climate Change Knowledge Questionnaire, the Environmental Self-Efficacy Scale (ESE), and the Pro-Environmental Behavior Scale (PEBS).
RESULTS: A highly statistically significant positive relationship between climate change knowledge, environmental self-efficacy and pro-environmental behavior (r = 0.412, P=.000; r = 0.392[,]P=.000 & r = 0.720, P=.000 respectively) was reported. As well as, climate change knowledge and environmental self-efficacy were predictors of high pro-environmental behavior scores (P=.00, R = 0.785; R[2]=0.617; Adjusted R[2]=0.615; F = 413.289).
CONCLUSION: Integrating climate change education into Egypt's sustainable development goals is essential for fostering older adults' environmental self-efficacy, which in turn promotes climate change activism among older people in rural communities.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-31
CmpDate: 2025-01-29
Climate change aggravates bird mortality in pristine tropical forests.
Science advances, 11(5):eadq8086.
Stable understory microclimates within undisturbed rainforests are often considered refugia against climate change. However, this assumption contrasts with emerging evidence of Neotropical bird population declines in intact rainforests. We assessed the vulnerability of resident rainforest birds to climatic variability, focusing on dry season severity characterized by hotter temperatures and reduced rainfall. Analyzing 4264 individual bird captures over 27 years, we found that harsher Amazonian dry seasons significantly reduced apparent survival for 24 of 29 species, with longer-lived species being more strongly affected. Our model predicted that a 1°C increase in average dry season temperature would reduce the mean apparent survival of the understory bird community by 63%. These findings directly link climate change to declining bird survival in the Amazon, challenging the notion that pristine rainforests can fully protect their biodiversity under increasingly severe climate conditions.
Additional Links: PMID-39879312
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39879312,
year = {2025},
author = {Wolfe, JD and Luther, DA and Jirinec, V and Collings, J and Johnson, EI and Bierregaard, RO and Stouffer, PC},
title = {Climate change aggravates bird mortality in pristine tropical forests.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {5},
pages = {eadq8086},
pmid = {39879312},
issn = {2375-2548},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Birds/physiology ; *Tropical Climate ; *Biodiversity ; Rainforest ; Seasons ; Population Dynamics ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Stable understory microclimates within undisturbed rainforests are often considered refugia against climate change. However, this assumption contrasts with emerging evidence of Neotropical bird population declines in intact rainforests. We assessed the vulnerability of resident rainforest birds to climatic variability, focusing on dry season severity characterized by hotter temperatures and reduced rainfall. Analyzing 4264 individual bird captures over 27 years, we found that harsher Amazonian dry seasons significantly reduced apparent survival for 24 of 29 species, with longer-lived species being more strongly affected. Our model predicted that a 1°C increase in average dry season temperature would reduce the mean apparent survival of the understory bird community by 63%. These findings directly link climate change to declining bird survival in the Amazon, challenging the notion that pristine rainforests can fully protect their biodiversity under increasingly severe climate conditions.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Climate Change
*Birds/physiology
*Tropical Climate
*Biodiversity
Rainforest
Seasons
Population Dynamics
Temperature
RevDate: 2025-01-29
Assessing the role of education level on climate change belief, concern and action: a multinational survey of healthcare professionals in nephrology.
Journal of nephrology [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a significant risk to kidney health, and countries with lower national wealth are more vulnerable. Yet, citizens from lower-income countries demonstrate less concern for climate change than those from higher-income countries. Education is a key covariate. To examine its role in explaining this perception gap, we obtained the perspectives of a highly educated cohort of healthcare professionals.
METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey of healthcare professionals involved in kidney care. Responses were compared by the income level of the participant's country (per World Bank).
RESULTS: Of the 849 healthcare professionals from 107 countries (63.4% from lower and middle-income countries) that participated, most believed climate change was happening (97.9%), displayed a high level of concern (73.3%), and took personal action to combat climate change (62.0%). While the proportion who believed in climate change did not vary by income level (high:98.1%, upper-middle:97.2%, lower-middle:97.8%, low:100%, p = 0.73), the proportion with a higher level of concern (high:80.7%, upper-middle:74.9%, lower-middle:67.5%, low:53.8%, p < 0.001), and who took climate action (high:76.2%, upper-middle:63.1%, lower-middle:51.2%, low:30.8%, p < 0.001) decreased by national wealth. Barriers to involvement in sustainable kidney care were lack of time (54.4%), knowledge (39.7%), and peer support (30.3%). Only 34.0% were aware of national mitigation plans and barriers related to finances, technologies, tools, methods, research, and evidence were perceived as greater obstacles in lower-income countries.
CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight that predictors and correlates of climate change risk perception vary across countries. Education alone is unlikely to increase individual and group engagement in climate change. A better understanding of these factors can inform strategies towards climate action in different settings.
Additional Links: PMID-39878913
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39878913,
year = {2025},
author = {Sandal, S and Onu, U and Fung, W and Pippias, M and Smyth, B and De Chiara, L and Bajpai, D and Bilchut, WH and Hafiz, E and Kelly, DM and Bagasha, P and Jha, V and Ethier, I},
title = {Assessing the role of education level on climate change belief, concern and action: a multinational survey of healthcare professionals in nephrology.},
journal = {Journal of nephrology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39878913},
issn = {1724-6059},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses a significant risk to kidney health, and countries with lower national wealth are more vulnerable. Yet, citizens from lower-income countries demonstrate less concern for climate change than those from higher-income countries. Education is a key covariate. To examine its role in explaining this perception gap, we obtained the perspectives of a highly educated cohort of healthcare professionals.
METHODS: This was a cross-sectional survey of healthcare professionals involved in kidney care. Responses were compared by the income level of the participant's country (per World Bank).
RESULTS: Of the 849 healthcare professionals from 107 countries (63.4% from lower and middle-income countries) that participated, most believed climate change was happening (97.9%), displayed a high level of concern (73.3%), and took personal action to combat climate change (62.0%). While the proportion who believed in climate change did not vary by income level (high:98.1%, upper-middle:97.2%, lower-middle:97.8%, low:100%, p = 0.73), the proportion with a higher level of concern (high:80.7%, upper-middle:74.9%, lower-middle:67.5%, low:53.8%, p < 0.001), and who took climate action (high:76.2%, upper-middle:63.1%, lower-middle:51.2%, low:30.8%, p < 0.001) decreased by national wealth. Barriers to involvement in sustainable kidney care were lack of time (54.4%), knowledge (39.7%), and peer support (30.3%). Only 34.0% were aware of national mitigation plans and barriers related to finances, technologies, tools, methods, research, and evidence were perceived as greater obstacles in lower-income countries.
CONCLUSIONS: Our results highlight that predictors and correlates of climate change risk perception vary across countries. Education alone is unlikely to increase individual and group engagement in climate change. A better understanding of these factors can inform strategies towards climate action in different settings.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-29
Respiratory hazards of climate change, environmental exposures and diverse topics on COPD.
Current opinion in pulmonary medicine, 31(2):77-78.
Additional Links: PMID-39878001
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39878001,
year = {2025},
author = {Joshi, M and Varkey, B},
title = {Respiratory hazards of climate change, environmental exposures and diverse topics on COPD.},
journal = {Current opinion in pulmonary medicine},
volume = {31},
number = {2},
pages = {77-78},
doi = {10.1097/MCP.0000000000001149},
pmid = {39878001},
issn = {1531-6971},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-30
Why farmers are beginning to take their government to court over climate change.
Nature, 637(8048):1050-1052.
Additional Links: PMID-39875653
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39875653,
year = {2025},
author = {Blattner, CE and Finger, R and Ingold, K},
title = {Why farmers are beginning to take their government to court over climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {637},
number = {8048},
pages = {1050-1052},
pmid = {39875653},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-28
Urology on a changing planet: links between climate change and urological disease.
Nature reviews. Urology [Epub ahead of print].
Urological diseases and their varied forms of management warrant special attention in the setting of climate change. Regarding urological cancers, climate change will probably increase the incidence and severity of cancer diagnoses through exposures to certain environmental risk factors, while simultaneously disrupting cancer care delivery and downstream outcomes. Regarding benign urological diseases, a burgeoning body of work exists on climate-related heat waves, dehydration, urolithiasis, renal injury and infectious and vector-borne diseases. Adding to the potential effect on disease pathogenesis, many patients with urological diseases undergo high-tech, resource-intensive interventions, such as robotic surgery, and entail intensive longitudinal assessments over many years. These features incur a considerable carbon footprint, generate substantial waste, and can introduce vulnerabilities to climate-related weather events. Links exist between planetary health (the health of humans and the natural systems that support our health), climate change and urological disease and urological care providers face many challenges in the era of anthropogenic climate change. The next steps and priorities for research, management, and health care delivery include identification and prioritization of health care delivery strategies to minimize waste and carbon emissions, while supporting climate resilience. Examples include supporting telemedicine, limiting low-value care, and building resilience to minimize impacts of climate-related disasters to prepare for the challenges ahead.
Additional Links: PMID-39875561
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39875561,
year = {2025},
author = {Cole, AP and Qian, Z and Gupta, N and Leapman, M and Zurl, H and Trinh, QD and Sherman, JD and Loeb, S and Iyer, HS},
title = {Urology on a changing planet: links between climate change and urological disease.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Urology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39875561},
issn = {1759-4820},
abstract = {Urological diseases and their varied forms of management warrant special attention in the setting of climate change. Regarding urological cancers, climate change will probably increase the incidence and severity of cancer diagnoses through exposures to certain environmental risk factors, while simultaneously disrupting cancer care delivery and downstream outcomes. Regarding benign urological diseases, a burgeoning body of work exists on climate-related heat waves, dehydration, urolithiasis, renal injury and infectious and vector-borne diseases. Adding to the potential effect on disease pathogenesis, many patients with urological diseases undergo high-tech, resource-intensive interventions, such as robotic surgery, and entail intensive longitudinal assessments over many years. These features incur a considerable carbon footprint, generate substantial waste, and can introduce vulnerabilities to climate-related weather events. Links exist between planetary health (the health of humans and the natural systems that support our health), climate change and urological disease and urological care providers face many challenges in the era of anthropogenic climate change. The next steps and priorities for research, management, and health care delivery include identification and prioritization of health care delivery strategies to minimize waste and carbon emissions, while supporting climate resilience. Examples include supporting telemedicine, limiting low-value care, and building resilience to minimize impacts of climate-related disasters to prepare for the challenges ahead.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-31
CmpDate: 2025-01-28
Impacts of climate change on the suitable habitat of Angelica sinensis and analysis of its drivers in China.
Scientific reports, 15(1):3508.
Climate change is shifting optimal habitats for medicinal plants, potentially compromising the efficacy and therapeutic value of herbal remedies. Global warming and increased extreme weather events threaten the sustainability and pharmaceutical integrity of Angelica sinensis (Oliv.) Diels (A. sinensis). Despite its importance in traditional herbal medicine, there is limited research on adaptation of A. sinensis to climate challenges. This study systematically collected occurrence data of A. sinensis through field expeditions and online databases, using the Maxent ecological niche modeling tool and ArcGIS software to forecast suitable habitats. A total of 402 species occurrence points and 21 environmental variables were selected for modeling, resulting in 1,160 distribution models, of which only one met the stringent 5% odds ratio (OR) standard. The optimal model exhibited a pROC value of 0, an OR of 0.0196, and an AICc score of 9,287.133. The model, run ten times for robustness, showed an average AUC of 0.980, indicating high accuracy and reliability. Under current climate conditions, suitable habitats for A. sinensis cover approximately 13% of mainland China, primarily in Gansu (73.77%), Qinghai (14.73%), and Sichuan (11.18%) provinces. Environmental factors such as altitude, humidity, and temperature significantly influence the geographical distribution of A. sinensis. The future climate scenario predictions suggest that suitable habitats will generally shift towards higher latitudes, with areas of moderate to high suitability primarily distributed across the provinces of Gansu and Qinghai. The interactions between environmental factors, characterized by mutual and nonlinear enhancement, further influence the spatial differentiation of suitability zones. Overlay analysis with 2020 land cover data indicated that 861,437 km[2] of arable and forest land are suitable for A. sinensis cultivation. Future predictions under four SSP scenarios show varying changes in suitable habitat areas, with the most significant expansion under SSP370 between 2080 and 2100, covering 14.54% of mainland China. These findings provide critical insights for optimizing A. sinensis cultivation regions and quality assessments in response to climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-39875443
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39875443,
year = {2025},
author = {Xi, S and Guo, X and Ma, X and Jin, L},
title = {Impacts of climate change on the suitable habitat of Angelica sinensis and analysis of its drivers in China.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3508},
pmid = {39875443},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; GS2021ZDA06//Chinese Academy of Engineering/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; (2020)153//National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; ZYZX-2023-KY-083//China Academy of Chinese Medical Sciences/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Angelica sinensis/growth & development ; China ; *Ecosystem ; Plants, Medicinal/growth & development ; },
abstract = {Climate change is shifting optimal habitats for medicinal plants, potentially compromising the efficacy and therapeutic value of herbal remedies. Global warming and increased extreme weather events threaten the sustainability and pharmaceutical integrity of Angelica sinensis (Oliv.) Diels (A. sinensis). Despite its importance in traditional herbal medicine, there is limited research on adaptation of A. sinensis to climate challenges. This study systematically collected occurrence data of A. sinensis through field expeditions and online databases, using the Maxent ecological niche modeling tool and ArcGIS software to forecast suitable habitats. A total of 402 species occurrence points and 21 environmental variables were selected for modeling, resulting in 1,160 distribution models, of which only one met the stringent 5% odds ratio (OR) standard. The optimal model exhibited a pROC value of 0, an OR of 0.0196, and an AICc score of 9,287.133. The model, run ten times for robustness, showed an average AUC of 0.980, indicating high accuracy and reliability. Under current climate conditions, suitable habitats for A. sinensis cover approximately 13% of mainland China, primarily in Gansu (73.77%), Qinghai (14.73%), and Sichuan (11.18%) provinces. Environmental factors such as altitude, humidity, and temperature significantly influence the geographical distribution of A. sinensis. The future climate scenario predictions suggest that suitable habitats will generally shift towards higher latitudes, with areas of moderate to high suitability primarily distributed across the provinces of Gansu and Qinghai. The interactions between environmental factors, characterized by mutual and nonlinear enhancement, further influence the spatial differentiation of suitability zones. Overlay analysis with 2020 land cover data indicated that 861,437 km[2] of arable and forest land are suitable for A. sinensis cultivation. Future predictions under four SSP scenarios show varying changes in suitable habitat areas, with the most significant expansion under SSP370 between 2080 and 2100, covering 14.54% of mainland China. These findings provide critical insights for optimizing A. sinensis cultivation regions and quality assessments in response to climate change.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Angelica sinensis/growth & development
China
*Ecosystem
Plants, Medicinal/growth & development
RevDate: 2025-01-31
A catalogue of land-based adaptation and mitigation solutions to tackle climate change.
Scientific data, 12(1):166.
Informing and engaging all actors in the land sector, including land-owners and managers, researchers, policy-makers and citizens, on the most effective sustainable land-based solutions and behavioural changes is a key strategy for achieving climate change adaptation and mitigation targets at the global as well as at EU and local level. One requisite to support actors in the land sector is to provide them publicly available, reliable and ready-to-use information related to the implementation of Land-based Adaptation and Mitigation Solutions (LAMS). Here we introduce a LAMS catalogue, a collection of meaningful quantitative and qualitative information on 60 solutions characterised according to a set of specifications (e.g., mitigation and adaptation potential, cost of implementation, suitability factors, synergies and trade-offs, drivers and barriers to the implementation). The catalogue offers a reliable, science-based tool useful for different users' needs, including valuable references for deriving context-specific quantitative inputs to simulate and evaluate the performance of solutions over time using modelling tools, such as Integrated Assessment Models at any scale.
Additional Links: PMID-39875400
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39875400,
year = {2025},
author = {Chiriacò, MV and Dămătîrcă, C and Abd Alla, S and Barilari, S and Biancardi Aleu, R and Brazzini, T and Capela Lourenço, T and de Carolis Villars, CA and Durand, S and Di Lallo, G and Encarnação Coelho, R and Espin, O and Ferreras-Alonso, N and Galluccio, G and Ganszky, D and Hellsten, S and Hernández-Moral, G and Ihrfors, J and Keramitsoglou, I and Kiranoudis, CT and Nemethy, A and Oakes, R and Ortuño Castillo, J and Pastor, AV and Pérez-Ramirez, P and Ramos-Diez, I and Sismanidis, P and Trozzo, C and De Notaris, C},
title = {A catalogue of land-based adaptation and mitigation solutions to tackle climate change.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {166},
pmid = {39875400},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 101037104//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
abstract = {Informing and engaging all actors in the land sector, including land-owners and managers, researchers, policy-makers and citizens, on the most effective sustainable land-based solutions and behavioural changes is a key strategy for achieving climate change adaptation and mitigation targets at the global as well as at EU and local level. One requisite to support actors in the land sector is to provide them publicly available, reliable and ready-to-use information related to the implementation of Land-based Adaptation and Mitigation Solutions (LAMS). Here we introduce a LAMS catalogue, a collection of meaningful quantitative and qualitative information on 60 solutions characterised according to a set of specifications (e.g., mitigation and adaptation potential, cost of implementation, suitability factors, synergies and trade-offs, drivers and barriers to the implementation). The catalogue offers a reliable, science-based tool useful for different users' needs, including valuable references for deriving context-specific quantitative inputs to simulate and evaluate the performance of solutions over time using modelling tools, such as Integrated Assessment Models at any scale.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-28
Understanding sustainability of woody species suitability zones on the Loess Plateau for optimal creation zone selection in response to future climate change.
Journal of environmental management, 375:124239 pii:S0301-4797(25)00215-4 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change has profound implications for the distribution of suitable habitats for woody species. In this study, we assessed the optimal distribution thresholds for twelve woody species on the Loess Plateau using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model, incorporating sample points of tree species alongside relevant environmental variables. We analyzed the sustainability of potentially suitable zones and proposed a framework for selecting a regulatory model to establish the most suitable creation zones in response to future climate change. The results indicated that: (1) The distributions potentially suitable for Platycladus orientalis and Pinus tabuliformis were predominantly influenced by mean annual temperatures, whereas Pinus armandii and Quercus aliena var. acutiserrata exhibited optimal conditions at temperatures around -4 °C. Both Hippophae rhamnoides and Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii had suitable threshold precipitation levels exceeding 200 mm, with optimal thresholds surpassing 250 mm. (2) Most high-suitability zones for woody species across various future climate scenarios were primarily located in southern regions, including examples such as Betula platyphylla Sukaczev, Platycladus orientalis, Pinus sylvestris var. mongholica. Some of these high-suitability areas displayed insular and linear distributions, notably Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii, Quercus aliena var. acutiserrata, Salix cheilophila. (3) There was no southward shift in the northern boundary of the sustainability zones for any woody species across the different scenarios. Betula platyphylla and Salix babylonica exhibited the broadest distribution of sustainability zones. (4) The most suitable areas for the establishment of woody species were primarily found in the western, southern, and eastern regions, whereas the northern and central areas were less favorable for tree growth. Among the scenarios analyzed, SSP585 presents the most extensive distribution area. This study is expected to improve the distribution structure of woody species and the implementation of management policies.
Additional Links: PMID-39874697
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39874697,
year = {2025},
author = {Qiu, H and Han, H and Cheng, X and Kang, F},
title = {Understanding sustainability of woody species suitability zones on the Loess Plateau for optimal creation zone selection in response to future climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124239},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124239},
pmid = {39874697},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Climate change has profound implications for the distribution of suitable habitats for woody species. In this study, we assessed the optimal distribution thresholds for twelve woody species on the Loess Plateau using the Maximum Entropy (MaxEnt) model, incorporating sample points of tree species alongside relevant environmental variables. We analyzed the sustainability of potentially suitable zones and proposed a framework for selecting a regulatory model to establish the most suitable creation zones in response to future climate change. The results indicated that: (1) The distributions potentially suitable for Platycladus orientalis and Pinus tabuliformis were predominantly influenced by mean annual temperatures, whereas Pinus armandii and Quercus aliena var. acutiserrata exhibited optimal conditions at temperatures around -4 °C. Both Hippophae rhamnoides and Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii had suitable threshold precipitation levels exceeding 200 mm, with optimal thresholds surpassing 250 mm. (2) Most high-suitability zones for woody species across various future climate scenarios were primarily located in southern regions, including examples such as Betula platyphylla Sukaczev, Platycladus orientalis, Pinus sylvestris var. mongholica. Some of these high-suitability areas displayed insular and linear distributions, notably Larix gmelinii var. principis-rupprechtii, Quercus aliena var. acutiserrata, Salix cheilophila. (3) There was no southward shift in the northern boundary of the sustainability zones for any woody species across the different scenarios. Betula platyphylla and Salix babylonica exhibited the broadest distribution of sustainability zones. (4) The most suitable areas for the establishment of woody species were primarily found in the western, southern, and eastern regions, whereas the northern and central areas were less favorable for tree growth. Among the scenarios analyzed, SSP585 presents the most extensive distribution area. This study is expected to improve the distribution structure of woody species and the implementation of management policies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-30
CmpDate: 2025-01-28
Climate change heterogeneity: A new quantitative approach.
PloS one, 20(1):e0317208.
Climate change is a spatial and temporarily non-uniform phenomenon that requires understanding its evolution to better evaluate its potential societal and economic impact. The value added of this paper lies in introducing a quantitative methodology grounded in the trend analysis of temperature distribution quantiles to analyze climate change heterogeneity (CCH). By converting these quantiles into time series objects, the methodology empowers the definition and measurement of various relevant concepts in climate change analysis (warming, warming typology, warming amplification and warming acceleration) in a straightforward and robust testable linear regression format. It also facilitates the introduction of new testable concepts like warming dominance to compare (globally or partially) the warming process experienced by different regions. Furthermore, the methodology holds the added significance of concurrently encompassing both temporal and spatial dimensions in temperature analysis, owing to the close alignment between unconditional quantiles and latitude measures. Applying our quantitative methodology for the period 1950-2019 to the Globe (2192 stations) and Spain (30 stations) as a benchmark region, we find that both experience a distributional warming process (beyond the standard average) but of very different types. While the Globe experiences a stronger warming in the lower temperatures than in the upper ones, Spain evolves from equal warming in the whole distribution toward a stronger warming in the upper quantiles (similar to the warming process experienced in the African continent). In the two cases, the warming process accelerates (non-linear behavior) over time and is asymmetrically amplified. Overall, although both the Globe and Spain suffer an equivalent warming process in the median (mean) temperature, Spain's warming dominates the Globe in the upper quantiles and is dominated in the lower tail of the global temperature distribution that corresponds to the Arctic region. Our climate change heterogeneity results open the door to the need for a non-uniform causal-effect climate analysis that goes beyond the standard causality in mean and for a more efficient design of the mitigation-adaptation policies. In particular, the heterogeneity found suggests these policies should contain a common global component and a clear local-regional idiosyncratic element. The latter is usually more straightforward to implement.
Additional Links: PMID-39874244
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39874244,
year = {2025},
author = {Rivas, MDG and Gonzalo, J},
title = {Climate change heterogeneity: A new quantitative approach.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0317208},
pmid = {39874244},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Spain ; Temperature ; Global Warming ; },
abstract = {Climate change is a spatial and temporarily non-uniform phenomenon that requires understanding its evolution to better evaluate its potential societal and economic impact. The value added of this paper lies in introducing a quantitative methodology grounded in the trend analysis of temperature distribution quantiles to analyze climate change heterogeneity (CCH). By converting these quantiles into time series objects, the methodology empowers the definition and measurement of various relevant concepts in climate change analysis (warming, warming typology, warming amplification and warming acceleration) in a straightforward and robust testable linear regression format. It also facilitates the introduction of new testable concepts like warming dominance to compare (globally or partially) the warming process experienced by different regions. Furthermore, the methodology holds the added significance of concurrently encompassing both temporal and spatial dimensions in temperature analysis, owing to the close alignment between unconditional quantiles and latitude measures. Applying our quantitative methodology for the period 1950-2019 to the Globe (2192 stations) and Spain (30 stations) as a benchmark region, we find that both experience a distributional warming process (beyond the standard average) but of very different types. While the Globe experiences a stronger warming in the lower temperatures than in the upper ones, Spain evolves from equal warming in the whole distribution toward a stronger warming in the upper quantiles (similar to the warming process experienced in the African continent). In the two cases, the warming process accelerates (non-linear behavior) over time and is asymmetrically amplified. Overall, although both the Globe and Spain suffer an equivalent warming process in the median (mean) temperature, Spain's warming dominates the Globe in the upper quantiles and is dominated in the lower tail of the global temperature distribution that corresponds to the Arctic region. Our climate change heterogeneity results open the door to the need for a non-uniform causal-effect climate analysis that goes beyond the standard causality in mean and for a more efficient design of the mitigation-adaptation policies. In particular, the heterogeneity found suggests these policies should contain a common global component and a clear local-regional idiosyncratic element. The latter is usually more straightforward to implement.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Spain
Temperature
Global Warming
RevDate: 2025-01-28
A review on amino acids as proxies for organic matter degradation in aquatic ecosystems: implications for nutrient cycling, climate change, and ecosystem management.
Environmental science and pollution research international pii:10.1007/s11356-025-35949-9 [Epub ahead of print].
The fate and degradation of organic matter in aquatic systems is a vital link in nutrient cycling and sedimentation processes influenced by exogenous and endogenous factors, such as inputs from upstream sources, sediment suspension, and the decomposition of aquatic organisms. The interplay of organic carbon, microbes, and environmental factors shapes the distribution and degradation of organic matter. Characterizing the source distribution of sedimentary organic matter in aquatic systems using novel proxies can unravel new insights into the mechanisms that control its dispersal, preservation and fate, which is essential to understanding the global carbon and nitrogen cycles. Therefore, the present review critically investigated amino acids as crucial markers for assessing the degradation status in lacustrine and marine sediments and highlighted the pivotal function of biotic and abiotic determinants that influence the mineralization of organic matter. The review thoroughly discussed studies on the spatio-temporal distribution patterns of amino acids and their bio-refractory nature to overcome the challenges in evaluating sediment organic matter degradation in aquatic systems. Recognizing the paramount impact of climate change on aquatic ecosystems, the review further elucidated how integrating amino acid-based data into climate models is essential for predicting complex interplay between degradation processes and evolving environmental dynamics. Finally, the specific needs for further research and recommendations for developing efficient and sustainable strategies to study organic matter degradation were highlighted. The present review will deliver fresh inferences to researchers, ecologists, and policymakers for a better understanding of source distribution and degradation status of organic matter for evidence-based conservation and management strategies.
Additional Links: PMID-39873875
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39873875,
year = {2025},
author = {Hassan, S and Bali, BS and Muneer, W and Yaseen, A and Bhat, S and Zaman, M and Ganiee, SA and Shah, AJ and Ganai, BA},
title = {A review on amino acids as proxies for organic matter degradation in aquatic ecosystems: implications for nutrient cycling, climate change, and ecosystem management.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1007/s11356-025-35949-9},
pmid = {39873875},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {The fate and degradation of organic matter in aquatic systems is a vital link in nutrient cycling and sedimentation processes influenced by exogenous and endogenous factors, such as inputs from upstream sources, sediment suspension, and the decomposition of aquatic organisms. The interplay of organic carbon, microbes, and environmental factors shapes the distribution and degradation of organic matter. Characterizing the source distribution of sedimentary organic matter in aquatic systems using novel proxies can unravel new insights into the mechanisms that control its dispersal, preservation and fate, which is essential to understanding the global carbon and nitrogen cycles. Therefore, the present review critically investigated amino acids as crucial markers for assessing the degradation status in lacustrine and marine sediments and highlighted the pivotal function of biotic and abiotic determinants that influence the mineralization of organic matter. The review thoroughly discussed studies on the spatio-temporal distribution patterns of amino acids and their bio-refractory nature to overcome the challenges in evaluating sediment organic matter degradation in aquatic systems. Recognizing the paramount impact of climate change on aquatic ecosystems, the review further elucidated how integrating amino acid-based data into climate models is essential for predicting complex interplay between degradation processes and evolving environmental dynamics. Finally, the specific needs for further research and recommendations for developing efficient and sustainable strategies to study organic matter degradation were highlighted. The present review will deliver fresh inferences to researchers, ecologists, and policymakers for a better understanding of source distribution and degradation status of organic matter for evidence-based conservation and management strategies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-28
An innovative approach to predicting global warming without using climate model simulations.
National science review, 12(2):nwae453.
Additional Links: PMID-39872220
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39872220,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, GJ},
title = {An innovative approach to predicting global warming without using climate model simulations.},
journal = {National science review},
volume = {12},
number = {2},
pages = {nwae453},
pmid = {39872220},
issn = {2053-714X},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-30
Storm Surge Projection and Objective-Based Risk Management for Climate Change Adaptation along the US Atlantic Coast.
Journal of water resources planning and management, 150(6):1-12.
Climate change brings intense hurricanes and storm surges to the US Atlantic coast. These disruptive meteorological events, combined with sea level rise (SLR), inundate coastal areas and adversely impact infrastructure and environmental assets. Thus, storm surge projection and associated risk quantification are needed in coastal adaptation planning and emergency management. However, the projections can have large uncertainties depending on the planning time horizon. Excessive uncertainties arise from inadequately quantified ocean-climatic processes that control hurricane formation, storm track, and SLR in time of climate change. For this challenge, we propose an objective-based analytical-statistical approach using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA)'s Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model in scenario analysis of the storm surge impacts. In this approach, synthetic hurricanes (wind profile and track direction) are simulated to yield the likely range of the maximum envelope of water (MEOW), the maximum of the maximum (MOM), local wind speed, and directions. The surge height and time progression at a location are analyzed using a validated SLOSH model for a given adaptation or planning objective with a set of uncertainty tolerance. We further illustrate the approach in three case studies at Mattapoisett (MA), Bridgeport (CT), and Lower Chesapeake Bay along the US Atlantic coast. Simulated MOMs as the worst-case surge scenarios defined the long-term climate risk to the shoreside wastewater plants in Bridgeport and environmental assets in the Lower Chesapeake Bay. The wind-surge probability envelopes in simulated MEOWs provide location-specific estimates of the storm surge probability for local adaptation analysis at four locations in Lower Chesapeake Bay and at Mattapoisett of the southeastern Massachusetts coast. Using the constraints of local bathymetry and topography, the wind-surge probability curves and time progression also provide quantitative probability estimates for emergency response planning, as illustrated in the Mattapoisett case study.
Additional Links: PMID-39871964
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39871964,
year = {2024},
author = {Liang, MS and Dong, Z and Julius, S and Neal, J and Yang, YJ},
title = {Storm Surge Projection and Objective-Based Risk Management for Climate Change Adaptation along the US Atlantic Coast.},
journal = {Journal of water resources planning and management},
volume = {150},
number = {6},
pages = {1-12},
pmid = {39871964},
issn = {1943-5452},
support = {EPA999999/ImEPA/Intramural EPA/United States ; },
abstract = {Climate change brings intense hurricanes and storm surges to the US Atlantic coast. These disruptive meteorological events, combined with sea level rise (SLR), inundate coastal areas and adversely impact infrastructure and environmental assets. Thus, storm surge projection and associated risk quantification are needed in coastal adaptation planning and emergency management. However, the projections can have large uncertainties depending on the planning time horizon. Excessive uncertainties arise from inadequately quantified ocean-climatic processes that control hurricane formation, storm track, and SLR in time of climate change. For this challenge, we propose an objective-based analytical-statistical approach using the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's (NOAA)'s Sea, Lake, and Overland Surge from Hurricanes (SLOSH) model in scenario analysis of the storm surge impacts. In this approach, synthetic hurricanes (wind profile and track direction) are simulated to yield the likely range of the maximum envelope of water (MEOW), the maximum of the maximum (MOM), local wind speed, and directions. The surge height and time progression at a location are analyzed using a validated SLOSH model for a given adaptation or planning objective with a set of uncertainty tolerance. We further illustrate the approach in three case studies at Mattapoisett (MA), Bridgeport (CT), and Lower Chesapeake Bay along the US Atlantic coast. Simulated MOMs as the worst-case surge scenarios defined the long-term climate risk to the shoreside wastewater plants in Bridgeport and environmental assets in the Lower Chesapeake Bay. The wind-surge probability envelopes in simulated MEOWs provide location-specific estimates of the storm surge probability for local adaptation analysis at four locations in Lower Chesapeake Bay and at Mattapoisett of the southeastern Massachusetts coast. Using the constraints of local bathymetry and topography, the wind-surge probability curves and time progression also provide quantitative probability estimates for emergency response planning, as illustrated in the Mattapoisett case study.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Climate change impact on green spaces planning in an urban area using a hybrid approach.
Environmental science and pollution research international [Epub ahead of print].
This study presents a hybrid methodology for planning green spaces to enhance urban sustainability and livability, evaluating the impacts of climate change on cities. Cities, once accommodating a small population, have become major centers of migration and development since the eighteenth century. Rapid urban growth intensifies infrastructure, environmental, and social challenges. Fossil fuel reliance and deforestation increase greenhouse gas emissions, exacerbating climate change, impacting ecosystems, and urban livability. This research assesses green spaces in Izmir's Bayraklı district by assigning weights to site selection criteria via the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), entropy weight method (EWM), and Game Theory. The weighted linear combination (WLC) method integrates these weights to produce decision maps. Game Theory harmonizes discrepancies between AHP and EWM, influencing the decision maps. Notably, incorporating climate change criteria reduced highly suitable areas from 50.3 to 41.5%, stressing climate considerations in planning. Grey relational analysis (GRA) prioritizes investment areas, showing objective, criterion-based planning's importance in sustainable urban development.
Additional Links: PMID-39871053
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39871053,
year = {2025},
author = {Basegmez, M and Aydin, CC},
title = {Climate change impact on green spaces planning in an urban area using a hybrid approach.},
journal = {Environmental science and pollution research international},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39871053},
issn = {1614-7499},
abstract = {This study presents a hybrid methodology for planning green spaces to enhance urban sustainability and livability, evaluating the impacts of climate change on cities. Cities, once accommodating a small population, have become major centers of migration and development since the eighteenth century. Rapid urban growth intensifies infrastructure, environmental, and social challenges. Fossil fuel reliance and deforestation increase greenhouse gas emissions, exacerbating climate change, impacting ecosystems, and urban livability. This research assesses green spaces in Izmir's Bayraklı district by assigning weights to site selection criteria via the analytic hierarchy process (AHP), entropy weight method (EWM), and Game Theory. The weighted linear combination (WLC) method integrates these weights to produce decision maps. Game Theory harmonizes discrepancies between AHP and EWM, influencing the decision maps. Notably, incorporating climate change criteria reduced highly suitable areas from 50.3 to 41.5%, stressing climate considerations in planning. Grey relational analysis (GRA) prioritizes investment areas, showing objective, criterion-based planning's importance in sustainable urban development.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Estimating future heat-related and cold-related mortality under climate change, demographic and adaptation scenarios in 854 European cities.
Nature medicine [Epub ahead of print].
Previous health impact assessments of temperature-related mortality in Europe indicated that the mortality burden attributable to cold is much larger than for heat. Questions remain as to whether climate change can result in a net decrease in temperature-related mortality. In this study, we estimated how climate change could affect future heat-related and cold-related mortality in 854 European urban areas, under several climate, demographic and adaptation scenarios. We showed that, with no adaptation to heat, the increase in heat-related deaths consistently exceeds any decrease in cold-related deaths across all considered scenarios in Europe. Under the lowest mitigation and adaptation scenario (SSP3-7.0), we estimate a net death burden due to climate change increasing by 49.9% and cumulating 2,345,410 (95% confidence interval = 327,603 to 4,775,853) climate change-related deaths between 2015 and 2099. This net effect would remain positive even under high adaptation scenarios, whereby a risk attenuation of 50% is still insufficient to reverse the trend under SSP3-7.0. Regional differences suggest a slight net decrease of death rates in Northern European countries but high vulnerability of the Mediterranean region and Eastern Europe areas. Unless strong mitigation and adaptation measures are implemented, most European cities should experience an increase of their temperature-related mortality burden.
Additional Links: PMID-39870815
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39870815,
year = {2025},
author = {Masselot, P and Mistry, MN and Rao, S and Huber, V and Monteiro, A and Samoli, E and Stafoggia, M and de'Donato, F and Garcia-Leon, D and Ciscar, JC and Feyen, L and Schneider, A and Katsouyanni, K and Vicedo-Cabrera, AM and Aunan, K and Gasparrini, A},
title = {Estimating future heat-related and cold-related mortality under climate change, demographic and adaptation scenarios in 854 European cities.},
journal = {Nature medicine},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39870815},
issn = {1546-170X},
support = {820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; 820655//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; MR/V034162/1//RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC)/ ; 101022870//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (H2020 Excellent Science - Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions)/ ; 101032087//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions (H2020 Excellent Science - Marie Sklodowska-Curie Actions)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; JRC 36206-2022 // DG REGIO 2022CE160AT126//EC | Directorate-General for Regional Policy (DG Regional Policy)/ ; TMSGI3_211626//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; TMSGI3_211626//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; 101022870//European Commission (EC)/ ; 101022870//European Commission (EC)/ ; 101032087//European Commission (EC)/ ; },
abstract = {Previous health impact assessments of temperature-related mortality in Europe indicated that the mortality burden attributable to cold is much larger than for heat. Questions remain as to whether climate change can result in a net decrease in temperature-related mortality. In this study, we estimated how climate change could affect future heat-related and cold-related mortality in 854 European urban areas, under several climate, demographic and adaptation scenarios. We showed that, with no adaptation to heat, the increase in heat-related deaths consistently exceeds any decrease in cold-related deaths across all considered scenarios in Europe. Under the lowest mitigation and adaptation scenario (SSP3-7.0), we estimate a net death burden due to climate change increasing by 49.9% and cumulating 2,345,410 (95% confidence interval = 327,603 to 4,775,853) climate change-related deaths between 2015 and 2099. This net effect would remain positive even under high adaptation scenarios, whereby a risk attenuation of 50% is still insufficient to reverse the trend under SSP3-7.0. Regional differences suggest a slight net decrease of death rates in Northern European countries but high vulnerability of the Mediterranean region and Eastern Europe areas. Unless strong mitigation and adaptation measures are implemented, most European cities should experience an increase of their temperature-related mortality burden.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-30
CmpDate: 2025-01-27
Projecting the global potential distribution of nine Rhododendron Subgenus Hymenanthes species under different climate change scenarios.
Scientific reports, 15(1):3459.
As one of China's most treasured traditional flowers, Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes is renowned worldwide for its evergreen foliage, vibrant flowers, and significant ornamental, landscaping, and economic value. However, climate change poses a serious threat to its future, leading to population declines and endangerment of some species. Despite the ecological and economic importance of Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes, the future distribution of suitable habitats and the most effective strategies for its conservation and utilization remain unclear. This study employs the MaxEnt model, which is well-known for its reliability in predicting species distribution under changing environmental conditions, to predict the potential global distribution of nine species of Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes. The goal is to provide a solid foundation for their conservation, cultivation management, and breeding. The results indicate that, under future climate scenarios, suitable habitat areas for four species (R. irroratum, R. agastum, R. decorum, and R. arboreum) will significantly decrease, while suitable habitats for the remaining five species (R. delavayi, R. fortunei, R. calophytum, R. simiarum, and R. wardii) will experience slight expansion. Temperature and precipitation are identified as key environmental factors influencing the growth and distribution of these species, affecting their ability to colonize new regions. The migration direction of the expanding regions for all nine species is consistent, with their centroids shifting towards the northwest. These findings provide critical insights for developing targeted conservation strategies, including identifying potential refugia and prioritizing conservation areas under future climate conditions.
Additional Links: PMID-39870697
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39870697,
year = {2025},
author = {Ao, Q and Li, H and Yang, L and Li, Q and Long, F and Xiao, Y and Zuo, W},
title = {Projecting the global potential distribution of nine Rhododendron Subgenus Hymenanthes species under different climate change scenarios.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3459},
pmid = {39870697},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {32260415//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; Qianke Combination Foundation-ZK [2023] Key 010//The Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Project/ ; },
mesh = {*Rhododendron ; *Climate Change ; *Ecosystem ; China ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {As one of China's most treasured traditional flowers, Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes is renowned worldwide for its evergreen foliage, vibrant flowers, and significant ornamental, landscaping, and economic value. However, climate change poses a serious threat to its future, leading to population declines and endangerment of some species. Despite the ecological and economic importance of Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes, the future distribution of suitable habitats and the most effective strategies for its conservation and utilization remain unclear. This study employs the MaxEnt model, which is well-known for its reliability in predicting species distribution under changing environmental conditions, to predict the potential global distribution of nine species of Rhododendron Subgen. Hymenanthes. The goal is to provide a solid foundation for their conservation, cultivation management, and breeding. The results indicate that, under future climate scenarios, suitable habitat areas for four species (R. irroratum, R. agastum, R. decorum, and R. arboreum) will significantly decrease, while suitable habitats for the remaining five species (R. delavayi, R. fortunei, R. calophytum, R. simiarum, and R. wardii) will experience slight expansion. Temperature and precipitation are identified as key environmental factors influencing the growth and distribution of these species, affecting their ability to colonize new regions. The migration direction of the expanding regions for all nine species is consistent, with their centroids shifting towards the northwest. These findings provide critical insights for developing targeted conservation strategies, including identifying potential refugia and prioritizing conservation areas under future climate conditions.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Rhododendron
*Climate Change
*Ecosystem
China
Conservation of Natural Resources
RevDate: 2025-01-29
Optimal life-cycle adaptation of coastal infrastructure under climate change.
Nature communications, 16(1):1076.
Climate change-related risk mitigation is typically addressed using cost-benefit analysis that evaluates mitigation strategies against a wide range of simulated scenarios and identifies a static policy to be implemented, without considering future observations. Due to the substantial uncertainties inherent in climate projections, this identified policy will likely be sub-optimal with respect to the actual climate trajectory that evolves in time. In this work, we thus formulate climate risk management as a dynamic decision-making problem based on Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs), taking real-time data into account for evaluating the evolving conditions and related model uncertainties, in order to select the best possible life-cycle actions in time, with global optimality guarantees for the formulated optimization problem. The framework is developed for coastal adaptation applications, considering a wide variety of possible action types, including various forms of nature-based infrastructure. Related environmental impacts of carbon emissions and uptake are also incorporated, and social cost of carbon implications are discussed, together with several future directions and supported features.
Additional Links: PMID-39870643
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39870643,
year = {2025},
author = {Bhattacharya, A and Papakonstantinou, KG and Warn, GP and McPhillips, L and Bilec, MM and Forest, CE and Hasan, R and Chavda, D},
title = {Optimal life-cycle adaptation of coastal infrastructure under climate change.},
journal = {Nature communications},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {1076},
pmid = {39870643},
issn = {2041-1723},
support = {CMMI-2053620//National Science Foundation (NSF)/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change-related risk mitigation is typically addressed using cost-benefit analysis that evaluates mitigation strategies against a wide range of simulated scenarios and identifies a static policy to be implemented, without considering future observations. Due to the substantial uncertainties inherent in climate projections, this identified policy will likely be sub-optimal with respect to the actual climate trajectory that evolves in time. In this work, we thus formulate climate risk management as a dynamic decision-making problem based on Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) and Partially Observable MDPs (POMDPs), taking real-time data into account for evaluating the evolving conditions and related model uncertainties, in order to select the best possible life-cycle actions in time, with global optimality guarantees for the formulated optimization problem. The framework is developed for coastal adaptation applications, considering a wide variety of possible action types, including various forms of nature-based infrastructure. Related environmental impacts of carbon emissions and uptake are also incorporated, and social cost of carbon implications are discussed, together with several future directions and supported features.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Association between hydroclimatic factors and vegetation health: Impact of climate change in the past and future.
The Science of the total environment, 964:178605 pii:S0048-9697(25)00239-6 [Epub ahead of print].
This study investigates the potential impact of future climate scenarios designated by different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) on vegetation health. Considering the entire Indian mainland as the study region, which exhibits a diverse range of climate and vegetation regimes, we analysed long-term past (1981-2020) and future (2021-2100) changes in vegetation greenness across seven vegetation types and four seasons. In order to gain insight into the intricate interrelationships between vegetation and hydroclimatic factors (soil moisture, precipitation, solar radiation, and temperature), a Standardized Vegetation Index (SVI) is used as a proxy for vegetation health, and a bivariate copula-based probabilistic model is developed incorporating a Combined Climate Index (CCI) derived through Supervised Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) and the SVI. Our results indicate that the water-limited areas are more sensitive to precipitation and soil moisture, whereas energy-limited areas are primarily influenced by temperature and solar radiation. Consequently, an overall increase in the vegetation greenness is observed over the past decades in most of water-limited regions, and almost no change or slight decline in greenness over the northeastern regions, where precipitation is abundant but it is an energy-limited region due to high convective activity. Future projections (2021-2100) indicate an overall increase in greenness during monsoons. However, browning (loss of greenness) is anticipated to intensify over time, especially in the northeast. This study demonstrates the model's efficacy in capturing the complex vegetation-climate relationship, highlighting its potential for application across diverse geographical regions and providing insights into the implications of climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-39869968
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39869968,
year = {2025},
author = {Dash, S and Maity, R},
title = {Association between hydroclimatic factors and vegetation health: Impact of climate change in the past and future.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {964},
number = {},
pages = {178605},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178605},
pmid = {39869968},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study investigates the potential impact of future climate scenarios designated by different shared socioeconomic pathways (SSPs) on vegetation health. Considering the entire Indian mainland as the study region, which exhibits a diverse range of climate and vegetation regimes, we analysed long-term past (1981-2020) and future (2021-2100) changes in vegetation greenness across seven vegetation types and four seasons. In order to gain insight into the intricate interrelationships between vegetation and hydroclimatic factors (soil moisture, precipitation, solar radiation, and temperature), a Standardized Vegetation Index (SVI) is used as a proxy for vegetation health, and a bivariate copula-based probabilistic model is developed incorporating a Combined Climate Index (CCI) derived through Supervised Principal Component Analysis (SPCA) and the SVI. Our results indicate that the water-limited areas are more sensitive to precipitation and soil moisture, whereas energy-limited areas are primarily influenced by temperature and solar radiation. Consequently, an overall increase in the vegetation greenness is observed over the past decades in most of water-limited regions, and almost no change or slight decline in greenness over the northeastern regions, where precipitation is abundant but it is an energy-limited region due to high convective activity. Future projections (2021-2100) indicate an overall increase in greenness during monsoons. However, browning (loss of greenness) is anticipated to intensify over time, especially in the northeast. This study demonstrates the model's efficacy in capturing the complex vegetation-climate relationship, highlighting its potential for application across diverse geographical regions and providing insights into the implications of climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Impact of climate change and land management on nitrate pollution in the high plains aquifer.
Journal of environmental management, 375:124321 pii:S0301-4797(25)00297-X [Epub ahead of print].
High concentrations of nitrate in groundwater pose risks to human and environmental health. This study evaluates the potential impact of climate change, land use, and fertilizer application rates on groundwater nitrate levels in the High Plains Aquifer under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. A random forest model, with predictors such as fertilizer application rates, cropland coverage, and climate variables from six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models, is used to project future nitrate concentrations. Results show increases across all scenarios, with nitrate levels rising by 4% under SSP5-8.5 and up to 13% under SSP2-4.5 when accounting for climate change effects. Fertilizer application rates are identified as the primary driver of projected changes. The northern and central regions of the aquifer exhibited the most pronounced increases. The projected changes in nitrate levels, observed across both low- and high-greenhouse gas emission pathways, highlight the need to develop integrated management strategies that consider shared socioeconomic scenarios and water resource protection constraints.
Additional Links: PMID-39869963
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39869963,
year = {2025},
author = {Kebede, MM and Terry, LG and Clement, TP and Mekonnen, MM},
title = {Impact of climate change and land management on nitrate pollution in the high plains aquifer.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124321},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124321},
pmid = {39869963},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {High concentrations of nitrate in groundwater pose risks to human and environmental health. This study evaluates the potential impact of climate change, land use, and fertilizer application rates on groundwater nitrate levels in the High Plains Aquifer under four Shared Socioeconomic Pathway (SSP) scenarios. A random forest model, with predictors such as fertilizer application rates, cropland coverage, and climate variables from six Coupled Model Intercomparison Project models, is used to project future nitrate concentrations. Results show increases across all scenarios, with nitrate levels rising by 4% under SSP5-8.5 and up to 13% under SSP2-4.5 when accounting for climate change effects. Fertilizer application rates are identified as the primary driver of projected changes. The northern and central regions of the aquifer exhibited the most pronounced increases. The projected changes in nitrate levels, observed across both low- and high-greenhouse gas emission pathways, highlight the need to develop integrated management strategies that consider shared socioeconomic scenarios and water resource protection constraints.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Occupational allergy and climate change.
Current opinion in allergy and clinical immunology pii:00130832-990000000-00180 [Epub ahead of print].
PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change influences working conditions in various ways, affecting employee health and safety across different sectors. Climatic factors like rising temperatures, increased UV radiation, and more frequent extreme weather events pose risks to in both indoor and outdoor workers. Allergic diseases of the respiratory tract and the skin may emerge due to climate change. This review summarizes current aspects of both direct and indirect consequences of climate change and associated exposures in diverse work environments, focusing on occupational allergies.
RECENT FINDINGS: Outdoor workers, in particular, are increasing susceptible to ubiquitous pollen allergens. Additionally, they may experience climate-related increases in allergens typically associated with specific workplaces, such as Cryptostroma corticale. Changes in production processes, along with altered workplaces exposures, can lead to new sensitizations and trigger allergies, representing indirect consequences of climate change. Furthermore, lifestyle changes aimed to promoting climate protection and sustainability (e.g. the introduction of insects as a protein source or using enzymes), may also contribute to the emergence of new allergens.
SUMMARY: The emergence of new occupational sensitization sources from novel or modified allergen exposures must be addressed within the framework of workplace safety and health, necessitating proactive measures to safeguard workers and mitigate risks.
Additional Links: PMID-39869536
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39869536,
year = {2025},
author = {Raulf, M and Annesi-Maesano, I},
title = {Occupational allergy and climate change.},
journal = {Current opinion in allergy and clinical immunology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1097/ACI.0000000000001060},
pmid = {39869536},
issn = {1473-6322},
abstract = {PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Climate change influences working conditions in various ways, affecting employee health and safety across different sectors. Climatic factors like rising temperatures, increased UV radiation, and more frequent extreme weather events pose risks to in both indoor and outdoor workers. Allergic diseases of the respiratory tract and the skin may emerge due to climate change. This review summarizes current aspects of both direct and indirect consequences of climate change and associated exposures in diverse work environments, focusing on occupational allergies.
RECENT FINDINGS: Outdoor workers, in particular, are increasing susceptible to ubiquitous pollen allergens. Additionally, they may experience climate-related increases in allergens typically associated with specific workplaces, such as Cryptostroma corticale. Changes in production processes, along with altered workplaces exposures, can lead to new sensitizations and trigger allergies, representing indirect consequences of climate change. Furthermore, lifestyle changes aimed to promoting climate protection and sustainability (e.g. the introduction of insects as a protein source or using enzymes), may also contribute to the emergence of new allergens.
SUMMARY: The emergence of new occupational sensitization sources from novel or modified allergen exposures must be addressed within the framework of workplace safety and health, necessitating proactive measures to safeguard workers and mitigate risks.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Underrepresentation of Climate Change and Sustainability Manuscripts in High Impact Dermatology Journals.
The British journal of dermatology pii:7984400 [Epub ahead of print].
Additional Links: PMID-39869508
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39869508,
year = {2025},
author = {Tan, E and Rosenbach, M},
title = {Underrepresentation of Climate Change and Sustainability Manuscripts in High Impact Dermatology Journals.},
journal = {The British journal of dermatology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/bjd/ljaf037},
pmid = {39869508},
issn = {1365-2133},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-29
CmpDate: 2025-01-27
Assessing microclimatic influences in Colombo metropolitan area (CMA) amidst global climate change: a comprehensive study from 1980 to 2022.
Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(2):199.
Climate change has become an emerging topic, leading to widespread damage. However, when considering climate, attention is drawn to various scales, and urban microclimate has emerged as a trending subject due to its direct relevance to human living environments. Among the microclimatic factors, temperature and precipitation are utilized in order to identify trends. The identification of changes in precipitation and temperature from ground stations poses difficulties due to the lack of well-distributed stations; thus, satellite-based products are gaining popularity. The satellite products were validated against ground data, following which time-series and spatial analyses were conducted. The rainfall anomaly index, seasonality index, heat wave magnitude index, and mean temperature differ in the Colombo Metropolitan Area compared to the entire country. Each index is calculated decadal-wise to identify trends. By utilizing four climate indices, the analysis endeavors to investigate the microclimate identification in Colombo Metropolitan Area compared to its surrounding areas such as the Western Province and the entire country. This study aids local authorities in mitigating climate change by enhancing city resilience. These findings underscore the importance of understanding and addressing the impacts of climate change on temperature extremes to mitigate potential adverse effects on human activities and the environment. Understanding the specific reasons for spatial changes in rainfall anomalies often necessitates extensive climate modeling and data analysis.
Additional Links: PMID-39869217
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39869217,
year = {2025},
author = {Fonseka, PU and Zhang, H and Premasiri, R and Samarasuriya, C and Rathnayake, U},
title = {Assessing microclimatic influences in Colombo metropolitan area (CMA) amidst global climate change: a comprehensive study from 1980 to 2022.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {199},
pmid = {39869217},
issn = {1573-2959},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Microclimate ; *Environmental Monitoring/methods ; *Cities ; Temperature ; Rain ; Seasons ; },
abstract = {Climate change has become an emerging topic, leading to widespread damage. However, when considering climate, attention is drawn to various scales, and urban microclimate has emerged as a trending subject due to its direct relevance to human living environments. Among the microclimatic factors, temperature and precipitation are utilized in order to identify trends. The identification of changes in precipitation and temperature from ground stations poses difficulties due to the lack of well-distributed stations; thus, satellite-based products are gaining popularity. The satellite products were validated against ground data, following which time-series and spatial analyses were conducted. The rainfall anomaly index, seasonality index, heat wave magnitude index, and mean temperature differ in the Colombo Metropolitan Area compared to the entire country. Each index is calculated decadal-wise to identify trends. By utilizing four climate indices, the analysis endeavors to investigate the microclimate identification in Colombo Metropolitan Area compared to its surrounding areas such as the Western Province and the entire country. This study aids local authorities in mitigating climate change by enhancing city resilience. These findings underscore the importance of understanding and addressing the impacts of climate change on temperature extremes to mitigate potential adverse effects on human activities and the environment. Understanding the specific reasons for spatial changes in rainfall anomalies often necessitates extensive climate modeling and data analysis.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Microclimate
*Environmental Monitoring/methods
*Cities
Temperature
Rain
Seasons
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Proteomic Analysis Is Needed to Understand the Vulnerability of Bunodosoma cavernatum Sea Anemones to Climate Change.
Journal of proteome research [Epub ahead of print].
Sea anemones play a crucial role in marine ecosystems. Recent studies have highlighted their physiological and ecological responses to thermal stress. Therefore, our objective was to perform a proteomic analysis of Bunodosoma cavernatum sea anemones in the Gulf of Mexico, subjected to thermal stress, to understand whether these organisms activate specific processes to resist increased temperature. We submitted one group of sea anemones to variable temperatures (26 to 32 °C) and another group to a constant temperature (28 °C) for 1.5 months. Then we subjected them to thermal stress (32 °C) for 2 weeks. We evaluated the enzymatic activity and proteome in the columns and tentacles. The main effect of the temperature regime change is a reduction in mass. Also, sea anemones synthesized proteins related to the activation of the immune system and protection against temperature. We observed decreased peroxidase activity, while superoxide dismutase activity was higher only in the constant temperature group. On the basis of these data, we deduce that B. cavernatum sea anemones are vulnerable to climate change because they stop producing toxins in their tentacles when faced with thermal stress and activate cellular responses that make them susceptible to pathogens. These responses are not sufficient to guarantee an optimal health state.
Additional Links: PMID-39868940
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39868940,
year = {2025},
author = {Becerra-Amezcua, MP and Matadamas-Guzmán, FM and Hernández-Orihuela, L and Guerrero-Legarreta, I and Guzmán-García, X},
title = {Proteomic Analysis Is Needed to Understand the Vulnerability of Bunodosoma cavernatum Sea Anemones to Climate Change.},
journal = {Journal of proteome research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1021/acs.jproteome.4c00780},
pmid = {39868940},
issn = {1535-3907},
abstract = {Sea anemones play a crucial role in marine ecosystems. Recent studies have highlighted their physiological and ecological responses to thermal stress. Therefore, our objective was to perform a proteomic analysis of Bunodosoma cavernatum sea anemones in the Gulf of Mexico, subjected to thermal stress, to understand whether these organisms activate specific processes to resist increased temperature. We submitted one group of sea anemones to variable temperatures (26 to 32 °C) and another group to a constant temperature (28 °C) for 1.5 months. Then we subjected them to thermal stress (32 °C) for 2 weeks. We evaluated the enzymatic activity and proteome in the columns and tentacles. The main effect of the temperature regime change is a reduction in mass. Also, sea anemones synthesized proteins related to the activation of the immune system and protection against temperature. We observed decreased peroxidase activity, while superoxide dismutase activity was higher only in the constant temperature group. On the basis of these data, we deduce that B. cavernatum sea anemones are vulnerable to climate change because they stop producing toxins in their tentacles when faced with thermal stress and activate cellular responses that make them susceptible to pathogens. These responses are not sufficient to guarantee an optimal health state.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
CmpDate: 2025-01-27
[Marine trophic and socio-ecological networks under pressure: study of the cumulative impact of climate change and offshore wind farm development].
Biologie aujourd'hui, 218(3-4):99-103.
In the anthropocene era, one of the greatest challenges facing trophic modeling applied to the marine environment is its ability to couple the multiple effects of both climate change and local anthropogenic activities, notably the development of offshore wind farms. The major challenge is to create scenarios to characterize their cumulative effects on the functioning of the entire socio-ecological system, in order to propose appropriate management plans. Although modeling cumulative impact on socio-ecological networks is not yet widely used, data reported in the present review article show that the relevance of this approach could be established in the context of offshore wind power. Two modeling procedures are herein described: quantitative mathematical modelling to simulate the effect of two simultaneous pressures on food network properties, and qualitative modelling, which can be based on a participatory approach to more finely characterize feedback loops between governance and ecological systems. These two quantitative and qualitative scenarios modeling methods, based on interaction network analyses, were applied to the future Courseulles-sur-Mer offshore wind farm (eastern Channel), and to the Groix-Belle-Ile pilot wind farm (Atlantic). Finally, we present a research perspective, based on the Sato-Umi concept, which focuses on modeling frameworks combining ecosystem network evolution scenarios and an increased capacity for collective action.
Additional Links: PMID-39868709
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39868709,
year = {2024},
author = {Niquil, N and Raoux, A and Thermes, M and Fofack-Garcia, R and Noguès, Q},
title = {[Marine trophic and socio-ecological networks under pressure: study of the cumulative impact of climate change and offshore wind farm development].},
journal = {Biologie aujourd'hui},
volume = {218},
number = {3-4},
pages = {99-103},
doi = {10.1051/jbio/2024012},
pmid = {39868709},
issn = {2105-0686},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Wind ; *Ecosystem ; Humans ; Animals ; Models, Theoretical ; Food Chain ; },
abstract = {In the anthropocene era, one of the greatest challenges facing trophic modeling applied to the marine environment is its ability to couple the multiple effects of both climate change and local anthropogenic activities, notably the development of offshore wind farms. The major challenge is to create scenarios to characterize their cumulative effects on the functioning of the entire socio-ecological system, in order to propose appropriate management plans. Although modeling cumulative impact on socio-ecological networks is not yet widely used, data reported in the present review article show that the relevance of this approach could be established in the context of offshore wind power. Two modeling procedures are herein described: quantitative mathematical modelling to simulate the effect of two simultaneous pressures on food network properties, and qualitative modelling, which can be based on a participatory approach to more finely characterize feedback loops between governance and ecological systems. These two quantitative and qualitative scenarios modeling methods, based on interaction network analyses, were applied to the future Courseulles-sur-Mer offshore wind farm (eastern Channel), and to the Groix-Belle-Ile pilot wind farm (Atlantic). Finally, we present a research perspective, based on the Sato-Umi concept, which focuses on modeling frameworks combining ecosystem network evolution scenarios and an increased capacity for collective action.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Wind
*Ecosystem
Humans
Animals
Models, Theoretical
Food Chain
RevDate: 2025-01-28
Developing an Emergency Medical Services Resilience Assessment Tool in Climate Change: A Study Protocol.
International journal of preventive medicine, 15:73.
BACKGROUND: Climate change poses significant threats to the health and safety of communities worldwide. Extreme weather events can disrupt critical infrastructure and overwhelm emergency medical services (EMS) systems. As the frequency and intensity of these climate-related disasters continue to increase, it is essential that EMS organizations develop robust strategies to enhance their resilience. One important step in building climate-resilient EMS systems is the development of comprehensive assessment tools. Developing a comprehensive tool for assessing the resilience of EMS in the face of climate change.
METHODS: This research employs an applied, mixed-methods approach to investigate the development and validation of the Emergency Medical Services Resilience Assessment (EMSRA) tool. The study will be executed across four key phases: (a) A scoping review will be conducted to identify the global dimensions and components of EMS systems that demonstrate resilience to the impacts of climate change. (b) A qualitative study, involving semistructured interviews, will be undertaken to explore the specific dimensions and components of EMS resilience within the Iranian context. (c) Based on the findings from the scoping review and qualitative inquiry, assessment items related to EMS resilience in climate change will be extracted and synthesized to develop a pilot version of the EMSRA tool. (d) The pilot EMSRA tool will undergo a rigorous process of quantitative and qualitative validation, including an evaluation of its psychometric properties, to assess the resilience of EMS systems in the face of climate-related challenges.
CONCLUSIONS: The development of EMSRA tool will enable the assessment and enhancement of climate change resilience within the national and provincial EMS systems, providing critical data to inform evidence-based strategies and plans for strengthening EMS against the impacts of severe climate changes.
Additional Links: PMID-39867255
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39867255,
year = {2024},
author = {Mohammadi-Janbazloufar, K and Atighechian, G and Ostadtaghizadeh, A and Rezaei, F and Hirshon, JM},
title = {Developing an Emergency Medical Services Resilience Assessment Tool in Climate Change: A Study Protocol.},
journal = {International journal of preventive medicine},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {73},
pmid = {39867255},
issn = {2008-7802},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change poses significant threats to the health and safety of communities worldwide. Extreme weather events can disrupt critical infrastructure and overwhelm emergency medical services (EMS) systems. As the frequency and intensity of these climate-related disasters continue to increase, it is essential that EMS organizations develop robust strategies to enhance their resilience. One important step in building climate-resilient EMS systems is the development of comprehensive assessment tools. Developing a comprehensive tool for assessing the resilience of EMS in the face of climate change.
METHODS: This research employs an applied, mixed-methods approach to investigate the development and validation of the Emergency Medical Services Resilience Assessment (EMSRA) tool. The study will be executed across four key phases: (a) A scoping review will be conducted to identify the global dimensions and components of EMS systems that demonstrate resilience to the impacts of climate change. (b) A qualitative study, involving semistructured interviews, will be undertaken to explore the specific dimensions and components of EMS resilience within the Iranian context. (c) Based on the findings from the scoping review and qualitative inquiry, assessment items related to EMS resilience in climate change will be extracted and synthesized to develop a pilot version of the EMSRA tool. (d) The pilot EMSRA tool will undergo a rigorous process of quantitative and qualitative validation, including an evaluation of its psychometric properties, to assess the resilience of EMS systems in the face of climate-related challenges.
CONCLUSIONS: The development of EMSRA tool will enable the assessment and enhancement of climate change resilience within the national and provincial EMS systems, providing critical data to inform evidence-based strategies and plans for strengthening EMS against the impacts of severe climate changes.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-28
CmpDate: 2025-01-27
Heat Stroke in the Era of Global Warming: A Call for Urgent Action.
Annals of global health, 91(1):1.
Heat stroke (HS) represents a life‑endangering condition that is due to an imbalance between heat generation and dissipation, owing to exposure to hot environments or strenuous exercise. HS is a medical condition that is gaining increased prevalence throughout the world due to a steady rise in temperature, and massive mortalities have been recorded among vulnerable populations. In 2024, extreme heat waves led to increased cases of HS and related fatalities globally, particularly in Karachi, Pakistan. This article reviews the pathophysiology, effects, treatment, and preventive strategies of HS management. Effective management includes prompt on‑site cooling and symptomatic treatment followed by intensive care for severe cases. In keeping heat‑related illnesses low, indoor stay, hydration, and public awareness campaigns play important roles. The urge of the article, therefore, is that HS demands very serious attention from the global arena and its proactive measures should be enforced to avert this medical emergency globally.
Additional Links: PMID-39867166
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39867166,
year = {2025},
author = {Khan, A and Mubeen, M},
title = {Heat Stroke in the Era of Global Warming: A Call for Urgent Action.},
journal = {Annals of global health},
volume = {91},
number = {1},
pages = {1},
pmid = {39867166},
issn = {2214-9996},
mesh = {Humans ; *Heat Stroke/epidemiology/therapy ; *Global Warming ; Global Health ; Pakistan/epidemiology ; },
abstract = {Heat stroke (HS) represents a life‑endangering condition that is due to an imbalance between heat generation and dissipation, owing to exposure to hot environments or strenuous exercise. HS is a medical condition that is gaining increased prevalence throughout the world due to a steady rise in temperature, and massive mortalities have been recorded among vulnerable populations. In 2024, extreme heat waves led to increased cases of HS and related fatalities globally, particularly in Karachi, Pakistan. This article reviews the pathophysiology, effects, treatment, and preventive strategies of HS management. Effective management includes prompt on‑site cooling and symptomatic treatment followed by intensive care for severe cases. In keeping heat‑related illnesses low, indoor stay, hydration, and public awareness campaigns play important roles. The urge of the article, therefore, is that HS demands very serious attention from the global arena and its proactive measures should be enforced to avert this medical emergency globally.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Heat Stroke/epidemiology/therapy
*Global Warming
Global Health
Pakistan/epidemiology
RevDate: 2025-01-28
Modelling climate change and aridity for climate impact studies in semi-arid regions: The case of Giba basin, northern Ethiopia.
Heliyon, 11(1):e41693.
of long-term and future climate variability is crucial for impact assessment studies in drought-prone areas like the Giba basin in northern Ethiopia. This study has applied the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) and (De Martonne and Pinna combinative) aridity index methods to evaluate the climate system of the Giba basin. Historical data (1961-2019) from seven meteorological stations and global grided data were used for future climate projections (2020-2100) under the three emission scenarios (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) for the three-time horizons (2040s, 2060s, and 2080s). Analysis of results showed that rainfall and temperature projection on a monthly and/or seasonal basis has more significance than on an annual basis for impact studies particularly, in areas where irrigation practices are common like in the Giba basin. Seasonal projection of rainfall in the basin showed a slightly decreasing trend during the spring season (MAM), and a significant increment in the main rainy season (JJA) under all scenarios and for the whole projection year. On an annual basis, a maximum increase of rainfall, up to +285 mm/year and +298 mm/year was expected to increase at Abyi Adi and Mekelle Obs stations, respectively, under RCP 8.5 in the 2080s. Temperature projection showed a consistent rise throughout the basin that ranges from a minimum increase of Tmax by +0.29 °C in the 2040s (RCP 2.6) at Mekelle Obs station to a maximum increase of Tmin by +2.35 °C in the 2080s (RCP8.5) at Abyi Adi station. In general, it is observed that the rate of increment of projected Tmin was more than that of Tmax in all stations in the Giba basin, which showed a continuous contraction of the gap between Tmin and Tmax, hence, the prevalence of global warming. This has led to a considerable increment of aridity till the end of the 21st century. Hence, the implementation of locally-suited climate change resilient strategies is crucial to enhance the sustainability of the ecosystem and ensure food security in the basin.
Additional Links: PMID-39866426
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39866426,
year = {2025},
author = {Gebru, AB and Gebreyohannes, T and Kahsay, GH},
title = {Modelling climate change and aridity for climate impact studies in semi-arid regions: The case of Giba basin, northern Ethiopia.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {e41693},
pmid = {39866426},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {of long-term and future climate variability is crucial for impact assessment studies in drought-prone areas like the Giba basin in northern Ethiopia. This study has applied the statistical downscaling model (SDSM) and (De Martonne and Pinna combinative) aridity index methods to evaluate the climate system of the Giba basin. Historical data (1961-2019) from seven meteorological stations and global grided data were used for future climate projections (2020-2100) under the three emission scenarios (RCPs 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5) for the three-time horizons (2040s, 2060s, and 2080s). Analysis of results showed that rainfall and temperature projection on a monthly and/or seasonal basis has more significance than on an annual basis for impact studies particularly, in areas where irrigation practices are common like in the Giba basin. Seasonal projection of rainfall in the basin showed a slightly decreasing trend during the spring season (MAM), and a significant increment in the main rainy season (JJA) under all scenarios and for the whole projection year. On an annual basis, a maximum increase of rainfall, up to +285 mm/year and +298 mm/year was expected to increase at Abyi Adi and Mekelle Obs stations, respectively, under RCP 8.5 in the 2080s. Temperature projection showed a consistent rise throughout the basin that ranges from a minimum increase of Tmax by +0.29 °C in the 2040s (RCP 2.6) at Mekelle Obs station to a maximum increase of Tmin by +2.35 °C in the 2080s (RCP8.5) at Abyi Adi station. In general, it is observed that the rate of increment of projected Tmin was more than that of Tmax in all stations in the Giba basin, which showed a continuous contraction of the gap between Tmin and Tmax, hence, the prevalence of global warming. This has led to a considerable increment of aridity till the end of the 21st century. Hence, the implementation of locally-suited climate change resilient strategies is crucial to enhance the sustainability of the ecosystem and ensure food security in the basin.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Modeling effects of climate change on crop phenology and yield of wheat-maize cropping system and exploring sustainable solutions.
Journal of the science of food and agriculture [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Wheat-maize cropping systems in semi-arid regions are expected to be affected by climate change in the future, which is alarming for global food security, environmental sustainability and socioeconomic development. Therefore, management practices like optimized plant geometry and fertilization need to be explored to counter these expected threats. To do this, the APSIM model was calibrated using 5-year data (from 2017/2018 to 2022) regarding yield, biomass, plant height, emergence, anthesis and crop maturity of wheat and maize from farmer fields.
RESULTS: The performance of a model run was assessed using root mean square error, normalized root mean square error, coefficient of residual mass, coefficient of determination (R[2]) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, whose average was 1.59, 0.13, 0.001, 0.84 and 0.78, respectively, for calibration while 2.75, 0.20, -0.009, 0.80 and 0.75, respectively, for validation. Regarding crop phenology, it was modelled that the emergence, anthesis and maturity were earlier by 7-9 days, 8-10 days and 2-6 days, respectively, for wheat; 6-10 days, 13-20 days and 16-24 days, respectively, for spring maize; 3-5 days, 5-11 days and 8-19 days, respectively, for autumn maize under different climate change scenarios in near to far future. Simulations revealed the average reduction in the yield of wheat, spring maize and autumn maize by 11.5%, 11.8% and 11.0%, respectively, in near future (2025-2065) while 17.5%, 20.5% and 17.0%, respectively, in far future (2066-2100). Further, simulations discovered the potential of higher levels of fertilization (nitrogen = 60-100 kg ha[-1] and phosphorus = 40-75 kg ha[-1] for wheat while nitrogen = 75-120 kg ha[-1] and phosphorus = 40-80 kg ha[-1] for maize) and plant density (100 to 150 plants m[-2] for wheat and 8 to 13 plants m[-2] for maize) to enhance the yield of wheat, spring maize and autumn maize by 31-36%, 22-38% and 26-43%, respectively, in near future while 33-38%, 21-55% and 19-31%, respectively, in far future.
CONCLUSIONS: The findings underscore the effects of climate change on wheat-maize cropping systems and the importance of implementing optimized fertilization and adjusting plant density to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change, thereby safeguarding food security and sustaining agricultural productivity. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.
Additional Links: PMID-39866083
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39866083,
year = {2025},
author = {Chauhdary, JN and Li, H and Pan, X and Zaman, M and Anjum, SA and Yang, F and Akbar, N and Azamat, U},
title = {Modeling effects of climate change on crop phenology and yield of wheat-maize cropping system and exploring sustainable solutions.},
journal = {Journal of the science of food and agriculture},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/jsfa.14134},
pmid = {39866083},
issn = {1097-0010},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Wheat-maize cropping systems in semi-arid regions are expected to be affected by climate change in the future, which is alarming for global food security, environmental sustainability and socioeconomic development. Therefore, management practices like optimized plant geometry and fertilization need to be explored to counter these expected threats. To do this, the APSIM model was calibrated using 5-year data (from 2017/2018 to 2022) regarding yield, biomass, plant height, emergence, anthesis and crop maturity of wheat and maize from farmer fields.
RESULTS: The performance of a model run was assessed using root mean square error, normalized root mean square error, coefficient of residual mass, coefficient of determination (R[2]) and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, whose average was 1.59, 0.13, 0.001, 0.84 and 0.78, respectively, for calibration while 2.75, 0.20, -0.009, 0.80 and 0.75, respectively, for validation. Regarding crop phenology, it was modelled that the emergence, anthesis and maturity were earlier by 7-9 days, 8-10 days and 2-6 days, respectively, for wheat; 6-10 days, 13-20 days and 16-24 days, respectively, for spring maize; 3-5 days, 5-11 days and 8-19 days, respectively, for autumn maize under different climate change scenarios in near to far future. Simulations revealed the average reduction in the yield of wheat, spring maize and autumn maize by 11.5%, 11.8% and 11.0%, respectively, in near future (2025-2065) while 17.5%, 20.5% and 17.0%, respectively, in far future (2066-2100). Further, simulations discovered the potential of higher levels of fertilization (nitrogen = 60-100 kg ha[-1] and phosphorus = 40-75 kg ha[-1] for wheat while nitrogen = 75-120 kg ha[-1] and phosphorus = 40-80 kg ha[-1] for maize) and plant density (100 to 150 plants m[-2] for wheat and 8 to 13 plants m[-2] for maize) to enhance the yield of wheat, spring maize and autumn maize by 31-36%, 22-38% and 26-43%, respectively, in near future while 33-38%, 21-55% and 19-31%, respectively, in far future.
CONCLUSIONS: The findings underscore the effects of climate change on wheat-maize cropping systems and the importance of implementing optimized fertilization and adjusting plant density to mitigate the adverse effects of climate change, thereby safeguarding food security and sustaining agricultural productivity. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Spatial, environmental and trophic niche partitioning by seabirds in a climate change hotspot.
The Journal of animal ecology [Epub ahead of print].
For similar species to co-occur in places where resources are limited, they need to adopt strategies that partition resources to reduce competition. Our understanding of the mechanisms behind resource partitioning among sympatric marine predators is evolving, but we lack a clear understanding of how environmental change is impacting these dynamics. We investigated spatial and trophic resource partitioning among three sympatric seabirds with contrasting biological characteristics: greater crested terns Thalasseus bergii (efficient flyer, limited diver, and preference for high quality forage fish), little penguins Eudyptula minor (flightless, efficient diver, and preference for high quality forage fish) and silver gulls Chroicocephalus novaehollandiae (efficient flyer, limited diver and generalist diet). We investigated interannual variability in resource partitioning in relation to environmental variability in a climate change hotspot influenced by the warm and intensifying East Australian Current (EAC). Sampling was conducted from 2012 to 2014 during the austral summer breeding season of seabirds at Montague Island, Australia. Daily seabird movements were monitored using GPS trackers and feather tissues were collected and processed for stable isotope analysis (δ[15]N and δ[13]C). Generalised Linear Mixed Models were used to assess how changes in oceanographic conditions influenced space use for each species. Schoener's D and Bayesian mixing models were used to respectively investigate the levels of yearly inter-specific environmental and trophic niche overlaps. Crested terns and little penguins were less likely to be observed in warm, saline EAC waters and crested terns and silver gulls had smaller foraging areas on days when more than 30% of available habitat was classified as EAC origin. All species preferred areas with low variability in sea surface temperature (<0.5°C). Terns and penguins occupied similar marine trophic levels, with penguins having larger isotopic niche spaces in 2014 when the EAC was more dominant in the study area. Gulls occupied the lowest trophic level, with the widest niche and lowest interannual variability in niche area. As the EAC intensifies along the southeast coast of Australia under climate change, interspecific competition for resources may increase, with the greatest impacts on species like little penguins that have relatively restricted foraging ranges. This study suggests that species-specific biological traits and behavioural plasticity should be accounted for when predicting the effects of climate change on marine species.
Additional Links: PMID-39865930
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39865930,
year = {2025},
author = {Niella, Y and O'Hara, D and Jonsen, I and Slip, D and Phillips, L and Harcourt, R and Carroll, G},
title = {Spatial, environmental and trophic niche partitioning by seabirds in a climate change hotspot.},
journal = {The Journal of animal ecology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/1365-2656.14245},
pmid = {39865930},
issn = {1365-2656},
support = {//Taronga Conservation Society Australia/ ; LP110200603//Australian Research Council/ ; LP160100162//Australian Research Council/ ; //Macquarie University Vice Chancellor's Innovation Fellowship/ ; },
abstract = {For similar species to co-occur in places where resources are limited, they need to adopt strategies that partition resources to reduce competition. Our understanding of the mechanisms behind resource partitioning among sympatric marine predators is evolving, but we lack a clear understanding of how environmental change is impacting these dynamics. We investigated spatial and trophic resource partitioning among three sympatric seabirds with contrasting biological characteristics: greater crested terns Thalasseus bergii (efficient flyer, limited diver, and preference for high quality forage fish), little penguins Eudyptula minor (flightless, efficient diver, and preference for high quality forage fish) and silver gulls Chroicocephalus novaehollandiae (efficient flyer, limited diver and generalist diet). We investigated interannual variability in resource partitioning in relation to environmental variability in a climate change hotspot influenced by the warm and intensifying East Australian Current (EAC). Sampling was conducted from 2012 to 2014 during the austral summer breeding season of seabirds at Montague Island, Australia. Daily seabird movements were monitored using GPS trackers and feather tissues were collected and processed for stable isotope analysis (δ[15]N and δ[13]C). Generalised Linear Mixed Models were used to assess how changes in oceanographic conditions influenced space use for each species. Schoener's D and Bayesian mixing models were used to respectively investigate the levels of yearly inter-specific environmental and trophic niche overlaps. Crested terns and little penguins were less likely to be observed in warm, saline EAC waters and crested terns and silver gulls had smaller foraging areas on days when more than 30% of available habitat was classified as EAC origin. All species preferred areas with low variability in sea surface temperature (<0.5°C). Terns and penguins occupied similar marine trophic levels, with penguins having larger isotopic niche spaces in 2014 when the EAC was more dominant in the study area. Gulls occupied the lowest trophic level, with the widest niche and lowest interannual variability in niche area. As the EAC intensifies along the southeast coast of Australia under climate change, interspecific competition for resources may increase, with the greatest impacts on species like little penguins that have relatively restricted foraging ranges. This study suggests that species-specific biological traits and behavioural plasticity should be accounted for when predicting the effects of climate change on marine species.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-26
Potential of carbon micro/nanofibers derived from lignocellulose biomass valorisation for CO2 adsorption: A review on decarbonization biotechnology for climate change solutions.
International journal of biological macromolecules pii:S0141-8130(25)00854-2 [Epub ahead of print].
Biomass, as a source of lignocellulose, can be valorized into carbon micro/nanofibers for adsorbing greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions, especially CO2. This article is derived from systematic evidence evaluation of published studies, presenting new, innovative, and systemic approaches to lignocellulose-based carbon micro/nanofiber studies. The review covers a general overview of carbon micro/nanofiber studies, mapping chronicles of the studies, carbon micro/nanofiber types for CO2 uptake, carbon micro/nanofibers fabrication and characterization, obtained carbonaceous material activation and performances, regulatory frameworks, and sustainability. The published studies show that carbon fiber has been researched for GHG emissions adsorption since the 1950s, with an increasing trend of publication numbers. The trend of studies has commenced from activated carbon to nanocarbonaceous materials and their composites. The excellent performance of both micro/nano-sized carbon provides promising opportunities for absorbing CO2 and other GHGs, such as NO2 and CH4, facilitating decarbonization. Several types of carbonaceous activation processes and modifications were utilized to enhance the performances of the resultant biochars, especially in surface materials, CO2 adsorption capacity, and CO2 selectivity. Proposed mechanisms for the absorption of CO2 by activated carbonaceous materials through physisorption and chemisorption were also observed. To date, regulatory frameworks on the use of activated carbon for CO2 capture are still rarely found, but biochar has been mainstreamed and regulated internationally for CO2 removal. Other regulations have been enacted but have not yet internationally harmonized, mostly focusing on the terminology of carbon nanotubes, characterization, general applications, labelling, packaging, transportation, and the effects of toxicity on health. This study also proposed the sustainability aspects and performance indicators that can be used for circular economy application with an ultimate goal of climate change mitigation through GHG reduction. Besides the regulatory framework, elements of the business model and sustainability were proposed in the circular economy framework of the fibers. By scoping carbon micro/nanofibers studies, it is shown with obvious evidence that carbon micro/nanofibers and their composites have the potential for CO2 adsorption and removal, leading to the acceleration of the decarbonization process that is in line with the Paris Agreement, especially in applying innovative CO2 capture, storage, and utilization (CCSU) technologies.
Additional Links: PMID-39864712
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39864712,
year = {2025},
author = {Ilmiawati, A and Solikhin, A and Mangurai, SUNM and Setiawan, Y and Istikorini, Y and Lowe, AJ and Malik, A and Mubarok, M and Herawati, E and Khabibi, J and Siruru, H and Purnawati, R and Octaviani, EA and Kulat, MI and Kurniawan, T and Larekeng, SH and Muhammad, R and Aulia, F and Firmansyah, MA and Alalawi, AS},
title = {Potential of carbon micro/nanofibers derived from lignocellulose biomass valorisation for CO2 adsorption: A review on decarbonization biotechnology for climate change solutions.},
journal = {International journal of biological macromolecules},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {140305},
doi = {10.1016/j.ijbiomac.2025.140305},
pmid = {39864712},
issn = {1879-0003},
abstract = {Biomass, as a source of lignocellulose, can be valorized into carbon micro/nanofibers for adsorbing greenhouse gas (GHGs) emissions, especially CO2. This article is derived from systematic evidence evaluation of published studies, presenting new, innovative, and systemic approaches to lignocellulose-based carbon micro/nanofiber studies. The review covers a general overview of carbon micro/nanofiber studies, mapping chronicles of the studies, carbon micro/nanofiber types for CO2 uptake, carbon micro/nanofibers fabrication and characterization, obtained carbonaceous material activation and performances, regulatory frameworks, and sustainability. The published studies show that carbon fiber has been researched for GHG emissions adsorption since the 1950s, with an increasing trend of publication numbers. The trend of studies has commenced from activated carbon to nanocarbonaceous materials and their composites. The excellent performance of both micro/nano-sized carbon provides promising opportunities for absorbing CO2 and other GHGs, such as NO2 and CH4, facilitating decarbonization. Several types of carbonaceous activation processes and modifications were utilized to enhance the performances of the resultant biochars, especially in surface materials, CO2 adsorption capacity, and CO2 selectivity. Proposed mechanisms for the absorption of CO2 by activated carbonaceous materials through physisorption and chemisorption were also observed. To date, regulatory frameworks on the use of activated carbon for CO2 capture are still rarely found, but biochar has been mainstreamed and regulated internationally for CO2 removal. Other regulations have been enacted but have not yet internationally harmonized, mostly focusing on the terminology of carbon nanotubes, characterization, general applications, labelling, packaging, transportation, and the effects of toxicity on health. This study also proposed the sustainability aspects and performance indicators that can be used for circular economy application with an ultimate goal of climate change mitigation through GHG reduction. Besides the regulatory framework, elements of the business model and sustainability were proposed in the circular economy framework of the fibers. By scoping carbon micro/nanofibers studies, it is shown with obvious evidence that carbon micro/nanofibers and their composites have the potential for CO2 adsorption and removal, leading to the acceleration of the decarbonization process that is in line with the Paris Agreement, especially in applying innovative CO2 capture, storage, and utilization (CCSU) technologies.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-26
Assessing consistency in drought risks in India with multiple multivariate meteorological drought indices (MMDI) under climate change.
The Science of the total environment, 964:178617 pii:S0048-9697(25)00251-7 [Epub ahead of print].
This study investigates the spatio-temporal consistency of different MMDI formulations and their role in meteorological drought characterization uncertainty under historic and future climates using ERA5 reanalysis, and outputs from eight Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models, respectively, across different climate zones and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) in the Indian subcontinent. Six MMDI formulations namely the Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index (SPEI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), and self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI), Standardized Palmer Drought Index (SPDI), Standardized Moisture Anomaly Index (SZI) and Supply Demand Drought Index (SDDI) are used. A suite of analysis including agreement mapping, category difference analysis and uncertainty contribution analysis using global sensitivity analysis (GSA) are employed to quantify the consistency of MMDIs and uncertainty in drought characterization due to the MMDI formulation. The variation in MMDI consistency due to different reference evapotranspiration (ETo) methods is also studied. Results demonstrate strong agreement among the MMDIs under historic climate. Under climate change scenarios our findings demonstrate broad agreement among majority of the MMDIs across the study domain, but in substantial areas where MMDI not agree, especially for higher emission scenarios and arid zones. Increased uncertainty under climate change is due to SDDI and SPEI projecting dryer conditions while scPDSI projecting wetter conditions in the far future period owing to varying degrees of sensitivity of MMDIs to its constituent variables (Precipitation and ETo). Results also show that the uncertainty due to MMDIs varied considerably based on ETo methods as well. Finally, based on GSA analysis, the most significant sources of uncertainty in drought projections under climate change are attributed to MMDI-GCM interactions and MMDIs for the Penman-Monteith method. Discrepancies in drought estimates caused by the MMDI selection highlight the need for careful evaluation of drought indices before adopting for climate change impact assessment.
Additional Links: PMID-39864247
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39864247,
year = {2025},
author = {Varghese, FC and Mitra, S},
title = {Assessing consistency in drought risks in India with multiple multivariate meteorological drought indices (MMDI) under climate change.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {964},
number = {},
pages = {178617},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178617},
pmid = {39864247},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {This study investigates the spatio-temporal consistency of different MMDI formulations and their role in meteorological drought characterization uncertainty under historic and future climates using ERA5 reanalysis, and outputs from eight Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 models, respectively, across different climate zones and shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP) in the Indian subcontinent. Six MMDI formulations namely the Standardized Precipitation Evaporation Index (SPEI), Reconnaissance Drought Index (RDI), and self-calibrated Palmer Drought Severity Index (scPDSI), Standardized Palmer Drought Index (SPDI), Standardized Moisture Anomaly Index (SZI) and Supply Demand Drought Index (SDDI) are used. A suite of analysis including agreement mapping, category difference analysis and uncertainty contribution analysis using global sensitivity analysis (GSA) are employed to quantify the consistency of MMDIs and uncertainty in drought characterization due to the MMDI formulation. The variation in MMDI consistency due to different reference evapotranspiration (ETo) methods is also studied. Results demonstrate strong agreement among the MMDIs under historic climate. Under climate change scenarios our findings demonstrate broad agreement among majority of the MMDIs across the study domain, but in substantial areas where MMDI not agree, especially for higher emission scenarios and arid zones. Increased uncertainty under climate change is due to SDDI and SPEI projecting dryer conditions while scPDSI projecting wetter conditions in the far future period owing to varying degrees of sensitivity of MMDIs to its constituent variables (Precipitation and ETo). Results also show that the uncertainty due to MMDIs varied considerably based on ETo methods as well. Finally, based on GSA analysis, the most significant sources of uncertainty in drought projections under climate change are attributed to MMDI-GCM interactions and MMDIs for the Penman-Monteith method. Discrepancies in drought estimates caused by the MMDI selection highlight the need for careful evaluation of drought indices before adopting for climate change impact assessment.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-26
How partisan news outlets frame vested interests in climate change.
Journal of environmental management, 375:124159 pii:S0301-4797(25)00135-5 [Epub ahead of print].
This paper reports a theoretically-driven quantitative content analysis of news media discourse on climate change, its effects, and solutions to understand how US news discourse differs from widely supported scientific conclusions on global climate. Despite the dire warnings and calls to action, US public opinion on the causes and solutions to climate change remain divided. In the global context, the US's split views are anomalous and may be an artifact of the US media's coverage of the climate crisis. Anthropogenic climate change represents one of the most significant threats to our planet. Framed by Vested Interest Theory (VIT), we coded a representative sample of news discourse according to VIT's constituent variables. News sources were selected according to partisan orientation and balanced across the political divide. News articles were parsed into single sentences with source and ordering was randomized for presentation auto human coders. This allowed us to code at a granular level. Results show that not all five variables are equally present, with salience, response-efficacy, and certainty being most frequently referenced. While patterns also reflect a significant partisan divide, we also found unexpected non-linear patterns in the discourse, likely due to the rhetorical style of the sources' reporting. Overall, we conclude that climate change reporting does not reflect the scientific discourse, and that this likely fuels the idiosyncratic American debate on climate change, and its effects and solutions.
Additional Links: PMID-39864162
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39864162,
year = {2025},
author = {Adame, BJ and Corman, SR and Endres, CJ and Farmer, RD and Awonuga, T},
title = {How partisan news outlets frame vested interests in climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124159},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124159},
pmid = {39864162},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {This paper reports a theoretically-driven quantitative content analysis of news media discourse on climate change, its effects, and solutions to understand how US news discourse differs from widely supported scientific conclusions on global climate. Despite the dire warnings and calls to action, US public opinion on the causes and solutions to climate change remain divided. In the global context, the US's split views are anomalous and may be an artifact of the US media's coverage of the climate crisis. Anthropogenic climate change represents one of the most significant threats to our planet. Framed by Vested Interest Theory (VIT), we coded a representative sample of news discourse according to VIT's constituent variables. News sources were selected according to partisan orientation and balanced across the political divide. News articles were parsed into single sentences with source and ordering was randomized for presentation auto human coders. This allowed us to code at a granular level. Results show that not all five variables are equally present, with salience, response-efficacy, and certainty being most frequently referenced. While patterns also reflect a significant partisan divide, we also found unexpected non-linear patterns in the discourse, likely due to the rhetorical style of the sources' reporting. Overall, we conclude that climate change reporting does not reflect the scientific discourse, and that this likely fuels the idiosyncratic American debate on climate change, and its effects and solutions.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
CmpDate: 2025-01-25
Rubber intercropping with arboreal and herbaceous species alleviated the global warming potential through the reduction of soil greenhouse gas emissions.
Scientific reports, 15(1):3196.
Agroforestry systems are known to enhance soil health and climate resilience, but their impact on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in rubber-based agroforestry systems across diverse configurations is not fully understood. Here, six representative rubber-based agroforestry systems (encompassing rubber trees intercropped with arboreal, shrub, and herbaceous species) were selected based on a preliminary investigation, including Hevea brasiliensis intercropping with Alpinia oxyphylla (AOM), Alpinia katsumadai (AKH), Coffea arabica (CAA), Theobroma cacao (TCA), Cinnamomum cassia (CCA), and Pandanus amaryllifolius (PAR), and a rubber monoculture as control (RM). Soil physicochemical properties, enzyme activities, and GHG emission characteristics were determined at 0-20 cm soil depth. The results showed that agroforestry systems significantly enhanced most of soil nutrient levels and enzyme activities. In 0-20 cm soil depth, all rubber plantations acted as net carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (N2O) resources, and net methane (CH4) sinks. Compared with the RM, the CAA and CCA systems significantly increased the cumulative CO2 and N2O emissions, and the global warming potential (GWP) significantly increased in the CAA (36.78%) and CCA (7.18%) systems, whereas it significantly decreased in the AOM (6.61%), AKH (24.96%), TCA (14.24%), and PAR (41.01%) systems. The soil DOC concentration was the primary factor influencing GHG emissions and GWP. This study provides novel insights into GHG emissions from rubber agroforestry systems and serves as a fundamental reference for climate-smart land use management in rubber plantations. Intercropping rubber trees with arboreal and herbaceous species is recommended over shrub species, considering their beneficial effects in reducing soil GHG emissions and GWP for the sustainable development of rubber plantations on Hainan Island.
Additional Links: PMID-39863677
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39863677,
year = {2025},
author = {Ashar, T and Zhang, Y and Yang, C and Xu, W and Zeeshan Ul Haq, M and Tahir, H and Abbas, HMM and Wu, Z},
title = {Rubber intercropping with arboreal and herbaceous species alleviated the global warming potential through the reduction of soil greenhouse gas emissions.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {3196},
pmid = {39863677},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {32371637//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; CARS-33-ZP3//Earmarked Fund for China Agriculture Research System/ ; },
mesh = {*Greenhouse Gases/analysis ; *Soil/chemistry ; *Global Warming ; Agriculture/methods ; Nitrous Oxide/analysis/metabolism ; Methane/analysis/metabolism ; Rubber ; Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism ; Forestry/methods ; Hevea/growth & development ; },
abstract = {Agroforestry systems are known to enhance soil health and climate resilience, but their impact on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in rubber-based agroforestry systems across diverse configurations is not fully understood. Here, six representative rubber-based agroforestry systems (encompassing rubber trees intercropped with arboreal, shrub, and herbaceous species) were selected based on a preliminary investigation, including Hevea brasiliensis intercropping with Alpinia oxyphylla (AOM), Alpinia katsumadai (AKH), Coffea arabica (CAA), Theobroma cacao (TCA), Cinnamomum cassia (CCA), and Pandanus amaryllifolius (PAR), and a rubber monoculture as control (RM). Soil physicochemical properties, enzyme activities, and GHG emission characteristics were determined at 0-20 cm soil depth. The results showed that agroforestry systems significantly enhanced most of soil nutrient levels and enzyme activities. In 0-20 cm soil depth, all rubber plantations acted as net carbon dioxide (CO2) and nitrous oxide (N2O) resources, and net methane (CH4) sinks. Compared with the RM, the CAA and CCA systems significantly increased the cumulative CO2 and N2O emissions, and the global warming potential (GWP) significantly increased in the CAA (36.78%) and CCA (7.18%) systems, whereas it significantly decreased in the AOM (6.61%), AKH (24.96%), TCA (14.24%), and PAR (41.01%) systems. The soil DOC concentration was the primary factor influencing GHG emissions and GWP. This study provides novel insights into GHG emissions from rubber agroforestry systems and serves as a fundamental reference for climate-smart land use management in rubber plantations. Intercropping rubber trees with arboreal and herbaceous species is recommended over shrub species, considering their beneficial effects in reducing soil GHG emissions and GWP for the sustainable development of rubber plantations on Hainan Island.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Greenhouse Gases/analysis
*Soil/chemistry
*Global Warming
Agriculture/methods
Nitrous Oxide/analysis/metabolism
Methane/analysis/metabolism
Rubber
Carbon Dioxide/analysis/metabolism
Forestry/methods
Hevea/growth & development
RevDate: 2025-01-25
Lung function-associated exposome profile in the era of climate change: Pooled analysis of 8 population-based European cohorts within the EXPANSE project.
Environment international, 196:109269 pii:S0160-4120(25)00020-0 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: The independent and interrelated long-term effects of the exposome such as air pollution, greenness, and ambient temperature on lung function are not well understood, yet relevant in the light of climate change.
METHODS: Pre-bronchodilation FEV1 from five mature birth cohorts (N = 4724) and three adult cohorts (N = 6052) from five European countries were used to assess cross-sectional associations with air pollution, greenness, and ambient temperature, assigned to their residential address. All two-way interactions and square terms were a priori included in building the final elastic net regression model. Elastic net regression results were put into the context of different environmental scenarios such as improvement of air quality, improvement of greenness, climate change, or their combinations.
RESULTS: Elastic net regression of FEV1 z-scores identified non-zero coefficients for many interaction terms, indicating the importance of joint effects of exposure to air pollution, greenness, and temperature. The non-zero coefficients were bigger and more stable in adults than in children. Upon exploring lung function benefits for different environmental scenarios, an improvement of FEV1 was expected in the scenario of improving air quality or greenness. In contrast, negative changes in FEV1 z-scores were expected in the scenario of climate change, characterized by daily temperature increase in summer and decrease in winter. The beneficial FEV1 effects of improving air pollution or greenness were attenuated in the presence of climate change.
CONCLUSION: Complex exposome profiles of long-term exposure to air pollution, greenness, and temperature showed associations with FEV1 in European adults, and to less extent in children and adolescents. Climate change seems to have a negative impact on lung function and modifies the association of air pollution and greenspace with lung function.
Additional Links: PMID-39862723
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39862723,
year = {2025},
author = {Jeong, A and Lovison, G and Bussalleu, A and Cirach, M and Dadvand, P and de Hoogh, K and Flexeder, C and Hoek, G and Imboden, M and Karrasch, S and Koppelman, GH and Kress, S and Ljungman, P and Majewska, R and Pershagen, G and Pickford, R and Shen, Y and Vermeulen, RCH and Vlaanderen, JJ and Vogli, M and Wolf, K and Yu, Z and Melén, E and Pac, A and Peters, A and Schikowski, T and Standl, M and Gehring, U and Probst-Hensch, N},
title = {Lung function-associated exposome profile in the era of climate change: Pooled analysis of 8 population-based European cohorts within the EXPANSE project.},
journal = {Environment international},
volume = {196},
number = {},
pages = {109269},
doi = {10.1016/j.envint.2025.109269},
pmid = {39862723},
issn = {1873-6750},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The independent and interrelated long-term effects of the exposome such as air pollution, greenness, and ambient temperature on lung function are not well understood, yet relevant in the light of climate change.
METHODS: Pre-bronchodilation FEV1 from five mature birth cohorts (N = 4724) and three adult cohorts (N = 6052) from five European countries were used to assess cross-sectional associations with air pollution, greenness, and ambient temperature, assigned to their residential address. All two-way interactions and square terms were a priori included in building the final elastic net regression model. Elastic net regression results were put into the context of different environmental scenarios such as improvement of air quality, improvement of greenness, climate change, or their combinations.
RESULTS: Elastic net regression of FEV1 z-scores identified non-zero coefficients for many interaction terms, indicating the importance of joint effects of exposure to air pollution, greenness, and temperature. The non-zero coefficients were bigger and more stable in adults than in children. Upon exploring lung function benefits for different environmental scenarios, an improvement of FEV1 was expected in the scenario of improving air quality or greenness. In contrast, negative changes in FEV1 z-scores were expected in the scenario of climate change, characterized by daily temperature increase in summer and decrease in winter. The beneficial FEV1 effects of improving air pollution or greenness were attenuated in the presence of climate change.
CONCLUSION: Complex exposome profiles of long-term exposure to air pollution, greenness, and temperature showed associations with FEV1 in European adults, and to less extent in children and adolescents. Climate change seems to have a negative impact on lung function and modifies the association of air pollution and greenspace with lung function.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-25
The use of multiple evidence base methods to enrich climate change research and knowledge in the Arctic.
Ambio [Epub ahead of print].
Indigenous and local knowledge (ILK) is increasingly used along with scientific knowledge (SK) to understand climate change. The multi evidence base (MEB) offers ways of combining knowledge systems together. Nonetheless, there is little guidance on how to use MEB approaches in research. Our aim is to systematically evaluate empirical cases using MEB approaches in Arctic climate change research; and explore ILK inclusion in research stages. The mapping followed the ROSES protocol, which provides a checklist of details to be included in the review. The literature search identified 1483 records referring to MEB approaches. We identified seven papers applying the cross-fertilization and nine applying the coproduction approach to combine ILK with SK. The theory of change framework was used to evaluate participation, revealing a distinct difference between the approaches in participant involvement in the research stages. Regardless of MEB approach, the output and outcome of the cases were less clear.
Additional Links: PMID-39862378
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39862378,
year = {2025},
author = {Heatta, MJ and Hausner, VH and Utsi, TA},
title = {The use of multiple evidence base methods to enrich climate change research and knowledge in the Arctic.},
journal = {Ambio},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39862378},
issn = {1654-7209},
abstract = {Indigenous and local knowledge (ILK) is increasingly used along with scientific knowledge (SK) to understand climate change. The multi evidence base (MEB) offers ways of combining knowledge systems together. Nonetheless, there is little guidance on how to use MEB approaches in research. Our aim is to systematically evaluate empirical cases using MEB approaches in Arctic climate change research; and explore ILK inclusion in research stages. The mapping followed the ROSES protocol, which provides a checklist of details to be included in the review. The literature search identified 1483 records referring to MEB approaches. We identified seven papers applying the cross-fertilization and nine applying the coproduction approach to combine ILK with SK. The theory of change framework was used to evaluate participation, revealing a distinct difference between the approaches in participant involvement in the research stages. Regardless of MEB approach, the output and outcome of the cases were less clear.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
MaxEnt-Based Predictions of Suitable Potential Distribution of Leymus secalinus Under Current and Future Climate Change.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(2):.
Grassland degradation is a serious ecological issue in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China. Utilizing native grasses for the restoration of degraded grasslands is an effective technological approach. Leymus secalinus is a superior indigenous grass species for grassland ecological restoration in northern China. Therefore, the excavation of potential distribution areas of L. secalinus and important ecological factors affecting its distribution is crucial for grassland conservation and restoration of degraded grasslands. Based on 357 data points collected on the natural distribution of L. secalinus, this study employs the jackknife method and Pearson correlation analysis to screen out 23 variables affecting its spatial distribution. The MaxEnt model was used herein to predict the current suitable distribution area of L. secalinus and the suitable distribution of L. secalinus under different SSP scenarios (SSP1-26, SSP2-45, and SSP5-85) for future climate. The results showed the following: (1) Mean diurnal temperature range, annual mean temperature, precipitation of the wettest quarter, and elevation are the major factors impacting the distribution of L. secalinus. (2) Under the current climatic conditions, L. secalinus is mainly distributed in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China; in addition, certain suitable areas also exist in parts of Xinjiang, Tibet, Sichuan, Heilongjiang, and Jilin. (3) Under future climate change scenarios, the suitable areas for L. secalinus are generally the same as at present, with slight changes in area under different scenarios, with the largest expansion of 97,222 km[2] of suitable area in 2021-2040 under the SSP1-26 scenario and the largest shrinkage of potential suitable area in 2061-2080 under the SSP2-45 scenario, with 87,983 km[2]. Notably, the northern boundary of the middle- and high-suitability areas is reduced, while the northeastern boundary and some areas of Heilongjiang and Jilin are expanded. The results of this study revealed the suitable climatic conditions and potential distribution range of L. secalinus, which can provide a reference for the conservation, introduction, and cultivation of L. secalinus in new ecological zones, avoiding the blind introduction of inappropriate habitats, and is also crucial for sustaining the economic benefits associated with L. secalinus ecological services.
Additional Links: PMID-39861646
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39861646,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhao, S and Zhang, Z and Gao, C and Dong, Y and Jing, Z and Du, L and Hou, X},
title = {MaxEnt-Based Predictions of Suitable Potential Distribution of Leymus secalinus Under Current and Future Climate Change.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39861646},
issn = {2223-7747},
support = {Grant NO. 2022YFF1302803//Xiangyang Hou/ ; Grant NO. 202102140601006//Xiangyang Hou/ ; Grant NO. 2023CYJSTX11//Xiangyang Hou/ ; },
abstract = {Grassland degradation is a serious ecological issue in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China. Utilizing native grasses for the restoration of degraded grasslands is an effective technological approach. Leymus secalinus is a superior indigenous grass species for grassland ecological restoration in northern China. Therefore, the excavation of potential distribution areas of L. secalinus and important ecological factors affecting its distribution is crucial for grassland conservation and restoration of degraded grasslands. Based on 357 data points collected on the natural distribution of L. secalinus, this study employs the jackknife method and Pearson correlation analysis to screen out 23 variables affecting its spatial distribution. The MaxEnt model was used herein to predict the current suitable distribution area of L. secalinus and the suitable distribution of L. secalinus under different SSP scenarios (SSP1-26, SSP2-45, and SSP5-85) for future climate. The results showed the following: (1) Mean diurnal temperature range, annual mean temperature, precipitation of the wettest quarter, and elevation are the major factors impacting the distribution of L. secalinus. (2) Under the current climatic conditions, L. secalinus is mainly distributed in the farming-pastoral ecotone of northern China; in addition, certain suitable areas also exist in parts of Xinjiang, Tibet, Sichuan, Heilongjiang, and Jilin. (3) Under future climate change scenarios, the suitable areas for L. secalinus are generally the same as at present, with slight changes in area under different scenarios, with the largest expansion of 97,222 km[2] of suitable area in 2021-2040 under the SSP1-26 scenario and the largest shrinkage of potential suitable area in 2061-2080 under the SSP2-45 scenario, with 87,983 km[2]. Notably, the northern boundary of the middle- and high-suitability areas is reduced, while the northeastern boundary and some areas of Heilongjiang and Jilin are expanded. The results of this study revealed the suitable climatic conditions and potential distribution range of L. secalinus, which can provide a reference for the conservation, introduction, and cultivation of L. secalinus in new ecological zones, avoiding the blind introduction of inappropriate habitats, and is also crucial for sustaining the economic benefits associated with L. secalinus ecological services.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Climate Change-Induced Decline in Succulent Euphorbia in Namibia's Arid Regions.
Plants (Basel, Switzerland), 14(2):.
The global rise in temperatures due to climate change has made it difficult even for specialised desert-adapted plant species to survive on sandy desert soils. Two of Namibia's iconic desert-adapted plant species, Welwitschia mirabilis and the quiver tree Aloidendron dichotomum, have recently been shown to be under threat because of climate change. In the current study, three ecologically important Namibian Euphorbia milk bushes were evaluated for their climate change response. By comparing good-quality aerial photographs from the 1960s and recent 2020s high-resolution satellite images, it was determined by QGIS remote sensing techniques that very high percentages of the large succulents E. damarana, E. gummifera, and E. gregaria have died during the last 50 years in arid areas of Namibia. Areas like Brandberg (northern Namibia), Klein Karas (south-east), and Garub (south-west), with a high sandy-textured ground cover, have seen the loss of around 90% of E. damarana and E. gregaria and about 61% of E. gummifera in this period. This is alarming, as it could threaten the survival of several animal species adapted to feed on them, especially during droughts. This study focused on large succulent euphorbias, distinguishable in satellite images and historical photographs. It was observed that many other plant species are also severely stressed in arid sandy areas. The obtained results were ground-truthed and species identification was confirmed by the chemical analysis of remaining dead twigs using GC-MS and metabolomics. The ERA5 satellite's 2 m above-ground temperature data show a 2 °C rise in annual average noon temperatures since 1950 at the three locations analysed. Annual daily temperatures increased by 1.3 °C since 1950, exceeding the global average rise of about 1.0 °C since 1900. This suggests that euphorbias and other plants on low-water-capacity sandy soils in Namibia face greater climate change pressure than plants globally.
Additional Links: PMID-39861541
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39861541,
year = {2025},
author = {Meyer, JJM and Potgieter, MM and Meyer, NL and Meyer, AC},
title = {Climate Change-Induced Decline in Succulent Euphorbia in Namibia's Arid Regions.},
journal = {Plants (Basel, Switzerland)},
volume = {14},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39861541},
issn = {2223-7747},
abstract = {The global rise in temperatures due to climate change has made it difficult even for specialised desert-adapted plant species to survive on sandy desert soils. Two of Namibia's iconic desert-adapted plant species, Welwitschia mirabilis and the quiver tree Aloidendron dichotomum, have recently been shown to be under threat because of climate change. In the current study, three ecologically important Namibian Euphorbia milk bushes were evaluated for their climate change response. By comparing good-quality aerial photographs from the 1960s and recent 2020s high-resolution satellite images, it was determined by QGIS remote sensing techniques that very high percentages of the large succulents E. damarana, E. gummifera, and E. gregaria have died during the last 50 years in arid areas of Namibia. Areas like Brandberg (northern Namibia), Klein Karas (south-east), and Garub (south-west), with a high sandy-textured ground cover, have seen the loss of around 90% of E. damarana and E. gregaria and about 61% of E. gummifera in this period. This is alarming, as it could threaten the survival of several animal species adapted to feed on them, especially during droughts. This study focused on large succulent euphorbias, distinguishable in satellite images and historical photographs. It was observed that many other plant species are also severely stressed in arid sandy areas. The obtained results were ground-truthed and species identification was confirmed by the chemical analysis of remaining dead twigs using GC-MS and metabolomics. The ERA5 satellite's 2 m above-ground temperature data show a 2 °C rise in annual average noon temperatures since 1950 at the three locations analysed. Annual daily temperatures increased by 1.3 °C since 1950, exceeding the global average rise of about 1.0 °C since 1900. This suggests that euphorbias and other plants on low-water-capacity sandy soils in Namibia face greater climate change pressure than plants globally.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Asia Habitat Suitability of Troides helena Using the MaxEnt Model.
Insects, 16(1):.
Butterflies are highly sensitive to climate change, and Troides helena, as an endangered butterfly species, is also affected by these changes. To enhance the conservation of T. helena and effectively plan its protected areas, it is crucial to understand the potential impacts of climate change on its distribution. This study utilized a MaxEnt model in combination with ArcGIS technology to predict the global potential suitable habitats of T. helena under current and future climate conditions, using the species' distribution data and relevant environmental variables. The results indicated that the MaxEnt model provided a good prediction accuracy for the distribution of T. helena. Under the current climate scenario, the species is primarily distributed in tropical regions, with high suitability areas concentrated in tropical rainforest climates. In future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat areas for T. helena in medium and high suitability categories generally show an expansion trend, which increases over time. Especially under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, by the 2090s, the area of high suitability for T. helena is projected to increase by 42.85%. The analysis of key environmental factors revealed that precipitation of the wettest quarter (Bio16) was the most significant environmental factor affecting the distribution of T. helena. The species has high demands for precipitation and temperature and can adapt to future climate warming. This study is valuable for identifying the optimal conservation areas for T. helena and provides a reference for future conservation efforts.
Additional Links: PMID-39859660
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39859660,
year = {2025},
author = {Yang, F and Liu, Q and Yang, J and Liu, B and Deng, X and Gan, T and Liao, X and Li, X and Xu, D and Zhuo, Z},
title = {Evaluating the Impact of Climate Change on the Asia Habitat Suitability of Troides helena Using the MaxEnt Model.},
journal = {Insects},
volume = {16},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39859660},
issn = {2075-4450},
support = {2022YFE0115200//the National Key R&D Program of China/ ; 20A007, 20E051, 21E040 and 22kA011//Fundamental Research Funds of China West Normal University/ ; },
abstract = {Butterflies are highly sensitive to climate change, and Troides helena, as an endangered butterfly species, is also affected by these changes. To enhance the conservation of T. helena and effectively plan its protected areas, it is crucial to understand the potential impacts of climate change on its distribution. This study utilized a MaxEnt model in combination with ArcGIS technology to predict the global potential suitable habitats of T. helena under current and future climate conditions, using the species' distribution data and relevant environmental variables. The results indicated that the MaxEnt model provided a good prediction accuracy for the distribution of T. helena. Under the current climate scenario, the species is primarily distributed in tropical regions, with high suitability areas concentrated in tropical rainforest climates. In future climate scenarios, the suitable habitat areas for T. helena in medium and high suitability categories generally show an expansion trend, which increases over time. Especially under the SSP5-8.5 scenario, by the 2090s, the area of high suitability for T. helena is projected to increase by 42.85%. The analysis of key environmental factors revealed that precipitation of the wettest quarter (Bio16) was the most significant environmental factor affecting the distribution of T. helena. The species has high demands for precipitation and temperature and can adapt to future climate warming. This study is valuable for identifying the optimal conservation areas for T. helena and provides a reference for future conservation efforts.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Reeve's Muntjac (Muntiacus reevesi) Habitat Suitability Under Climate Change Scenarios in Hupingshan National Nature Reserve, China.
Animals : an open access journal from MDPI, 15(2):.
Climate change and human disturbance are critical factors affecting the habitat distribution of wild animals, with implications for management strategies such as protecting migration corridors, habitat restoration, and species conservation. In the Hupingshan National Nature Reserve (NNR), Reeve's muntjac (Muntiacus reevesi) is a key prey species for the South China tiger (Panthera tigris amoyensis), which is extinct in the wild and targeted for reintroduction by the Chinese government. Thus, understanding the habitat distribution and abundance of Reeve's muntjac is essential to ensure the survival and sustainability of reintroduced tiger populations. Despite significant conservation efforts, the impacts of climate change and human disturbance on Reeve's muntjac habitat distribution in Hupingshan NNR remain unclear, though these factors could necessitate adaptive tiger management strategies due to shifts in prey abundance. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to assess current habitat distribution and identify key environmental variables influencing the habitat distribution of Reeve's muntjac. Assuming non-climatic environmental factors will remain constant over the next century, we projected future habitat distribution under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126 and SSP585) for the mid-century (2050s) and the late-century (2090s). Comparative analyses of current and projected habitat areas revealed potential impacts of climate change on this species. MaxEnt outputs classified habitat suitability into high, medium, and low levels. Results showed that climatic and human disturbance factors contributed 35.2% and 49.4% to habitat suitability, respectively. Under the SSP126 scenario, habitats with decreased suitability covered 0 km[2] in the 2050s, expanding slightly to 4.2 km[2] in the 2090s, while those with increased suitability spanned 491.1 km[2] (2050s) and 463.2 km[2] (2090s). Under the SSP585 scenario, habitats with decreased suitability covered 10.2 km[2] in the 2050s and 431.8 km[2] in the 2090s. Habitats with increased suitability were comparatively smaller under SSP585, covering 162.0 km[2] (2050s) and 1.1 km[2] (2090s). These findings suggest that while mid-century climate projections (SSP126 and SSP585) may support Reeve's muntjac's survival, habitat loss is projected by 2090s (SSP126). Thus, future climate change may lead to decreased habitat suitability and increased fragmentation, raising extinction risks for Reeves's muntjac. Mitigating these effects could involve establishing migration corridors, minimizing human disturbances, and potentially supplementing prey populations with captive-bred prey. Such measures are essential to support the South China tiger reintroduction plan and help ensure that prey availability remains sufficient for sustaining reintroduced tiger populations.
Additional Links: PMID-39858160
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39858160,
year = {2025},
author = {Liu, Q and Ye, J and Kang, Z and Yu, G and Yang, C and Li, J and Tang, T},
title = {Reeve's Muntjac (Muntiacus reevesi) Habitat Suitability Under Climate Change Scenarios in Hupingshan National Nature Reserve, China.},
journal = {Animals : an open access journal from MDPI},
volume = {15},
number = {2},
pages = {},
pmid = {39858160},
issn = {2076-2615},
support = {22B0252//Scientific Research Project of the Education Department of Hunan Province/ ; 2022JJ31000//National Natural Science Foundation project of Hunan Province/ ; 31470642//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; 2022YFD220050//Key R&D Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China during the 14th Five-Year Plan/ ; },
abstract = {Climate change and human disturbance are critical factors affecting the habitat distribution of wild animals, with implications for management strategies such as protecting migration corridors, habitat restoration, and species conservation. In the Hupingshan National Nature Reserve (NNR), Reeve's muntjac (Muntiacus reevesi) is a key prey species for the South China tiger (Panthera tigris amoyensis), which is extinct in the wild and targeted for reintroduction by the Chinese government. Thus, understanding the habitat distribution and abundance of Reeve's muntjac is essential to ensure the survival and sustainability of reintroduced tiger populations. Despite significant conservation efforts, the impacts of climate change and human disturbance on Reeve's muntjac habitat distribution in Hupingshan NNR remain unclear, though these factors could necessitate adaptive tiger management strategies due to shifts in prey abundance. In this study, we employed an optimized MaxEnt model to assess current habitat distribution and identify key environmental variables influencing the habitat distribution of Reeve's muntjac. Assuming non-climatic environmental factors will remain constant over the next century, we projected future habitat distribution under two shared socioeconomic pathways (SSP126 and SSP585) for the mid-century (2050s) and the late-century (2090s). Comparative analyses of current and projected habitat areas revealed potential impacts of climate change on this species. MaxEnt outputs classified habitat suitability into high, medium, and low levels. Results showed that climatic and human disturbance factors contributed 35.2% and 49.4% to habitat suitability, respectively. Under the SSP126 scenario, habitats with decreased suitability covered 0 km[2] in the 2050s, expanding slightly to 4.2 km[2] in the 2090s, while those with increased suitability spanned 491.1 km[2] (2050s) and 463.2 km[2] (2090s). Under the SSP585 scenario, habitats with decreased suitability covered 10.2 km[2] in the 2050s and 431.8 km[2] in the 2090s. Habitats with increased suitability were comparatively smaller under SSP585, covering 162.0 km[2] (2050s) and 1.1 km[2] (2090s). These findings suggest that while mid-century climate projections (SSP126 and SSP585) may support Reeve's muntjac's survival, habitat loss is projected by 2090s (SSP126). Thus, future climate change may lead to decreased habitat suitability and increased fragmentation, raising extinction risks for Reeves's muntjac. Mitigating these effects could involve establishing migration corridors, minimizing human disturbances, and potentially supplementing prey populations with captive-bred prey. Such measures are essential to support the South China tiger reintroduction plan and help ensure that prey availability remains sufficient for sustaining reintroduced tiger populations.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-27
CmpDate: 2025-01-25
Climate Change and Health: A Study of the Attitudes of Future Science Teachers.
International journal of environmental research and public health, 22(1):.
Living beings as open systems depend on climate and weather to survive. However, changes in the Earth's climatology, which have become more frequent since the industrial period, have affected different territories of the planet, limiting access to ecosystem services and causing imbalances in health and well-being. The first purpose of this study is to conduct a literature review on academic production regarding climate change and its impact on health, in the context of education, using international academic production condensed in the Web of Science (WOS) database over the last 10 years as a reference. The second purpose focuses on identifying the environmental attitudes of science teachers in initial training regarding aspects related to climate change. The study results show three categories emerging from the literature review: Climate Change and Health, Nature and Risks, and Environment and Energy. For the analysis of environmental attitudes, a survey was conducted with 51 pre-service teachers, consisting of 59 items distributed in five categories: (a) environment, (b) climate change, (c) health, (d) education, and (e) lifestyle. Although the results reveal a positive attitude towards all analyzed categories, it is important to advance effective mitigation and adaptation strategies from the teacher training processes themselves.
Additional Links: PMID-39857460
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39857460,
year = {2024},
author = {Pérez-Mesa, MR and Porras-Contreras, YA and Tuay-Sigua, RN},
title = {Climate Change and Health: A Study of the Attitudes of Future Science Teachers.},
journal = {International journal of environmental research and public health},
volume = {22},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39857460},
issn = {1660-4601},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Attitude ; Female ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Male ; Adult ; Middle Aged ; Environmental Health/education ; },
abstract = {Living beings as open systems depend on climate and weather to survive. However, changes in the Earth's climatology, which have become more frequent since the industrial period, have affected different territories of the planet, limiting access to ecosystem services and causing imbalances in health and well-being. The first purpose of this study is to conduct a literature review on academic production regarding climate change and its impact on health, in the context of education, using international academic production condensed in the Web of Science (WOS) database over the last 10 years as a reference. The second purpose focuses on identifying the environmental attitudes of science teachers in initial training regarding aspects related to climate change. The study results show three categories emerging from the literature review: Climate Change and Health, Nature and Risks, and Environment and Energy. For the analysis of environmental attitudes, a survey was conducted with 51 pre-service teachers, consisting of 59 items distributed in five categories: (a) environment, (b) climate change, (c) health, (d) education, and (e) lifestyle. Although the results reveal a positive attitude towards all analyzed categories, it is important to advance effective mitigation and adaptation strategies from the teacher training processes themselves.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
*Attitude
Female
Surveys and Questionnaires
Male
Adult
Middle Aged
Environmental Health/education
RevDate: 2025-01-27
Do Endangered Glacial Relicts Have a Chance for Effective Conservation in the Age of Global Warming? A Case Study: Salix lapponum in Eastern Poland.
Biology, 14(1):.
The abiotic stresses to which plants are exposed, especially in times of climate change, can result in the disruption of natural plant physiological processes. Sudden atmospheric phenomena may increase the risk of failure in protecting rare and extinction-threatened plant species by translocation. This study aimed to determine the effect of extreme ambient temperatures on the condition and physiological response of Salix lapponum plantlets used for their reintroduction into the natural habitat. Salix lapponum plants obtained by micropropagation methods at different stages of growth under laboratory conditions were subjected to a biological experiment. Plants were exposed for 12 h to temperature extremes (0 °C and 30 °C), after which the values of selected markers of the biochemical response were determined, such as photosynthetic pigments and anthocyanin content, guaiacol peroxidase and catalase activity, the presence of ROS and the RWC value. The study showed that plants at early growth stages were sensitive to low-temperature stress. In contrast, older ones showed a stronger response to high temperature, marked by an increased anthocyanin content and guaiacol peroxidase activity. It was also found that a short exposure to temperature extremes did not change the photosynthetic pigment content or catalase activity. The results of the study may be an important indication for the optimization of plant acclimatization methods in the process of their active protection by species translocation.
Additional Links: PMID-39857250
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39857250,
year = {2024},
author = {Arciszewski, M and Pogorzelec, M and Parzymies, M and Bronowicka-Mielniczuk, U and Mieczan, T},
title = {Do Endangered Glacial Relicts Have a Chance for Effective Conservation in the Age of Global Warming? A Case Study: Salix lapponum in Eastern Poland.},
journal = {Biology},
volume = {14},
number = {1},
pages = {},
pmid = {39857250},
issn = {2079-7737},
support = {SD.WLH.24.074//University of Life Sciences in Lublin/ ; },
abstract = {The abiotic stresses to which plants are exposed, especially in times of climate change, can result in the disruption of natural plant physiological processes. Sudden atmospheric phenomena may increase the risk of failure in protecting rare and extinction-threatened plant species by translocation. This study aimed to determine the effect of extreme ambient temperatures on the condition and physiological response of Salix lapponum plantlets used for their reintroduction into the natural habitat. Salix lapponum plants obtained by micropropagation methods at different stages of growth under laboratory conditions were subjected to a biological experiment. Plants were exposed for 12 h to temperature extremes (0 °C and 30 °C), after which the values of selected markers of the biochemical response were determined, such as photosynthetic pigments and anthocyanin content, guaiacol peroxidase and catalase activity, the presence of ROS and the RWC value. The study showed that plants at early growth stages were sensitive to low-temperature stress. In contrast, older ones showed a stronger response to high temperature, marked by an increased anthocyanin content and guaiacol peroxidase activity. It was also found that a short exposure to temperature extremes did not change the photosynthetic pigment content or catalase activity. The results of the study may be an important indication for the optimization of plant acclimatization methods in the process of their active protection by species translocation.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-24
Effects of naked neck and frizzle genes on growth and egg-laying performance of chickens in the tropics in an era of climate change.
International journal of biometeorology [Epub ahead of print].
In regions characterized by tropical and subtropical climates, the elevated ambient temperatures exert adverse effects on both broiler and laying chickens, impacting their growth and egg production performance. To mitigate the challenges posed by heat stress, genetic strategies aimed at reducing feather coverage have gained prominence in hot climate areas. Among these approaches, the naked neck (Na) and frizzle (F) genes have emerged as particularly noteworthy. The Na and F genes play a pivotal role in facilitating heat dissipation and temperature regulation. By decreasing feather insulation, these genes enable efficient heat dissipation through exposed areas of the chickens' bodies. This reduction in feather coverage leads to elevated body surface temperature, which, in turn, enhances the capacity for heat loss and contributes to overall body temperature reduction. A substantial body of literature underscores the well-established positive impacts of the naked neck and frizzle genes on growth and egg-laying performance. As a result, these genes hold significant potential for integration into broiler and layer production systems, especially in regions characterized by high tropical temperatures. In the context of broiler farming under challenging heat conditions, the Na and F genes have demonstrated favorable effects on crucial parameters such as feed conversion ratio, body weight gain, disease resistance, and carcass attributes. Likewise, layers exposed to elevated temperatures exhibit enhanced egg production, eggshell quality, fertility, hatchability, and resistance to diseases when these genes are incorporated. Given that the prevalence of the naked neck and frizzle genes is primarily observed in indigenous chicken populations, it becomes imperative to prioritize measures for their conservation due to their exceptional performance in heat-stressed environments. To unlock the full genetic potential of exotic poultry reared in hot and humid conditions, the integration of the Na and F genes is a strongly recommended strategy.
Additional Links: PMID-39856460
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39856460,
year = {2025},
author = {Adomako, K and Asamoah, L},
title = {Effects of naked neck and frizzle genes on growth and egg-laying performance of chickens in the tropics in an era of climate change.},
journal = {International journal of biometeorology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39856460},
issn = {1432-1254},
abstract = {In regions characterized by tropical and subtropical climates, the elevated ambient temperatures exert adverse effects on both broiler and laying chickens, impacting their growth and egg production performance. To mitigate the challenges posed by heat stress, genetic strategies aimed at reducing feather coverage have gained prominence in hot climate areas. Among these approaches, the naked neck (Na) and frizzle (F) genes have emerged as particularly noteworthy. The Na and F genes play a pivotal role in facilitating heat dissipation and temperature regulation. By decreasing feather insulation, these genes enable efficient heat dissipation through exposed areas of the chickens' bodies. This reduction in feather coverage leads to elevated body surface temperature, which, in turn, enhances the capacity for heat loss and contributes to overall body temperature reduction. A substantial body of literature underscores the well-established positive impacts of the naked neck and frizzle genes on growth and egg-laying performance. As a result, these genes hold significant potential for integration into broiler and layer production systems, especially in regions characterized by high tropical temperatures. In the context of broiler farming under challenging heat conditions, the Na and F genes have demonstrated favorable effects on crucial parameters such as feed conversion ratio, body weight gain, disease resistance, and carcass attributes. Likewise, layers exposed to elevated temperatures exhibit enhanced egg production, eggshell quality, fertility, hatchability, and resistance to diseases when these genes are incorporated. Given that the prevalence of the naked neck and frizzle genes is primarily observed in indigenous chicken populations, it becomes imperative to prioritize measures for their conservation due to their exceptional performance in heat-stressed environments. To unlock the full genetic potential of exotic poultry reared in hot and humid conditions, the integration of the Na and F genes is a strongly recommended strategy.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-24
Housing conditions and the health and wellbeing impacts of climate change: a scoping review.
Environmental research pii:S0013-9351(25)00097-0 [Epub ahead of print].
Housing conditions are emerging as an important consideration in climate change adaptation. Housing modifications have the potential to improve health outcomes by reducing exposure to changing weather conditions and extreme events. This scoping review aimed to explore the existing evidence examining the contribution of housing conditions to the impacts of climate change on health and identify any research gaps. Literature searches were conducted in Scopus and PubMed from January 2013 to September 2023 and data were analysed using thematic analysis. The review included 38 articles consisting of original studies, reviews, and reports, with broad geographical coverage. The most common focus among included articles was on heat-health impacts; housing conditions found to improve heat-health health outcomes included air conditioning, ventilation, and window shading, and there was support for multifaceted housing adaptations rather than single fixes. Ventilation was found to be a priority for improving indoor air quality, while inappropriate insulation and excessive air tightness were found to increase indoor heat and reduce indoor air quality. The scoping review reveals a need for more empirical and qualitative research into indoor heat in homes, climate change hazards other than heat, and intervention studies to inform climate change adaptation policies around housing and improve public health outcomes.
Additional Links: PMID-39855413
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39855413,
year = {2025},
author = {Cartwright, A and Khalatbari-Soltani, S and Zhang, Y},
title = {Housing conditions and the health and wellbeing impacts of climate change: a scoping review.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {120846},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.120846},
pmid = {39855413},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {Housing conditions are emerging as an important consideration in climate change adaptation. Housing modifications have the potential to improve health outcomes by reducing exposure to changing weather conditions and extreme events. This scoping review aimed to explore the existing evidence examining the contribution of housing conditions to the impacts of climate change on health and identify any research gaps. Literature searches were conducted in Scopus and PubMed from January 2013 to September 2023 and data were analysed using thematic analysis. The review included 38 articles consisting of original studies, reviews, and reports, with broad geographical coverage. The most common focus among included articles was on heat-health impacts; housing conditions found to improve heat-health health outcomes included air conditioning, ventilation, and window shading, and there was support for multifaceted housing adaptations rather than single fixes. Ventilation was found to be a priority for improving indoor air quality, while inappropriate insulation and excessive air tightness were found to increase indoor heat and reduce indoor air quality. The scoping review reveals a need for more empirical and qualitative research into indoor heat in homes, climate change hazards other than heat, and intervention studies to inform climate change adaptation policies around housing and improve public health outcomes.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-24
CmpDate: 2025-01-24
Communicating with policy makers about climate change, health, and their intersection: a scoping review.
The Lancet. Planetary health, 9(1):e53-e61.
Ambitious policies are urgently needed to protect human health from the impacts of climate change. Civil society, including researchers and advocates, can help advance such policies by communicating with policy makers. In this scoping review, we examined what is known about effectively communicating with policy makers to encourage them to act on public health, climate change, or their nexus. We analysed 139 studies published in the literature on health, climate, and their intersection that focused on strategies for communicating with policy makers. Among many other recommendations, the most frequently recommended communication strategies were to tailor messaging to target audiences; share accessible, concise, and timely evidence; and build coalitions and trusted relationships. The studies were largely about health communication to policy makers, were predominantly based in high-income countries, and most frequently used case studies, interviews, and surveys as methods. Further experimental research is needed to test the findings generated by non-experimental methods. Additionally, future research should seek to generate and test communication strategies in more low-income and middle-income countries. Based on this literature, we have produced a list of strategic questions that communicators might wish to consider as they prepare to communicate with policy makers.
Additional Links: PMID-39855234
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39855234,
year = {2025},
author = {Ettinger, J and Fine, J and Thier, K and Badullovich, N and Kotcher, J and Maibach, E},
title = {Communicating with policy makers about climate change, health, and their intersection: a scoping review.},
journal = {The Lancet. Planetary health},
volume = {9},
number = {1},
pages = {e53-e61},
doi = {10.1016/S2542-5196(24)00307-3},
pmid = {39855234},
issn = {2542-5196},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Communication ; Administrative Personnel ; Public Health ; Health Policy ; },
abstract = {Ambitious policies are urgently needed to protect human health from the impacts of climate change. Civil society, including researchers and advocates, can help advance such policies by communicating with policy makers. In this scoping review, we examined what is known about effectively communicating with policy makers to encourage them to act on public health, climate change, or their nexus. We analysed 139 studies published in the literature on health, climate, and their intersection that focused on strategies for communicating with policy makers. Among many other recommendations, the most frequently recommended communication strategies were to tailor messaging to target audiences; share accessible, concise, and timely evidence; and build coalitions and trusted relationships. The studies were largely about health communication to policy makers, were predominantly based in high-income countries, and most frequently used case studies, interviews, and surveys as methods. Further experimental research is needed to test the findings generated by non-experimental methods. Additionally, future research should seek to generate and test communication strategies in more low-income and middle-income countries. Based on this literature, we have produced a list of strategic questions that communicators might wish to consider as they prepare to communicate with policy makers.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
*Communication
Administrative Personnel
Public Health
Health Policy
RevDate: 2025-01-27
CmpDate: 2025-01-24
The impact of climate change on Korea's agricultural sector under the national self-sufficiency policy.
PloS one, 20(1):e0313748.
Evolving environmental conditions due to climate change have brought about changes in agriculture, which is required for human life as both a source of food and income. International trade can act as a buffer against potential negative impacts of climate change on crop yields, but recent years have seen breakdowns in global trade, including export bans to improve domestic food security. For countries that rely heavily on imported food, governments may institute policies to protect their agricultural industry from changes in climate-induced crop yield changes and other countries' potential trade restrictions. This study assesses the individual and combined effects of climate impacts and food self-sufficiency policies in Korea, which is highly dependent on imports. We use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), a global integrated assessment model, to explore (1) the direct impact of climate change on Korea's agricultural yields, (2) the full impacts of global climate change on agricultural production, including trade-induced changes due to yield changes in other regions, (3) the impacts of food self-sufficiency policy, and (4) the interactive impact of climate change and self-sufficiency policies. We find that, in Korea, the direct impact of climate change on agricultural yields would be overshadowed by the impact of global climate change due to changing trade patterns. Second, global climate change leads to a rise (rice and wheat) or a decline (soybeans) in Korean producer revenues, while simultaneously raising consumer expenditures on both staples and non-staples. Third, implementing self-sufficiency policies for wheat and soybeans in Korea boosts the nation's producer revenues, in conjunction with the effects of climate change, at the cost of additional increases in consumer expenditures for both staples and non-staples.
Additional Links: PMID-39854609
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39854609,
year = {2025},
author = {Kim, S and Eom, J and Zhang, Y and Waldhoff, S},
title = {The impact of climate change on Korea's agricultural sector under the national self-sufficiency policy.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0313748},
pmid = {39854609},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Republic of Korea ; *Agriculture/economics ; *Food Supply/economics ; Crops, Agricultural/economics/growth & development ; Humans ; Commerce ; Food Security ; },
abstract = {Evolving environmental conditions due to climate change have brought about changes in agriculture, which is required for human life as both a source of food and income. International trade can act as a buffer against potential negative impacts of climate change on crop yields, but recent years have seen breakdowns in global trade, including export bans to improve domestic food security. For countries that rely heavily on imported food, governments may institute policies to protect their agricultural industry from changes in climate-induced crop yield changes and other countries' potential trade restrictions. This study assesses the individual and combined effects of climate impacts and food self-sufficiency policies in Korea, which is highly dependent on imports. We use the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), a global integrated assessment model, to explore (1) the direct impact of climate change on Korea's agricultural yields, (2) the full impacts of global climate change on agricultural production, including trade-induced changes due to yield changes in other regions, (3) the impacts of food self-sufficiency policy, and (4) the interactive impact of climate change and self-sufficiency policies. We find that, in Korea, the direct impact of climate change on agricultural yields would be overshadowed by the impact of global climate change due to changing trade patterns. Second, global climate change leads to a rise (rice and wheat) or a decline (soybeans) in Korean producer revenues, while simultaneously raising consumer expenditures on both staples and non-staples. Third, implementing self-sufficiency policies for wheat and soybeans in Korea boosts the nation's producer revenues, in conjunction with the effects of climate change, at the cost of additional increases in consumer expenditures for both staples and non-staples.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Republic of Korea
*Agriculture/economics
*Food Supply/economics
Crops, Agricultural/economics/growth & development
Humans
Commerce
Food Security
RevDate: 2025-01-24
CmpDate: 2025-01-24
Analysis of agricultural land condition in Western Kazakhstan from 1991 to 2023: the impact of climate change.
Environmental monitoring and assessment, 197(2):186.
Kazakhstan's insufficient food production contributes to its dependency on food imports, highlighting the need for science-based technologies to address land degradation and boost domestic production. The privatisation of land and the establishment of a market economy led to the division of collective farms and significant land fragmentation, resulting in a reduction of agricultural land by 10.6 million ha in the West Kazakhstan region, particularly between 1991 and 2000. Desertification and soil degradation have led to decreased soil fertility, adversely affecting the agricultural industry. Over the last 30 years, the area of eroded soils has increased by 5-9%. As of 2022, over 16.7% of agricultural land remains unused, a substantial rise from 1991. This study aims to investigate the qualitative and quantitative transformations of agricultural land in the region over the past three decades and to assess the impact of climate change on land degradation processes. To achieve this, cartographic analysis of NDVI3g (Global Inventory Monitoring and Modelling System [GIMMS]) data for 1990-2022 was conducted, employing linear ordinary least squares and median Theil-Sen trend methods to identify long-term vegetation trends. The results showed a negative trend in agricultural lands with a decline rate of 0.0025 per year (P = 0.009). However, in the past 13 years, a positive trend was observed in only three regions, with an average increase of 0.007 per year (P = 0.03). These findings are statistically significant and highlight the growing impact of climatic factors on agricultural and natural ecosystems.
Additional Links: PMID-39853405
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39853405,
year = {2025},
author = {Tokbergenova, A and Kaliyeva, D and Askarova, M and Taukebayev, O and Salmurzauli, R and Zulpykharov, K},
title = {Analysis of agricultural land condition in Western Kazakhstan from 1991 to 2023: the impact of climate change.},
journal = {Environmental monitoring and assessment},
volume = {197},
number = {2},
pages = {186},
pmid = {39853405},
issn = {1573-2959},
support = {№AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; №AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; №AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; №AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; №AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; №AP14871372//Science Committee of the Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Republic of Kazakhstan/ ; },
mesh = {Kazakhstan ; *Climate Change ; *Agriculture ; *Environmental Monitoring ; Soil/chemistry ; Conservation of Natural Resources ; },
abstract = {Kazakhstan's insufficient food production contributes to its dependency on food imports, highlighting the need for science-based technologies to address land degradation and boost domestic production. The privatisation of land and the establishment of a market economy led to the division of collective farms and significant land fragmentation, resulting in a reduction of agricultural land by 10.6 million ha in the West Kazakhstan region, particularly between 1991 and 2000. Desertification and soil degradation have led to decreased soil fertility, adversely affecting the agricultural industry. Over the last 30 years, the area of eroded soils has increased by 5-9%. As of 2022, over 16.7% of agricultural land remains unused, a substantial rise from 1991. This study aims to investigate the qualitative and quantitative transformations of agricultural land in the region over the past three decades and to assess the impact of climate change on land degradation processes. To achieve this, cartographic analysis of NDVI3g (Global Inventory Monitoring and Modelling System [GIMMS]) data for 1990-2022 was conducted, employing linear ordinary least squares and median Theil-Sen trend methods to identify long-term vegetation trends. The results showed a negative trend in agricultural lands with a decline rate of 0.0025 per year (P = 0.009). However, in the past 13 years, a positive trend was observed in only three regions, with an average increase of 0.007 per year (P = 0.03). These findings are statistically significant and highlight the growing impact of climatic factors on agricultural and natural ecosystems.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Kazakhstan
*Climate Change
*Agriculture
*Environmental Monitoring
Soil/chemistry
Conservation of Natural Resources
RevDate: 2025-01-25
Contesting crisis narratives amidst climatic breakdown: Climate change, mobility, and state-centric approaches to migration.
Frontiers in sociology, 9:1411683.
Human mobility in the context of climate change is often identified as one of the largest future impacts of the climate crisis. It is often assumed by international institutions and national governments that climate change will drive mass migration movements across borders, leading to a prioritization of research that aims to predict future climate migration to aid border security and the creation of migration policies. This article focuses on knowledge production research concerning around climate-related mobility and how knowledge being produced upholds state-centric approaches to migration and migration management. It argues that by leaving state-centric approaches to migration unquestioned in the name of managing climate-related mobility, national governments and other institutions reproduce inequalities for those who are in the nexus of migration and climate change. This article considers alternative conceptions of mobility and climate change, including the climate mobilities paradigm and decolonial understandings of migration, and how these can shift our analytical focus to more holistic and decolonial understandings of migration.
Additional Links: PMID-39850029
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39850029,
year = {2024},
author = {Sim-Sarka, K},
title = {Contesting crisis narratives amidst climatic breakdown: Climate change, mobility, and state-centric approaches to migration.},
journal = {Frontiers in sociology},
volume = {9},
number = {},
pages = {1411683},
pmid = {39850029},
issn = {2297-7775},
abstract = {Human mobility in the context of climate change is often identified as one of the largest future impacts of the climate crisis. It is often assumed by international institutions and national governments that climate change will drive mass migration movements across borders, leading to a prioritization of research that aims to predict future climate migration to aid border security and the creation of migration policies. This article focuses on knowledge production research concerning around climate-related mobility and how knowledge being produced upholds state-centric approaches to migration and migration management. It argues that by leaving state-centric approaches to migration unquestioned in the name of managing climate-related mobility, national governments and other institutions reproduce inequalities for those who are in the nexus of migration and climate change. This article considers alternative conceptions of mobility and climate change, including the climate mobilities paradigm and decolonial understandings of migration, and how these can shift our analytical focus to more holistic and decolonial understandings of migration.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-23
CmpDate: 2025-01-23
How climate change is shaping young people's health: a participatory, youth co-led study from Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria.
BMJ global health, 10(1): pii:bmjgh-2024-016788.
INTRODUCTION: Climate change is shaping adolescent and young people's (AYP) transitions to adulthood with significant and often compounding effects on their physical and mental health. The climate crisis is an intergenerational inequity, with the current generation of young people exposed to more climate events over their lifetime than any previous one. Despite this injustice, research and policy to date lacks AYP's perspectives and active engagement.
METHODS: Participatory, youth co-led qualitative focus group discussions were held in Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria in mid-2023. A total of 196 AYP ages 12-25 years participated. Open-ended questions elicited responses regarding AYP knowledge, experiences and perceptions of climate change. Using NVivo software, translated transcripts were coded to explore and synthesise key thematic areas.
RESULTS: Respondents discussed varied climate exposures and associated health risks, for example, how flooding events were impeding access to sexual and reproductive health commodities. Acute climate events like flooding and cyclones increased perceived risk of early marriage and gender-based violence in Bangladesh and Guatemala. In Nigeria, respondents discussed health effects of extreme heat, and how droughts were shifting women into more traditionally male roles in agriculture and income-generating activities, increasing the perceived risk of household tensions and gender-based violence. Commonly reported themes included perceived climate impacts on sexual and reproductive health including early marriage or gender-based violence. Another common theme was anxiety about climate change, its effects on economic and food insecurity in communities and feeling hopeless, lacking agency and not feeling supported by local institutions, all linked with worse mental health.
CONCLUSION: Our results summarise how AYP perceive climate change is affecting their physical and mental health, finding similarities and differences across these three settings. Our results can inform the development of policies and programmes that directly address AYP needs in a way that is inclusive and responsive.
Additional Links: PMID-39848795
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39848795,
year = {2025},
author = {Pinchoff, J and Etetim, EO and Babatunde, D and Blomstrom, E and Ainul, S and Akomolafe, TO and Medina Carranza, B and Del Valle, A and Austrian, K},
title = {How climate change is shaping young people's health: a participatory, youth co-led study from Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria.},
journal = {BMJ global health},
volume = {10},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjgh-2024-016788},
pmid = {39848795},
issn = {2059-7908},
mesh = {Humans ; *Climate Change ; Adolescent ; Nigeria ; Female ; Male ; Young Adult ; Bangladesh ; Guatemala ; Adult ; Child ; *Focus Groups ; Qualitative Research ; },
abstract = {INTRODUCTION: Climate change is shaping adolescent and young people's (AYP) transitions to adulthood with significant and often compounding effects on their physical and mental health. The climate crisis is an intergenerational inequity, with the current generation of young people exposed to more climate events over their lifetime than any previous one. Despite this injustice, research and policy to date lacks AYP's perspectives and active engagement.
METHODS: Participatory, youth co-led qualitative focus group discussions were held in Bangladesh, Guatemala and Nigeria in mid-2023. A total of 196 AYP ages 12-25 years participated. Open-ended questions elicited responses regarding AYP knowledge, experiences and perceptions of climate change. Using NVivo software, translated transcripts were coded to explore and synthesise key thematic areas.
RESULTS: Respondents discussed varied climate exposures and associated health risks, for example, how flooding events were impeding access to sexual and reproductive health commodities. Acute climate events like flooding and cyclones increased perceived risk of early marriage and gender-based violence in Bangladesh and Guatemala. In Nigeria, respondents discussed health effects of extreme heat, and how droughts were shifting women into more traditionally male roles in agriculture and income-generating activities, increasing the perceived risk of household tensions and gender-based violence. Commonly reported themes included perceived climate impacts on sexual and reproductive health including early marriage or gender-based violence. Another common theme was anxiety about climate change, its effects on economic and food insecurity in communities and feeling hopeless, lacking agency and not feeling supported by local institutions, all linked with worse mental health.
CONCLUSION: Our results summarise how AYP perceive climate change is affecting their physical and mental health, finding similarities and differences across these three settings. Our results can inform the development of policies and programmes that directly address AYP needs in a way that is inclusive and responsive.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
*Climate Change
Adolescent
Nigeria
Female
Male
Young Adult
Bangladesh
Guatemala
Adult
Child
*Focus Groups
Qualitative Research
RevDate: 2025-01-23
Assessing the potential effects of climate change on the morphodynamics of the tropical coral reef islands in the Gulf of Mannar, Indian Ocean.
Journal of environmental management, 375:124122 pii:S0301-4797(25)00098-2 [Epub ahead of print].
Low-lying and small tropical coral reef islands around the world are extremely vulnerable to the effects of global environmental change caused by the combination of anthropogenic climate change and escalating extreme hydrodynamic events. Erosion and inundation are anticipated to physically destabilize the tropical coral reef islands, rendering them uninhabitable within the next century. Therefore, it is crucial to assess the repercussions of these hazardous events on the delicate reef island ecosystem in order to conserve and ensure sustainable management. Multitemporal remotely sensed Landsat satellite imageries were utilized to investigate the net and decadal morphological transformation of tropical coral reef islands in the Gulf of Mannar, Indian Ocean. Over the past half-century, these islands have consistently adapted to global environmental changes, even while local sea levels rise at a rate of 3.38 mm per year. Advanced statistical techniques, such as net shoreline movement (NSM), end point rate (EPR), and linear regression rate (LRR), were employed for estimating the shoreline change rate using a Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS). In addition, the GIS-based overlay analysis methods were applied to examine the net and decadal areal (planform) changes and also utilized for estimating the inundation trajectories of reef islands under the sea level rise scenarios of 1 m and 2 m. Furthermore, time series analysis was performed to analyze the variability of critical climate-induced factors using archived reanalysis oceanographic data. In addition, linear and polynomial statistical techniques were applied to investigate the driving factors behind the coral reef island morphological transition. The findings show that two islands have already disappeared, while others have experienced a dramatic reduction in their footprint. Approximately 62.64% of the shoreline experienced significant erosion, while 36.91% witnessed gradual accretion. The Tuticorin group confronted the severe reduction in island footprint, with a significant decrease of 83.04%, followed by Keelakarai groups (33.35%), Mandapam groups (29.60%), Vembar groups (28.14%), and Rameswaram islands (3.43%). The study also predicts that the island footprint could submerge in an area of 627.30 ha and 1284.21 ha within the next century, with an expected sea level rise (SLR) of 1 m and 2 m, respectively. The study emphasizes that the combination of human-induced factors and regional coastal processes such as sea level rise and swells are the key drivers engendering the stress on the physical resilience of the coral reef islands. Urgent and continual monitoring of the reef islands is crucial for a better understanding of their dynamic trajectories and for developing nature-based solutions to catastrophic erosion. These nature-based solutions (NbS) for minimizing island erosion are initiatives that use natural ecosystems to safeguard islands while enhancing biodiversity, climate resilience, and community livelihoods. The interactions between nature-based solutions (NbS) for combating erosion, reef island resilience, and Sustainable Development Goals are evaluated based on the positive correlation, our expert knowledge, and Griggs et al.'s 2017 seven-point scale framework. The outcomes of this study may provide comprehensive insights to decision-makers and administrators for formulating and implementing policies for long-term resilience building and sustainable island management.
Additional Links: PMID-39848183
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39848183,
year = {2025},
author = {Hossain, SA and Murali R, M},
title = {Assessing the potential effects of climate change on the morphodynamics of the tropical coral reef islands in the Gulf of Mannar, Indian Ocean.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {375},
number = {},
pages = {124122},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124122},
pmid = {39848183},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {Low-lying and small tropical coral reef islands around the world are extremely vulnerable to the effects of global environmental change caused by the combination of anthropogenic climate change and escalating extreme hydrodynamic events. Erosion and inundation are anticipated to physically destabilize the tropical coral reef islands, rendering them uninhabitable within the next century. Therefore, it is crucial to assess the repercussions of these hazardous events on the delicate reef island ecosystem in order to conserve and ensure sustainable management. Multitemporal remotely sensed Landsat satellite imageries were utilized to investigate the net and decadal morphological transformation of tropical coral reef islands in the Gulf of Mannar, Indian Ocean. Over the past half-century, these islands have consistently adapted to global environmental changes, even while local sea levels rise at a rate of 3.38 mm per year. Advanced statistical techniques, such as net shoreline movement (NSM), end point rate (EPR), and linear regression rate (LRR), were employed for estimating the shoreline change rate using a Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS). In addition, the GIS-based overlay analysis methods were applied to examine the net and decadal areal (planform) changes and also utilized for estimating the inundation trajectories of reef islands under the sea level rise scenarios of 1 m and 2 m. Furthermore, time series analysis was performed to analyze the variability of critical climate-induced factors using archived reanalysis oceanographic data. In addition, linear and polynomial statistical techniques were applied to investigate the driving factors behind the coral reef island morphological transition. The findings show that two islands have already disappeared, while others have experienced a dramatic reduction in their footprint. Approximately 62.64% of the shoreline experienced significant erosion, while 36.91% witnessed gradual accretion. The Tuticorin group confronted the severe reduction in island footprint, with a significant decrease of 83.04%, followed by Keelakarai groups (33.35%), Mandapam groups (29.60%), Vembar groups (28.14%), and Rameswaram islands (3.43%). The study also predicts that the island footprint could submerge in an area of 627.30 ha and 1284.21 ha within the next century, with an expected sea level rise (SLR) of 1 m and 2 m, respectively. The study emphasizes that the combination of human-induced factors and regional coastal processes such as sea level rise and swells are the key drivers engendering the stress on the physical resilience of the coral reef islands. Urgent and continual monitoring of the reef islands is crucial for a better understanding of their dynamic trajectories and for developing nature-based solutions to catastrophic erosion. These nature-based solutions (NbS) for minimizing island erosion are initiatives that use natural ecosystems to safeguard islands while enhancing biodiversity, climate resilience, and community livelihoods. The interactions between nature-based solutions (NbS) for combating erosion, reef island resilience, and Sustainable Development Goals are evaluated based on the positive correlation, our expert knowledge, and Griggs et al.'s 2017 seven-point scale framework. The outcomes of this study may provide comprehensive insights to decision-makers and administrators for formulating and implementing policies for long-term resilience building and sustainable island management.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-23
CmpDate: 2025-01-23
Role of micronutrients in production and reproduction of farm animals under climate change scenario.
Tropical animal health and production, 57(2):31.
Climate change poses significant challenges to livestock production worldwide. Wherein, it affects communities in developing nations primarily dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry. Its direct and indirect deleterious effects on agriculture and animal husbandry includes aberrant changes in weather patterns resulting in disturbed homeorhetic mechanism of livestock vis a vis indirectly affecting nutrient composition of feed and fodder. The nutritional stress (i.e. non-availability of nutrients in the required quantity and quality for particular livestock) is the critical factor affecting livestock performance, productivity, and reproductive efficiency. Nutritional stress may arise from both macro- and micro- nutrient imbalances; however, micronutrients are of paramount importance in climate change context due to their role in various vital functions of body namely, body metabolism, production, reproduction, and health. The micronutrients, minerals and vitamins, when supplied in adequate quantity and proportion aid in mitigating the stress induced by climate change on animals. Here, we tried to discuss the impact of climate change induced stresses on milk production, reproduction, and metabolic acclimation of heat-stressed animals. Furthermore, emphasis is given on the importance of dietary micronutrients management strategies to support livestock health and resilience during changing climatic conditions. By addressing the nutritional needs of livestock, farmers can achieve sustainability and well-being in livestock production under changing climatic condition.
Additional Links: PMID-39847235
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39847235,
year = {2025},
author = {Rathod, AK and Somagond, YM and E, L and Kumar, A and K K, K and Nikhil, KC and Jadhav, SE and Aderao, GN},
title = {Role of micronutrients in production and reproduction of farm animals under climate change scenario.},
journal = {Tropical animal health and production},
volume = {57},
number = {2},
pages = {31},
pmid = {39847235},
issn = {1573-7438},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Micronutrients/analysis/administration & dosage ; *Livestock/physiology ; *Reproduction/physiology ; Animal Husbandry/methods ; Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena ; Animal Feed/analysis ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses significant challenges to livestock production worldwide. Wherein, it affects communities in developing nations primarily dependent on agriculture and animal husbandry. Its direct and indirect deleterious effects on agriculture and animal husbandry includes aberrant changes in weather patterns resulting in disturbed homeorhetic mechanism of livestock vis a vis indirectly affecting nutrient composition of feed and fodder. The nutritional stress (i.e. non-availability of nutrients in the required quantity and quality for particular livestock) is the critical factor affecting livestock performance, productivity, and reproductive efficiency. Nutritional stress may arise from both macro- and micro- nutrient imbalances; however, micronutrients are of paramount importance in climate change context due to their role in various vital functions of body namely, body metabolism, production, reproduction, and health. The micronutrients, minerals and vitamins, when supplied in adequate quantity and proportion aid in mitigating the stress induced by climate change on animals. Here, we tried to discuss the impact of climate change induced stresses on milk production, reproduction, and metabolic acclimation of heat-stressed animals. Furthermore, emphasis is given on the importance of dietary micronutrients management strategies to support livestock health and resilience during changing climatic conditions. By addressing the nutritional needs of livestock, farmers can achieve sustainability and well-being in livestock production under changing climatic condition.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Climate Change
*Micronutrients/analysis/administration & dosage
*Livestock/physiology
*Reproduction/physiology
Animal Husbandry/methods
Animal Nutritional Physiological Phenomena
Animal Feed/analysis
RevDate: 2025-01-24
CmpDate: 2025-01-23
Climate change and suicide epidemiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis of gender variations in global suicide rates.
Frontiers in public health, 12:1463676.
BACKGROUND: Climate change is reshaping public health, introducing extreme weather conditions and environmental stressors-such as high temperatures, atmospheric pollution, desertification, and storms (rain, thunder, and hail)-that critically impact mental health. Evidence increasingly links these factors to higher rates of suicide-related outcomes, including suicidal ideation, attempts, and self-harm. Such interactions underscore the importance of understanding how climate-driven mental health risks vary by environmental factor and gender, as gender-specific vulnerabilities shape responses to climate stressors.
METHODS: By April 16, 2024, we conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO, Scopus, ProQuest, and Embase. Two researchers independently reviewed studies and collected demographic data, systematically tracking and recording rates of suicidal ideation, suicide attempts, suicide deaths, self-harm, and anxiety. Data were rigorously cross-verified for accuracy and consistency.
RESULTS: The meta-analysis demonstrated significant associations between climate change variables and mental health outcomes. High temperatures and air pollution were linked to increased suicide attempts (OR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.34-1.45) and suicide deaths (OR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.44-1.58), particularly among males. Conversely, atmospheric pollution and desertification correlated with a reduced likelihood of suicidal ideation (OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.63-0.85). These findings highlight gender-specific mental health impacts, with females exhibiting higher rates of anxiety and self-harm, underscoring the urgent need for targeted interventions addressing climate-induced mental health risks.
CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis reveal significant gender-specific mental health impacts of climate change, with females experiencing higher rates of anxiety, self-harm, and suicidal ideation, while males show greater incidences of suicide attempts and deaths. These findings emphasize the urgent need for targeted interventions and the integration of mental health services into climate policies to address these gender disparities.
This study is registered with PROSPERO [PROSPERO (york.ac.uk)] under the identifier [CRD42024534961].
Additional Links: PMID-39845688
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39845688,
year = {2024},
author = {Chen, DD and Tu, JH and Ling, KN and Jin, XH and Huang, HY},
title = {Climate change and suicide epidemiology: a systematic review and meta-analysis of gender variations in global suicide rates.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1463676},
pmid = {39845688},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; *Climate Change ; *Suicide/statistics & numerical data ; Sex Factors ; Suicidal Ideation ; Suicide, Attempted/statistics & numerical data ; Global Health/statistics & numerical data ; Risk Factors ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is reshaping public health, introducing extreme weather conditions and environmental stressors-such as high temperatures, atmospheric pollution, desertification, and storms (rain, thunder, and hail)-that critically impact mental health. Evidence increasingly links these factors to higher rates of suicide-related outcomes, including suicidal ideation, attempts, and self-harm. Such interactions underscore the importance of understanding how climate-driven mental health risks vary by environmental factor and gender, as gender-specific vulnerabilities shape responses to climate stressors.
METHODS: By April 16, 2024, we conducted a comprehensive search of PubMed, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, PsycINFO, Scopus, ProQuest, and Embase. Two researchers independently reviewed studies and collected demographic data, systematically tracking and recording rates of suicidal ideation, suicide attempts, suicide deaths, self-harm, and anxiety. Data were rigorously cross-verified for accuracy and consistency.
RESULTS: The meta-analysis demonstrated significant associations between climate change variables and mental health outcomes. High temperatures and air pollution were linked to increased suicide attempts (OR: 1.40, 95% CI: 1.34-1.45) and suicide deaths (OR: 1.51, 95% CI: 1.44-1.58), particularly among males. Conversely, atmospheric pollution and desertification correlated with a reduced likelihood of suicidal ideation (OR: 0.73, 95% CI: 0.63-0.85). These findings highlight gender-specific mental health impacts, with females exhibiting higher rates of anxiety and self-harm, underscoring the urgent need for targeted interventions addressing climate-induced mental health risks.
CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review and meta-analysis reveal significant gender-specific mental health impacts of climate change, with females experiencing higher rates of anxiety, self-harm, and suicidal ideation, while males show greater incidences of suicide attempts and deaths. These findings emphasize the urgent need for targeted interventions and the integration of mental health services into climate policies to address these gender disparities.
This study is registered with PROSPERO [PROSPERO (york.ac.uk)] under the identifier [CRD42024534961].},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
Male
Female
*Climate Change
*Suicide/statistics & numerical data
Sex Factors
Suicidal Ideation
Suicide, Attempted/statistics & numerical data
Global Health/statistics & numerical data
Risk Factors
RevDate: 2025-01-22
Cost-effective adaptations increase rice production while reducing pollution under climate change.
Nature food [Epub ahead of print].
Rice is a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) and nitrogen pollution. While best management practices have been developed to enhance the sustainability of rice production under current climates, their adaptability and efficacy under future climate scenarios remain uncertain. Here we evaluated 49 best management practices across global grid cells of rice-producing areas in terms of increasing rice production, reducing GHG emissions and minimizing nitrogen pollution under future climate conditions. Optimal climate adaptation measures were assigned to each grid cell. We show that implementing the proposed adaptation strategy could increase global rice production by 36% while reducing GHG emissions and nitrogen losses by 23% and 32%, respectively. This approach could lead to a global benefit of US$117 billion for food supply, resource saving, climate mitigation and environmental protection, with total implementation costs of US$13 billion. Establishing practical and cost-effective adaptation strategies is critical for the sustainable development of the global agricultural system in the face of climate challenges.
Additional Links: PMID-39843632
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39843632,
year = {2025},
author = {Gao, Y and Cui, J and Zhang, X and Hoogenboom, G and Wallach, D and Huang, Y and Reis, S and Lin, T and Gu, B},
title = {Cost-effective adaptations increase rice production while reducing pollution under climate change.},
journal = {Nature food},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39843632},
issn = {2662-1355},
support = {42325707//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 42261144001//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 2022YFE0138200//National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China)/ ; 2022C02008//Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation)/ ; ZJ2022086//Natural Science Foundation of Zhejiang Province (Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation)/ ; },
abstract = {Rice is a major source of greenhouse gas (GHG) and nitrogen pollution. While best management practices have been developed to enhance the sustainability of rice production under current climates, their adaptability and efficacy under future climate scenarios remain uncertain. Here we evaluated 49 best management practices across global grid cells of rice-producing areas in terms of increasing rice production, reducing GHG emissions and minimizing nitrogen pollution under future climate conditions. Optimal climate adaptation measures were assigned to each grid cell. We show that implementing the proposed adaptation strategy could increase global rice production by 36% while reducing GHG emissions and nitrogen losses by 23% and 32%, respectively. This approach could lead to a global benefit of US$117 billion for food supply, resource saving, climate mitigation and environmental protection, with total implementation costs of US$13 billion. Establishing practical and cost-effective adaptation strategies is critical for the sustainable development of the global agricultural system in the face of climate challenges.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-25
CmpDate: 2025-01-22
Predicting changes in agricultural yields under climate change scenarios and their implications for global food security.
Scientific reports, 15(1):2858.
Climate change has direct impacts on current and future agricultural productivity. Statistical meta-analysis models can be used to generate expectations of crop yield responses to climatic factors by pooling data from controlled experiments. However, methodological challenges in performing these meta-analyses, together with combined uncertainty from various sources, make it difficult to validate model results. We present updates to published estimates of crop yield responses to projected temperature, precipitation, and CO2 patterns and show that mixed effects models perform better than pooled OLS models on root mean squared error (RMSE) and explained deviance, despite the common usage of pooled OLS in previous meta-analyses. Based on our analysis, the use of pooled OLS may underestimate yield losses. We also use a block-bootstrapping approach to quantify uncertainty across multiple dimensions, including modeler choices, climate projections from the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), and emissions scenarios from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). Our estimates show projected yield responses of - 22% (maize), - 9% (rice), - 15% (soy), and - 14% (wheat) from 2015 to 2080-2100 under the business-as-usual scenario of SSP5-8.5, which reduce to - 3.8%, - 2.7%, 1.4%, and - 1.5% respectively under the lower emissions scenario of SSP1-2.6. Without mitigation and adaptation, countries in South Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, North America, and Oceania could become at risk of being unable to meet national calorie demand by the end of the century under the most severe emissions scenario.
Additional Links: PMID-39843615
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39843615,
year = {2025},
author = {Li, C and Camac, J and Robinson, A and Kompas, T},
title = {Predicting changes in agricultural yields under climate change scenarios and their implications for global food security.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2858},
pmid = {39843615},
issn = {2045-2322},
support = {501100009311//Centre of Excellence for Biosecurity Risk Analysis (CEBRA)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Food Security ; *Crops, Agricultural/growth & development ; *Agriculture/methods ; Humans ; Oryza/growth & development ; },
abstract = {Climate change has direct impacts on current and future agricultural productivity. Statistical meta-analysis models can be used to generate expectations of crop yield responses to climatic factors by pooling data from controlled experiments. However, methodological challenges in performing these meta-analyses, together with combined uncertainty from various sources, make it difficult to validate model results. We present updates to published estimates of crop yield responses to projected temperature, precipitation, and CO2 patterns and show that mixed effects models perform better than pooled OLS models on root mean squared error (RMSE) and explained deviance, despite the common usage of pooled OLS in previous meta-analyses. Based on our analysis, the use of pooled OLS may underestimate yield losses. We also use a block-bootstrapping approach to quantify uncertainty across multiple dimensions, including modeler choices, climate projections from the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6), and emissions scenarios from Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSP). Our estimates show projected yield responses of - 22% (maize), - 9% (rice), - 15% (soy), and - 14% (wheat) from 2015 to 2080-2100 under the business-as-usual scenario of SSP5-8.5, which reduce to - 3.8%, - 2.7%, 1.4%, and - 1.5% respectively under the lower emissions scenario of SSP1-2.6. Without mitigation and adaptation, countries in South Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, North America, and Oceania could become at risk of being unable to meet national calorie demand by the end of the century under the most severe emissions scenario.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Food Security
*Crops, Agricultural/growth & development
*Agriculture/methods
Humans
Oryza/growth & development
RevDate: 2025-01-25
CmpDate: 2025-01-22
Globalizing opposition to pro-environmental institutions: The growth of counter climate change organizations around the world, 1990 to 2018.
PloS one, 20(1):e0315012.
More than two decades of social scientific research has identified the growing network of corporations, think tanks, nonprofits, and advocacy organizations that aim to obstruct climate change action within the United States. Conventional arguments emphasize the role of economic self-interest (e.g., wealthy and powerful corporations) in shaping the rise of an organized "counter climate change movement" that seeks to discredit evidence about anthropogenic climate change and derail solutions to address the problem. In this paper, we track the growth of counter climate change organizations around the world and emphasize the role of reactionary cultural dynamics in driving their emergence. As climate change discourse is infused in more areas throughout society, climate change issues become more salient in the public sphere, generating adversarial grievances, identities, and mobilization among oppositional groups. Drawing on panel logistic regression models for 162-164 countries from 1990 to 2018, we find that counter climate change organizations are most likely to develop in countries with more extensive state policies and structures oriented toward protecting the natural environment, net of a variety of factors that account for a country's economic interests or its overall capacity to produce domestic associations.
Additional Links: PMID-39841633
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39841633,
year = {2025},
author = {Furuta, J and Bromley, P},
title = {Globalizing opposition to pro-environmental institutions: The growth of counter climate change organizations around the world, 1990 to 2018.},
journal = {PloS one},
volume = {20},
number = {1},
pages = {e0315012},
pmid = {39841633},
issn = {1932-6203},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; United States ; Internationality ; Organizations ; Conservation of Natural Resources/trends ; },
abstract = {More than two decades of social scientific research has identified the growing network of corporations, think tanks, nonprofits, and advocacy organizations that aim to obstruct climate change action within the United States. Conventional arguments emphasize the role of economic self-interest (e.g., wealthy and powerful corporations) in shaping the rise of an organized "counter climate change movement" that seeks to discredit evidence about anthropogenic climate change and derail solutions to address the problem. In this paper, we track the growth of counter climate change organizations around the world and emphasize the role of reactionary cultural dynamics in driving their emergence. As climate change discourse is infused in more areas throughout society, climate change issues become more salient in the public sphere, generating adversarial grievances, identities, and mobilization among oppositional groups. Drawing on panel logistic regression models for 162-164 countries from 1990 to 2018, we find that counter climate change organizations are most likely to develop in countries with more extensive state policies and structures oriented toward protecting the natural environment, net of a variety of factors that account for a country's economic interests or its overall capacity to produce domestic associations.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
United States
Internationality
Organizations
Conservation of Natural Resources/trends
RevDate: 2025-01-23
Mapping the priority conservation areas for three endangered Cupressaceae plants under climate change in China.
Frontiers in plant science, 15:1495442.
The establishment of conservation areas is an important strategy for endangered species conservation. In this study, we investigated the distributions of suitable habitat areas for three level 1 endangered Cupressaceae plants (Metasequoia glyptostroboides, Glyptostrobus pensilis, and Thuja sutchuenensis) in China and used the Marxan model to delineate the priority conservation areas for each species. The results showed that M. glyptostroboides had the broadest suitable growing area under the current climate in China and is followed by G. pensilis, with an area of 91 × 10[4] km[2], and T. sutchuenensis had the smallest suitable habitat areas at only 7 × 10[4] km[2]. Affected by climate change, the suitable ranges of these three Cupressaceae species moved largely northward at the middle and end of this century, with a latitudinal increase of 0.46-1.99°. T. sutchuenensis will face an extremely high extinction risk by the end of this century; 65.54% of its southern suitable habitat area will no longer be suitable for growth. Based on the effects of climate change, M. glyptostroboides priority conservation areas should be established in the Yangtze River Basin; G. pensilis priority conservation areas should be established in Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, and Jiangxi; and T. sutchuenensis protection districts should be established at the intersection of the northeastern part of Sichuan Province and the northern part of Chongqing. This study helps to clarify the impact of climate change on endangered species.
Additional Links: PMID-39840362
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39840362,
year = {2024},
author = {Shen, L and Zhai, D and Lu, X},
title = {Mapping the priority conservation areas for three endangered Cupressaceae plants under climate change in China.},
journal = {Frontiers in plant science},
volume = {15},
number = {},
pages = {1495442},
pmid = {39840362},
issn = {1664-462X},
abstract = {The establishment of conservation areas is an important strategy for endangered species conservation. In this study, we investigated the distributions of suitable habitat areas for three level 1 endangered Cupressaceae plants (Metasequoia glyptostroboides, Glyptostrobus pensilis, and Thuja sutchuenensis) in China and used the Marxan model to delineate the priority conservation areas for each species. The results showed that M. glyptostroboides had the broadest suitable growing area under the current climate in China and is followed by G. pensilis, with an area of 91 × 10[4] km[2], and T. sutchuenensis had the smallest suitable habitat areas at only 7 × 10[4] km[2]. Affected by climate change, the suitable ranges of these three Cupressaceae species moved largely northward at the middle and end of this century, with a latitudinal increase of 0.46-1.99°. T. sutchuenensis will face an extremely high extinction risk by the end of this century; 65.54% of its southern suitable habitat area will no longer be suitable for growth. Based on the effects of climate change, M. glyptostroboides priority conservation areas should be established in the Yangtze River Basin; G. pensilis priority conservation areas should be established in Guangdong, Guangxi, Fujian, and Jiangxi; and T. sutchuenensis protection districts should be established at the intersection of the northeastern part of Sichuan Province and the northern part of Chongqing. This study helps to clarify the impact of climate change on endangered species.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-23
Anthropogenic Disturbance and Climate Change Impacts on the Suitable Habitat of Sphenomorphus incognitus in China.
Ecology and evolution, 15(1):e70848.
Estimating the impacts of anthropogenic activities and climate change on species' spatial distributions is crucial for conservation. In this study, based on 62 valid occurrence records of Sphenomorphus incognitus and 24 environmental factors (19 climate factors, 4 topographic factors, and 1 human activity factor), we utilized the biomod2 combined model platform to predict suitable habitats for S. incognitus under two current scenarios (Scenario 1: natural state; Scenario 2: human interference state) and two future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) in 2050s and 2090s. The mean true skill statistic (TSS) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) suggested that the ensemble model yield more precise predictions than those of individual models. Rainfall and slope were identified as the most important factors influencing S. incognitus distribution. Human disturbance has significantly reduced suitable habitat by 44.13 × 10[4] km[2], which is a decrease in 23.95% compared to natural conditions. Spatial analysis revealed substantial fragmentation of suitable habitat due to human activities. The incorporation of anthropogenic factors into the analysis of future climate scenarios has revealed that the area of suitable habitat exhibits divergent trends. Two distinct scenarios have been identified, each of which results in a reduction in the area of the region by 29.58 × 10[4] km[2] and an increase by 27.04 × 10[4] km[2], respectively, by the year 2090. The primary influence persists in human activities. The centroid of suitable habitat shifted toward the southeast under SSP1-2.6 and toward the northwest under SSP5-8.5. Our findings highlight the significant impact of anthropogenic factors on S. incognitus habitat and emphasize the need for conservation measures. Future research should incorporate additional socioeconomic data to further investigate the effects of human disturbance on this species.
Additional Links: PMID-39839339
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39839339,
year = {2025},
author = {Chen, K and Ma, L and Jiang, W and Wang, L and Wei, L and Zhang, H and Yang, R},
title = {Anthropogenic Disturbance and Climate Change Impacts on the Suitable Habitat of Sphenomorphus incognitus in China.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70848},
pmid = {39839339},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Estimating the impacts of anthropogenic activities and climate change on species' spatial distributions is crucial for conservation. In this study, based on 62 valid occurrence records of Sphenomorphus incognitus and 24 environmental factors (19 climate factors, 4 topographic factors, and 1 human activity factor), we utilized the biomod2 combined model platform to predict suitable habitats for S. incognitus under two current scenarios (Scenario 1: natural state; Scenario 2: human interference state) and two future climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5) in 2050s and 2090s. The mean true skill statistic (TSS) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) suggested that the ensemble model yield more precise predictions than those of individual models. Rainfall and slope were identified as the most important factors influencing S. incognitus distribution. Human disturbance has significantly reduced suitable habitat by 44.13 × 10[4] km[2], which is a decrease in 23.95% compared to natural conditions. Spatial analysis revealed substantial fragmentation of suitable habitat due to human activities. The incorporation of anthropogenic factors into the analysis of future climate scenarios has revealed that the area of suitable habitat exhibits divergent trends. Two distinct scenarios have been identified, each of which results in a reduction in the area of the region by 29.58 × 10[4] km[2] and an increase by 27.04 × 10[4] km[2], respectively, by the year 2090. The primary influence persists in human activities. The centroid of suitable habitat shifted toward the southeast under SSP1-2.6 and toward the northwest under SSP5-8.5. Our findings highlight the significant impact of anthropogenic factors on S. incognitus habitat and emphasize the need for conservation measures. Future research should incorporate additional socioeconomic data to further investigate the effects of human disturbance on this species.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-24
Why we still don't know the mounting health risks of climate change.
Nature, 637(8047):766.
Additional Links: PMID-39838051
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39838051,
year = {2025},
author = {Mitchell, D},
title = {Why we still don't know the mounting health risks of climate change.},
journal = {Nature},
volume = {637},
number = {8047},
pages = {766},
pmid = {39838051},
issn = {1476-4687},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-21
Heterogeneous zonal impacts of climate change on a wide hyperendemic area of human and animal fascioliasis assessed within a One Health action for prevention and control.
PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 19(1):e0012820 pii:PNTD-D-24-01415 [Epub ahead of print].
The Northern Bolivian Altiplano is the fascioliasis endemic area where the highest prevalences and intensities in humans have been recorded. In this hyperendemic area of human fascioliasis, the disease is caused only by Fasciola hepatica and transmitted by Galba truncatula, the sole lymnaeid species present in the area. When analysing the link between global warning and the recently reported geographical spread of lymnaeid populations to out-border localities, a marked heterogeneous climatic change was found throughout the endemic area. The aim of the present study is to analyse the physiographical heterogeneity of the fascioliasis hyperendemic area in the Northern Bolivian Altiplano, in order to assess its repercussions in the implementation of a One Health action. We applied multivariate linear mixed models to analyse the influence of a number of physiographical features on the long-term variation of climate and of the risk of transmission. Despite its apparent physiographic homogeneity, the findings of this study revealed markedly heterogeneous climate characteristics throughout the endemic area. This irregular pattern is influenced by physiographical features such as altitude, inner hills, closeness to Lake Titicaca, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. This is the broadest study ever performed in a human fascioliasis endemic area about the influence of physiography on climate. It highlights the importance of considering physiographical features, an aspect usually not considered in studies dealing with the influences of climate and climate change on human and animal fascioliasis. Moreover, it shows that an endemic area may climatically evolve differently in its various inner zones and emphasizes the need for continuous monitoring to assess whether control measures should be modified accordingly.
Additional Links: PMID-39836654
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39836654,
year = {2025},
author = {Cuervo, PF and Bargues, MD and Artigas, P and Buchon, P and Angles, R and Mas-Coma, S},
title = {Heterogeneous zonal impacts of climate change on a wide hyperendemic area of human and animal fascioliasis assessed within a One Health action for prevention and control.},
journal = {PLoS neglected tropical diseases},
volume = {19},
number = {1},
pages = {e0012820},
doi = {10.1371/journal.pntd.0012820},
pmid = {39836654},
issn = {1935-2735},
abstract = {The Northern Bolivian Altiplano is the fascioliasis endemic area where the highest prevalences and intensities in humans have been recorded. In this hyperendemic area of human fascioliasis, the disease is caused only by Fasciola hepatica and transmitted by Galba truncatula, the sole lymnaeid species present in the area. When analysing the link between global warning and the recently reported geographical spread of lymnaeid populations to out-border localities, a marked heterogeneous climatic change was found throughout the endemic area. The aim of the present study is to analyse the physiographical heterogeneity of the fascioliasis hyperendemic area in the Northern Bolivian Altiplano, in order to assess its repercussions in the implementation of a One Health action. We applied multivariate linear mixed models to analyse the influence of a number of physiographical features on the long-term variation of climate and of the risk of transmission. Despite its apparent physiographic homogeneity, the findings of this study revealed markedly heterogeneous climate characteristics throughout the endemic area. This irregular pattern is influenced by physiographical features such as altitude, inner hills, closeness to Lake Titicaca, and El Niño-Southern Oscillation. This is the broadest study ever performed in a human fascioliasis endemic area about the influence of physiography on climate. It highlights the importance of considering physiographical features, an aspect usually not considered in studies dealing with the influences of climate and climate change on human and animal fascioliasis. Moreover, it shows that an endemic area may climatically evolve differently in its various inner zones and emphasizes the need for continuous monitoring to assess whether control measures should be modified accordingly.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-21
[Climate change-A multifaceted challenge for ophthalmology].
Die Ophthalmologie, 122(1):2-3.
Additional Links: PMID-39836230
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39836230,
year = {2025},
author = {Roth, M and Geerling, G},
title = {[Climate change-A multifaceted challenge for ophthalmology].},
journal = {Die Ophthalmologie},
volume = {122},
number = {1},
pages = {2-3},
pmid = {39836230},
issn = {2731-7218},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-21
Cotton production areas are at high risk of invasion by Amrasca biguttula (Ishida) (Cicadellidae: Hemiptera): potential distribution under climate change.
Pest management science [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: The cotton jassid, Amrasca biguttula, a dangerous and polyphagous pest, has recently invaded the Middle East, Africa and South America, raising concerns about the future of cotton and other food crops including okra, eggplant and potato. However, its potential distribution remains largely unknown, posing a challenge in developing effective phytosanitary strategies. We used an ensemble model of six machine-learning algorithms including random forest, maxent, support vector machines, classification and regression tree, generalized linear model and boosted regression trees to forecast the potential distribution of A. biguttula in the present and future using presence records of the pest and bioclimatic predictors. The accuracy of these algorithms was assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC), correlation (COR), deviance and true skill statistic (TSS).
RESULTS: All algorithms showed good performance in forecasting the distribution of A. biguttula (AUC ≥ 0.91, COR ≥ 0.72, TSS ≥ 0.77 and deviance ≤ 0.65). Mean temperature of wettest quarter, mean temperature of driest quarter and precipitation of the wettest month were the key variables that contributed to predicting A. biguttula occurrence. Projection of the model showed that cotton production areas in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America are at threat of invasion by A. biguttula under the current climatic scenario. Additionally, range expansion for A. biguttula is projected in the future in sub-Saharan Africa, South America and China, indicating a suitable ecological niche for A. biguttula to thrive.
CONCLUSION: Our results provide early warning and decision-making information that can guide efforts to prevent this pest's further spread and invasion into new areas. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.
Additional Links: PMID-39835365
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39835365,
year = {2025},
author = {Azrag, AA and Niassy, S and Bloukounon-Goubalan, AY and Abdel-Rahman, EM and Tonnang, HE and Mohamed, SA},
title = {Cotton production areas are at high risk of invasion by Amrasca biguttula (Ishida) (Cicadellidae: Hemiptera): potential distribution under climate change.},
journal = {Pest management science},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1002/ps.8659},
pmid = {39835365},
issn = {1526-4998},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: The cotton jassid, Amrasca biguttula, a dangerous and polyphagous pest, has recently invaded the Middle East, Africa and South America, raising concerns about the future of cotton and other food crops including okra, eggplant and potato. However, its potential distribution remains largely unknown, posing a challenge in developing effective phytosanitary strategies. We used an ensemble model of six machine-learning algorithms including random forest, maxent, support vector machines, classification and regression tree, generalized linear model and boosted regression trees to forecast the potential distribution of A. biguttula in the present and future using presence records of the pest and bioclimatic predictors. The accuracy of these algorithms was assessed based on the area under the curve (AUC), correlation (COR), deviance and true skill statistic (TSS).
RESULTS: All algorithms showed good performance in forecasting the distribution of A. biguttula (AUC ≥ 0.91, COR ≥ 0.72, TSS ≥ 0.77 and deviance ≤ 0.65). Mean temperature of wettest quarter, mean temperature of driest quarter and precipitation of the wettest month were the key variables that contributed to predicting A. biguttula occurrence. Projection of the model showed that cotton production areas in Asia, sub-Saharan Africa, and South America are at threat of invasion by A. biguttula under the current climatic scenario. Additionally, range expansion for A. biguttula is projected in the future in sub-Saharan Africa, South America and China, indicating a suitable ecological niche for A. biguttula to thrive.
CONCLUSION: Our results provide early warning and decision-making information that can guide efforts to prevent this pest's further spread and invasion into new areas. © 2025 Society of Chemical Industry.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-21
Adapting distribution patterns of desert locusts, Schistocerca gregaria in response to global climate change.
Bulletin of entomological research pii:S0007485324000440 [Epub ahead of print].
The desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria) is a destructive migratory pest, posing great threat to over 60 countries globally. In the backdrop of climate change, the habitat suitability of desert locusts is poised to undergo alterations. Hence, investigating the shifting dynamics of desert locust habitats holds profound significance in ensuring global agricultural resilience and food security. In this study, we combined the maximum entropy modelling and geographic information system technology to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the impact of climate change on the distribution patterns and habitat adaptability of desert locusts. The results indicate that the suitable areas for desert locusts (0.2976 × 10[8] km[2]) are concentrated in northern Africa and southwestern Asia, accounting for 19.97% of the total global land area. Key environmental variables affecting the desert locust distribution include temperature annual range, mean temperature of the coldest quarter, average temperature of February, and precipitation of the driest month. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios, potential suitable areas for desert locusts are estimated to increase from 2030 (2021-2040) to 2090 (2081-2100). By 2090, highly suitable areas for SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 are projected to be 0.0606 × 10[8] and 0.0891 × 10[8] km[2], respectively, reflecting an expansion of 1.84 and 2.77% compared to existing ones. These research findings provide a theoretical basis for adopting prevention and control strategies for desert locusts.
Additional Links: PMID-39834218
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39834218,
year = {2025},
author = {Chang, X and Feng, S and Ullah, F and Zhang, Y and Zhang, Y and Qin, Y and Nderitu, JH and Dong, Y and Huang, W and Zhang, Z and Tu, X},
title = {Adapting distribution patterns of desert locusts, Schistocerca gregaria in response to global climate change.},
journal = {Bulletin of entomological research},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-9},
doi = {10.1017/S0007485324000440},
pmid = {39834218},
issn = {1475-2670},
abstract = {The desert locust (Schistocerca gregaria) is a destructive migratory pest, posing great threat to over 60 countries globally. In the backdrop of climate change, the habitat suitability of desert locusts is poised to undergo alterations. Hence, investigating the shifting dynamics of desert locust habitats holds profound significance in ensuring global agricultural resilience and food security. In this study, we combined the maximum entropy modelling and geographic information system technology to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the impact of climate change on the distribution patterns and habitat adaptability of desert locusts. The results indicate that the suitable areas for desert locusts (0.2976 × 10[8] km[2]) are concentrated in northern Africa and southwestern Asia, accounting for 19.97% of the total global land area. Key environmental variables affecting the desert locust distribution include temperature annual range, mean temperature of the coldest quarter, average temperature of February, and precipitation of the driest month. Under the SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 climate scenarios, potential suitable areas for desert locusts are estimated to increase from 2030 (2021-2040) to 2090 (2081-2100). By 2090, highly suitable areas for SSP1-2.6 and SSP5-8.5 are projected to be 0.0606 × 10[8] and 0.0891 × 10[8] km[2], respectively, reflecting an expansion of 1.84 and 2.77% compared to existing ones. These research findings provide a theoretical basis for adopting prevention and control strategies for desert locusts.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-20
Imperatives and co-benefits of research into climate change and neurological disease.
Nature reviews. Neurology [Epub ahead of print].
Evidence suggests that anthropogenic climate change is accelerating and is affecting human health globally. Despite urgent calls to address health effects in the context of the additional challenges of environmental degradation, biodiversity loss and ageing populations, the effects of climate change on specific health conditions are still poorly understood. Neurological diseases contribute substantially to the global burden of disease, and the possible direct and indirect consequences of climate change for people with these conditions are a cause for concern. Unaccustomed temperature extremes can impair the systems of resilience of the brain, thereby exacerbating or increasing susceptibility to neurological disease. In this Perspective, we explore how changing weather patterns resulting from climate change affect sleep - an essential restorative human brain activity, the quality of which is important for people with neurological diseases. We also consider the pervasive and complex influences of climate change on two common neurological conditions: stroke and epilepsy. We highlight the urgent need for research into the mechanisms underlying the effects of climate change on the brain in health and disease. We also discuss how neurologists can respond constructively to the climate crisis by raising awareness and promoting mitigation measures and research - actions that will bring widespread co-benefits.
Additional Links: PMID-39833457
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39833457,
year = {2025},
author = {Gulcebi, MI and Leddy, S and Behl, K and Dijk, DJ and Marder, E and Maslin, M and Mavrogianni, A and Tipton, M and Werring, DJ and Sisodiya, SM},
title = {Imperatives and co-benefits of research into climate change and neurological disease.},
journal = {Nature reviews. Neurology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
pmid = {39833457},
issn = {1759-4766},
abstract = {Evidence suggests that anthropogenic climate change is accelerating and is affecting human health globally. Despite urgent calls to address health effects in the context of the additional challenges of environmental degradation, biodiversity loss and ageing populations, the effects of climate change on specific health conditions are still poorly understood. Neurological diseases contribute substantially to the global burden of disease, and the possible direct and indirect consequences of climate change for people with these conditions are a cause for concern. Unaccustomed temperature extremes can impair the systems of resilience of the brain, thereby exacerbating or increasing susceptibility to neurological disease. In this Perspective, we explore how changing weather patterns resulting from climate change affect sleep - an essential restorative human brain activity, the quality of which is important for people with neurological diseases. We also consider the pervasive and complex influences of climate change on two common neurological conditions: stroke and epilepsy. We highlight the urgent need for research into the mechanisms underlying the effects of climate change on the brain in health and disease. We also discuss how neurologists can respond constructively to the climate crisis by raising awareness and promoting mitigation measures and research - actions that will bring widespread co-benefits.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-23
Climate change adaptation strategies adopted by pastoralists in rangelands in Golestan province, Iran.
Scientific reports, 15(1):2496.
Climate change is a serious challenge to pastoralism in rangelands. Adaptation strategies adopted by pastoralists can reduce their livelihood vulnerability to cope with adverse effects of climate change. This study was done to investigate the adaptation strategies of pastoralists in the north of Golestan province, Iran. Data were collected using a researcher-made questionnaire. The statistical population consisted of 200 pastoralists from 3 pastoral units, of which 127 individuals were sampled using stratified random method. The results showed that 33.1% of the pastoralists had moderate adaptability to climate change. They had more adaptive capacity in cost saving and improving savings, health and veterinary services, and use of technology. The pastoralists' adaptability to climate change was enhanced with increasing age. Large and less-educated pastoralists had more adaptability compared to small and well-educated ones. Pastoralists who had jobs other than animal-husbandry and who participated in educational and extension courses on climate change had more adaptability to climate change. Pastoralists owning agricultural lands and local knowledge in dealing with climate change were also more adaptable to climate change. The results of the study can be used to strengthen pastoralists' adaptability to climate change to reduce their livelihood vulnerability.
Additional Links: PMID-39833452
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39833452,
year = {2025},
author = {Behmanesh, B and Sharaftmandrad, M and Shahraki, M and Badripour, H},
title = {Climate change adaptation strategies adopted by pastoralists in rangelands in Golestan province, Iran.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2496},
pmid = {39833452},
issn = {2045-2322},
abstract = {Climate change is a serious challenge to pastoralism in rangelands. Adaptation strategies adopted by pastoralists can reduce their livelihood vulnerability to cope with adverse effects of climate change. This study was done to investigate the adaptation strategies of pastoralists in the north of Golestan province, Iran. Data were collected using a researcher-made questionnaire. The statistical population consisted of 200 pastoralists from 3 pastoral units, of which 127 individuals were sampled using stratified random method. The results showed that 33.1% of the pastoralists had moderate adaptability to climate change. They had more adaptive capacity in cost saving and improving savings, health and veterinary services, and use of technology. The pastoralists' adaptability to climate change was enhanced with increasing age. Large and less-educated pastoralists had more adaptability compared to small and well-educated ones. Pastoralists who had jobs other than animal-husbandry and who participated in educational and extension courses on climate change had more adaptability to climate change. Pastoralists owning agricultural lands and local knowledge in dealing with climate change were also more adaptable to climate change. The results of the study can be used to strengthen pastoralists' adaptability to climate change to reduce their livelihood vulnerability.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-23
CmpDate: 2025-01-21
Perceptions of science, science communication, and climate change attitudes in 68 countries - the TISP dataset.
Scientific data, 12(1):114.
Science is integral to society because it can inform individual, government, corporate, and civil society decision-making on issues such as public health, new technologies or climate change. Yet, public distrust and populist sentiment challenge the relationship between science and society. To help researchers analyse the science-society nexus across different geographical and cultural contexts, we undertook a cross-sectional population survey resulting in a dataset of 71,922 participants in 68 countries. The data were collected between November 2022 and August 2023 as part of the global Many Labs study "Trust in Science and Science-Related Populism" (TISP). The questionnaire contained comprehensive measures for individuals' trust in scientists, science-related populist attitudes, perceptions of the role of science in society, science media use and communication behaviour, attitudes to climate change and support for environmental policies, personality traits, political and religious views and demographic characteristics. Here, we describe the dataset, survey materials and psychometric properties of key variables. We encourage researchers to use this unique dataset for global comparative analyses on public perceptions of science and its role in society and policy-making.
Additional Links: PMID-39833242
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39833242,
year = {2025},
author = {Mede, NG and Cologna, V and Berger, S and Besley, J and Brick, C and Joubert, M and Maibach, EW and Mihelj, S and Oreskes, N and Schäfer, MS and van der Linden, S and Abdul Aziz, NI and Abdulsalam, S and Shamsi, NA and Aczel, B and Adinugroho, I and Alabrese, E and Aldoh, A and Alfano, M and Ali, IM and Alsobay, M and Altenmüller, M and Alvarez, RM and Amoako, R and Amollo, T and Ansah, P and Apriliawati, D and Azevedo, F and Bajrami, A and Bardhan, R and Bati, K and Bertsou, E and Betsch, C and Bhatiya, AY and Bhui, R and Białobrzeska, O and Bilewicz, M and Bouguettaya, A and Breeden, K and Bret, A and Buchel, O and Cabrera-Álvarez, P and Cagnoli, F and Valdez, AC and Callaghan, T and Cases, RK and Çoksan, S and Czarnek, G and De Peuter, S and Debnath, R and Delouvée, S and Di Stefano, L and Díaz-Catalán, C and Doell, KC and Dohle, S and Douglas, KM and Dries, C and Dubrov, D and Dzimińska, M and Ecker, UKH and Elbaek, CT and Elsherif, M and Enke, B and Etienne, TW and Facciani, M and Fage-Butler, A and Faisal, MZ and Fan, X and Farhart, C and Feldhaus, C and Ferreira, M and Feuerriegel, S and Fischer, H and Freundt, J and Friese, M and Fuglsang, S and Gallyamova, A and Garrido-Vásquez, P and Garrido Vásquez, ME and Gatua, W and Genschow, O and Ghasemi, O and Gkinopoulos, T and Gloor, JL and Goddard, E and Gollwitzer, M and González-Brambila, C and Gordon, H and Grigoryev, D and Grimshaw, GM and Guenther, L and Haarstad, H and Harari, D and Hawkins, LN and Hensel, P and Hernández-Mondragón, AC and Herziger, A and Huang, G and Huff, M and Hurley, M and Ibadildin, N and Ishibashi, M and Islam, MT and Jeddi, Y and Jin, T and Jones, CA and Jungkunz, S and Jurgiel, D and Kabdulkair, Z and Kao, JJ and Kavassalis, S and Kerr, JR and Kitsa, M and Klabíková Rábová, T and Klein, O and Koh, H and Koivula, A and Kojan, L and Komyaginskaya, E and König, L and Koppel, L and Cavalcante, KKN and Kosachenko, A and Kotcher, J and Kranz, LS and Krishnan, P and Kristiansen, S and Krouwel, A and Kuppens, T and Kyza, EA and Lamm, C and Lantian, A and Lazić, A and Lecuona, O and Légal, JB and Leviston, Z and Levy, N and Lindkvist, AM and Lits, G and Löschel, A and López-Ortega, A and Lopez-Villavicencio, C and Lou, NM and Lucas, CH and Lunz-Trujillo, K and Marques, MD and Mayer, SJ and McKay, R and Mercier, H and Metag, J and Milfont, TL and Miller, JM and Mitkidis, P and Monge-Rodríguez, F and Motta, M and Mudra, I and Muršič, Z and Namutebi, J and Newman, EJ and Nitschke, JP and Ntui, NV and Nwogwugwu, D and Ostermann, T and Otterbring, T and Palmer-Hague, J and Pantazi, M and Pärnamets, P and Parra Saiani, P and Paruzel-Czachura, M and Parzuchowski, M and Pavlov, YG and Pearson, AR and Penner, MA and Pennington, CR and Petkanopoulou, K and Petrović, MM and Pfänder, J and Pisareva, D and Ploszaj, A and Poliaková, K and Pronizius, E and Pypno-Blajda, K and Quiñones, DMA and Räsänen, P and Rauchfleisch, A and Rebitschek, FG and Refojo Seronero, C and Rêgo, G and Reynolds, JP and Roche, J and Rödder, S and Röer, JP and Ross, RM and Ruin, I and Santos, O and Santos, RR and Schmid, P and Schulreich, S and Scoggins, B and Sharaf, A and Sheria Nfundiko, J and Shuckburgh, E and Six, J and Solak, N and Späth, L and Spruyt, B and Standaert, O and Stanley, SK and Storms, G and Strahm, N and Syropoulos, S and Szaszi, B and Szumowska, E and Tanaka, M and Teran-Escobar, C and Todorova, B and Toko, AK and Tokrri, R and Toribio-Florez, D and Tsakiris, M and Tyrala, M and Uluğ, ÖM and Uzoma, IC and van Noord, J and Varda, C and Verheyen, S and Vilares, I and Vlasceanu, M and von Bubnoff, A and Walker, I and Warwas, I and Weber, M and Weninger, T and Westfal, M and Wintterlin, F and Wojcik, AD and Xia, Z and Xie, J and Zegler-Poleska, E and Zenklusen, A and Zwaan, RA},
title = {Perceptions of science, science communication, and climate change attitudes in 68 countries - the TISP dataset.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {114},
pmid = {39833242},
issn = {2052-4463},
support = {P500PS_202935//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; n/a//Schweizerischer Nationalfonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung (Swiss National Science Foundation)/ ; n/a//Federal Department of the Environment, Transport, Energy, and Communications | Bundesamt für Energie (Swiss Federal Office of Energy)/ ; n/a//Resnick Sustainability Institute for Science, Energy and Sustainability, California Institute of Technology (Resnick Institute)/ ; BE 3970/12-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; RE 4752/1-1//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; 458303980//Deutsche Forschungsgemeinschaft (German Research Foundation)/ ; OPP1144//Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation (Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation)/ ; FWFI3381//Austrian Science Fund (Fonds zur Förderung der Wissenschaftlichen Forschung)/ ; 101018262//EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council)/ ; AUFF-E-2019-9-13//Aarhus Universitets Forskningsfond (Aarhus University Research Foundation)/ ; AUFF-E-2019-9-13//Aarhus Universitets Forskningsfond (Aarhus University Research Foundation)/ ; AUFF-E-2019-9-4//Aarhus Universitets Forskningsfond (Aarhus University Research Foundation)/ ; n/a//Genome Canada (Génome Canada)/ ; n/a//Fédération Wallonie-Bruxelles (French Community of Belgium)/ ; n/a//Victoria University of Wellington/ ; 822166//European Commission (EC)/ ; #62631//John Templeton Foundation (JTF)/ ; #61580//John Templeton Foundation (JTF)/ ; #430-2022-00711//Gouvernement du Canada | Social Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada (Conseil de recherches en sciences humaines du Canada)/ ; n/a//NOMIS Stiftung (NOMIS Foundation)/ ; n/a//NOMIS Stiftung (NOMIS Foundation)/ ; ANR-10-IDEX-0001-02//Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency)/ ; n/a//Agence Nationale de la Recherche (French National Research Agency)/ ; n/a//Trinity Western University (TWU)/ ; 2020-02584//Vetenskapsrådet (Swedish Research Council)/ ; n/a//Aston University (Aston)/ ; n/a//Aston University (Aston)/ ; n/a//Universität Hamburg (University of Hamburg)/ ; 964728 (JITSUVAX)//EC | Horizon 2020 Framework Programme (EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Science ; *Attitude ; Cross-Sectional Studies ; *Trust ; Surveys and Questionnaires ; Communication ; Public Opinion ; },
abstract = {Science is integral to society because it can inform individual, government, corporate, and civil society decision-making on issues such as public health, new technologies or climate change. Yet, public distrust and populist sentiment challenge the relationship between science and society. To help researchers analyse the science-society nexus across different geographical and cultural contexts, we undertook a cross-sectional population survey resulting in a dataset of 71,922 participants in 68 countries. The data were collected between November 2022 and August 2023 as part of the global Many Labs study "Trust in Science and Science-Related Populism" (TISP). The questionnaire contained comprehensive measures for individuals' trust in scientists, science-related populist attitudes, perceptions of the role of science in society, science media use and communication behaviour, attitudes to climate change and support for environmental policies, personality traits, political and religious views and demographic characteristics. Here, we describe the dataset, survey materials and psychometric properties of key variables. We encourage researchers to use this unique dataset for global comparative analyses on public perceptions of science and its role in society and policy-making.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
*Science
*Attitude
Cross-Sectional Studies
*Trust
Surveys and Questionnaires
Communication
Public Opinion
RevDate: 2025-01-23
Climate change and occupational health and safety. Risk of injuries, productivity loss and the co-benefits perspective.
Environmental research, 269:120844 pii:S0013-9351(25)00095-7 [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change is a fundamental threat to human health and outdoor workers are one of the most vulnerable population subgroups. Increasing heat stress and heatwaves are directly associated with the health and safety of workers for a large spectrum of occupations. Heat stress negatively affects labour supply, productivity, and workability.
OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study are to estimate the risk of work-related injuries for extreme temperature outdoor exposure in Italy, to evaluate the loss in productivity and the associated insurance costs for supporting the co-benefits analysis of the adaptation measures.
METHODS: The relationship between air temperature and occupational injuries (in the period 2014-19) was evaluated using a time-series approach, by means of a specific over-dispersed Poisson generalized linear regression model, applied to compensation data. To assess the effect of temperature on workability, the wet bulb global temperature (WBGT) was estimated by different levels of humidity and vapor pressure. The costs of injuries have been estimated according to the potential consequences in terms of paid insurance premium and including all management and human resources costs.
RESULTS: We estimated 25,632 (95%CI 22,353-28,862) occupational injuries in Italy attributed to heat (between 75° and 99° percentiles) in the period 2014-2019, which corresponds to an average of 4272 cases for year. A decrease in productivity of about 6.5% was estimated for workers engaged in physical activities requiring high metabolic rates for every unit degree increase in temperature between 19.6 C° and 31.8 C°. The overall compensation costs associated to extreme heat exposure have been estimated to more than 292 million euros between 2014 and 2019, almost equal to 49 million euros per year.
DISCUSSION: Prevention measures and adaptation strategies for contrasting the occupational exposure to extreme temperatures can help contain both the risk of injury and, productivity loss, in a co-benefits perspective.
Additional Links: PMID-39832550
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39832550,
year = {2025},
author = {Marinaccio, A and Gariazzo, C and Taiano, L and Bonafede, M and Martini, D and D'Amario, S and de'Donato, F and Morabito, M and , },
title = {Climate change and occupational health and safety. Risk of injuries, productivity loss and the co-benefits perspective.},
journal = {Environmental research},
volume = {269},
number = {},
pages = {120844},
doi = {10.1016/j.envres.2025.120844},
pmid = {39832550},
issn = {1096-0953},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is a fundamental threat to human health and outdoor workers are one of the most vulnerable population subgroups. Increasing heat stress and heatwaves are directly associated with the health and safety of workers for a large spectrum of occupations. Heat stress negatively affects labour supply, productivity, and workability.
OBJECTIVES: The aims of this study are to estimate the risk of work-related injuries for extreme temperature outdoor exposure in Italy, to evaluate the loss in productivity and the associated insurance costs for supporting the co-benefits analysis of the adaptation measures.
METHODS: The relationship between air temperature and occupational injuries (in the period 2014-19) was evaluated using a time-series approach, by means of a specific over-dispersed Poisson generalized linear regression model, applied to compensation data. To assess the effect of temperature on workability, the wet bulb global temperature (WBGT) was estimated by different levels of humidity and vapor pressure. The costs of injuries have been estimated according to the potential consequences in terms of paid insurance premium and including all management and human resources costs.
RESULTS: We estimated 25,632 (95%CI 22,353-28,862) occupational injuries in Italy attributed to heat (between 75° and 99° percentiles) in the period 2014-2019, which corresponds to an average of 4272 cases for year. A decrease in productivity of about 6.5% was estimated for workers engaged in physical activities requiring high metabolic rates for every unit degree increase in temperature between 19.6 C° and 31.8 C°. The overall compensation costs associated to extreme heat exposure have been estimated to more than 292 million euros between 2014 and 2019, almost equal to 49 million euros per year.
DISCUSSION: Prevention measures and adaptation strategies for contrasting the occupational exposure to extreme temperatures can help contain both the risk of injury and, productivity loss, in a co-benefits perspective.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-20
Decrypting proteomics, transcriptomics, genomics, and integrated omics for augmenting the abiotic, biotic, and climate change stress resilience in plants.
Journal of plant physiology, 305:154430 pii:S0176-1617(25)00012-4 [Epub ahead of print].
As our planet faces increasing environmental challenges, such as biotic pressures, abiotic stressors, and climate change, it is crucial to understand the complex mechanisms that underlie stress responses in crop plants. Over past few years, the integration of techniques of proteomics, transcriptomics, and genomics like LC-MS, IT-MS, MALDI-MS, DIGE, ESTs, SAGE, WGS, GWAS, GBS, 2D-PAGE, CRISPR-Cas, cDNA-AFLP, HLS, HRPF, MPSS, CAGE, MAS, IEF, MudPIT, SRM/MRM, SWATH-MS, ESI have significantly enhanced our ability to comprehend the molecular pathways and regulatory networks, involved in balancing the ecosystem/ecology stress adaptation. This review offers thorough synopsis of the current research on utilizing these multi-omics methods (including metabolomics, ionomics) for battling abiotic (salinity, temperature (chilling/freezing/cold/heat), flood (hypoxia), drought, heavy metals/loids), biotic (pathogens like fungi, bacteria, virus, pests, and insects (aphids, caterpillars, moths, mites, nematodes) and climate change stress (ozone, ultraviolet radiation, green house gases, carbon dioxide). These strategies can expedite crop improvement, and act as powerful tools with high throughput and instant database generation rates. They also provide a platform for interpreting intricate, systematic signalling pathways and knowing how different environmental stimuli cause phenotypic responses at cellular and molecular level by changing the expression of stress-responsive genes like RAB18, KIN1, RD29B, OsCIPK03, OsSTL, SIAGL, bZIP, SnRK, ABF. This review discusses various case studies that exemplify the successful implementation of these omics tools to enhance stress tolerance in plants. Finally, it highlights challenges and future prospects of utilizing these approaches in combating stress, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary collaborations and bio-technological advancements for sustainable agriculture and food security.
Additional Links: PMID-39832424
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39832424,
year = {2025},
author = {Choudhary, R and Ahmad, F and Kaya, C and Upadhyay, SK and Muneer, S and Kumar, V and Meena, M and Liu, H and Upadhyaya, H and Seth, CS},
title = {Decrypting proteomics, transcriptomics, genomics, and integrated omics for augmenting the abiotic, biotic, and climate change stress resilience in plants.},
journal = {Journal of plant physiology},
volume = {305},
number = {},
pages = {154430},
doi = {10.1016/j.jplph.2025.154430},
pmid = {39832424},
issn = {1618-1328},
abstract = {As our planet faces increasing environmental challenges, such as biotic pressures, abiotic stressors, and climate change, it is crucial to understand the complex mechanisms that underlie stress responses in crop plants. Over past few years, the integration of techniques of proteomics, transcriptomics, and genomics like LC-MS, IT-MS, MALDI-MS, DIGE, ESTs, SAGE, WGS, GWAS, GBS, 2D-PAGE, CRISPR-Cas, cDNA-AFLP, HLS, HRPF, MPSS, CAGE, MAS, IEF, MudPIT, SRM/MRM, SWATH-MS, ESI have significantly enhanced our ability to comprehend the molecular pathways and regulatory networks, involved in balancing the ecosystem/ecology stress adaptation. This review offers thorough synopsis of the current research on utilizing these multi-omics methods (including metabolomics, ionomics) for battling abiotic (salinity, temperature (chilling/freezing/cold/heat), flood (hypoxia), drought, heavy metals/loids), biotic (pathogens like fungi, bacteria, virus, pests, and insects (aphids, caterpillars, moths, mites, nematodes) and climate change stress (ozone, ultraviolet radiation, green house gases, carbon dioxide). These strategies can expedite crop improvement, and act as powerful tools with high throughput and instant database generation rates. They also provide a platform for interpreting intricate, systematic signalling pathways and knowing how different environmental stimuli cause phenotypic responses at cellular and molecular level by changing the expression of stress-responsive genes like RAB18, KIN1, RD29B, OsCIPK03, OsSTL, SIAGL, bZIP, SnRK, ABF. This review discusses various case studies that exemplify the successful implementation of these omics tools to enhance stress tolerance in plants. Finally, it highlights challenges and future prospects of utilizing these approaches in combating stress, emphasizing the need for interdisciplinary collaborations and bio-technological advancements for sustainable agriculture and food security.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-20
Impact of climate change on the distribution of the citrus longhorned beetle Anoplophora chinensis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its host plants, Castanea mollissima and Castanea seguinii: a predictive analysis using optimized MaxEnt models.
Journal of economic entomology pii:7964698 [Epub ahead of print].
The Anoplophora chinensis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) (Forster), a serious phytophagous pest threatening Castanea mollissima Blume and Castanea seguinii Dode, poses risks of ecological imbalance, significant economic loss, and increased management difficulties if not properly controlled. This study employs optimized MaxEnt models to analyze the potential distribution areas of A. chinensis and its host plants under current and future climate conditions, identifying their movement pathways and relative dynamics. Results indicate that all models achieved an average AUC value exceeding 0.86, demonstrating low complexity and high predictive accuracy. The key climatic variables influencing the geographic distribution of A. chinensis and its host plants include temperature and moisture-related bioclimatic variables such as mean diurnal range, minimum temp of coldest month, mean temp of wettest quarter, annual precipitation, precipitation of driest month, and precipitation seasonality. Under both current and future conditions, these 3 species are primarily distributed in the southwestern regions of China. Notably, the suitable growth area for all 3 species shows varying degrees of increase. Additionally, C. mollissima and C. seguinii exhibit a trend of eastward displacement in response to climate change. Overall, the findings provide significant practical value for the monitoring, early warning, and targeted control strategies for A. chinensis. Furthermore, these results offer a basis for timely conservation strategies to mitigate the potential impacts of climate change.
Additional Links: PMID-39832258
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39832258,
year = {2025},
author = {Zhang, L and Wang, P and Xie, G and Wang, W},
title = {Impact of climate change on the distribution of the citrus longhorned beetle Anoplophora chinensis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) and its host plants, Castanea mollissima and Castanea seguinii: a predictive analysis using optimized MaxEnt models.},
journal = {Journal of economic entomology},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1093/jee/toae308},
pmid = {39832258},
issn = {1938-291X},
support = {2024AFB254//Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province/ ; 31672327//National Natural Science Foundation of China/ ; },
abstract = {The Anoplophora chinensis (Coleoptera: Cerambycidae) (Forster), a serious phytophagous pest threatening Castanea mollissima Blume and Castanea seguinii Dode, poses risks of ecological imbalance, significant economic loss, and increased management difficulties if not properly controlled. This study employs optimized MaxEnt models to analyze the potential distribution areas of A. chinensis and its host plants under current and future climate conditions, identifying their movement pathways and relative dynamics. Results indicate that all models achieved an average AUC value exceeding 0.86, demonstrating low complexity and high predictive accuracy. The key climatic variables influencing the geographic distribution of A. chinensis and its host plants include temperature and moisture-related bioclimatic variables such as mean diurnal range, minimum temp of coldest month, mean temp of wettest quarter, annual precipitation, precipitation of driest month, and precipitation seasonality. Under both current and future conditions, these 3 species are primarily distributed in the southwestern regions of China. Notably, the suitable growth area for all 3 species shows varying degrees of increase. Additionally, C. mollissima and C. seguinii exhibit a trend of eastward displacement in response to climate change. Overall, the findings provide significant practical value for the monitoring, early warning, and targeted control strategies for A. chinensis. Furthermore, these results offer a basis for timely conservation strategies to mitigate the potential impacts of climate change.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-22
The Late Orchid Catches the Bee: Frost Damage and Pollination Success in the Face of Global Warming in a European Terrestrial Orchid.
Ecology and evolution, 15(1):e70729.
Global warming changes flowering times of many plant species, with potential impacts on frost damage and their synchronization with pollinator activity. These effects can have severe impacts on plant fitness, yet we know little about how frequently they occur and the extent of damage they cause. We addressed this topic in a thermophilic orchid with a highly specific pollination mechanism, the Small Spider Orchid, Ophrys araneola RchB, in six populations in Northern Switzerland. We measured flowering time, frost damage, and fruiting success in 1250 individually marked plants during 3 years, and documented spring temperatures. Using regression models with historical climate data, we estimated past and future frost damage. In addition, we analyzed historical records of the orchid and its only verified pollinator, the solitary bee Andrena combinata in Northern Switzerland, to estimate potential desynchronization between flowering and pollinator activity due to climate change. Increased spring temperatures accelerated flowering time, and together with the number of frost days explained frost damage well. Frost damage was severe and early-flowering plants were more likely to be damaged. Historical climate data suggested frost damage has increased in the last decades and may increase further in the future. All populations but one had very low fruit set, and plants that flowered earlier were less likely to set fruit. The historical data from between 1970 and 2019 showed a significant advance of flowering- and pollinator occurrence time in the last decades, but to a similar degree in orchids and bees. Our study shows that the orchid, despite being limited to warm habitats in central Europe, suffers under global warming by increased frost damage caused by earlier flowering. We did not detect an effect of accelerated flowering on desynchronization in flowering time and pollinator activity in this orchid species.
Additional Links: PMID-39830708
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39830708,
year = {2025},
author = {Schiestl, FP and Wartmann, BA and Bänziger, R and Györög-Kobi, B and Hess, K and Luder, J and Merz, E and Peter, B and Reutlinger, M and Richter, T and Senn, H and Ulrich, T and Waldeck, B and Wartmann, C and Wüest, R and Wüest, W and Rusman, Q},
title = {The Late Orchid Catches the Bee: Frost Damage and Pollination Success in the Face of Global Warming in a European Terrestrial Orchid.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70729},
pmid = {39830708},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {Global warming changes flowering times of many plant species, with potential impacts on frost damage and their synchronization with pollinator activity. These effects can have severe impacts on plant fitness, yet we know little about how frequently they occur and the extent of damage they cause. We addressed this topic in a thermophilic orchid with a highly specific pollination mechanism, the Small Spider Orchid, Ophrys araneola RchB, in six populations in Northern Switzerland. We measured flowering time, frost damage, and fruiting success in 1250 individually marked plants during 3 years, and documented spring temperatures. Using regression models with historical climate data, we estimated past and future frost damage. In addition, we analyzed historical records of the orchid and its only verified pollinator, the solitary bee Andrena combinata in Northern Switzerland, to estimate potential desynchronization between flowering and pollinator activity due to climate change. Increased spring temperatures accelerated flowering time, and together with the number of frost days explained frost damage well. Frost damage was severe and early-flowering plants were more likely to be damaged. Historical climate data suggested frost damage has increased in the last decades and may increase further in the future. All populations but one had very low fruit set, and plants that flowered earlier were less likely to set fruit. The historical data from between 1970 and 2019 showed a significant advance of flowering- and pollinator occurrence time in the last decades, but to a similar degree in orchids and bees. Our study shows that the orchid, despite being limited to warm habitats in central Europe, suffers under global warming by increased frost damage caused by earlier flowering. We did not detect an effect of accelerated flowering on desynchronization in flowering time and pollinator activity in this orchid species.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-22
Prediction of Current and Future Distributions of Chalcophora detrita (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) Under Climate Change Scenarios.
Ecology and evolution, 15(1):e70693.
The consequences of climate change, accelerated by anthropogenic activities, have different effects on different ecosystems, and the severity of these effects is predicted to increase in the near future. The number of studies investigating how forest ecosystems respond to these changes is increasing. However, there remains a significant gap in research concerning how saproxylic organisms-one of the key contributors to the healthy functioning of these fragile ecosystems-will respond to the consequences of climate change. In our study, we estimated the suitable habitats of the polymorphic species Chalcophora detrita which is distributed across Italy, Albania, Bulgaria, Greece, Türkiye, Cyprus, Syria, Israel and Lebanon. This species of both saproxylic and economic importance, was modelled under current environmental conditions, climate change scenarios and possible future conditions by ecological niche modelling (ENM). An ensemble model was created by using 11 different algorithms (Artificial Neural Network, Classification Tree Analysis, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Flexible Discriminant Analysis, Generalised Additive Model, Generalised Boosting Model, Generalised Linear Model, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines, Maximum Entropy, Random Forest, Surface Range Envelope) to predict the potential suitable habitats of C. detrita. Two different future scenarios (SSP2-4.5, relatively optimistic and SSP5-8.5, most pessimistic) are divided into 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080 and 2081-2100 time periods. The results of our ENM indicated that bioclimatic variables contribute more than topographic and land cover variables to suitable habitats for the species under current conditions. Furthermore, future scenarios demonstrated that suitable habitats for this species will gradually decrease across the geographical region where the species is distributed. This study provides a theoretical reference framework for the conservation of habitats and the improvement of management plans for species belonging to the genus Chalcophora Dejean 1833 and the other saproxylic beetles.
Additional Links: PMID-39830704
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39830704,
year = {2025},
author = {Duyar, A and Demir, MA and Kabalak, M},
title = {Prediction of Current and Future Distributions of Chalcophora detrita (Coleoptera: Buprestidae) Under Climate Change Scenarios.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70693},
pmid = {39830704},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The consequences of climate change, accelerated by anthropogenic activities, have different effects on different ecosystems, and the severity of these effects is predicted to increase in the near future. The number of studies investigating how forest ecosystems respond to these changes is increasing. However, there remains a significant gap in research concerning how saproxylic organisms-one of the key contributors to the healthy functioning of these fragile ecosystems-will respond to the consequences of climate change. In our study, we estimated the suitable habitats of the polymorphic species Chalcophora detrita which is distributed across Italy, Albania, Bulgaria, Greece, Türkiye, Cyprus, Syria, Israel and Lebanon. This species of both saproxylic and economic importance, was modelled under current environmental conditions, climate change scenarios and possible future conditions by ecological niche modelling (ENM). An ensemble model was created by using 11 different algorithms (Artificial Neural Network, Classification Tree Analysis, eXtreme Gradient Boosting, Flexible Discriminant Analysis, Generalised Additive Model, Generalised Boosting Model, Generalised Linear Model, Multivariate Adaptive Regression Splines, Maximum Entropy, Random Forest, Surface Range Envelope) to predict the potential suitable habitats of C. detrita. Two different future scenarios (SSP2-4.5, relatively optimistic and SSP5-8.5, most pessimistic) are divided into 2021-2040, 2041-2060, 2061-2080 and 2081-2100 time periods. The results of our ENM indicated that bioclimatic variables contribute more than topographic and land cover variables to suitable habitats for the species under current conditions. Furthermore, future scenarios demonstrated that suitable habitats for this species will gradually decrease across the geographical region where the species is distributed. This study provides a theoretical reference framework for the conservation of habitats and the improvement of management plans for species belonging to the genus Chalcophora Dejean 1833 and the other saproxylic beetles.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-22
Climate change aggravated wildfire behaviour in the Iberian Peninsula in recent years.
NPJ climate and atmospheric science, 8(1):19.
Climate change is considered to affect wildfire spread both by increasing fuel dryness and by altering vegetation mass and structure. However, the direct effect of global warming on wildfires is hard to quantify due to the multiple non-climatic factors involved in their ignition and spread. By combining wildfire observations with the latest generation of climate models, here we show that more than half of the large wildfires (area>500 ha) occurring in the Iberian Peninsula between 2001 and 2021 present a significant increase in the rate of spread with respect to what it would have been in the pre-industrial period, attributable to global warming. The average acceleration of the rate of spread due to increased fuel dryness is between 2.0% and 8.3%, whereas the influence of enhanced vegetation growth since the pre-industrial period could potentially be even higher than the direct impact of temperature increase in fuel conditions.
Additional Links: PMID-39830681
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39830681,
year = {2025},
author = {Senande-Rivera, M and Insua-Costa, D and Miguez-Macho, G},
title = {Climate change aggravated wildfire behaviour in the Iberian Peninsula in recent years.},
journal = {NPJ climate and atmospheric science},
volume = {8},
number = {1},
pages = {19},
pmid = {39830681},
issn = {2397-3722},
abstract = {Climate change is considered to affect wildfire spread both by increasing fuel dryness and by altering vegetation mass and structure. However, the direct effect of global warming on wildfires is hard to quantify due to the multiple non-climatic factors involved in their ignition and spread. By combining wildfire observations with the latest generation of climate models, here we show that more than half of the large wildfires (area>500 ha) occurring in the Iberian Peninsula between 2001 and 2021 present a significant increase in the rate of spread with respect to what it would have been in the pre-industrial period, attributable to global warming. The average acceleration of the rate of spread due to increased fuel dryness is between 2.0% and 8.3%, whereas the influence of enhanced vegetation growth since the pre-industrial period could potentially be even higher than the direct impact of temperature increase in fuel conditions.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-20
Spatial datasets of CMIP6 climate change projections for Canada and the United States.
Data in brief, 58:111246.
Geospatial climate change projections are critical for assessing climate change impacts and adaptations across a wide range of disciplines. Here we present monthly-based grids of climate change projections at a 2-km resolution covering Canada and the United States. These data products are based on outputs from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and include projections for 13 General Circulation Models (GCMs), three Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1 2.6, SSP2 4.5, and SSP5 8.5), four 30-year time periods (2011-2040, 2021-2050, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100), and a suite of climate variables, including monthly maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, climate moisture index, and various bioclimatic summaries. The products employ a delta downscaling method, which combines historical normal values at climate stations with broad-scale change projections (or deltas) from GCMs, followed by spatial interpolation using ANUSPLIN. Various quality control efforts, described herein, were undertaken to ensure that the final products provided reasonable estimates of future climate.
Additional Links: PMID-39830619
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39830619,
year = {2025},
author = {McKenney, DW and Pedlar, JH and Lawrence, K and Sobie, SR and DeBoer, K and Brescacin, T},
title = {Spatial datasets of CMIP6 climate change projections for Canada and the United States.},
journal = {Data in brief},
volume = {58},
number = {},
pages = {111246},
pmid = {39830619},
issn = {2352-3409},
abstract = {Geospatial climate change projections are critical for assessing climate change impacts and adaptations across a wide range of disciplines. Here we present monthly-based grids of climate change projections at a 2-km resolution covering Canada and the United States. These data products are based on outputs from the 6th Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) and include projections for 13 General Circulation Models (GCMs), three Shared Socio-economic Pathways (SSP1 2.6, SSP2 4.5, and SSP5 8.5), four 30-year time periods (2011-2040, 2021-2050, 2041-2070, and 2071-2100), and a suite of climate variables, including monthly maximum and minimum temperature, precipitation, climate moisture index, and various bioclimatic summaries. The products employ a delta downscaling method, which combines historical normal values at climate stations with broad-scale change projections (or deltas) from GCMs, followed by spatial interpolation using ANUSPLIN. Various quality control efforts, described herein, were undertaken to ensure that the final products provided reasonable estimates of future climate.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-20
Climate Change and Malaria: A Call for Robust Analytics.
medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences pii:2024.09.16.24313623.
Mosquito ecology and behavior and malaria parasite development display marked sensitivity to weather, in particular to temperature and precipitation. Therefore, climate change is expected to profoundly affect malaria epidemiology in its transmission, spatiotemporal distribution and consequent disease burden. However, malaria transmission is also complicated by other factors (e.g. urbanization, socioeconomic development, genetics, drug resistance) which together constitute a highly complex, dynamical system, where the influence of any single factor can be masked by others. In this study, we therefore aim to re-evaluate the evidence underlying the widespread belief that climate change will increase worldwide malaria transmission. We review two broad types of study that have contributed to this evidence-base: i) studies that project changes in transmission due to inferred relationships between environmental and mosquito entomology, and ii) regression-based studies that look for associations between environmental variables and malaria prevalence. We then employ a simple statistical model to show that environmental variables alone do not account for the observed spatiotemporal variation in malaria prevalence. Our review raises several concerns about the robustness of the analyses used for advocacy around climate change and malaria. We find that, while climate change's effect on malaria is highly plausible, empirical evidence is much less certain. Future research on climate change and malaria must become integrated into malaria control programs, and understood in context as one factor among many. Our work outlines gaps in modelling that we believe are priorities for future research.
Additional Links: PMID-39830277
Full Text:
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39830277,
year = {2025},
author = {Laydon, DJ and Smith, DL and Chakradeo, K and Khurana, MP and Okiring, J and Duchene, DA and Bhatt, S},
title = {Climate Change and Malaria: A Call for Robust Analytics.},
journal = {medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1101/2024.09.16.24313623},
pmid = {39830277},
abstract = {Mosquito ecology and behavior and malaria parasite development display marked sensitivity to weather, in particular to temperature and precipitation. Therefore, climate change is expected to profoundly affect malaria epidemiology in its transmission, spatiotemporal distribution and consequent disease burden. However, malaria transmission is also complicated by other factors (e.g. urbanization, socioeconomic development, genetics, drug resistance) which together constitute a highly complex, dynamical system, where the influence of any single factor can be masked by others. In this study, we therefore aim to re-evaluate the evidence underlying the widespread belief that climate change will increase worldwide malaria transmission. We review two broad types of study that have contributed to this evidence-base: i) studies that project changes in transmission due to inferred relationships between environmental and mosquito entomology, and ii) regression-based studies that look for associations between environmental variables and malaria prevalence. We then employ a simple statistical model to show that environmental variables alone do not account for the observed spatiotemporal variation in malaria prevalence. Our review raises several concerns about the robustness of the analyses used for advocacy around climate change and malaria. We find that, while climate change's effect on malaria is highly plausible, empirical evidence is much less certain. Future research on climate change and malaria must become integrated into malaria control programs, and understood in context as one factor among many. Our work outlines gaps in modelling that we believe are priorities for future research.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-22
CmpDate: 2025-01-20
Burden trends and future predictions for hypertensive heart disease attributable to non-optimal temperatures in the older adults amidst climate change, 1990-2021.
Frontiers in public health, 12:1525357.
BACKGROUND: Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a significant form of end-organ damage caused by hypertension, with profound impacts on global health and quality of life. Temperature anomalies driven by climate change, particularly extremes of heat and cold, are increasingly recognized as major contributors to the cardiovascular disease burden, notably impacting HHD. However, the specific spatiotemporal trends and gender-based differences in the burden of non-optimal temperatures on older adults HHD patients remain insufficiently explored. This study aims to evaluate the regional, gender-specific trends in the burden of HHD attributed to non-optimal temperatures among the older adults from 1990 to 2021, and to project future trends in HHD burden under climate-induced temperature anomalies from 2022 to 2050.
METHODS: Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2021), which provides estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) at global, regional, and national levels. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were analyzed. Future burden projections were modeled using age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian APC models to assess temperature impact by gender and age differences. Data analysis was conducted using R and STATA, examining the variations in temperature effects by gender and age.
RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2021, cold-related HHD burden among the older adults significantly exceeded that of heat-related burden. However, heat-related HHD burden demonstrated a marked upward trend, projected to continue rising over the next two decades, particularly in low-income and tropical regions. Gender-specific analysis revealed that cold-related HHD burden was more pronounced in women, while heat-related burden was notably higher in men. Additionally, male heat-related HHD mortality rates have shown a substantial increase over the past 30 years, whereas female rates have exhibited a comparatively modest decline.
CONCLUSION: Although cold remains the dominant non-optimal temperature factor, rising global temperatures suggest an increasing burden of heat-related HHD among the older adults. Efforts should prioritize strengthening resilience in vulnerable regions and populations, with targeted interventions to mitigate future health risks associated with temperature extremes.
Additional Links: PMID-39830174
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39830174,
year = {2024},
author = {Xu, C and Nie, X and Xu, R and Han, G and Wang, D},
title = {Burden trends and future predictions for hypertensive heart disease attributable to non-optimal temperatures in the older adults amidst climate change, 1990-2021.},
journal = {Frontiers in public health},
volume = {12},
number = {},
pages = {1525357},
pmid = {39830174},
issn = {2296-2565},
mesh = {Humans ; Male ; Female ; Aged ; *Climate Change ; *Hypertension/epidemiology ; Middle Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Global Burden of Disease/trends ; Bayes Theorem ; Forecasting ; Heart Diseases/epidemiology ; Disability-Adjusted Life Years ; Quality-Adjusted Life Years ; Cold Temperature/adverse effects ; Sex Factors ; },
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a significant form of end-organ damage caused by hypertension, with profound impacts on global health and quality of life. Temperature anomalies driven by climate change, particularly extremes of heat and cold, are increasingly recognized as major contributors to the cardiovascular disease burden, notably impacting HHD. However, the specific spatiotemporal trends and gender-based differences in the burden of non-optimal temperatures on older adults HHD patients remain insufficiently explored. This study aims to evaluate the regional, gender-specific trends in the burden of HHD attributed to non-optimal temperatures among the older adults from 1990 to 2021, and to project future trends in HHD burden under climate-induced temperature anomalies from 2022 to 2050.
METHODS: Data were sourced from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2021), which provides estimates of mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) at global, regional, and national levels. Age-standardized rates (ASR) and estimated annual percentage changes (EAPC) were analyzed. Future burden projections were modeled using age-period-cohort (APC) and Bayesian APC models to assess temperature impact by gender and age differences. Data analysis was conducted using R and STATA, examining the variations in temperature effects by gender and age.
RESULTS: Between 1990 and 2021, cold-related HHD burden among the older adults significantly exceeded that of heat-related burden. However, heat-related HHD burden demonstrated a marked upward trend, projected to continue rising over the next two decades, particularly in low-income and tropical regions. Gender-specific analysis revealed that cold-related HHD burden was more pronounced in women, while heat-related burden was notably higher in men. Additionally, male heat-related HHD mortality rates have shown a substantial increase over the past 30 years, whereas female rates have exhibited a comparatively modest decline.
CONCLUSION: Although cold remains the dominant non-optimal temperature factor, rising global temperatures suggest an increasing burden of heat-related HHD among the older adults. Efforts should prioritize strengthening resilience in vulnerable regions and populations, with targeted interventions to mitigate future health risks associated with temperature extremes.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Humans
Male
Female
Aged
*Climate Change
*Hypertension/epidemiology
Middle Aged
Aged, 80 and over
Global Burden of Disease/trends
Bayes Theorem
Forecasting
Heart Diseases/epidemiology
Disability-Adjusted Life Years
Quality-Adjusted Life Years
Cold Temperature/adverse effects
Sex Factors
RevDate: 2025-01-22
Integrating Maternal and Child Health Into Climate Change: A Holistic Approach.
Public health reviews, 45:1607553.
OBJECTIVES: In everyday language, climate change is an increase in the Earth's average temperature. Climate change negatively affects life support systems, including air, food, water, shelter, and security, on which humans depend. This paper aims to holistically integrate maternal and child health into climate change.
METHODS: A narrative/literature review approach were adopted using papers sources from google scholar, research gate and web of science. About 10 papers was initially gathered and it was later scrutinized to 6.
RESULTS: It was discovered that, climate change negatively impacts food and water security, heat stress, extreme weather, and air pollution, with women and children most affected. The World Health Organization estimates 250,000 climate-related deaths annually by 2050, disproportionately affecting maternal and child health. Integrating climate and maternal health strategies could offer benefits, yet research on adapting to climate change's effects on pregnancy outcomes is limited.
CONCLUSION: Addressing maternal and child health requires integrating health-focused strategies into environmental policies to reduce vulnerabilities to climate-related risks. A comprehensive approach can enhance resilience by improving healthcare access, education, and sustainable resource management, benefiting public health and environmental outcomes.
Additional Links: PMID-39829606
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39829606,
year = {2024},
author = {Amekpor, F and Sakariyau, W and Kengo, NE and Sandra, NA and Agyapong, J and Dauda, Z and Kwarteng, S and Adedokun, DA and Darko, G},
title = {Integrating Maternal and Child Health Into Climate Change: A Holistic Approach.},
journal = {Public health reviews},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {1607553},
pmid = {39829606},
issn = {0301-0422},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: In everyday language, climate change is an increase in the Earth's average temperature. Climate change negatively affects life support systems, including air, food, water, shelter, and security, on which humans depend. This paper aims to holistically integrate maternal and child health into climate change.
METHODS: A narrative/literature review approach were adopted using papers sources from google scholar, research gate and web of science. About 10 papers was initially gathered and it was later scrutinized to 6.
RESULTS: It was discovered that, climate change negatively impacts food and water security, heat stress, extreme weather, and air pollution, with women and children most affected. The World Health Organization estimates 250,000 climate-related deaths annually by 2050, disproportionately affecting maternal and child health. Integrating climate and maternal health strategies could offer benefits, yet research on adapting to climate change's effects on pregnancy outcomes is limited.
CONCLUSION: Addressing maternal and child health requires integrating health-focused strategies into environmental policies to reduce vulnerabilities to climate-related risks. A comprehensive approach can enhance resilience by improving healthcare access, education, and sustainable resource management, benefiting public health and environmental outcomes.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-22
The Health and Health Insurance Implications of Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Narrative Review.
Public health reviews, 45:1607212.
OBJECTIVES: This paper aims to provide a narrative review of the implications of climate change on health and health insurance in sub-Saharan Africa.
METHODS: A comprehensive research was employed to carry out a complete narrative study on the subject. Thus, since September 2022 we searched for literature on the relationships between climate change, health, and health insurance on PubMed over an unbounded period. By updating the research method, the outputs cover the period 2009-2024.
RESULTS: Based on 19 key articles that focused on the implications of climate change for health and health insurance in sub-Saharan Africa, we highlight that climate change directly affects population health through climate-related disease. Indirectly, climate change affects health through its disruption of food availability and agriculture and through demographic shifts.
CONCLUSION: Finally, this narrative review suggests appropriate strategies to combat the health consequences of climate change and to improve universal health insurance systems.
Additional Links: PMID-39829604
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39829604,
year = {2024},
author = {Traoré, O and Tetka, JB},
title = {The Health and Health Insurance Implications of Climate Change in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Narrative Review.},
journal = {Public health reviews},
volume = {45},
number = {},
pages = {1607212},
pmid = {39829604},
issn = {0301-0422},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: This paper aims to provide a narrative review of the implications of climate change on health and health insurance in sub-Saharan Africa.
METHODS: A comprehensive research was employed to carry out a complete narrative study on the subject. Thus, since September 2022 we searched for literature on the relationships between climate change, health, and health insurance on PubMed over an unbounded period. By updating the research method, the outputs cover the period 2009-2024.
RESULTS: Based on 19 key articles that focused on the implications of climate change for health and health insurance in sub-Saharan Africa, we highlight that climate change directly affects population health through climate-related disease. Indirectly, climate change affects health through its disruption of food availability and agriculture and through demographic shifts.
CONCLUSION: Finally, this narrative review suggests appropriate strategies to combat the health consequences of climate change and to improve universal health insurance systems.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-17
CmpDate: 2025-01-17
Climate change influences on the potential geographic distribution of the invasive Asian longhorned tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis.
Scientific reports, 15(1):2266.
The Asian long-horned tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis Neumann, 1901, is the competent vector for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV). Haemaphysalis longicornis originated mainly in eastern Asia and invaded many areas like Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific islands, and was recently introduced to eastern parts of the USA. This species is characterized by high adaptability to a wide range of temperatures and can reproduce parthenogenically under stressful conditions. Migratory birds are important hosts of H. longicornis and are thought to be responsible for its unexpected invasion and introduction into new areas worldwide. This study predicted the historical (near current) global environmental suitability and the possible shifts in environmental suitability for H. longicornis under the ongoing climate change between 2021 and 2100. The results demonstrated that Europe is at potential of high environmental suitability for H. longicornis invasion although this species has not been recorded in any regions of Europe yet. Our model also anticipated the environmental suitability for H. longicornis in eastern parts of the USA, although the recently recorded occurrences there were not used in the model calibration. Climate change is thought to affect and increase the range of suitable environments for H. longicornis. The different maps introduced in this study may help improve understanding of the global environmental suitability for this invasive disease vector and predict the areas at high environmental suitability for possible invasion to prioritize the control programs and enhance quarantine procedures in these areas.
Additional Links: PMID-39824882
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39824882,
year = {2025},
author = {Okely, M and Chen, Z and Adly, E and Kamal, M},
title = {Climate change influences on the potential geographic distribution of the invasive Asian longhorned tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis.},
journal = {Scientific reports},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {2266},
pmid = {39824882},
issn = {2045-2322},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Ixodidae/physiology ; Europe ; Animal Distribution ; Haemaphysalis longicornis ; },
abstract = {The Asian long-horned tick, Haemaphysalis longicornis Neumann, 1901, is the competent vector for severe fever with thrombocytopenia syndrome virus (SFTSV). Haemaphysalis longicornis originated mainly in eastern Asia and invaded many areas like Australia, New Zealand, and the Pacific islands, and was recently introduced to eastern parts of the USA. This species is characterized by high adaptability to a wide range of temperatures and can reproduce parthenogenically under stressful conditions. Migratory birds are important hosts of H. longicornis and are thought to be responsible for its unexpected invasion and introduction into new areas worldwide. This study predicted the historical (near current) global environmental suitability and the possible shifts in environmental suitability for H. longicornis under the ongoing climate change between 2021 and 2100. The results demonstrated that Europe is at potential of high environmental suitability for H. longicornis invasion although this species has not been recorded in any regions of Europe yet. Our model also anticipated the environmental suitability for H. longicornis in eastern parts of the USA, although the recently recorded occurrences there were not used in the model calibration. Climate change is thought to affect and increase the range of suitable environments for H. longicornis. The different maps introduced in this study may help improve understanding of the global environmental suitability for this invasive disease vector and predict the areas at high environmental suitability for possible invasion to prioritize the control programs and enhance quarantine procedures in these areas.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Climate Change
*Introduced Species
*Ixodidae/physiology
Europe
Animal Distribution
Haemaphysalis longicornis
RevDate: 2025-01-17
Climate change and food security nexus in Ghana: The role of renewable energy.
The Science of the total environment, 963:178454 pii:S0048-9697(25)00088-9 [Epub ahead of print].
Climate change is aggravating hunger, which is miserable in Sub-Saharan African nations like Ghana. Yet evidence of the effect of climatic variables on hunger, particularly multidimensional food security, is less illuminated in Ghana. Moreover, the decoupling effect of renewable energy on emissions and food security is rare in the Ghanaian context. Therefore, we fill this gap using time series data from 1990 to 2022. The autoregressive distributed lag model was used to analyse the data, while the dynamic ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares were employed for robustness. Additionally, the seemingly unrelated regression was used to evaluate the effect of climate change on tomatoes, rice, cocoa, cashews, maize, cassava, and yam output. We discovered a long-run co-integration between climatic factors and food security. Moreover, rising temperatures worsen food security in the short run but eventually improve in the long run. Again, temperature improves the production of the studied crops. In the short term, precipitation disturbs food security but suddenly improves in the future. Similarly, rainfall increases the production of the studied crops. Moreover, CO2 stifles long-term food security and reduces rice production. However, renewable energy counteract the deleterious consequence of CO2 on food security in the future. Theoretically, the effect of climate change on food security follows the assumption of the Environmental Kuznets Curve to some extent in Ghana. Therefore, adopting irrigation, greenhouses, agricultural insurance, and improved crop varieties will help farmers manage the wrath of climate change. Also, policies like carbon credits, tax incentives for renewable energy, investment funds, and solar panel subsidies can further promote sustainability and climate change mitigation.
Additional Links: PMID-39824098
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39824098,
year = {2025},
author = {Kyire, SKC and Dhaka, SS and Bannor, RK and Asare, JK},
title = {Climate change and food security nexus in Ghana: The role of renewable energy.},
journal = {The Science of the total environment},
volume = {963},
number = {},
pages = {178454},
doi = {10.1016/j.scitotenv.2025.178454},
pmid = {39824098},
issn = {1879-1026},
abstract = {Climate change is aggravating hunger, which is miserable in Sub-Saharan African nations like Ghana. Yet evidence of the effect of climatic variables on hunger, particularly multidimensional food security, is less illuminated in Ghana. Moreover, the decoupling effect of renewable energy on emissions and food security is rare in the Ghanaian context. Therefore, we fill this gap using time series data from 1990 to 2022. The autoregressive distributed lag model was used to analyse the data, while the dynamic ordinary least squares and fully modified ordinary least squares were employed for robustness. Additionally, the seemingly unrelated regression was used to evaluate the effect of climate change on tomatoes, rice, cocoa, cashews, maize, cassava, and yam output. We discovered a long-run co-integration between climatic factors and food security. Moreover, rising temperatures worsen food security in the short run but eventually improve in the long run. Again, temperature improves the production of the studied crops. In the short term, precipitation disturbs food security but suddenly improves in the future. Similarly, rainfall increases the production of the studied crops. Moreover, CO2 stifles long-term food security and reduces rice production. However, renewable energy counteract the deleterious consequence of CO2 on food security in the future. Theoretically, the effect of climate change on food security follows the assumption of the Environmental Kuznets Curve to some extent in Ghana. Therefore, adopting irrigation, greenhouses, agricultural insurance, and improved crop varieties will help farmers manage the wrath of climate change. Also, policies like carbon credits, tax incentives for renewable energy, investment funds, and solar panel subsidies can further promote sustainability and climate change mitigation.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-17
Ticks jump in a warmer world: Global distribution shifts of main pathogenic ticks are associated with future climate change.
Journal of environmental management, 374:124129 pii:S0301-4797(25)00105-7 [Epub ahead of print].
In recent decades, the threats of ticks and tick-borne diseases (TBDs) increased extensively with environmental change, urbanization, and rapidly changing interactions between human and animals. However, large-scale distribution of tick and TBD risks as well as their relationship with environmental change remain inadequately unclear. Here, we first proposed a "tick-pathogen-habitat-human" model to project the global potential distribution of main pathogenic ticks using a total of 70,714 occurrence records. Meanwhile, the effects of ecological factors and socio-economic factors driving the distribution pattern were evaluated. Based on this, the risk distribution of TBDs was projected by large-scale "tick-pathogen-disease" analysis. Furthermore, the distribution shifts of tick suitability were projected under different shared socio-economic pathways in the future. Our findings demonstrate that warm temperate countries (e.g., the United States, China and European countries) in the Northern Hemisphere represent significant high risk regions for ticks and TBDs. Specifically, solar radiation of January emerges as the main decisive factor determining the risk distribution pattern. Future shifts of tick suitability showed decrease trend under low greenhouse gas emission scenarios but increase trend under high scenarios. These suitability shifts were significantly correlated with future temperature- (9 species) and precipitation- (19 species) related factors. Collectively, in this study we first shaped the global risk distribution of main ticks and TBDs as well as tick suitability shifts correlated with future global climate change, which will provide helpful references for disease prevention and administration. The methods proposed here will also shed light on other emerging and recurrent zoonotic diseases (e.g., COVID-19, monkeypox) in the future.
Additional Links: PMID-39823935
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39823935,
year = {2025},
author = {Cao, B and Bai, C and Wu, K and La, T and Chen, W and Liu, L and Zhou, X and Chen, C and Li, X and Su, Y and Che, L and Li, G},
title = {Ticks jump in a warmer world: Global distribution shifts of main pathogenic ticks are associated with future climate change.},
journal = {Journal of environmental management},
volume = {374},
number = {},
pages = {124129},
doi = {10.1016/j.jenvman.2025.124129},
pmid = {39823935},
issn = {1095-8630},
abstract = {In recent decades, the threats of ticks and tick-borne diseases (TBDs) increased extensively with environmental change, urbanization, and rapidly changing interactions between human and animals. However, large-scale distribution of tick and TBD risks as well as their relationship with environmental change remain inadequately unclear. Here, we first proposed a "tick-pathogen-habitat-human" model to project the global potential distribution of main pathogenic ticks using a total of 70,714 occurrence records. Meanwhile, the effects of ecological factors and socio-economic factors driving the distribution pattern were evaluated. Based on this, the risk distribution of TBDs was projected by large-scale "tick-pathogen-disease" analysis. Furthermore, the distribution shifts of tick suitability were projected under different shared socio-economic pathways in the future. Our findings demonstrate that warm temperate countries (e.g., the United States, China and European countries) in the Northern Hemisphere represent significant high risk regions for ticks and TBDs. Specifically, solar radiation of January emerges as the main decisive factor determining the risk distribution pattern. Future shifts of tick suitability showed decrease trend under low greenhouse gas emission scenarios but increase trend under high scenarios. These suitability shifts were significantly correlated with future temperature- (9 species) and precipitation- (19 species) related factors. Collectively, in this study we first shaped the global risk distribution of main ticks and TBDs as well as tick suitability shifts correlated with future global climate change, which will provide helpful references for disease prevention and administration. The methods proposed here will also shed light on other emerging and recurrent zoonotic diseases (e.g., COVID-19, monkeypox) in the future.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-17
On the need to better integrate the social environment in research on climate change and health: recommendations and thinking tools.
Open research Europe, 4:105.
Social inequality impacts health, is aggravated by the consequences of climate change, and may be influenced by inappropriate policy responses. These interdependent effects create a self-perpetuating loop exacerbating the impact of climate dysregulation on health in an uncontrolled and poorly understood way. Holistic approaches to public health such as One Health, EcoHealth or Planetary Health are well suited to tackling the considerable and complex environmental and social issues underlying climate dysregulation. However, the extent to which research using such frameworks investigates social determinants of health is not clear. In this paper we discuss the ways in which the social environment has so far been considered in the literature to problematize and analyze the relationship between climate dysregulation and health within holistic frameworks and provide tools and recommendations to facilitate their apprehension. Social factors are investigated empirically only in a minor fraction of studies addressing the relation between climate and health in holistic frameworks, and not systematically. Barriers to such approaches are discussed. This work also provides two analytical tools (a process diagram and a knowledge framework) and a set of recommendations to help include the social environment more meaningfully in such frameworks. They are meant to facilitate our understanding of the current status of this type of research and to encourage trans-disciplinary and trans-sectorial endeavors towards directions which need to be taken to ensure societal factors and inequalities are placed at the center of research on climate and health and the ensuing policy response.
Additional Links: PMID-39822324
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39822324,
year = {2024},
author = {Mabile, L and Neufcourt, L and Chersich, M and Leroy, V and Delpierre, C and Kelly-Irving, M},
title = {On the need to better integrate the social environment in research on climate change and health: recommendations and thinking tools.},
journal = {Open research Europe},
volume = {4},
number = {},
pages = {105},
pmid = {39822324},
issn = {2732-5121},
abstract = {Social inequality impacts health, is aggravated by the consequences of climate change, and may be influenced by inappropriate policy responses. These interdependent effects create a self-perpetuating loop exacerbating the impact of climate dysregulation on health in an uncontrolled and poorly understood way. Holistic approaches to public health such as One Health, EcoHealth or Planetary Health are well suited to tackling the considerable and complex environmental and social issues underlying climate dysregulation. However, the extent to which research using such frameworks investigates social determinants of health is not clear. In this paper we discuss the ways in which the social environment has so far been considered in the literature to problematize and analyze the relationship between climate dysregulation and health within holistic frameworks and provide tools and recommendations to facilitate their apprehension. Social factors are investigated empirically only in a minor fraction of studies addressing the relation between climate and health in holistic frameworks, and not systematically. Barriers to such approaches are discussed. This work also provides two analytical tools (a process diagram and a knowledge framework) and a set of recommendations to help include the social environment more meaningfully in such frameworks. They are meant to facilitate our understanding of the current status of this type of research and to encourage trans-disciplinary and trans-sectorial endeavors towards directions which need to be taken to ensure societal factors and inequalities are placed at the center of research on climate and health and the ensuing policy response.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-17
Effect of Climate Change and Health Course on Global Warming Knowledge and Attitudes, Environmental Literacy, and Eco-Anxiety Level of Nursing Students: A Quasi-Experimental Study.
Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.) [Epub ahead of print].
BACKGROUND: Climate change is the most important problem that threatens the health of individuals, public health, and health systems on a global scale. The International Council of Nurses emphasizes that nurses should strive to reduce the effects of climate change and help individuals and systems adapt. In addition, it is stated that climate change should be integrated into nursing education curricula and nursing students, who are future healthcare providers, should be prepared to reduce the effects of climate change and promote a healthier environment.
AIM: The aim of this study is to examine the effect of the Climate Change and Health course on global warming knowledge and attitude, environmental literacy, and eco-anxiety levels in nursing students.
DESIGN AND METHODS: In this study, a pretest-posttest comparative quasi-experimental design type was used. The research was conducted with 117 students taking the "Climate Change and Health" course added to the curriculum at the Nursing Department of a private university in Istanbul between February 2023 and June 2023. Data were collected before and after the intervention using the Descriptive Characteristics Form, Global Warming Knowledge Questionnaire, Global Warming Attitude Scale, Environmental Literacy Scale for Adults, and Eco-Anxiety Scale.
RESULTS: After taking the Climate Change and Health course, nursing students' global warming knowledge and attitude total scores increased, and a statistically significant increase was detected in the eco anxiety total and behavioral symptoms subscale mean scores. There was no statistically significant change in the Environmental Literacy Scale total and subscale mean scores.
CONCLUSIONS: It can be stated that the Climate Change and Health course positively improved nursing students' knowledge and attitudes toward global warming and increased their sensitivity about climate change. Nurses, who constitute the most important part of the healthcare workforce worldwide, have an important role in creating a healthy and safe environment and in combating the effects of global warming and climate change. For this reason, in order to train knowledgeable and equipped health professionals on this subject, it is recommended that courses on the effects of climate change, adaptation, and coping with it be added to the nursing curriculum and integrated into all subjects every year to ensure continuity.
Additional Links: PMID-39822057
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39822057,
year = {2025},
author = {Çolak, M and Dogan, R and Dogan, S},
title = {Effect of Climate Change and Health Course on Global Warming Knowledge and Attitudes, Environmental Literacy, and Eco-Anxiety Level of Nursing Students: A Quasi-Experimental Study.},
journal = {Public health nursing (Boston, Mass.)},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1111/phn.13536},
pmid = {39822057},
issn = {1525-1446},
abstract = {BACKGROUND: Climate change is the most important problem that threatens the health of individuals, public health, and health systems on a global scale. The International Council of Nurses emphasizes that nurses should strive to reduce the effects of climate change and help individuals and systems adapt. In addition, it is stated that climate change should be integrated into nursing education curricula and nursing students, who are future healthcare providers, should be prepared to reduce the effects of climate change and promote a healthier environment.
AIM: The aim of this study is to examine the effect of the Climate Change and Health course on global warming knowledge and attitude, environmental literacy, and eco-anxiety levels in nursing students.
DESIGN AND METHODS: In this study, a pretest-posttest comparative quasi-experimental design type was used. The research was conducted with 117 students taking the "Climate Change and Health" course added to the curriculum at the Nursing Department of a private university in Istanbul between February 2023 and June 2023. Data were collected before and after the intervention using the Descriptive Characteristics Form, Global Warming Knowledge Questionnaire, Global Warming Attitude Scale, Environmental Literacy Scale for Adults, and Eco-Anxiety Scale.
RESULTS: After taking the Climate Change and Health course, nursing students' global warming knowledge and attitude total scores increased, and a statistically significant increase was detected in the eco anxiety total and behavioral symptoms subscale mean scores. There was no statistically significant change in the Environmental Literacy Scale total and subscale mean scores.
CONCLUSIONS: It can be stated that the Climate Change and Health course positively improved nursing students' knowledge and attitudes toward global warming and increased their sensitivity about climate change. Nurses, who constitute the most important part of the healthcare workforce worldwide, have an important role in creating a healthy and safe environment and in combating the effects of global warming and climate change. For this reason, in order to train knowledgeable and equipped health professionals on this subject, it is recommended that courses on the effects of climate change, adaptation, and coping with it be added to the nursing curriculum and integrated into all subjects every year to ensure continuity.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-17
CmpDate: 2025-01-17
Double Trouble for Native Species Under Climate Change: Habitat Loss and Increased Environmental Overlap With Non-Native Species.
Global change biology, 31(1):e70040.
Climate change and biological invasions are affecting natural ecosystems globally. The effects of these stressors on native species' biogeography have been studied separately, but their combined effects remain overlooked. Here, we develop a framework to assess how climate change influences both the range and niche overlap of native and non-native species using ecological niche models. We hypothesize that species with similar niches will experience both range reductions and increased niche overlap under future climates. We evaluate this using the ongoing invasion of smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) and northern pike (Esox lucius) on the native habitats of redband trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) and bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) in western North America. Future climate conditions will reduce habitat suitability for native and non-native species, but an increased niche overlap might exacerbate negative effects on native fishes. Our framework offers a tool to predict potential species distribution and interactions under climate change, informing adaptive management globally.
Additional Links: PMID-39821534
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39821534,
year = {2025},
author = {Jan, A and Arismendi, I and Giannico, G},
title = {Double Trouble for Native Species Under Climate Change: Habitat Loss and Increased Environmental Overlap With Non-Native Species.},
journal = {Global change biology},
volume = {31},
number = {1},
pages = {e70040},
doi = {10.1111/gcb.70040},
pmid = {39821534},
issn = {1365-2486},
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; *Introduced Species ; *Ecosystem ; Esocidae/physiology ; Trout/physiology ; Bass/physiology ; Models, Biological ; },
abstract = {Climate change and biological invasions are affecting natural ecosystems globally. The effects of these stressors on native species' biogeography have been studied separately, but their combined effects remain overlooked. Here, we develop a framework to assess how climate change influences both the range and niche overlap of native and non-native species using ecological niche models. We hypothesize that species with similar niches will experience both range reductions and increased niche overlap under future climates. We evaluate this using the ongoing invasion of smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) and northern pike (Esox lucius) on the native habitats of redband trout (Oncorhynchus mykiss) and bull trout (Salvelinus confluentus) in western North America. Future climate conditions will reduce habitat suitability for native and non-native species, but an increased niche overlap might exacerbate negative effects on native fishes. Our framework offers a tool to predict potential species distribution and interactions under climate change, informing adaptive management globally.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Climate Change
*Introduced Species
*Ecosystem
Esocidae/physiology
Trout/physiology
Bass/physiology
Models, Biological
RevDate: 2025-01-17
CmpDate: 2025-01-17
Global Potential Geographic Distribution of Anthonomus eugenii Under Climate Change: A Comprehensive Analysis Based on an Ensemble Modeling Approach.
Neotropical entomology, 54(1):25.
Climate warming is affecting the ranges and population dynamics of invasive species, including insects, which have become a global problem, causing biodiversity declines and agricultural economic losses. Anthonomus eugenii as an important invasive pest on pepper is now mainly located in the USA and Mexico. However, the global potential geographic distribution (PGD) of A. eugenii with climate change remains unknown, which makes it difficult to monitor and control. In this study, based on the global distribution areas and important environmental variables, we constructed an ensemble model to predict the global PGD of A. eugenii under the current climate and three climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) in the 2030s and 2050s. The mean true skill statistics (TSS) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the EM were 0.825 and 0.988, respectively, indicating that the EM was reliable. The mean temperature of the driest (bio9) and wettest (bio8) quarter and precipitation of the coldest quarter (bio19) were the most important environmental variables affecting the PGD of A. eugenii. Under the current climate, the PGD of A. eugenii was mainly concentrated in southern North America and central South America. The suitable areas of A. eugenii could increase significantly, reaching the maximum under SSP5-8.5 in the 2030s, approximately 1911.7 × 10[4] km2. Moreover, the distribution centroid would shift to higher latitudes with global warming. It also had the potential invasion risk in Russia, China, the Republic of the Congo, and Romania, which should enhance quarantine control and early warning.
Additional Links: PMID-39820799
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39820799,
year = {2025},
author = {Wang, P and Yang, M and Zhao, H and Wei, D and Zhang, G and Jiang, H and Zhang, C and Xian, X and Huang, H and Zhang, Y},
title = {Global Potential Geographic Distribution of Anthonomus eugenii Under Climate Change: A Comprehensive Analysis Based on an Ensemble Modeling Approach.},
journal = {Neotropical entomology},
volume = {54},
number = {1},
pages = {25},
pmid = {39820799},
issn = {1678-8052},
support = {2023YFC2605200//Yibo Zhang/ ; },
mesh = {Animals ; *Climate Change ; Animal Distribution ; Introduced Species ; Hymenoptera ; Models, Theoretical ; },
abstract = {Climate warming is affecting the ranges and population dynamics of invasive species, including insects, which have become a global problem, causing biodiversity declines and agricultural economic losses. Anthonomus eugenii as an important invasive pest on pepper is now mainly located in the USA and Mexico. However, the global potential geographic distribution (PGD) of A. eugenii with climate change remains unknown, which makes it difficult to monitor and control. In this study, based on the global distribution areas and important environmental variables, we constructed an ensemble model to predict the global PGD of A. eugenii under the current climate and three climate scenarios (SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5, and SSP5-8.5) in the 2030s and 2050s. The mean true skill statistics (TSS) and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the EM were 0.825 and 0.988, respectively, indicating that the EM was reliable. The mean temperature of the driest (bio9) and wettest (bio8) quarter and precipitation of the coldest quarter (bio19) were the most important environmental variables affecting the PGD of A. eugenii. Under the current climate, the PGD of A. eugenii was mainly concentrated in southern North America and central South America. The suitable areas of A. eugenii could increase significantly, reaching the maximum under SSP5-8.5 in the 2030s, approximately 1911.7 × 10[4] km2. Moreover, the distribution centroid would shift to higher latitudes with global warming. It also had the potential invasion risk in Russia, China, the Republic of the Congo, and Romania, which should enhance quarantine control and early warning.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Climate Change
Animal Distribution
Introduced Species
Hymenoptera
Models, Theoretical
RevDate: 2025-01-17
CmpDate: 2025-01-17
Eco-anxiety, climate change and the 'bottom billion': a plea for better understanding.
BMJ mental health, 28(1): pii:bmjment-2024-301380.
Climate change poses enormous, rapidly increasing risks to human well-being that remain poorly appreciated. The growing understanding of this threat has generated a phenomenon often called 'eco-anxiety'. Eco-anxiety (and its synonyms) is best documented in the Global North, mostly among people who are better educated and whose reasons for concern are both altruistic and self-interested. However, the populations who are most vulnerable to climate change are disproportionately poor and live in the Global South, where evidence for eco-anxiety (or climate) anxiety is limited, especially among those who have been called the 'bottom billion', approximately the global population's poorest decile. Here, I postulate reasons for this research gap as both ethical and practical. Additionally, the bottom billion experience many disadvantages, some of which plausibly lower their recognition of anthropogenic climate change. These disadvantages include nutritional and health factors that can reduce learning capacity, even if access to formal education exists. Many in this population have limited or no electronic access to information. Furthermore, the relationship between the stresses faced by such populations and climate change is often indirect, potentially also disguising recognition of the role of climate change. The world is characterised by many distressing forms of inequality, one of which is the effective 'invisibilisation' of the bottom billion. This group faces many challenges; some of these may exceed climate change as rational causes for anxiety. However, it is here argued that policy makers should act on their behalf, irrespective of evidence that they experience eco-anxiety.
Additional Links: PMID-39819834
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39819834,
year = {2025},
author = {Butler, CD},
title = {Eco-anxiety, climate change and the 'bottom billion': a plea for better understanding.},
journal = {BMJ mental health},
volume = {28},
number = {1},
pages = {},
doi = {10.1136/bmjment-2024-301380},
pmid = {39819834},
issn = {2755-9734},
mesh = {*Climate Change ; Humans ; *Anxiety/psychology ; Socioeconomic Factors ; },
abstract = {Climate change poses enormous, rapidly increasing risks to human well-being that remain poorly appreciated. The growing understanding of this threat has generated a phenomenon often called 'eco-anxiety'. Eco-anxiety (and its synonyms) is best documented in the Global North, mostly among people who are better educated and whose reasons for concern are both altruistic and self-interested. However, the populations who are most vulnerable to climate change are disproportionately poor and live in the Global South, where evidence for eco-anxiety (or climate) anxiety is limited, especially among those who have been called the 'bottom billion', approximately the global population's poorest decile. Here, I postulate reasons for this research gap as both ethical and practical. Additionally, the bottom billion experience many disadvantages, some of which plausibly lower their recognition of anthropogenic climate change. These disadvantages include nutritional and health factors that can reduce learning capacity, even if access to formal education exists. Many in this population have limited or no electronic access to information. Furthermore, the relationship between the stresses faced by such populations and climate change is often indirect, potentially also disguising recognition of the role of climate change. The world is characterised by many distressing forms of inequality, one of which is the effective 'invisibilisation' of the bottom billion. This group faces many challenges; some of these may exceed climate change as rational causes for anxiety. However, it is here argued that policy makers should act on their behalf, irrespective of evidence that they experience eco-anxiety.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
Humans
*Anxiety/psychology
Socioeconomic Factors
RevDate: 2025-01-17
Climate change anxiety and sleep problems in the older adults.
Aging & mental health [Epub ahead of print].
OBJECTIVES: Climate change has an impact on the prevalence of insufficient sleep and sleep disorders. This study aimed to examine climate change anxiety and sleep problems in older adults individuals.
METHOD: This descriptive and cross-sectional study was carried out with 664 participants between July 9 and September 10, 2024. A Personal Information Form, the Climate Change Anxiety Scale, and the Insomnia Severity Index were used for data collection. In the data analysis, independent samples t-test and one-way analysis of variance were used to compare demographic variables with the climate change anxiety scale and insomnia severity index.
RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 71.49 ± 6.21 years and more than half of the participants were female (54.4%). The mean score of the participants on the Climate Change Anxiety Scale was 1.68 ± 0.80 and their mean score on the Insomnia Severity Index was 12.56 ± 6.91. There was a positive correlation between the Climate Change Anxiety Scale and the Insomnia Severity Index (r = 0.26, p = 0.00). The insomnia variable explained 7% of the change in the Climate Change Anxiety score (R[2] = 0.07, p = 0.00).
CONCLUSION: Older adults experience anxiety and sleep problems regarding climate change and sleep problems in older adults increase as climate change anxiety increases.
Additional Links: PMID-39819248
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39819248,
year = {2025},
author = {Gezgin Yazıcı, H and Ökten, Ç and Utaş Akhan, L},
title = {Climate change anxiety and sleep problems in the older adults.},
journal = {Aging & mental health},
volume = {},
number = {},
pages = {1-5},
doi = {10.1080/13607863.2025.2452937},
pmid = {39819248},
issn = {1364-6915},
abstract = {OBJECTIVES: Climate change has an impact on the prevalence of insufficient sleep and sleep disorders. This study aimed to examine climate change anxiety and sleep problems in older adults individuals.
METHOD: This descriptive and cross-sectional study was carried out with 664 participants between July 9 and September 10, 2024. A Personal Information Form, the Climate Change Anxiety Scale, and the Insomnia Severity Index were used for data collection. In the data analysis, independent samples t-test and one-way analysis of variance were used to compare demographic variables with the climate change anxiety scale and insomnia severity index.
RESULTS: The mean age of the participants was 71.49 ± 6.21 years and more than half of the participants were female (54.4%). The mean score of the participants on the Climate Change Anxiety Scale was 1.68 ± 0.80 and their mean score on the Insomnia Severity Index was 12.56 ± 6.91. There was a positive correlation between the Climate Change Anxiety Scale and the Insomnia Severity Index (r = 0.26, p = 0.00). The insomnia variable explained 7% of the change in the Climate Change Anxiety score (R[2] = 0.07, p = 0.00).
CONCLUSION: Older adults experience anxiety and sleep problems regarding climate change and sleep problems in older adults increase as climate change anxiety increases.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-19
Do climate change adaptation strategies improve farmers' food security in Tanzania?.
Food security, 15(3):629-647.
The damaging effects of changing climate on farm-household food security are steadily increasing in sub-Saharan Africa. Adaptation strategies are important for agrarian households to reduce the adverse effects on their food security. This study employed multivariate probit and endogenous switching regression models to analyze the determinants of farm households' choice of climate-change adaptation strategies, such as the cultivation of early maturing crops, early planting, growing drought-tolerant maize varieties, using precautionary savings, practicing income diversification, and sale of assets, and their effects on household food security in Tanzania. Information on expected rainfall and temperatures, early warning systems, previous droughts, delays in the onset of the rainy season, sex and age of the farmer, educational level, farming experience, family size, total farmland holding, number of livestock owned, contact with extension agents, and access to credit services were all found to influence decisions by farm households to use strategies of adaptation to climate change. Overall, the adaptation of farm households to climate change increased their food security status. An analysis of "adapter" and "non-adapter" farm households showed that the effect of adaptation on food security was smaller for households that adapted than for households that did not. Thus, we recommend that further effective adaptation strategies such as planting drought-resistant crops, changing planting dates, planting early maturing crops, and practicing income diversification be developed and used, particularly for the most vulnerable farm households, to mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change on their food security.
Additional Links: PMID-39822389
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39822389,
year = {2023},
author = {Gebre, GG and Amekawa, Y and Fikadu, AA and Rahut, DB},
title = {Do climate change adaptation strategies improve farmers' food security in Tanzania?.},
journal = {Food security},
volume = {15},
number = {3},
pages = {629-647},
pmid = {39822389},
issn = {1876-4517},
abstract = {The damaging effects of changing climate on farm-household food security are steadily increasing in sub-Saharan Africa. Adaptation strategies are important for agrarian households to reduce the adverse effects on their food security. This study employed multivariate probit and endogenous switching regression models to analyze the determinants of farm households' choice of climate-change adaptation strategies, such as the cultivation of early maturing crops, early planting, growing drought-tolerant maize varieties, using precautionary savings, practicing income diversification, and sale of assets, and their effects on household food security in Tanzania. Information on expected rainfall and temperatures, early warning systems, previous droughts, delays in the onset of the rainy season, sex and age of the farmer, educational level, farming experience, family size, total farmland holding, number of livestock owned, contact with extension agents, and access to credit services were all found to influence decisions by farm households to use strategies of adaptation to climate change. Overall, the adaptation of farm households to climate change increased their food security status. An analysis of "adapter" and "non-adapter" farm households showed that the effect of adaptation on food security was smaller for households that adapted than for households that did not. Thus, we recommend that further effective adaptation strategies such as planting drought-resistant crops, changing planting dates, planting early maturing crops, and practicing income diversification be developed and used, particularly for the most vulnerable farm households, to mitigate the adverse impacts of climate change on their food security.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-17
CmpDate: 2025-01-17
Climate change and the cost-of-living squeeze in desert lizards.
Science (New York, N.Y.), 387(6731):303-309.
Climate warming can induce a cost-of-living "squeeze" in ectotherms by increasing energetic expenditures while reducing foraging gains. We used biophysical models (validated by 2685 field observations) to test this hypothesis for 10 ecologically diverse lizards in African and Australian deserts. Historical warming (1950-2020) has been more intense in Africa than in Australia, translating to an energetic squeeze for African diurnal species. Although no net impact on Australian diurnal species was observed, warming generated an energetic "relief" (by increasing foraging time) for nocturnal species. Future warming impacts will be more severe in Africa than in Australia, requiring increased rates of food intake (+10% per hour active for diurnal species). The effects of climate warming on desert lizard energy budgets will thus be species-specific but potentially predictable.
Additional Links: PMID-39818907
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39818907,
year = {2025},
author = {Wild, KH and Huey, RB and Pianka, ER and Clusella-Trullas, S and Gilbert, AL and Miles, DB and Kearney, MR},
title = {Climate change and the cost-of-living squeeze in desert lizards.},
journal = {Science (New York, N.Y.)},
volume = {387},
number = {6731},
pages = {303-309},
doi = {10.1126/science.adq4372},
pmid = {39818907},
issn = {1095-9203},
mesh = {Animals ; *Lizards/physiology ; *Climate Change ; Australia ; *Desert Climate ; *Energy Metabolism ; Africa ; Feeding Behavior ; },
abstract = {Climate warming can induce a cost-of-living "squeeze" in ectotherms by increasing energetic expenditures while reducing foraging gains. We used biophysical models (validated by 2685 field observations) to test this hypothesis for 10 ecologically diverse lizards in African and Australian deserts. Historical warming (1950-2020) has been more intense in Africa than in Australia, translating to an energetic squeeze for African diurnal species. Although no net impact on Australian diurnal species was observed, warming generated an energetic "relief" (by increasing foraging time) for nocturnal species. Future warming impacts will be more severe in Africa than in Australia, requiring increased rates of food intake (+10% per hour active for diurnal species). The effects of climate warming on desert lizard energy budgets will thus be species-specific but potentially predictable.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
Animals
*Lizards/physiology
*Climate Change
Australia
*Desert Climate
*Energy Metabolism
Africa
Feeding Behavior
RevDate: 2025-01-16
Rethinking Conservation and Restoration Strategies of Endangered and Key Medicinal Clavicarpa Plants in Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau's Karst Areas Under Climate Change.
Ecology and evolution, 15(1):e70790.
The Clavicarpa species, valued for their pharmaceutical, ornamental, and economic importance, exhibit notable rarity and endemism in the Karst areas of the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau in China. These species face significant threats from habitat loss and fragmentation, leading to a decline in biodiversity. To mitigate these threats, the Maxent algorithm was employed to analyze current and future distribution patterns, with a particular focus on the influence of climate variables in predicting potential distribution shifts and assessing extinction risks under the optimistic SSP1-2.6 and the pessimistic SSP5-8.5 socioeconomic scenarios. The EC-Earth3-Veg, MRI-ESM2-0, and MPI-ESM1-2-HR models were utilized for conservation status assessment and project future distributions for four time periods: the present, 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s. The minimum temperature during the coldest month (Bio 6) was identified as the most critical environmental factor, influencing both habitat contraction and expansion. Our modeling indicates that regions such as South, Central, and East China, particularly areas east of the Aihui-Tengchong line and south of the Yangtze River, exhibit the highest suitability for Clavicarpa species within the geographical coordinates of 18° N-45° N and 97° E-120° E. Conversely, climate change projections suggest a habitat expansion for Impatiens claviger, Impatiens tubulosa, Impatiens pritzelii, and Impatiens apalophylla, while Impatiens guizhouensis and Impatiens wilsonii face increased extinction risks. Specifically, I. claviger, I. tubulosa, and I. apalophylla are expected to shift northward, necessitating potential relocation to southern regions, while I. guizhouensis and I. wilsonii are projected to experience habitat losses of over 23.94% and 9.13%, respectively. Our research provides a robust scientific foundation for the conservation and sustainable utilization of these important pharmaceutical species and offers a framework for effective biodiversity management. We recommend using protected areas as a basis for the future conservation, breeding, cultivation, and utilization of Clavicarpa species.
Additional Links: PMID-39816450
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39816450,
year = {2025},
author = {Luo, C and He, B and Wu, Y and Xue, Y and Deng, H and Li, S and Dong, X and Lu, L},
title = {Rethinking Conservation and Restoration Strategies of Endangered and Key Medicinal Clavicarpa Plants in Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau's Karst Areas Under Climate Change.},
journal = {Ecology and evolution},
volume = {15},
number = {1},
pages = {e70790},
pmid = {39816450},
issn = {2045-7758},
abstract = {The Clavicarpa species, valued for their pharmaceutical, ornamental, and economic importance, exhibit notable rarity and endemism in the Karst areas of the Yunnan-Kweichow Plateau in China. These species face significant threats from habitat loss and fragmentation, leading to a decline in biodiversity. To mitigate these threats, the Maxent algorithm was employed to analyze current and future distribution patterns, with a particular focus on the influence of climate variables in predicting potential distribution shifts and assessing extinction risks under the optimistic SSP1-2.6 and the pessimistic SSP5-8.5 socioeconomic scenarios. The EC-Earth3-Veg, MRI-ESM2-0, and MPI-ESM1-2-HR models were utilized for conservation status assessment and project future distributions for four time periods: the present, 2030s, 2050s, and 2070s. The minimum temperature during the coldest month (Bio 6) was identified as the most critical environmental factor, influencing both habitat contraction and expansion. Our modeling indicates that regions such as South, Central, and East China, particularly areas east of the Aihui-Tengchong line and south of the Yangtze River, exhibit the highest suitability for Clavicarpa species within the geographical coordinates of 18° N-45° N and 97° E-120° E. Conversely, climate change projections suggest a habitat expansion for Impatiens claviger, Impatiens tubulosa, Impatiens pritzelii, and Impatiens apalophylla, while Impatiens guizhouensis and Impatiens wilsonii face increased extinction risks. Specifically, I. claviger, I. tubulosa, and I. apalophylla are expected to shift northward, necessitating potential relocation to southern regions, while I. guizhouensis and I. wilsonii are projected to experience habitat losses of over 23.94% and 9.13%, respectively. Our research provides a robust scientific foundation for the conservation and sustainable utilization of these important pharmaceutical species and offers a framework for effective biodiversity management. We recommend using protected areas as a basis for the future conservation, breeding, cultivation, and utilization of Clavicarpa species.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-16
CmpDate: 2025-01-16
Climate change and epigenetics: Unraveling the role of methylation in response to thermal instability in the Antarctic plant Colobanthus quitensis.
Physiologia plantarum, 177(1):e70043.
Low temperatures are one of the critical conditions affecting the performance and distribution of plants. Exposure to cooling results in the reprogramming of gene expression, which in turn would be mediated by epigenetic regulation. Antarctica is known as one of the most severe ecosystems, but several climate models predict an increase in average temperature, which may positively impact the development of Antarctic plants; however, under warmer temperatures, plants' vulnerability to damages from low-temperature events increases. Here, we evaluated the impact of these events on the acclimation process, with a focus on how methylation influences the induction of cold response genes. According to the results, an increase in the number of methylations in the promoter regions is associated with lower expression of these genes. Similarly, in populations where this relationship is observed, individuals acclimated to the projected climate change condition are more vulnerable, as their average temperature is lower in the face of a cold event compared to individuals acclimated to the current antarctic condition. This research is the first report highlighting the role of methylation in response to cold and its influence on the transcriptional responses of the antarctic plant Colobanthus quitensis facing climate change projections.
Additional Links: PMID-39815938
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39815938,
year = {2025},
author = {Hereme, R and Galleguillos, C and Molina-Montenegro, MA},
title = {Climate change and epigenetics: Unraveling the role of methylation in response to thermal instability in the Antarctic plant Colobanthus quitensis.},
journal = {Physiologia plantarum},
volume = {177},
number = {1},
pages = {e70043},
doi = {10.1111/ppl.70043},
pmid = {39815938},
issn = {1399-3054},
support = {21180714//ANID (doctoral scholarship)/ ; },
mesh = {*Climate Change ; *Epigenesis, Genetic ; *DNA Methylation/genetics ; Antarctic Regions ; *Gene Expression Regulation, Plant ; Acclimatization/genetics ; Cold Temperature ; Temperature ; },
abstract = {Low temperatures are one of the critical conditions affecting the performance and distribution of plants. Exposure to cooling results in the reprogramming of gene expression, which in turn would be mediated by epigenetic regulation. Antarctica is known as one of the most severe ecosystems, but several climate models predict an increase in average temperature, which may positively impact the development of Antarctic plants; however, under warmer temperatures, plants' vulnerability to damages from low-temperature events increases. Here, we evaluated the impact of these events on the acclimation process, with a focus on how methylation influences the induction of cold response genes. According to the results, an increase in the number of methylations in the promoter regions is associated with lower expression of these genes. Similarly, in populations where this relationship is observed, individuals acclimated to the projected climate change condition are more vulnerable, as their average temperature is lower in the face of a cold event compared to individuals acclimated to the current antarctic condition. This research is the first report highlighting the role of methylation in response to cold and its influence on the transcriptional responses of the antarctic plant Colobanthus quitensis facing climate change projections.},
}
MeSH Terms:
show MeSH Terms
hide MeSH Terms
*Climate Change
*Epigenesis, Genetic
*DNA Methylation/genetics
Antarctic Regions
*Gene Expression Regulation, Plant
Acclimatization/genetics
Cold Temperature
Temperature
RevDate: 2025-01-18
Author Correction: Typical and extreme weather datasets for studying the resilience of buildings to climate change and heatwaves.
Scientific data, 12(1):83 pii:10.1038/s41597-025-04420-2.
Additional Links: PMID-39814748
Full Text:
Publisher:
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39814748,
year = {2025},
author = {Machard, A and Salvati, A and P Tootkaboni, M and Gaur, A and Zou, J and Wang, LL and Baba, F and Ge, H and Bre, F and Bozonnet, E and Corrado, V and Luo, X and Levinson, R and Lee, SH and Hong, T and Salles Olinger, M and Machado, RMES and da Guarda, ELA and Veiga, RK and Lamberts, R and Afshari, A and Ramon, D and Ngoc Dung Ngo, H and Sengupta, A and Breesch, H and Heijmans, N and Deltour, J and Kuborn, X and Sayadi, S and Qian, B and Zhang, C and Rahif, R and Attia, S and Stern, P and Holzer, P},
title = {Author Correction: Typical and extreme weather datasets for studying the resilience of buildings to climate change and heatwaves.},
journal = {Scientific data},
volume = {12},
number = {1},
pages = {83},
doi = {10.1038/s41597-025-04420-2},
pmid = {39814748},
issn = {2052-4463},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-18
Geopolitics, climate change and health: what can we expect from the G20 Summit (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2024)?.
Cadernos de saude publica, 40(11):e00068524.
Additional Links: PMID-39813559
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39813559,
year = {2025},
author = {Oliveira, LD and Ibañez, P},
title = {Geopolitics, climate change and health: what can we expect from the G20 Summit (Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, 2024)?.},
journal = {Cadernos de saude publica},
volume = {40},
number = {11},
pages = {e00068524},
pmid = {39813559},
issn = {1678-4464},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-15
Discovery of Laacher See eruption in speleothem record synchronizes Greenland and central European Late Glacial climate change.
Science advances, 11(3):eadt4057.
To assess the impact of ongoing, historically unprecedented Arctic ice melting, precisely synchronized chronologies are indispensable for past analogs of abrupt climate change. Around 12,900 years before present (B.P.), the Atlantic-European realm experienced an abrupt relapse to near-glacial climate conditions attributed to Arctic meltwater fluxes, the Younger Dryas. However, it remained unclear how fast this climatic change propagated southward into Europe as terrestrial and ice-core chronologies are not sufficiently synchronized. Here, we use a volcanic sulfur spike identified in a speleothem from Germany to link the Laacher See eruption (LSE), a key chronostratigraphic marker in European terrestrial archives, to a previously unidentified sulfate spike in the Greenland ice-core record. The LSE, dated to 13,008 ± 8 years B.P.1950, thus synchronizes radiometric and ice-core calendars back in time, which consistently demonstrates that the LSE predates the onset of the Younger Dryas cooling by about 150 years, both in Greenland and Europe.
Additional Links: PMID-39813351
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39813351,
year = {2025},
author = {Warken, SF and Schmitt, AK and Scholz, D and Hertwig, A and Weber, M and Mertz-Kraus, R and Reinig, F and Esper, J and Sigl, M},
title = {Discovery of Laacher See eruption in speleothem record synchronizes Greenland and central European Late Glacial climate change.},
journal = {Science advances},
volume = {11},
number = {3},
pages = {eadt4057},
pmid = {39813351},
issn = {2375-2548},
abstract = {To assess the impact of ongoing, historically unprecedented Arctic ice melting, precisely synchronized chronologies are indispensable for past analogs of abrupt climate change. Around 12,900 years before present (B.P.), the Atlantic-European realm experienced an abrupt relapse to near-glacial climate conditions attributed to Arctic meltwater fluxes, the Younger Dryas. However, it remained unclear how fast this climatic change propagated southward into Europe as terrestrial and ice-core chronologies are not sufficiently synchronized. Here, we use a volcanic sulfur spike identified in a speleothem from Germany to link the Laacher See eruption (LSE), a key chronostratigraphic marker in European terrestrial archives, to a previously unidentified sulfate spike in the Greenland ice-core record. The LSE, dated to 13,008 ± 8 years B.P.1950, thus synchronizes radiometric and ice-core calendars back in time, which consistently demonstrates that the LSE predates the onset of the Younger Dryas cooling by about 150 years, both in Greenland and Europe.},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-16
Climate change impacts and pandemics.
New microbes and new infections, 63:101556.
Additional Links: PMID-39811748
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39811748,
year = {2025},
author = {Srivastava, S and Mehta, R and Mohanty, A and Satapathy, P and Sah, R and Apostoloopoulos, V},
title = {Climate change impacts and pandemics.},
journal = {New microbes and new infections},
volume = {63},
number = {},
pages = {101556},
pmid = {39811748},
issn = {2052-2975},
}
RevDate: 2025-01-16
What drives farmers' behavior under climate change? Decoding risk awareness, perceived impacts, and adaptive capacity in northern Italy.
Heliyon, 11(1):e41328.
Understanding climate change in a precise and timely manner may assist in gauging the occurrence and seriousness of its impacts, thereby boosting the adaptive capacity and responsiveness of farmers. This investigation looks into farmers' knowledge of climate change, their perception of risks and impacts, and the strategies they anticipate to tackle the challenges of adaptation. A well-structured online survey covering risk awareness, perception, and adaptation was used to randomly sample 460 respondents from 12 irrigation districts in northern Italy. Descriptive and multivariate statistics, including structural equation modeling, were employed to outline the profiles of farmers, explore the drivers shaping their behavior, and disentangle the magnitude and direction underpinning their adaptive capacity. Findings revealed that farmers recognize changes in climate and perceive its variability and effects, such as rising temperatures, extreme heat events, and irregular precipitation. Farmers blend adaptive measures, including climate services and insurance, with preventive mechanisms like reducing fertilizer use, rotating and diversifying crops, and introducing soil conservation techniques. However, they encounter obstacles such as poor government assistance, expensive investments and overlay intricate regulations. Regarding decision-making processes, the structural model demonstrated that 1) recognizing climate change can sensibly predict alterations in farmers' behavior concerning climate impacts while 2) there is a lack of correlation between perceiving risks and implementing risk adaptation measures. Interestingly, factors such as farming experience, farm size, area under irrigation, and primary crop type significantly influence how risks are perceived and what measures are adopted. In light of these results, we offer guidance for upcoming research.
Additional Links: PMID-39811341
PubMed:
Citation:
show bibtex listing
hide bibtex listing
@article {pmid39811341,
year = {2025},
author = {Ricart, S and Gandolfi, C and Castelletti, A},
title = {What drives farmers' behavior under climate change? Decoding risk awareness, perceived impacts, and adaptive capacity in northern Italy.},
journal = {Heliyon},
volume = {11},
number = {1},
pages = {e41328},
pmid = {39811341},
issn = {2405-8440},
abstract = {Understanding climate change in a precise and timely manner may assist in gauging the occurrence and seriousness of its impacts, thereby boosting the adaptive capacity and responsiveness of farmers. This investigation looks into farmers' knowledge of climate change, their perception of risks and impacts, and the strategies they anticipate to tackle the challenges of adaptation. A well-structured online survey covering risk awareness, perception, and adaptation was used to randomly sample 460 respondents from 12 irrigation districts in northern Italy. Descriptive and multivariate statistics, including structural equation modeling, were employed to outline the profiles of farmers, explore the drivers shaping their behavior, and disentangle the magnitude and direction underpinning their adaptive capacity. Findings revealed that farmers recognize changes in climate and perceive its variability and effects, such as rising temperatures, extreme heat events, and irregular precipitation. Farmers blend adaptive measures, including climate services and insurance, with preventive mechanisms like reducing fertilizer use, rotating and diversifying crops, and introducing soil conservation techniques. However, they encounter obstacles such as poor government assistance, expensive investments and overlay intricate regulations. Regarding decision-making processes, the structural model demonstrated that 1) recognizing climate change can sensibly predict alterations in farmers' behavior concerning climate impacts while 2) there is a lack of correlation between perceiving risks and implementing risk adaptation measures. Interestingly, factors such as farming experience, farm size, area under irrigation, and primary crop type significantly influence how risks are perceived and what measures are adopted. In light of these results, we offer guidance for upcoming research.},
}
▼ ▼ LOAD NEXT 100 CITATIONS
ESP Quick Facts
ESP Origins
In the early 1990's, Robert Robbins was a faculty member at Johns Hopkins, where he directed the informatics core of GDB — the human gene-mapping database of the international human genome project. To share papers with colleagues around the world, he set up a small paper-sharing section on his personal web page. This small project evolved into The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.
ESP Support
In 1995, Robbins became the VP/IT of the Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center in Seattle, WA. Soon after arriving in Seattle, Robbins secured funding, through the ELSI component of the US Human Genome Project, to create the original ESP.ORG web site, with the formal goal of providing free, world-wide access to the literature of classical genetics.
ESP Rationale
Although the methods of molecular biology can seem almost magical to the uninitiated, the original techniques of classical genetics are readily appreciated by one and all: cross individuals that differ in some inherited trait, collect all of the progeny, score their attributes, and propose mechanisms to explain the patterns of inheritance observed.
ESP Goal
In reading the early works of classical genetics, one is drawn, almost inexorably, into ever more complex models, until molecular explanations begin to seem both necessary and natural. At that point, the tools for understanding genome research are at hand. Assisting readers reach this point was the original goal of The Electronic Scholarly Publishing Project.
ESP Usage
Usage of the site grew rapidly and has remained high. Faculty began to use the site for their assigned readings. Other on-line publishers, ranging from The New York Times to Nature referenced ESP materials in their own publications. Nobel laureates (e.g., Joshua Lederberg) regularly used the site and even wrote to suggest changes and improvements.
ESP Content
When the site began, no journals were making their early content available in digital format. As a result, ESP was obliged to digitize classic literature before it could be made available. For many important papers — such as Mendel's original paper or the first genetic map — ESP had to produce entirely new typeset versions of the works, if they were to be available in a high-quality format.
ESP Help
Early support from the DOE component of the Human Genome Project was critically important for getting the ESP project on a firm foundation. Since that funding ended (nearly 20 years ago), the project has been operated as a purely volunteer effort. Anyone wishing to assist in these efforts should send an email to Robbins.
ESP Plans
With the development of methods for adding typeset side notes to PDF files, the ESP project now plans to add annotated versions of some classical papers to its holdings. We also plan to add new reference and pedagogical material. We have already started providing regularly updated, comprehensive bibliographies to the ESP.ORG site.
ESP Picks from Around the Web (updated 28 JUL 2024 )
Old Science
Weird Science
Treating Disease with Fecal Transplantation
Fossils of miniature humans (hobbits) discovered in Indonesia
Paleontology
Dinosaur tail, complete with feathers, found preserved in amber.
Astronomy
Mysterious fast radio burst (FRB) detected in the distant universe.
Big Data & Informatics
Big Data: Buzzword or Big Deal?
Hacking the genome: Identifying anonymized human subjects using publicly available data.